웨스코(WCC) 2026년 3분기 실적 발표: 매출 17% 증가, 전망치 상향
웨스코는 2026년 3분기 자체 성장률 17%를 기록하며 사상 최대인 72억 달러의 매출을 달성했습니다. 조정 EBITDA는 33% 증가한 5억 6,200만 달러, 조정 EPS는 47% 증가한 5.77달러를 기록했습니다. 데이터센터 매출은 55% 증가한 18억 달러로 사상 최고치를 경신했으며, 전체 수주 잔고도 80% 이상 증가했습니다.
이에 따라 웨스코는 2026년 전체 실적 전망을 자체 매출 성장률 13%~14%, 조정 EBITDA 마진 약 7.2%, 조정 EPS 18.00달러~18.50달러로 상향 조정했습니다. 경영진은 2027년 매출이 한 자릿수 중후반대로 성장할 것으로 예상하고 있으나, 구체적인 가이던스는 2026년 4분기 실적 발표 때 제공될 예정입니다.
핵심 요약
- 2026년 3분기 매출은 자체 성장률 17%를 기록하며 사상 최대인 72억 달러에 달했습니다. 판매량이 약 14%포인트, 가격 인상이 약 3%포인트 기여했습니다.
- 조정 EBITDA는 33% 증가한 5억 6,200만 달러로 사상 최고치를 기록했습니다. 조정 EBITDA 마진은 7.8%로 100bp 확대되었으며, 조정 EPS는 47% 증가한 5.77달러를 기록했습니다.
- 데이터센터 매출은 전년 동기 대비 약 55% 증가한 18억 달러로 사상 최고치를 달성했습니다. 최근 12개월 기준으로는 약 60억 달러의 매출을 올려 웨스코 전체 매출의 약 23%를 차지했습니다.
- 수주 잔고는 80% 이상 증가하며 사상 최고치를 기록했고, 3개 사업 부문 모두에서 신기록을 달성했습니다. CSS 수주 잔고는 약 140%, EES 수주 잔고는 약 40%, UBS 수주 잔고는 약 90% 증가했습니다.
- 웨스코는 2026년 실적 전망을 자체 매출 성장률 13%~14%, 조정 EBITDA 마진 약 7.2%, 조정 EPS 18.00달러~18.50달러로 상향 조정했습니다.
- 경영진은 마진 확대가 지속되면서 2027년 매출이 한 자릿수 중후반대 비율로 성장할 것으로 예상하고 있으나, 구체적인 가이던스는 2026년 4분기 실적 발표 때 제공될 예정입니다.
주요 재무 실적
| 지표 | 2026년 3분기 | 변동 / 주석 |
|---|---|---|
| 매출 | 72억 달러 | 자체 성장률 17% |
| 물량 기여도 | — | 약 14% |
| 가격 기여도 | — | 약 3% |
| 매출총이익률 | 21.7% | 전년 동기 대비 개선 |
| 조정 EBITDA | 5억 6,200만 달러 | 33% 증가 |
| 조정 EBITDA 마진 | 7.8% | 약 100bp 상승 |
| 조정 EPS | 5.77달러 | 47% 증가 |
| 잉여현금흐름 | 1억 8,400만 달러 | 늘어난 운전자본을 충당하는 가운데 창출됨 |
| 순레버리지 | 2.8배 | 연말 3.4배에서 개선 |
| 가용 유동성 | 20억 달러 이상 | 단기 내 만기 도래하는 대규모 부채 없음 |
사업 및 영업 실적
통신 및 보안 솔루션
CSS 매출은 거의 전적으로 물량 증가에 힘입어 자체 성장률 21%를 기록하며 사상 최고치인 29억 달러로 22% 증가했습니다. 웨스코 데이터센터 솔루션은 주로 하이퍼스케일 및 멀티테넌트 데이터센터 고객에 힘입어 약 40% 성장했습니다.
조정 EBITDA는 42% 증가한 3억 1,300만 달러를 기록했습니다. 마진은 160bp 확대되어 사상 최고치인 10.7%를 기록했습니다. 경영진은 가격 인상이 아닌 추가 제품 매출 견인, 서비스 비중 확대, 영업 레버리지에 힘입어 데이터센터 부문이 이제 CSS 전체 마진에 기여하고 있다고 설명했습니다.
전기 및 전자 솔루션
EES 매출은 18% 증가한 28억 달러로 사상 최고치를 기록했습니다. OEM 매출은 약 30% 성장했고, 건설 부문은 10%대 중반 비율로 증가했으며, 산업 부문 매출은 한 자릿수 중반 비율로 늘었습니다. 데이터센터 매출은 2배 이상 증가한 반면, 데이터센터를 제외한 EES 매출은 한 자릿수 후반대 비율로 성장했습니다.
조정 EBITDA는 31% 증가한 2억 5,900만 달러를 기록했으며, 마진은 90bp 상승한 9.3%를 나타냈습니다. 경영진은 특히 EES 부문에서 재고 및 순환 수요가 강화되었다고 언급했습니다.
유틸리티 및 브로드밴드 솔루션
UBS 매출은 6% 증가한 15억 달러를 기록했으며, 자체 매출은 7% 증가했습니다. 유틸리티 매출은 민간 유틸리티 기업, 공공 전력 동향 개선, 인프라 투자에 힘입어 한 자릿수 후반대 비율로 성장했습니다. 브로드밴드 매출은 20% 이상 성장했던 전년 동기 대비 보합세를 나타냈습니다.
조정 EBITDA는 6% 증가한 1억 5,800만 달러를 기록했습니다. 마진은 10.4%로 전분기 대비 40bp 개선되었습니다. 전력망 서비스는 4분기 연속 두 자릿수 성장을 기록하며 웨스코 전체 마진에 계속 기여하고 있습니다.
경영진 가이던스
| 전망 지표 | 수정된 2026년 가이던스 |
|---|---|
| 자체 매출 성장률 | 13%~14% |
| 보고된 매출 성장률 | 14%~15% |
| 매출 | 약 268억~270억 달러 |
| 조정 EBITDA 마진 | 약 7.2% |
| 조정 EPS | 18.00달러~18.50달러 |
| CSS 매출 성장률 | 약 20% |
| EES 매출 성장률 | 10%대 초반 |
| UBS 매출 성장률 | 한 자릿수 중반 |
| 웨스코 데이터센터 솔루션 성장률 | 40% 이상 |
영업일당 10월 예비 매출은 전년 동기 대비 10%대 후반의 증가율을 기록했습니다. 2026년 4분기 경영진은 보고된 매출 성장률이 10%대 초중반을 기록하고 조정 EBITDA 마진이 약 50bp 확대될 것으로 예상하고 있습니다.
웨스코는 매출 증가에 따른 운전자본 소요에도 불구하고 잉여현금흐름 가이던스를 유지했습니다. 2027년의 경우 경영진은 현재 한 자릿수 중후반대의 매출 성장과 지속적인 마진 확대를 예상하고 있으나, 이를 공식 가이던스가 아닌 상승 모멘텀의 지표로 설명했습니다.
리스크 및 주시 영역
- 4분기는 전분기 대비 영업일수가 하루 적으며, 12월 연휴 및 기타 계절적 요인이 매출과 영업 레버리지에 영향을 미칠 수 있습니다.
- 강력한 성장과 장기 주기 대형 프로젝트에는 추가 운전자본이 필요합니다. 순운전자본은 최근 12개월 매출의 약 20% 수준을 유지했습니다.
- 데이터센터 성장세는 전년 동기 대비 기저효과 부담이 점차 커지고 있습니다.
- 공공 전력 시장은 여전히 경쟁이 치열하여 엄격한 가격 정책과 고객 다변화가 요구됩니다.
- 수주 잔고에는 단기 수요부터 1~2년 후로 예정된 일부 장기 주기 제품까지의 주문이 포함되어 있습니다. 경영진은 연도별 수주 잔고 전환 금액을 수치화하지 않았습니다.
애널리스트 Q&A 주요 내용
- 디지털 전환: 경영진은 3개 사업 부문 모두 여러 지역에서 새로운 디지털 플랫폼으로 운영되고 있다고 말했습니다. 웨스코는 시간이 지나면서 디지털 전환을 통해 최소 100bp의 EBITDA 마진 개선 효과를 거두는 것을 지속적으로 목표로 하고 있으며 추가 상승 여력도 있지만, 2027년 기여도에 대해서는 구체적으로 밝히지 않았습니다.
- AI 도입: 웨스코는 데이터 레이크 및 신기술 스택과 함께 전통적 AI, 생성형 AI, 에이전트형 AI 애플리케이션을 활용하고 있습니다. 경영진은 이러한 도구들이 이미 분석, 생산성, 영업 레버리지에 기여하고 있다고 밝혔습니다.
- 데이터센터 노출도: 사업 영역은 하이퍼스케일러를 넘어 멀티테넌트 운영자, 신생 AI 기업, 하이브리드·프라이빗·에지 인프라를 구축하는 기업 고객으로까지 확장됩니다. 웨스코는 데이터센터 수명 주기 전반에 걸쳐 화이트 스페이스, 그레이 스페이스, 전력 및 인프라 애플리케이션에 서비스를 제공합니다.
- 데이터센터 수익성: 경영진은 마진 개선의 주된 원인이 제품 인플레이션이나 가격 인상이 아니라 프로젝트 진행에 따른 제품 및 서비스 추가 덕분이라고 설명했습니다. 구축 후 서비스 역량 또한 초기 건설 단계를 넘어 웨스코의 참여 범위를 넓혀줍니다.
- 수주 잔고 시점: 경영진은 전력 계획부터 그레이 스페이스 및 화이트 스페이스 건설까지 시차가 존재함을 감안할 때, 현재 매출은 이전 발표된 고객 지출과 연결된 프로젝트를 반영하고 있다고 밝혔습니다. 일부 수주 잔고 항목은 1년에서 2년까지 연장될 수 있습니다.
- 전력망 서비스: 경영진은 이전에 발표된 다년간의 수주 건이 2027년 상반기부터 의미 있게 기여하기 시작할 것으로 예상하고 있습니다. 이 사업은 UBS 전체보다 빠르게 성장하고 있으며 마진에 기여하는 매력적인 수익 구조를 지니고 있습니다.
실적 발표 컨퍼런스 콜 전문
전체 실적 발표 컨퍼런스 콜 녹취록
경영진 발표
Operator
Hello, and welcome to the WESCO's 2026 Third Quarter Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note that this event is being recorded. I will now hand the call over to Scott Gaffner, SVP, Investor Relations, to begin.
Scott Gaffner
Thank you, and good morning, everyone. Before we get started, I want to remind you that certain statements made on this call contain forward-looking information. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of performance and by their nature, are subject to uncertainties. Actual results may differ. Please see our webcast slides and the company's SEC filings for additional risk factors and disclosures.
Any forward-looking information speaks only as of this date, and the company undertakes no obligation to update the information to reflect changed circumstances. Additionally, today, we will use certain non-GAAP financial measures. Required information about these measures is available on our webcast slides and in our press release, both of which are posted on our website at wesco.com.
On the call this morning, we have John Engel, WESCO's Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Neel Dev, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. And with that, I'll turn the call over to John.
John Engel
Thank you very much, Scott. Well, good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our call today. We're very pleased with our record third quarter results, and we carry positive business momentum into the fourth quarter.
Once again, sales, backlog, operating profit and earnings per share all increased double digits versus the prior year. And importantly, they achieved records that exceeded our expectations. We are particularly pleased with our free cash flow generation during the quarter, which was strong given the sales growth that we delivered.
The past 5 consecutive quarters of double-digit sales growth demonstrate WESCO's higher growth profile, which extends well beyond our important data center positioning. Customer demand is strong across the rest of our diversified portfolio in end markets, with sales up high single digits, excluding data centers.
Our customers continue to invest in major capital and infrastructure projects, and they're increasingly relying on WESCO to manage their needs. And this is all happening while we add more services to our portfolio and demonstrate the continued effectiveness of our One WESCO cross-selling strategy.
Especially noteworthy, our backlog was up over 80% to a new record level for each of our 3 business units. The power of our customer value proposition, our global capabilities and our leading portfolio of product services and solutions is clear as we continue to outperform the market. Our backlog growth is being fueled by multiyear customer commitments as our large customers recognize our unique capabilities across the communications, security, electrical, utility and power markets.
As a result, we are, again, significantly raising our full year 2026 outlook, reflecting our continued confidence in our continued strong execution. Given the positive market momentum that we are seeing, I'm bullish that WESCO will continue to outperform our markets and deliver superior value to our customers, suppliers and shareholders to close out 2026 and in 2027.
With regards to 2027, we will provide our full year outlook when we report our fourth quarter earnings in February of next year. With that said, we expect to continue to outperform our markets again next year with sales up mid- to high single digits, along with continued margin expansion.
Before turning it over to Neil, I would like to highlight that we will be hosting a virtual investor event on Tuesday, November 10, from 10 a.m. to 11:30 a.m. Eastern Time, where we'll discuss our leadership position in the data center space and our differentiated solutions across the data center life cycle.
WESCO is uniquely positioned with our comprehensive product services and solutions offerings for data center white space, gray space and power infrastructure applications. Our 3 business leaders will discuss our One WESCO strategy, our leading value proposition and our end-to-end capabilities for our data center customers during this upcoming virtual investor event.
With that, I will now turn it over to Neel to take you through our third quarter results, and our raised full year outlook in more detail. Neel?
Indraneel Dev
Thank you, John, and good morning, everyone. As John highlighted, we delivered another exceptional quarter driven by strong execution accelerating growth and increasing contribution across the portfolio.
Before turning to the quarter in more detail, let me start with a few highlights. We delivered record sales, adjusted EBITDA and earnings per share. Organic sales increased 17%, reflecting strong execution across the business. Growth was broad-based with data center sales up 55% year-over-year and nondata center sales growth of 7% year-over-year.
Adjusted EBITDA increased 33% with EBITDA margin expanded 100 basis points to 7.8%. We generated solid free cash flow after investing in working capital to support strong sequential sales growth. Based on our strong year-to-date performance and continued momentum entering the fourth quarter, we are significantly raising our full year outlook for sales, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS.
With that, let me turn to our third quarter results, starting on Slide 5.
For the third quarter, we delivered excellent sales growth and record profitability across the business. Organic sales increased 17% to $7.2 billion, driven by strong volume growth in all 3 business units. Pricing contributed approximately 3% and volume approximately 14%.
Adjusted EBITDA increased 33% to a record $562 million, while EBITDA margin expanded approximately 100 basis points to 7.8%. Gross margin increased to 21.7% and SG&A improved approximately 50 basis points as strong sales growth, productivity and disciplined cost management drove operating leverage.
It's important to note that our SG&A incorporates ongoing investments in expanding our footprint and capabilities to support our profitable growth.
Turning to Slide 6. Adjusted EPS increased 47% year-over-year to a record $5.77 per share. The improvement was driven primarily by strong operating performance, including higher sales and margin expansion.
Turning to CSS on Slide 7. CSS delivered record sales and profitability in the third quarter as strong data center demand continued to drive growth. Sales increased 22% to a record $2.9 billion with organic growth of 21%, driven almost entirely by volume. WESCO data center solutions grew approximately 40%, primarily driven by growth in hyperscale and multi-tenant data center customers.
ENI and Security also delivered strong growth during the quarter, reflecting continued investment and customer demand in network infrastructure. Backlog ended the quarter at another record level, up approximately 140% year-over-year, underscoring the strength of data center demand and providing increased visibility into future revenue.
Adjusted EBITDA increased 42% to a record $313 million, and adjusted EBITDA margin expanded 160 basis points to a record 10.7%. Data center business remains margin accretive to CSS and continues to be a meaningful contributor to our overall WESCO margin expansion objective.
Turning to EES on Slide 8. EES delivered record sales and profitability, highlighted by excellent growth in OEM and continued positive momentum in construction and industrial. We are pleased with the accelerating momentum and improving results over the first 3 quarters of this year. Sales increased 18% to a record $2.8 billion. OEM grew Approximately 30%, reflecting broad-based strength across semiconductor and data center markets. Construction grew mid-teens on continued infrastructure and data center project activity.
Industrial increased mid-single digit on a healthy MRO demand. Data center sales increased more than 100% year-over-year reflecting our expanding participation in data center infrastructure. Excluding Data center EES, grew high single digit demonstrating healthy demand across our core end markets.
Backlog increased approximately 40% year-over-year to a record level. Adjusted EBITDA increased 31% to a record $259 million, and EBITDA margin expanded 90 basis points to 9.3%. Margin expansion was driven by gross margin improvement and operating leverage resulting from the strong sales growth and effective cost management.
Turning to UBS on Slide 9. UBS delivered solid growth and maintained strong profitability in the third quarter, while continuing to build on the improving trends we've seen throughout 2026. Sales increased 6% to $1.5 billion with organic sales up 7%. Utility grew high single digits, driven by strong IOU performance, improving public power trends and continued infrastructure investments.
Broadband was flat year-over-year on the back of a challenging prior year comparison as sales in the third quarter of 2025 were up over 20%. Continued share gains supported by our performance in current quarter. Backlog increased approximately 90% year-over-year to a record level, driven by grid services and strong order activity across utility and broadband.
Adjusted EBITDA increased 6% to $158 million. EBITDA margin remained strong at 10.4%, improving 40 basis points sequentially. We are pleased with the EBITDA margin expansion over the past 3 quarters and maintained our double-digit EBITDA margin in the third quarter. This was achieved with a backdrop of a competitive public power landscape as we focused on pricing for our value proposition, driven strong operating cost leverage and continue to diversify our customer base.
Moving to Slide 10. Data centers our sales are now approximately $6 billion on a trailing 12-month basis and represent approximately 23% of company sales. Importantly, this business continues to be margin accretive to WESCO and remains a meaningful contributor to our profitability and margin expansion.
Third quarter data center sales increased approximately 55% year-over-year to a record $1.8 billion, marking another quarter of strong growth despite increasingly challenging year-over-year comparisons.
Turning to Slide 11. Free cash flow generation was $184 million during the third quarter. We continue to focus on our working capital efficiency, and we are pleased with our cash flow generation this quarter. As a reminder, we are an asset-light business with working capital being our primary investment supporting profitable growth. We are successfully managing pressures on our working capital intensity as we execute large long-cycle projects with longer-term commitments from our customers.
Net working capital as a percentage of trailing 12-month sales was approximately 20%, remaining generally consistent with prior quarters despite higher sales, expanding margins and accelerating momentum in our business.
Moving to Slide 12. Net leverage improved to 2.8x net debt to adjusted EBITDA compared to 3.4x at year-end, notably ending the quarter below 3x. This continues our trend of steady deleveraging with leverage improving every quarter over the past year. Approximately $2 billion of our debt consists of our revolving credit and accounts receivable facility. These credit facilities are in place to support fluctuations in our working capital, and the balances are typically countercyclical in nature.
We exited the quarter with available liquidity of over $2 billion. We also maintain a well-structured debt maturity profile with no significant near-term maturities and sufficient flexibility to support our capital allocation priorities and future growth.
Moving to Slide 13. Turning to our 2026 outlook by business unit. We have raised our growth expectations for CSS and EES. We now expect CSS sales to grow about 20% and EES to grow low double digit for the year. Within CSS, we have also increased our outlook for WESCO data center solutions and now expect growth of more than 40%. We continue to expect UBS to grow at a mid-single-digit rate in 2026.
Moving to Slide 14 and our outlook for the remainder of the year. Based on our strong year-to-date performance and continued positive momentum across the business, we are again raising our full year outlook. We now expect organic sales growth of 13% to 14% and reported sales growth of 14% to 15%, resulting in expected full year sales of approximately $26.8 billion to $27 billion. We are significantly increasing our adjusted EBITDA margin outlook to approximately 7.2% and significantly raising our adjusted EPS outlook to $18 to $18.50 per share.
As reflected on the slide, we've made some minor adjustments to NIS, stock-based compensation and interest expense. Despite significantly higher sales growth and implications for working capital, we are maintaining our free cash flow guidance reflecting the progress we are making with our working capital improvement initiatives. Overall, our updated outlook reflects continued strength across the portfolio, strong execution and confidence in our ability to deliver.
Turning to Slide 15. Preliminary October sales per workday are up in the high teens year-over-year, providing an excellent start to the fourth quarter. We currently expect low to mid-teens reported sales growth and adjusted EBITDA margin expansion of approximately 50 basis points in the fourth quarter versus the prior year. These expectations are consistent with our increased full year outlook and reflect the continued positive momentum we are seeing across the business.
We've covered a lot of material this morning. So let me briefly recap the key points before we open the call to your questions. In summary, we delivered our fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit sales growth, with record sales backlog, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted earnings per share.
Momentum continue to build across the portfolio with positive organic sales growth across all 3 business units. Data center remains a significant growth driver and continues to evolve into a company-wide growth engine. CSS delivered another quarter of exceptional growth and profitability, further demonstrating that data center remains a margin accretive growth driver.
EES delivered another quarter of exceptional growth and profitability, reinforcing its role as an increasingly important contributor to WESCO's overall performance. UBS delivered solid growth and a third consecutive quarter of sequential margin improvement, while grid services continues to diversify our customer base. Strong sales growth translated into record profitability, driving meaningful operating leverage and further improving our leverage profile. Lastly, based on our strong year-to-date performance and continued momentum, we are significantly raising our full year outlook for sales, adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS. With that, operator, we can now open the call to questions.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Our first question today comes from David Manthey with Baird. .
질의응답
David Manthey
Everything really look good. I'm sure you'll get a lot of questions on data centers. So I'll go on to tangent here to start off. Could you give us an update on the digital transformation? And I believe you have 100 basis points of EBITDA margin benefit targeted. Is that expected to start to materialize in 2027? Is that a part of your mid-single digit, high single-digit top line and margin expansion outlook in broad strokes, you gave us John here on 2027.
John Engel
Dave, thanks for that. Look, we're making very good progress on our digital transformation, and we remain committed to the long-term vision we outlined our last full Investor Day back in 2024, all 3 SBUs are running build on the new digital platform in multiple locations. So that gives us a strong foundation as we continue to expand the capabilities. And over the past year, we've continued to build out the functionality while deploying a platform across additional locations.
In the first half of this year, we successfully deployed the platform in a much more complex operation really an end-to-end business and it's been successfully converted to the new platform, which gives us even -- gives us the confidence that we're on track, and we'll realize material benefits of our digital transformation. So we're on great progress.
I will tell you, we haven't -- we're not going to give you the kind of composition of the '27 outlook or guide yet, we'll do that as part of the -- when we deliver the fourth quarter earnings release. I will say this, though, the 100 basis points that we targeted as a result of deal transformation. It will be in at least 100. I think as we've made progress on the deployment, we see material opportunities and upside.
So I'll just say that without updating the number, let's say, it's an at least 100 basis points of EBITDA margin expansion. And Dave, we'll give that a little more color when we provide the full year outlook for '27 in the Q4 earnings release.
David Manthey
That sounds good. And then as a follow-up, I think when people think data centers, they sort of think AI data centers, and I know you have a broader business than that. Can you talk about beyond that specific vertical, your exposure to general cloud providers on-prem, et cetera, in terms of your capabilities?
John Engel
David, that's an outstanding question. And look, this is a really important question. And I think that everyone is getting painted with the AI hyperscaler data center brush. This is why we chose to do a deep dive on data centers in our virtual Investor Day week after next.
So just to address your question directly, we have been in the data center business for decades. So our business is broad-based. yes, we obviously have served the hyperscalers. And we have, again, a terrific we think, a leading value proposition, global execution capability, and we serve end-user customers directly, not through intermediaries. And that includes the hyperscalers and includes MTDCs. It includes the emerging AI players, but very importantly, includes all the enterprise class customers, of which -- that's where our deep roots are in data centers.
We've been serving them for decades, not just in U.S. and North America but around the world. Our data enter demand remains strong and very broad-based. And what I see happening for data centers, and we'll double click this and go in much more detail on our deep dive.
Enterprise AI investment is expanding well beyond the hyperscalers with the large enterprise customers building out hybrid and private AI infrastructure and deploying AI closer to the edge. So that sets up exceptionally well for Wesco given our history, our leading capabilities in terms of the value prop, across white space, gray space and power and infrastructure and our global execution model.
And for us, specifically, our bookings and sales accelerated in the third quarter. And the backlog growth is exceptional, far stripping -- far surpassing the sales growth. And it's important to note that as we had expected, and we said this would happen as we move through the cycle, the data center business is now is margin accretive. So it's a great question. We'll bring this to life in much more detail again week after next. Thanks, Dave.
Operator
The next question comes from Sam Darkatsh with Raymond James.
Sam Darkatsh
Yes. Well, we'll repeat what Dave said. It was a hell of quarter, obviously. My first question, as it relates to the implied fourth quarter guide, it seems as though the margins. There's probably some conservatism, I think, in your margins. I'm just trying to understand the decremental margin sequentially or like 20% to 30% or so if my math holds, and the incremental margins year-on-year are only around 10% or so. What's -- is there something structural keeping the margins lighter than a normal flow through? Or is that just normal conservatism?
Indraneel Dev
So Sam, I think just to put the outlook in context, right, we're guiding to a solid fourth quarter growth year-over-year. But if you think about fourth quarter, you have the December dynamic potentially whether there's holidays, et cetera. And so we're factoring that in. But having said that, very solid growth. So if you think about it sequentially, you got one less business day. And so there is a slight step down in revenue.
And so operating leverage goes slightly different direction. And then we're also continually investing in the business as we look forward to next year. I will get a longer-term customer commitments, long-cycle project bills. So all in all, we factored all of that in. And so it really is the leverage in the business that's driving that.
Yes, and I'll take structural, Sam or anything to highlight.
Sam Darkatsh
Got you. And then my follow-up, sort of similar, with this kind of growth, that's likely be sustained at least for a fairly extended period of time. John, how do you view your labor and your physical footprint capacity right now, especially knowing that the digital transformation is still in its early stages.
John Engel
Yes. Great question, Sam. We haven't talked much about that, but we've been continuously managing that since Anixter and WESCO came together back now 6 years ago in the beginning of the pandemic. So we've been going through a continuous process of where we've been optimizing that. Again, we haven't really put a spotlight on that externally for all the investors.
But we've been continuously combining facilities where it makes sense, our new facilities that we added to our footprint are materially larger, and they also have kind of a different scope and expanded mix. It supports more of our value-added services. We had a press release recently on a very large facility down in Texas that's new that we stood up and expanded and that includes Level 10, Level 11 and level 12 data center testing capability for the full up server racks.
We'll double-click on that in much more detail in our Investor Day week after next. So we've been investing, Sam. Since we put Anixter and WESCO together, while pruning and optimizing the footprint. And so I feel very good about what we have right now. Look, we've kicked into a much higher gear in terms of growth I've said for a number of years now that this portfolio mix shifted to a higher growth profile. We're really seeing it kick in now.
As strong as data centers are and look, they're terrific. We're exceptionally well positioned with a leading set of capabilities and we're taking advantage of that. It's terrific. I'm especially pleased with the growth across the balance of the portfolio being high single digits. It stepped up from Q2 to Q3 and that just shows the breadth and depth of the portfolio.
And Sam, we're leveraging really the optimization moves we've made on our footprint over the last several years. So I think we're exceptionally well positioned to continue to see the operating cost leverage that gearing, I'll say, as we drive these higher sales growth numbers.
Operator
The next question comes from Tommy Moll with Stephens.
Thomas Moll
John, I want to push a little bit on the comment you made regarding 2027 sales. If we just look at the acceleration in the nondata center business, which you've highlighted a couple of times, it was a [ 7 ] in the most recent quarter. Presumably, you're dialing in something similar in Q4, so you're exiting very strong into next year. .
And then I don't know what you assume for data center, but something accretive to that. I mean, almost any way you cut it, you're going to get to a solid high singles kind of outlook. So is there some kind of conservatism in your comment or something I've overlooked here?
John Engel
Tommy, I got -- I'll stand with my comments because we're not providing any outlook yet, but I think it's been our history that with Q3 results, we're at least trying to give you a sense of, and we're beginning to think about it. And just -- we do have very strong positive momentum. We carried into the fourth quarter. We expect that will continue through the quarter, and we'll exit with that very strong momentum entering next year. And then we'll give our full outlook when we do our Q4 results.
Thomas Moll
Fair enough. And I also wanted to ask on the digital investment today versus when you kicked off that initiative, there's a lot more opportunity to deploy AI now across the enterprise. So I'm just curious, have you needed to update your planning on how you execute this big investment cycle? Or what can you tell us there?
John Engel
Yes. So one of my quotes is timing is everything in light of business. And so when you think about when we started down our digital transformation journey, that strategy was clearly articulated back in an Investor Day in 2019. Some of you will recall that and that capture in the history books. And so we said very strongly that we want to invest and be the leader in digitally transforming the B2B distribution value chain and do it by leading that transformation of our company. .
And that -- we said we would have to acquire a big or big and then get the synergies to pay for that, but then take a piece of those synergies and reinvest it in the business. And that's the playbook we've been running over the last 5 to 6 years. We absolutely picked the right architecture. It's a new tech stack, wrapped around 1 world-class data lake that we've been hydrating all our data in and we've made substantial progress on leveraging AI. We focused inside our 4 walls quite frankly, as we're learning and developing and expanding our AI applications.
It started as standard AI applications several years ago, we moved to generative AI. Now we have a combination of generative and true agentic AI applications running inside our environment with our new tech stack and against our big data set it's in our day lake.
The data lake really is the core. I've said many times, the greatest status that we have that's not on the balance sheet is a big data. That's our data on all our transactions and remember, we're the market leader. So it's that plus uniquely customer data, supplier data and then we use other external data sources as well. So we'll talk much more about this as we move into next year.
But I'm really pleased with the value we're already getting out of AI in terms of enhanced analytics driving some productivity, it's starting to support the operating cost leverage. We didn't spike out the contribution, but it's clearly a contributor, which tags on to Sam's comment. And look, this is why we did this, but we're in the early days of starting to realize these benefits. And by the way, bottom line, too, we don't have to wait for the digital new tech stack to be deployed to every location around the globe, we're getting these benefits of AI implementation, both generative and agentic AI along the way.
So I'm more bullish than ever in terms of the operating leverage, the productivity, it will actually help accelerate our sales growth as well with some unique insights for gaining across our big data set. And so with 2010 hindsight, we absolutely had the right strategy, and I'm really happy that we launched this years ago as opposed to just trying to get started now because. And again, maybe my final point is the quality and fidelity of the AI implementation and the ability to get the benefits is directly proportional to the quality and fidelity of your big data. And again, it's the greatest asset that we have that's not on the balance sheet. So thanks for that question.
Operator
The next question comes from Christopher Glynn with Oppenheimer.
Christopher Glynn
Congrats on the quarter here. So interesting, the comment that data center sales now [ are accretive ] to enterprise margins, it's great to hear. We've been seeing them deliver great incremental while now. But particularly interesting to hear that comment in context where CSS is reporting 1% growth and ESS is reporting 5%. So just curious about the the pricing differential there? What you could say about that and if that's a pricing opportunity, Tom?
John Engel
Yes, so great question, Chris. Here's what I'd focus you on -- if you go back several years ago, when we started seeing the acceleration in data center, as you recall that we had a few quarters in CSS where the margins weren't moving or kind of flat or maybe a little bit of pressure.
I was very clear that given where we fit in the construction cycle, the data center life cycle, and where we sit in terms of the value chain that was the front end of that business. And as we secure these bigger construction projects, that as we progress through and manage them, there'll be additional products that we would pull through and we would increasingly add services. So that's what you're seeing. Like-for-like the products, there's not tremendous inflation for what we do.
Again, we're not doing NVIDIA chips and the core compute solution. That's not -- does not go through distribution to the end customer. We're doing everything else wrapped around it. We'll deep dive this a week after next. But the way you should look at it is it's not that price is going to be a huge lever to gross margin expansion. It's our conscious strategy of adding additional products once we're in at the beginning through the life cycle of the build and increasing the services content, while the projects being built and post deployment of the project, which, again, we've done a series of acquisitions that give us additional capabilities to manage day 2 through day end of data center, not just up to day 1.
So this is really an important point. I would really focus you on the gross margin improvement is because of our services content increasing over time, and we're continuing to drive accelerate that. And the operating cost leverage is inherent because we're getting this exceptional growth, and we're getting great leverage off our operational footprint, which tags back than what I mentioned in response to Sam's question.
So the 1-2 punch we're seeing in CSS is really remarkable. And it gets CSS above the 10% EBITDA margin, 2 quarters in a row. This quarter in particular, just represents really terrific momentum.
Christopher Glynn
Sounds good. And I've also got a question on the UBS margins. Just given the peculiar dynamics of the trough that that's moving off of in the PPU recovery you've had a 2 or 3 quarter sequential margin expansion. Is that kind of just a natural course of the next few quarters where that trend of sequential expansion sales is a function of the PPU headwinds dissipating?
John Engel
Yes. So I'll address that question but expand it a little bit in terms of the different dynamics occurring there. .
But remember, UBS said it got to 11% EBITDA business. So we have a terrific set of capabilities, unique, leading market position, value proposition. And so -- and we are in a very interesting period because we're seeing very good accelerating momentum. First of all, the backlog being up over 90%, I'll come back to that is just a terrific indicator. But fundamentally, we've got improving sequential momentum.
IOUs grew double digits in the third quarter. That's the fourth quarter in a row of double-digit growth for and public power grew in the third quarter, okay? And that is the second quarter in a row that Public Power group, core margins stabilized, grid services is up double digits the last 4 quarters in a row, we told you that would grow double digits this year. And so -- and fundamentally, this recipe has an improved EBITDA margins profile as we move forward, and we've improved EBITDA margin successively over the last 3 to 4 quarters on a sequential basis and grid services will increasingly contribute as we move through time.
So we -- I remain very bullish on utility and the required power chain investments that are going to have to be made across -- to support not just AI-driven data centers, but all the other mega projects and the infrastructure build-out. And look, I've mentioned before, and I have a very strong belief that utilities become a secular growth industry. And when I say utility is a secular growth industry, I will include the IPPs, the independent power producers where -- I mean, basically, the way I look at this is all things power is what we're focused on due to the increasing energy demand and that bodes exceptionally well for us.
Operator
The next question comes from Ken Newman with KeyBanc Capital Markets.
Kenneth Newman
Congrats on the solid quarter. Maybe first, John, John, I appreciate the color on the support for mid- to high single-digit sales growth for next year. I'm assuming that comment is primarily just being driven by what you -- what's currently in the backlog today. So I guess, first, is that a fair assessment? And then secondly, is there a way to help us think about the stock and flow side of the business and how that performed this quarter relative to the backlog side?
John Engel
Again, I think what we've done with that commentary, Ken, is just consistent with the last couple of years. And so I think you should put it into that context. And in terms of what really is the drivers in the composition, we'll give that in great detail when we release our fourth quarter earnings results. And as we always do, we're in the middle of the fourth quarter now. We do have positive momentum. And that commentary we meant to reflect that we entered the quarter with great momentum.
We expect to exit the quarter with strong positive momentum, and it's more of a momentum comment as we move into next year. So that's how you should take it. But in terms of the detailed guide, we'll provide that again once 2026 is in the record books.
Kenneth Newman
Okay. And anything to comment on stock and flow versus project-oriented? .
John Engel
We've been getting a pickup actually mix-wise stock and flow, and it's most notable in our EES business, which I made that comment last 2 quarters, that has continued, and it's part of the broader commentary around EES just posted a record quarter, another record quarter. There's accelerating business momentum, Construction is accelerating, industrial is improving.
OEM has further acceleration as represented by our Q3 results. And I think we're at the beginning of an industrial super cycle. I've made those comments before. So the best is yet to come on industrial. I'll just tell you, it's great to see EES kicking into gear. And one of the attributes of that is we're getting this very strong growth in stock and flow.
Kenneth Newman
That's helpful. And then for the follow-up, I guess just thinking -- obviously, it seems like you aren't seeing or expecting any impact from the moratorium headlines from earlier this quarter and that seems like it jives with what most of your suppliers and competitors have said or have been seeing in project activity year-to-date.
I guess when you think about where you play primarily in the timing of new data center construction, is there a higher level way to think about the inherent lag of the new orders that you're winning today for new greenfields and when they ultimately flow through the P&L, just maybe ask another way, how much of the increase in the CSS backlog is for new data center projects that likely won't be -- you won't play for until like '28 versus '27.
John Engel
No. It's a good point. And we've given that view before over the last few years, and this is something we'll highlight in more detail a week after next in our data center deep dive. But when you see the headline numbers from a hyperscaler or MTDC in terms of their increased CapEx, where we play in the value chain, there is a meaningful time delay or time lag right?
Just it's the nature of the beast. We see these reported. Reported Headlines on CapEx increases. The first thing that has to be done is the overall power solution. And then as the construction build cycle progresses, it's gray space moving to white space. So what we're benefiting from now is projects that are spending that was announced quite some time ago on behalf of our end user customers.
It's a really important point that you've called out and that we've cited before. And so again, but when you look at our momentum vector, look at the backlog growth in CSS, 140% and look at the sales growth. Look at the backlog growth in EES, right, at the 4% level and then look at the sales growth and look at the backlog growth in UBS at 90% and look at the sales growth.
So I think that answers your question. At the high level, in terms of the dynamics of brand-new projects being loaded in backlog and the time phasing, we'll give a little more insight on that week after next because, again, I think we'll -- as we peel the onion on our data center business, I think you all appreciate much -- to a much better degree, which is why we choose to do it, the depth and breadth of our data center positioning our leading value prop, our global execution model and that we are across all types of data center applications and now have capabilities across the whole life cycle. That's the really important point. It's not just the build, but it includes Day 2 through day in of running the data center.
Operator
The next question comes from Guy Hardwick with Barclays.
Guy Drummond Hardwick
Actually, Ken asked most of what I was going to ask, but maybe I'll ask the question in a different way, John. Is it possible to kind of pause the backlog as to how much is delivered next year? How much is it in 2028 and beyond?
John Engel
Yes, Guy, we haven't done that historically, so I won't do that in Q&A. But we'll we'll take that input and see if we can provide some further insight as we move forward. I will just tell you that in general, what's in backlog, it includes a broad mix of demand. That can be tomorrow, next week, next month, next quarter. And typically, it's not 5 years out or 4 years out, but it can be a year to 2 years out for some very specific long-cycle products that are part of projects. So that's kind of the nature of the beast of our backlog for wholesale distribution.
Guy Drummond Hardwick
And just as my follow-up, what percentage of UBS now is grid solutions given it's grown, I think you said [indiscernible] 10%. I assume it's higher than that now.
John Engel
So we were a $300-plus million business last year. And we -- when we gave our outlook and guidance, our [ original one ] for 2026, we said it would grow double digits this year. It's been growing double digits all 3 quarters. We expect it to grow double digits in the fourth quarter as well. We'll update those mixes when we complete the -- when we closed out 2026. So we'll give you a sense of that then because it's growing at a higher rate than UBS overall, clearly.
So it's mix shifting up.
Operator
The next question comes from Chris Dankert with D.A. Davidson.
Christopher Dankert
I guess I did kind of want to hold on grid services for just a minute. John, I want to make sure I understand your earlier comments. When it comes to the profitability there, is that accretive to UBS today? Is the opportunity to expand that to be even higher than the segment average, kind of similar to what we've seen in data center? Maybe just some comments on the profitability of grid services would be great.
John Engel
It's accretive WESCO for sure and will obviously help UBS. So it's -- we've given kind of given a profile of that business as we move through the year, I'll just remind everyone that we first called it out at our last full Investor Day in 2024, Cameron, called it out during that Investor Day as part of Q&A.
And when we announced our fourth quarter results for 2025, we did profile that business because it was an important part of our plan for 2026 as we had planned double-digit growth this year. And now here we are 3 quarters in the record books, it's treading double-digit growth. And in last quarter, we called out a very large win that's multiyear in nature that kicks in starting -- extensively kicks 2027 starts to contribute meaningfully in the first half of '27. And so -- and the margin characteristics because of the value proposition we're delivering and we're managing a global supply chain with some very challenging requirements. They're attractive margins and margin accretive.
I thought I'd just give a little more color on what the drivers are there.
Christopher Dankert
Yes. Thank you very much for the reminder and the color there. And I guess to zoom out a little bit, can you remind us and forgive me if I missed it somewhere in the deck. But as far as the price/cost impact, are we kind of hovering it neutral right now that the same kind of price/cost neutrality expected fourth quarter in the guide there? I just kind of give us an update on price/cost?
Indraneel Dev
Yes, Chris, you're right. That's usually our objective. So we're generally neutral. And if you look at pricing, it's not a factor in our CSS business, like John touched on before, it's really primarily in our EES business, and we manage that very closely and try to maintain margins.
Operator
This concludes our question-and-answer session. I'll now turn the conference back over to John Engel for any closing remarks. .
John Engel
So I think we addressed all your questions today. It's great that we were able to get through all of them. Thanks for joining us. I'll bring the call to a close. Thank you all for your support. It's very much appreciated. I'm going to remind you again that we'll be hosting a virtual investor event on Tuesday, November 10, from 10:00 a.m. to 11:30 a.m. Eastern Time, and I hope you'll be able to make it.
I know we've got a number of follow-up calls lined up with Scott and teams. So we look forward to engaging with you in the coming days. And finally, we expect to announce our fourth quarter earnings on Tuesday, February 9, 2027. Thanks again for your support. Have a great day. .
Operator
The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.
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