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오일 스테이츠(OIS) 2026년 3분기 실적 발표회: 수주 잔고 4억 8,200만 달러 달성

Oct 30, 2026 8:11 PM
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오일 스테이츠 인터내셔널은 2026년 3분기 매출 1억 7000만 달러, 조정 EBITDA 2000만 달러를 기록해 전 분기 대비 각각 8%, 6% 증가했다고 밝혔다. 해양 및 제조 제품 수주 잔고는 4억 8200만 달러로 약 12년 만에 최고치를 기록했다.

경영진은 4분기 매출 가이던스로 1억 7200만~1억 8400만 달러, 조정 EBITDA로 2000만~2300만 달러를 예상했다. 2027년 매출 성장은 현재 시장 전망치에 부합할 것으로 예상되나, 원자재 비용 상승과 고객 일정 등이 변수로 작용할 수 있다고 언급했다.

AI 생성 요약

핵심 요약

  • 오일 스테이츠 인터내셔널은 2026년 3분기 매출 1억 7000만 달러, 조정 EBITDA 2000만 달러를 기록하여 전 분기 대비 각각 8%, 6% 증가했습니다.
  • 임원 교체, 시설 철수 및 기타 비용을 제외한 조정 순이익은 800만 달러(주당 0.15달러)였습니다. 보고된 순이익은 300만 달러(주당 0.05달러)였습니다.
  • 해양/제조 제품 부문의 수주 잔고는 4억 8200만 달러에 달해 거의 12년 만에 최고치를 기록했으며, 전 분기 대비 7%, 전년 동기 대비 21% 증가했습니다.
  • 2026년 첫 9개월 동안 해양 및 해외 사업 활동이 연결 매출의 72%를 차지했으며, 이는 2023년의 약 50%와 대비됩니다.
  • 경영진은 2026년 4분기 매출 가이던스로 1억 7200만~1억 8400만 달러, 조정 EBITDA 가이던스로 2000만~2300만 달러를 제시했습니다.
  • 이사회는 2028년 10월까지 5000만 달러 규모의 신규 자사주 매입을 승인했으며, 경영진은 선별적 인수합병과 자체 투자를 지속적으로 검토하고 있습니다.

주요 재무 데이터

지표2026년 3분기변동 및 맥락
매출1억 7000만 달러전 분기 대비 8% 증가
조정 EBITDA2000만 달러전 분기 대비 6% 증가
보고된 순이익300만 달러주당 0.05달러, 임원 교체, 시설 철수 및 기타 비용 포함
조정 순이익800만 달러주당 0.15달러
해양/제조 제품 매출1억 400만 달러생산 플랫폼, 군수 및 커넥터 제품, 서비스 활동이 실적 뒷받침
해양/제조 제품 조정 EBITDA1900만 달러마진율 18%
유정 완비 및 생산 서비스 매출2300만 달러전 분기 대비 5% 감소
유정 완비 및 생산 서비스 조정 EBITDA600만 달러전 분기 대비 7% 감소, 마진율 26%
다운홀 기술 매출4200만 달러전 분기 대비 6% 증가, 2023년 1분기 이후 최고치
다운홀 기술 조정 EBITDA400만 달러매출 구성 변화 및 전 분기 관세 환급 혜택 소멸의 영향 수반
해양/제조 제품 수주 잔고4억 8200만 달러전 분기 대비 7%, 전년 동기 대비 21% 증가
분기 수주실적비율(Book-to-bill)1.3배해양/제조 제품

사업 및 영업 실적

해양/제조 제품은 여전히 가장 큰 사업 부문으로 남아 있습니다. 3분기 수주액은 총 1억 3500만 달러로 수주 잔고를 거의 12년 만에 최고 수준으로 끌어올렸습니다. 2026년 첫 9개월 동안 이 부문은 3억 3300만 달러의 수주를 기록했으며, 이 중 거의 90%가 해양 에너지 제품과 연계되어 있습니다. 경영진은 이것이 특히 심해 사업 부문에서 2027년에 대한 더 높은 예측 가능성을 제공한다고 밝혔습니다.

수주 잔고에는 상당한 규모의 다년간 군수 물량 프로젝트가 포함되어 있습니다. 군수 제품은 현재 수주 잔고의 약 46%를 차지하여 12개월 예상 매출 전환율을 과거 65%~70%에서 50%~55%로 낮춥니다. 경영진은 전환 속도가 지연되더라도 마진 구조가 약화되지는 않으며 오히려 이익 증대 요소가 될 수 있다고 설명했습니다.

유정 완비 및 생산 서비스 부문은 미국 육상 고객사 활동이 둔화되었음에도 불구하고 26%의 조정 EBITDA 마진율을 유지했습니다. 이 사업은 현재 자체 개발 특수 툴, 미국 걸프만 서비스 및 일부 선별된 해외 시장에 더욱 집중하고 있습니다.

다운홀 기술 부문은 모든 주요 범주에 걸친 유정 완비 및 천공 제품 판매 호조의 혜택을 받았습니다. 그러나 텅스텐, 폭약 분말, 구리 비용 상승이 실적에 계속 부담을 주었습니다.

오일 스테이츠는 또한 이번 분기에 또 다른 관리 압력 시추(MPD) 임대 프로젝트를 수주했으며 4분기에는 시스템 판매 수주를 기대하고 있습니다. 경영진은 매우 우수한 마진율과 함께 연간 약 3500만~4000만 달러의 MPD 매출을 향후 실적 모델에 반영했습니다.

경영진 가이던스

2026년 4분기에 대해 경영진은 다음과 같이 예상합니다.

  • 매출액 1억 7200만~1억 8400만 달러
  • 조정 EBITDA 2000만~2300만 달러
  • 잉여현금흐름 약 1500만~2500만 달러

경영진은 해양/제조 제품 부문의 전체 조정 EBITDA 마진율 목표를 약 20%로 계속 유지하고 있습니다. 회사는 대부분의 성장이 해양 및 해외 사업에서 발생함에 따라 2027년 매출 성장이 대체로 현재 시장 전망치에 부합할 것으로 예상합니다. 또한 미국 육상 지출 및 프랙 스프레드(frac spread) 활동이 완만하게 증가할 것으로 예상하지만, 구체적인 2027년 가이던스는 4분기 실적발표 컨퍼런스 콜에서 공개할 예정입니다.

위험 요인 및 주시 영역

고객 일정, 프로젝트 일정, 지정학적 조건 및 계약 수주 시점이 분기별 변동성을 유발할 수 있습니다.

운전자본은 여전히 주요 현금 흐름 고려 사항입니다. 오일 스테이츠는 2026년 첫 9개월 동안 수주 잔고 및 다운홀 소모품 수요를 뒷받침하는 구매를 포함하여 재고자산에 3800만 달러를 투자했습니다. 경영진은 4분기에 일부 운전자본 회수를 예상하고 있지만, 연말에 가까워질수록 고객 대금 회수가 일반적으로 둔화된다고 경고했습니다.

원자재 수급 및 인플레이션은 다운홀 기술 부문에 있어 여전히 역풍으로 작용하고 있으며, 특히 폭약 분말, 텅스텐, 구리 부문에서 심합니다. 경영진은 이러한 압박이 4분기까지 이어지다가 폭약 분말 수급이 개선되는 2027년 1분기와 2분기부터 완화되기 시작할 것으로 보고 있습니다.

애널리스트 Q&A 주요 내용

  • 해양 수요: 경영진은 예상되는 다년간의 EPCI 지출에 힘입어 해양 및 심해 수주 모멘텀이 여전히 긍정적이라고 밝혔습니다. 다만 2027년 수주 전망치는 제공하지 않았습니다.
  • MPD 기회: 드릴십에 MPD 탑재(MPD-ready)를 요청하거나 요구하는 고객이 늘고 있습니다. 오일 스테이츠는 일체형 라이저 조인트 및 임대/판매 시스템을 통해 이 시장에 대응하고 있습니다.
  • 가격 정책: 경영진은 입찰, 견적 또는 확정된 자본재 장비 주문에 대해 실질적인 가격 인하 양보를 하지 않았다고 말했습니다.
  • 자본 배분: 회사의 자본 배분 체계는 자체 설비투자 및 R&D, 선별적 M&A, 기회주의적 자사주 매입을 중심으로 합니다. 경영진은 과거보다 인수 기회를 더 적극적으로 검토하고 있다고 말했습니다.
  • 현금 전환: 최근의 현금 흐름 부족은 주로 재고 투자와 프로젝트 시점에 기인합니다. 경영진은 장기 프로젝트 증가에 묶인 운전자본이 시간이 지남에 따라 현금화될 것으로 기대하는 반면, 매각예정자산의 매각 대금은 2027년으로 이월될 가능성이 높다고 보고 있습니다.

전체 실적발표 컨퍼런스 콜 전문


전체 실적 발표 컨퍼런스 콜 녹취록

경영진 발표

Operator

Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us, and welcome to the Oil States' Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call.

After today's prepared remarks, we will host a question-and-answer session.

[Operator Instructions]

I will now hand the conference over to Brian Mizell, Vice President, Investor Relations, Business Development and Marketing. Brian, please go ahead.

Brian Mizell

Good morning, and welcome to Oil States' Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. Our call today will be led by our President and CEO, Lloyd A. Hajdik and Matthew Autenrieth, Oil States' Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

Before we begin, we would like to caution listeners regarding forward-looking statements. To the extent that our remarks today contain information other than historical emissions please note that we are relying on the safe harbor protections afforded by federal law. No one should assume that these forward-looking statements remain valid later in the quarter or beyond. Any such remarks should be weighed in the context of the many factors that affect our business, including those risks that closed in our 2025 Form 10-K and Form 10-K/A, along with other recent SEC filings.

This call is being webcast and can be accessed through Oil States' website. A replay of the conference call will be available 2 hours after the completion of this call and will continue to be available for 12 months.

I will now turn the call over to Lloyd.

Lloyd Hajdik

Thanks, Brian, and good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining our conference call today, where we will discuss our third quarter 2026 results and share our thoughts on the market trends in addition to discussing our company-specific strategy and opportunities ahead as we finish the year. As we approach the end of 2026, our industry continues to be influenced by a combination of strengthening long-term fundaments and ongoing near-term uncertainties. Crude oil prices remain elevated and volatile, driven largely by supply disruptions and inventory reductions resulting from the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East and Europe.

The sustained disruption of access to Middle East exports has emphasized the global need for secure, reliable and diversified energy supplies and continues to strengthen the multiyear outlook for offshore and international investments, particularly in Brazil, Guyana and across the Asia region. While we remain cautious regarding the timing of a broader recovery in the Middle East, we believe the underlying investment drivers remain firmly intact. These favorable macro fundamentals are demonstrated by our continued backlog bookings momentum with a year-to-date book-to-bill ratio of 1.2x in our Offshore/Manufactured Products segment. Given the higher commodity price environment, we believe operator spending in the U.S. should strengthen as well in 2027.

During the third quarter, we generated revenues of $170 million and adjusted EBITDA of $20 million, up 8% and 6% sequentially, respectively. We are pleased that these results exceeded our guidance with revenue growth led by our Offshore/Manufactured Products and downhole technology segments. We are encouraged by this progress and continue working to improve the profitability of our differentiated products and services. 72% of our consolidated revenues generated in the first 9 months of 2026 were driven by offshore and international activity which is a substantial increase from around 50% in 2023. This strategic shift in business mix has positioned Oil States well for sustained long-term growth.

Our Offshore/Manufactured Products segment generated sequential revenue growth and higher adjusted segment EBITDA, although project and service mix tempered margins. Production platform, military and connector products as well as higher service activity provided positive uplift in the quarter. Backlog increased to its highest level in almost 12 years, totaling $482 million supported by bookings of $135 million, which resulted in a quarterly book-to-bill ratio of 1.3x. Our Completion and Production Services segment maintained a strong margin profile despite a modest sequential decrease in revenue. Changes in customer activity within the U.S. land markets in which we operate, impacted quarterly results. We are responding by closely monitoring costs and pursuing additional opportunities in both international and domestic markets.

Third quarter adjusted segment EBITDA margin of 26% reflects the recent high grading of our service lines that are now more concentrated on our proprietary extended reach tools, Gulf of America service operations and certain international markets. In our Downhole Technologies segment, revenue continued to improve, supported by stronger completion and perforating product sales. Revenue and adjusted segment EBITDA were both substantially higher than a year ago, reflecting significant progress achieved with our expanded product portfolio and higher U.S. activity levels. These improvements were achieved despite the significant headwinds and based in the current period associated with premium explosive powder availability and increased raw material costs. We believe that our focus on international growth, product design improvements, and inventory procurement plans should provide support for long-term revenue growth and margin expansion.

Looking ahead, we remain enthusiastic about prospects for our differentiated technologies including our managed pressure drilling system. The booking of another MPD rental project during the quarter further reflects our continued momentum in customer adoption. We also see future subsea intervention opportunities that will support long-term growth with solutions that leverage our proven riser, connector and pressure control capabilities for well maintenance, workover and decommissioning applications. Further, Deep Sea mineral gathering system opportunities also continue to progress.

With our strong backlog and extensive portfolio of differentiated technologies, Oil States is well positioned to support our customer opening requirements. We will continue to invest selectively in technologies that improve performance, efficiency and the reliability and increasingly complex operating environments.

Matt will now review our operating results along with our financial position in more detail.

Matthew Autenrieth

Thank you, Lloyd, and good morning, everyone. During the third quarter, as Lloyd mentioned, we generated revenues of $170 million and adjusted EBITDA of $20 million, representing sequential increases of 8% and 6%, respectively. We reported net income of $3 million or $0.05 per share which included executive transition, facility exit and other charges. Excluding these charges, our adjusted net income totaled $8 million or $0.15 per share.

Turning to segment performance. our Offshore/Manufactured Products segment generated revenues of $104 million and adjusted segment EBITDA of $19 million in the third quarter, resulting in an adjusted segment EBITDA margin of 18%. The modest decrease in margin sequentially was driven by a third quarter shift in revenue mix toward lower-margin product and service offerings. We achieved a 1.3x book-to-bill ratio in the quarter and 1.2x year-to-date. Our backlog totaled $482 million as of September 30, an increase of 7% sequentially and 21% from a year ago. This is our highest reported level of backlog in almost 12 years. Our growing backlog continues to reflect a diversified mix of offshore and international energy projects as well as military programs.

Our Completion and Production Services segment generated $23 million in revenues and adjusted segment EBITDA of $6 million in the third quarter, resulting in an adjusted segment EBITDA margin of 26%. Revenue and adjusted segment EBITDA declined 5% and 7% sequentially due to changes in customer activity within our U.S. land-based operations. We continue to focus on growing our higher-margin core service lines, both domestically and abroad.

In our Downhole Technologies segment, we generated revenues of $42 million and adjusted segment EBITDA of $4 million. Third quarter revenues increased 6% sequentially and with growth across all major product categories. As further evidence of sales momentum within this segment, revenues reached the highest level since the first quarter of 2023. Sequential adjusted EBITDA comparison was impacted by a nonrecurring tariff refund benefit recognized in the prior quarter and a shift in sales mix. Input costs for our shaped charges remained elevated, particularly the cost of tungsten, explosive powders and copper.

During the first 9 months of 2026, we invested $38 million in inventory purchases necessary to support the execution of our growing backlog as well as strategic longer-term inventory purchases to support increasing demand for our downhole consumable product lines. We invested $10 million in capital expenditures year-to-date to support our growth and generated proceeds of $13 million from asset sales. Our remaining $14 million in assets held for sale will continue to be monetized with timing subject to market conditions and transaction completion. Across the first 3 quarters of the year, we put a new cash flow-based credit facility in place, retired the balance of our outstanding convertible senior notes and maintained a net cash position.

Our strong balance sheet, ample liquidity, continued to provide us with the flexibility to make accretive investments while returning capital to our stockholders. During the first 9 months of 2026, we purchased $9 million of our common stock, with the expiration of our prior share repurchase authorization on October 24, our Board of Directors approved a new $50 million 2-year share repurchase authorization yesterday that runs through October of 2028.

Now Lloyd will offer some market outlook and concluding comments.

Lloyd Hajdik

Thanks, Matt. As we look ahead, we are encouraged by this quarter's progress, growing our backlog and continuing positive customer engagement while exceeding our market guidance. Our priorities include growing our order book, converting existing backlog and to profitable revenue through level delivery and efficiently executing across our core businesses. The broader energy backdrop continues to support our strategic vision. We believe offshore and international markets offer an attractive multiyear opportunity even as activity varies across regions.

Our strategy remains clear: strengthen the core scale differentiated customer-backed growth platforms and pursue selective acquisitions that fill technology gaps while also returning cash to stockholders through opportunistic share repurchases. Cash conversion, returns on invested capital and balance sheet flexibility govern each of these priorities. As we carry out our strategy, we will remain disciplined in managing the business for our stakeholders with the continued attention to backlog conversion, cash generation and prudent capital allocation. Our focus is on commercializing customer-backed technologies, converting our growing backlog into profitable revenue, streamlining execution and maintaining working capital discipline as we scale the business.

With that in mind, our fourth quarter guidance calls for revenues in the range of $172 million to $184 million and adjusted EBITDA of $20 million to $23 million. Customer schedules and project time lines, geopolitical conditions and the timing of contract awards continue to create quarter-to-quarter variations in our results. Even so, our current backlog and the breadth of opportunities across numerous business lines support our confidence in future earnings growth.

Oil States is well positioned with a focused portfolio, a resilient operating base and a clear pathway to solid cash conversion, supported by a disciplined strategy, a healthy balance sheet and meaningful exposure to long cycle markets we believe the company has a strong foundation for continued progress and long-term stockholder value creation.

This concludes our prepared remarks. Caleb, will you please open the call for questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions]

Your first question comes from the line of Jim Rollyson with Raymond James.

질의응답

James Rollyson

I appreciate the time this morning. I guess, Lloyd, to start with one of your larger peers talked last week about MPD. And obviously, you guys made another booking this quarter. But talking about approximately 70% of drillships are either have MPD or installing MPD and the thought was expressed that they could [ back grow ] to 85%, 90% over time. Just kind of curious how you see that and how that's unfolding for you because you guys have obviously been successful since introducing your system, just maybe market opportunity over time.

Lloyd Hajdik

Yes. No, great question, Jim, and thanks, and good morning to you as well. So since we've rolled out our MPD technology a couple of years ago, we've had really great customer, call it, acceptance of the newer technology. And really, our opportunity includes that integrated riser joint, both rental systems as well as sales systems. So we do both. We did book an MPD rental project in the third quarter and expect a sale order here in the fourth quarter.

So, in terms of kind of our market outlook for our business, our MPD business, we generally have built in about $35 million to $40 million of revenue, MPD revenues into our model going forward at very good margins, obviously. And these are systems that -- if you're talking to the deepwater drillers, if they're not -- do not have MPD systems on them, a lot of their customers, the operators are requesting or requiring that they'd be at least MPD-ready, which obviously benefits us in the long term.

James Rollyson

Appreciate that. And if I kind of step back in a little bigger picture quite impressive to see, despite all the geopolitical challenges going on this year that your book-to-bill continues to be above 1 and your backlogs back to 2014 levels. Maybe a little color around what's driving that specifically, just kind of mix of products and timing of runoff? And maybe more importantly, just how the conversations levels are going into next year, given all the optimism around kind of a multiyear uptick in offshore spend.

Lloyd Hajdik

Yes. We're very excited about our backlog build. Again, in our prepared comments, and I think it's -- we're up 7% [ sequentially ], but more importantly, 21% year-over-year and the bookings in the third quarter, [ 1:3 ] book time book-to-bill, but when I -- just to take a step back, we had great bookings last year in 2025 on our military products awards, right? But this year, of the $333 million of bookings in the first 9 months of the year, almost 90% of that is related to the offshore energy products. So think about the deepwater. So as backlog is increasing, that's given us great visibility into the Ford mainly starting 2027 with momentum in the offshore as we expect.

So it's -- we're very constructive about the opportunities ahead. Most of it is focused on offshore and deepwater. And as I kind of think about next year in terms of bookings, we're not going to give any guidance on that, but I don't see any change in the momentum there, especially with the projections on EPCI type spending over the next 5 years, starting with next year. So it's a multiyear -- the multiyear offshore backdrop certainly remains and is very constructive for deepwater.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Stephen Gengaro with Stifel. Please go ahead.

Stephen Gengaro

Thanks. Good morning, everybody. a couple of things, maybe, Lloyd. The first, when we think about your business in the U.S. land market and you've done a lot to sort of high grade the business, how should we think about your growth in '27 relative to whatever assumptions we make for underlying drilling and completion activity.

Lloyd Hajdik

Yes, maybe not specific to U.S. land, but in general terms, again, our outlook, we'll give full guidance on our fourth quarter call in mid-February. But where we sit today and starting our kind of budget process there in the next couple of weeks, just looking out of kind of an overall very high-level forecast, we certainly believe that we're going to -- revenue is going to grow. [ Revenue is going ] to grow and kind of in line with these market estimates that are out there today. Very clear, most of that growth is coming from international and offshore. U.S. land spending, we do expect to be up whatever data you want to use at [ SCI's data ]or other internal data sources that you have. I think frac spread count is up year-over-year, expect it to go up a little bit next year as well, modestly. So I think for us, as we start our [indiscernible] process again, a little time or tepid on giving any outlook for 2027, but we expect to be in line -- growth in line kind of with the current estimates.

Stephen Gengaro

Great. And when we look at the very strong backlog that you've secured now and we kind of think about the next 12 months, how should we think about -- I know there was a little bit of change based on the mix. But how should we think about sort of the burn rates of that backlog over 12 months?

Lloyd Hajdik

Yes, absolutely. So military products, and I mentioned in the previous couple of questions, our military products comprises about 46%. Almost 50% of our current backlog, and those were the bookings that we booked in third quarter and fourth quarter of 2025. Historically, the conversion rate in the [ forward ] for 12 months, then there was backlog converting to revenue in the [ forward ] 12 months has been about, call it, 65% to 70%. And with the heavier weighting of the multiyear military products in our backlog, that's probably in the 50% to 55% range on the [ 4 to 12 months ], October -- call it October to October or September to September now. So these multiyear military products awards have reduced that conversion rate. But again, it doesn't reflect any change in the margin profile, if anything, it's accretive.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Josh Jayne with Daniel Energy patterns.

Joshua Jayne

I believe one other capital equipment provider this quarter has talked about the increase in discussions and bookings. And obviously, you guys reflected that in your numbers. But they said that they are not really seeing it yet in price. Just with the whole industry dealing with inflation across a number of different ways. I'm just curious how pricing cushions are going today against that backdrop? And is there anything embedded in the recent orders today that may lead to sort of higher pricing or margins moving forward?

Lloyd Hajdik

Yes. If you specifically talk about bookings, so that's centered around our Offshore/Manufactured Products segment, right? So we continue to guide to -- even though margins were a little bit lighter than we had guided to previously. We still guide to an overall margin -- EBITDA margin in that business of 20% and potential for growth beyond this year and next year. So there hasn't been any kind of reduction or concessions really in the pricing and the capital equipment side that we've been tendering and bidding and quoting and the orders that we've secured.

Joshua Jayne

Okay. And then as a follow-up, just the -- to highlight the $50 million repurchase program, that's roughly 10% of the market cap of the business pretty significant. There's also been a decent amount of M&A for international offshore levered businesses this year. Is the repurchase program sort of signal that you're [indiscernible] in the product portfolio today -- or are there things in the market that you see that are available that could be interesting to Oil States. Maybe just talk through your capital allocation framework and how you're thinking about things moving forward.

Lloyd Hajdik

Yes. So from our perspective, capital allocation framework is centered on 3 kind of pillars. One would be the organic, deployment of CapEx and R&D. We do that all day long. Secondly would be opportunistic in M&A and selective M&A. And no, we are not content in our existing portfolio of assets. We are continually looking and probably being a little bit more aggressive than we have been in the past and looking at M&A opportunities going forward. Balance that with our cash flow profile, we should also be able to execute opportunistic share repurchases given the new share repurchase authorization plan program that we have in place.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Chuck Minervino with Susquehanna. Please go ahead.

Charles Minervino

I was hoping you could update us on your free cash flow guidance. If I remember correctly, it was around $35 million to $40 million this year. plus $5 million to $10 million of asset sales, it looks like maybe around breakeven at this point year-to-date. So just wondering if you can kind of give us a little bit of an update there.

Matthew Autenrieth

I'll take that one. We continued to invest in working capital during the third quarter and built an additional $11 million of inventory and that was really to support the projects in our decade high backlog and for the purchase of raw materials to meet the increasing demands for our perforating projects. We continue to expect a release of working capital here in the fourth quarter, but I do want to caution you regarding the normal seasonal slowdown of customer collections as we approach year-end. For the fourth quarter, the free cash flow could range in the $15 million to $25 million range. And I will add that we still have $15 million of assets held for sale, but we're not expecting to recognize the cash from any of those sales here in the fourth quarter. That's not a material [indiscernible].

Lloyd Hajdik

Those assets held for sale proceeds likely carryover due in 2027.

Charles Minervino

Okay. And is the delta between kind of what you were thinking before on free cash flow and kind of what you're thinking now. Is that really just a kind of a delay -- I guess that's working capital that -- that you guys will kind of eventually generate and turn into free cash flow next year. I just kind of like to the right situation,.

Lloyd Hajdik

Yes, it is. [indiscernible] customer project delays, et cetera. But the working capital build, primarily the inventory build year-to-date, $38 million. $31 million of that is coming out of -- or $31 million of working capital bills coming out of offshore manufactured products, which is where our long-cycle projects are -- we really have our long-cycle projects. That's current working capital will turn. There's no issues with the build in working capital if our businesses are growing, which they are, you're going to build working capital.

Charles Minervino

Got it. And then I know one of the things you talked about in Downhole tools for the past couple of quarters was these raw material cost headwinds that kind of I guess, really got fairly aggressive in recent quarters. Is that improving? Or are you still having to manage through that? Just wondering if you can give us an update on that.

Lloyd Hajdik

Yes. We're really starting -- still having to manage through that. But based upon kind of our operational update with our Board and operations themselves, we do believe that, that starts to moderate some here coming in the first and second quarter of next year as we get better access to primarily to explosive powders. So yes, it has continued to be a headwind this year and probably will be in the fourth quarter, but we do believe it begins to moderate early next year.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back to Lloyd Hajdik, CEO, for closing remarks.

Lloyd Hajdik

Thank you again for joining us today and for the thoughtful questions. We appreciate the continued engagement and interest in our company. I also want to thank our employees for their contributions and our customers and stockholders for their continued support.

Looking ahead, we remain focused on executing our core strategy to deliver profitable growth and maintain a disciplined approach to capital allocation. We believe these efforts strategically position Oil States well for the opportunities ahead. Thank you all, and enjoy the rest of your day, and have a great weekend.

Operator

This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.

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