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놀스(KN) 2026년 3분기 실적 발표: 정밀 기기 부문 성장에 힘입어 매출 20% 증가

TradingKeyOct 22, 2026 11:43 PM
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노울스 코퍼레이션은 2026년 3분기 매출이 전년 동기 대비 20% 증가한 1억 8,400만 달러를 기록해 자체 가이던스 상단을 상회했다고 발표했습니다. 주당순이익(EPS)은 0.38달러로 15% 상승했으며, 프리시전 디바이스 부문이 33%의 매출 증가를 견인했습니다. 프리시전 디바이스의 수주출하비율은 1.5를 기록했고, 수주 물량은 2027년 상반기까지 반영되고 있습니다.

경영진은 4분기 매출을 1억 8,000만~1억 9,000만 달러, EPS를 0.39~0.43달러로 예상하고 있습니다. 프리시전 디바이스의 생산능력 증설은 2027년 1분기 말부터 가동을 시작해 하반기에 본격 운영될 것으로 예상되며, 2~3년 내 조정 EBITDA 마진율 30% 달성 경로를 전망하고 있습니다. 다만, 신규 생산능력 확보 전까지 전분기 대비 성장이 제한될 수 있다는 관측입니다.

AI 생성 요약

노울스 코퍼레이션(NYSE: KN)은 2026년 3분기 매출이 전년 동기 대비 20% 증가한 1억 8,400만 달러를 기록해 자체 가이던스 상단을 상회했다고 발표했습니다. 프리시전 디바이스(Precision Devices) 부문이 성장을 견인한 가운데, 견조한 수주와 제한된 생산능력이 경영진의 2027년 예비 전망을 형성했습니다.

핵심 요약

  • 3분기 매출은 전년 동기 대비 20% 증가한 1억 8,400만 달러를 기록했습니다. 주당순이익(EPS)은 0.38달러로 15% 상승했으며, 영업활동 현금흐름은 4,500만 달러에 달했습니다.
  • 프리시전 디바이스 매출은 의료기술(MedTech), 방산, 산업 및 전동화 시장 전반의 수요에 힘입어 33% 증가한 1억 1,700만 달러를 기록했습니다.
  • 프리시전 디바이스 부문은 1.5의 수주출하비율(book-to-bill ratio)과 약 1억 8,000만 달러의 수주를 기록했습니다. 경영진은 현재 수주 물량이 이미 2027년 상반기 일정까지 반영되고 있다고 밝혔습니다.
  • 노울스는 4분기 매출을 1억 8,000만~1억 9,000만 달러, EPS를 0.39~0.43달러로 예상하고 있습니다. 중간값 기준으로 두 지표 모두 전년 동기 대비 14% 증가하는 수준입니다.
  • 대부분의 프리시전 디바이스 제품군에 대한 생산능력 증설은 2027년 1분기 말부터 가동을 시작해 2027년 하반기에 본격적으로 운영될 것으로 예상됩니다.
  • 경영진은 연간 매출총이익률 확대와 영업 레버리지 효과에 힘입어 2~3년 내에 조정 EBITDA 마진율 30%를 달성할 수 있는 경로를 전망하고 있습니다.

주요 재무 데이터

지표2026년 3분기전년 동기 대비 변동 / 비고
매출1억 8,400만 달러20% 증가, 가이던스 상단 상회
EPS0.38달러0.05달러(15%) 증가
영업활동 현금흐름4,500만 달러가이던스 상단 수준
메드테크 & 스페셜티 오디오 매출6,700만 달러4% 증가
메드테크 & 스페셜티 오디오 매출총이익률51.9%—
프리시전 디바이스 매출1억 1,700만 달러33% 증가
프리시전 디바이스 매출총이익률41.6%10bp 상승
연구개발(R&D) 비용1,000만 달러100만 달러 증가
판관비(SG&A)3,000만 달러400만 달러 증가
이자 비용160만 달러70만 달러 감소
설비 투자(CAPEX)700만 달러—
자사주 매입2,500만 달러69만 5,000주 매입
분기말 현금4,700만 달러—
회전한도 대출 차입금1억 1,600만 달러3분기 중 은행 차입금 1,500만 달러 상환
순레버리지 비율0.4배직전 12개월 조정 EBITDA 기준
유동성3억 3,000만 달러 이상현금 및 미사용 회전한도 차입 한도 합계

회사 측에서 달리 명시하지 않는 한, 영업현금흐름을 제외한 모든 재무 지표는 비GAAP 지속영업 기준으로 작성되었습니다.

사업 및 영업 실적

프리시전 디바이스

프리시전 디바이스 부문이 핵심 성장 동력이었습니다. 의료기술, 방산, 산업 및 전동화 등 4대 주요 최종 시장 전반에서 수요가 증가함에 따라 매출이 33% 늘어났습니다.

의료기술 분야에서는 펄스 파워 필름 커패시터가 제세동기 및 방사선 치료 애플리케이션에서 수주를 지속적으로 확대했습니다. 세라믹 커패시터는 차세대 의료 영상 및 이식형 기기 분야에서 신규 채택(design win)을 확보했습니다.

방산 분야 수요는 군수품 및 통신에 사용되는 RF 필터, 필름 커패시터, 세라믹 커패시터 전반에서 강세를 유지했습니다. 산업 시장에서는 세라믹 커패시터 및 커패시터 어셈블리가 반도체 장비용 플라즈마 발생기 내 적용을 확대했습니다.

수주액은 약 1억 8,000만 달러로 수주출하비율(book-to-bill ratio) 1.5를 기록했습니다. 여기에는 앞서 공시된 방산 고객향 1,500만 달러 규모의 RF 필터 수주건이 포함되어 있으며, 36개월에 걸쳐 인도될 예정입니다.

노울스는 대부분의 프리시전 디바이스 제품군에서 생산능력을 확장하고 있습니다. 경영진은 2027년 1분기 말에 첫 증설 물량이 가동되고 2027년 하반기에 완전 가동될 것으로 예상합니다. 그때까지 해당 사업 부문은 풀가동에 가까운 상태로 운영됩니다.

메드테크 & 스페셜티 오디오

메드테크 & 스페셜티 오디오 매출은 4% 증가한 6,700만 달러를 기록했습니다. 경영진은 이번 분기 수요의 일부를 청각 보조 기기 고객사들이 AI 기반 제품을 평소보다 약간 일찍 출시했기 때문으로 분석했습니다.

2027년의 경우 경영진은 청각 보조 사업이 과거 수준의 성장률을 기록할 것으로 예상합니다. 다만 저마진 프레스(stamping) 사업 매출 중단으로 인해 상반기에 집중된 2%~3%의 부문 매출 감소 요인(headwind)이 발생할 것으로 전망됩니다. 이러한 압박에도 불구하고 경영진은 해당 부문의 연간 성장을 약 2%~4%로 예상하며, 매출총이익률이 2026년 대비 약 1%포인트 개선될 수 있다고 밝혔습니다.

마이크로 솔루션즈(Micro Solutions) 사업은 2025년에 약 100만 달러의 매출을 올렸으며, 2026년에는 300만 달러에 근접할 것으로 예상됩니다. 경영진은 2027년에 500만 달러 이상, 2028년에 1,000만 달러 이상으로 성장하는 경로를 전망하고 있습니다.

자본 배분 및 마진 확대

3분기 동안 노울스는 자체적인 성장을 위한 자금을 지속적으로 투입하는 한편, 2,500만 달러 규모의 자사주를 매입하고 은행 차입금을 1,500만 달러 줄였습니다.

경영진은 자동화 및 운영 개선을 통해 구 코넬(Cornell) 특수 필름 사업의 마진이 확대되고 있다고 밝혔습니다. 인수 당시 약 27%~28%였던 매출총이익률은 2026년 말 30%대 중반에 이르고, 향후 40%를 상회할 수 있을 것으로 예상됩니다.

회사는 또한 자체 성장을 보완할 수 있다고 경영진이 판단하는 인수합병(M&A) 기회를 모색하고 있으나, 특정 거래가 발표되지는 않았습니다.

경영진 가이던스

2026년 4분기 가이던스범위 / 추정치
매출1억 8,000만~1억 9,000만 달러
연구개발(R&D) 비용1,000만~1,200만 달러
판매관리비2,900만~3,100만 달러
조정 EBIT 마진율23%-25%
이자 비용약 150만 달러
실효 세율15%-19%
EPS0.39~0.43달러
영업활동 현금흐름6,000만~7,000만 달러
설비 투자(CAPEX)800만 달러
희석 가중평균주식수8,700만 주

중간값 기준으로 4분기 매출과 EPS는 각각 전년 동기 대비 14% 증가할 것으로 예상됩니다. 경영진은 EPS 전망치에 조정 EBITDA의 추정 20% 증가가 반영되어 있으나, 2025년 4분기에 계상되었던 0.03달러의 일회성 세제 혜택 부재로 일부 상쇄되었다고 설명했습니다.

2026년 연간으로 노울스는 가이던스 범위 중간값 기준 16%의 매출 성장과 2025년 대비 24%의 조정 EBITDA 성장을 예상하고 있습니다. 연간 설비 투자는 매출의 약 5% 수준이 될 것으로 전망됩니다.

2027년에는 노울스가 프리시전 디바이스 생산능력을 증설함에 따라 설비 투자가 매출의 5%~7% 수준으로 증가할 것으로 전망됩니다. 경영진은 자체 매출 성장이 2025년 5월 인베스터 데이(Investor Day)에서 제시한 매출 목표치를 상회할 것으로 기대하고 있습니다.

경영진은 또한 가격 정책, 가동률, 공장 생산성에 힘입어 매년 매출총이익률이 약 100bp 개선될 것으로 기대하고 있습니다. 여기에 50~100bp의 추가 영업 레버리지 효과가 더해지면 2026년 말 25% 수준인 조정 EBITDA 마진율이 2~3년 내에 30%를 향해 상승하는 데 도움이 될 수 있습니다.

리스크 및 관전 포인트

  • 프리시전 디바이스 부문은 풀가동에 가까운 상태로, 2027년 중 신규 생산능력이 확보될 때까지 전분기 대비 성장이 제한될 수 있습니다.
  • 경영진은 강력한 전년 대비 성장에도 불구하고 2027년 초 프리시전 디바이스 매출이 전분기 대비 거의 보합세를 유지할 것으로 예상합니다.
  • 프레스 사업 매출 중단은 특히 2027년 상반기 메드테크 & 스페셜티 오디오 매출에 부담을 주겠지만, 해당 사업이 원가 가산(cost-plus) 방식으로 운영되었기 때문에 EBIT에 미치는 영향은 제한적일 것으로 경영진은 전망합니다.
  • 청각 보조 기기 제품의 조기 출시로 일부 수요가 2026년 3분기로 앞당겨져 통상적인 계절성에 변화가 생겼습니다.
  • 경영진은 반도체 장비를 현재 수요의 지속가능성이 비교적 불확실한 산업용 최종 시장으로 지목했습니다.
  • 에너지 관련 추가 후속 수주 가능성이 있으나, 경영진은 현재 수주 물량이 완료된 후 일시적인 공백이 발생할 수 있다고 경고했습니다.

애널리스트 Q&A 하이라이트

경영진은 2027년 1분기 회사 전체 매출이 전분기 대비 소폭 감소할 수 있다고 언급했으며, 약 1%~2% 감소라는 애널리스트의 추정치에 대해 타당한 가설이라고 답했습니다. 회사는 여전히 견조한 전년 대비 성장을 기대하고 있지만, 프리시전 디바이스는 생산능력 제약을 받고 있으며 메드테크 & 스페셜티 오디오는 프레스 사업 매출 중단의 영향을 받고 있습니다.

에너지 관련 수주건은 생산량 증가(ramp-up)가 완료되었으며 산출량과 마진 측면에서 기대치에 부합하는 실적을 내고 있습니다. 노울스는 앞으로 6~7개 분기 동안 추가 납품이 이어질 것으로 예상합니다. 경영진은 2028년, 2029년 및 그 이후에 추가 상승 여력을 제공할 수 있는 후속 기회에 대해 논의 중임을 확인했지만 확정된 수주 전망을 제공하지는 않았습니다.

수요 지속성에 대해 경영진은 의료 시장에서 의미 있는 안전재고 축적 징후는 나타나지 않고 있다고 밝혔습니다. 또한 유통 파트너들이 2022년 수준에 비견되는 과도한 재고를 보유하고 있지 않다고 덧붙였습니다. 경영진에 따르면 방산 수요는 향후 12~18개월 동안 가속화될 수 있으며, 청각 보조 기기를 포함한 의료 및 방산 부문이 회사 전체 매출의 약 60%를 차지합니다.

노울스는 핵심 제품 외에도 마이크로 솔루션즈, 펄스 파워 커패시터, 감쇠기(attenuator), 인덕터를 유효 잠재시장(SAM) 확장에 기여할 잠재 요인으로 강조했습니다. 경영진은 2027년 중 더욱 구체적인 목표치를 제시할 수 있을 것으로 예상하고 있습니다.

실적 발표 컨퍼런스 콜 전문


전체 실적 발표 컨퍼런스 콜 녹취록

경영진 발표

Operator

Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us, and welcome to the Third Quarter Knowles Corporation Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I will now hand the conference over to Sarah Cook, Vice President of Investor Relations. Sarah, please go ahead.

Sarah Cook

Thank you, and welcome to our third quarter 2026 earnings call. I'm Sarah Cook, Vice President of Investor Relations, and presenting with me today are Jeffrey Niew, our President and CEO; and John Anderson, our Senior Vice President and CFO. Our call today will include remarks about future expectations, plans and prospects for Knowles, which constitute forward-looking statements for purposes of the safe harbor provisions under applicable federal securities laws.

Forward-looking statements in this call will include comments about demand for company products, anticipated trends in company sales, expenses and profits and involve a number of risks and uncertainties that could cause results to differ materially from current expectations. The company urges investors to review the risks and uncertainties in the company's SEC filings, including, but not limited to, the annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025, periodic reports filed from time to time with the SEC and the risks and uncertainties identified in today's earnings release.

All forward-looking statements are made as of the date of this call, and Knowles disclaims any duty to update such statements, except as required by law. In addition, pursuant to Reg G, any non-GAAP financial measures referenced during today's conference call can be found in our press release posted on our website at knowles.com and in our current report on Form 8-K filed today with the SEC. This will include a reconciliation to the most directly comparable GAAP measure.

All financial references on this call will be on a non-GAAP continuing operations basis with the exception of cash from operations or unless otherwise indicated. We've made selected financial information available on webcast slides, which can be found in the Investor Relations section of our website. With that, let me turn the call over to Jeff, who will provide details on our results. Jeff?

Jeffrey Niew

Thanks, Sarah, and thanks to all of you for joining us today. To start out, I would like to take a moment to thank the Knowles team for delivering an outstanding third quarter. We had strong performance across our business as demonstrated by our key financial metrics. Revenue was $184 million, up 20% year-over-year and above the high end of our guided range. EPS was $0.38 and cash generated from operations was $45 million, both at the high end of our guided range. These results reflect the strength of our execution and the positive momentum across our business. I believe our results continue to demonstrate that our focus on markets and products where we have significant competitive advantages is paying dividends and positions us well for future growth.

In Q3, MedTech & Specialty Audio revenue was $67 million, up 4% year-over-year. Hearing health OEM customers typically launch new products annually in Q4. This year, however, we believe our customers' new products, which are implementing AI features, drove demand slightly earlier than usual. While this change in seasonality accelerated sales to earlier in the year, we continue to expect the hearing health market to grow at historical rates in 2026.

Precision Devices delivered Q3 revenue of $117 million, up 33% year-over-year with strong demand across every major product line and end market we serve: MedTech, defense, industrial and electrification. Our close collaboration with customers continues to drive a robust pipeline of design wins as customers continue to choose our innovative and differentiated solutions. I believe our year-over-year growth demonstrates the strength of our strategy and the momentum across the business.

On a base of strong revenue growth, orders remained robust. Precision Devices had a book-to-bill of 1.5 in Q3 with broad-based order strength across our key end markets, both among OEMs and with our distribution partners. Q3 orders in the PD segment were nearly $180 million, well above Q2 orders, reinforcing my confidence in continued growth. As noted on the Q2 earnings call, there was a $15 million order early in Q3 for RF filters for a defense customer that will be delivered over the next 36 months.

I will now provide a little more color on the revenue and order strength across our PD end markets. In MedTech, our pulse power film capacitors continue to win in defibrillator and radiotherapy applications, while our ceramic capacitors are securing strong design wins in next-generation medical imaging and implantables. In defense, demand remains strong across all our product categories. Our RF filters, film and ceramic capacitors are in high demand in munitions and communications applications. We also serve a broad range of applications in industrial markets. As an example, our ceramic capacitors and capacitor assemblies are growing in use for plasma generators in semiconductor equipment.

With strong orders, a healthy backlog and continued design wins, we are in the process of adding capacity across most of our Precision Devices product lines to support the demand. I expect this additional capacity to begin to come online in late Q1 with it being fully available in the second half of 2027. Our ability to continue to expand and meet increasing demand for our products is supported by our strong cash generation from operations. We have the ability to invest in growth while returning capital to shareholders and reducing debt.

In the third quarter, we repurchased $25 million in shares and reduced outstanding bank borrowings by $15 million in addition to funding organic growth initiatives. Our strong balance sheet positions us well to support organic growth through disciplined capital investment and still pursue strategic accretive acquisitions.

Before turning the call over to John to cover our financial results and provide our Q4 guidance, I would like to share my initial perspectives on 2027. Our strategy of combining unique technologies to create custom engineered solutions and then quickly ramping them at scale with a world-class operational capability is driving revenue growth in our core products and markets, margin expansion and strong cash flow.

In 2027, as we add capacity, new design wins ramp and we fulfill our healthy backlog within our PD segment and our MSA segment continues to perform at historical growth levels, we expect organic growth to continue to exceed the revenue targets presented at our May 2025 Investor Day. I also believe we will be entering the next phase of revenue growth beyond our core, where we expect to have meaningful expansion of our SAM through the growth initiatives we outlined at our Investor Day.

By following the same playbook we used in our core of investing in innovative technologies, using these technologies to develop customized solutions to solve our customers' problems and then scaling into high-volume production, we expect 3 fundamental paths to supplementing our core growth. First, we are developing new products such as attenuators and inductors for our existing markets. This is a great opportunity to provide a wider array of solutions to the markets and customers we already serve.

Second, we are utilizing existing technologies and capabilities for new customers and markets as we are doing with our [ Micro Solutions ] group and with pulse power capacitors. The breadth of opportunities we are pursuing that leverage our core competencies continues to expand with limited expansion of OPEX to support this new business. Lastly, we are seeing the opportunity to meaningfully grow content with existing products and technology at current customers as we have discussed in hearing health and with integrated capacitor solutions.

All these initiatives are expected to meaningfully expand our SAM, will complement our strong core, and I look forward to providing a more detailed outlook and updates on these initiatives and others in 2027. Now let me turn the call over to John for our financial results and our Q4 guidance.

John Anderson

Thanks, Jeff. We reported third quarter revenues of $184 million, up 20% from the year-ago period and above the high end of our guidance range. EPS was $0.38 in the quarter, up $0.05 or 15% from the year-ago period and at the high end of our guidance range. Cash provided by operating activities was $45 million, also at the high end of our guidance range.

In the MedTech & Specialty Audio segment, Q3 revenue was $67 million, up 4% compared with the year-ago period. Gross margins were 51.9%. The Precision Devices segment delivered third quarter revenues of $117 million, up 33% from the year-ago period. Increased demand from both OEM customers and our distribution channel partners resulted in strong growth in the 4 major markets we serve: MedTech, defense, industrial and electrification. Segment gross margins were 41.6%, up 10 basis points from the third quarter of 2025 on higher volume, partially offset by unfavorable inventory adjustments.

On a total company basis, R&D expense in the quarter was $10 million, up $1 million compared to Q3 2025 on higher project spending in both MSA and PD segments. SG&A expenses were $30 million, up $4 million from prior year levels, driven primarily by higher sales commissions, higher incentive compensation expense and increased headcount as we pulled forward hiring primarily to support increased customer demand and new product initiatives. Interest expense for the quarter was $1.6 million, down $700,000 from the third quarter of 2025 due to lower average debt balances.

Now I'll turn to our balance sheet and cash flow. In the third quarter, we generated $45 million in cash from operating activities and capital spending was $7 million. During the third quarter, we repurchased 695,000 shares at a total cost of $25 million. We exited the quarter with cash of $47 million and $116 million of borrowings under our revolving credit facility. Lastly, our net leverage ratio based on trailing 12 months adjusted EBITDA was 0.4x, and we have liquidity of more than $330 million as measured by cash plus unused capacity under our revolving credit facility.

Moving to our Q4 guidance. For the fourth quarter of 2026, revenues are expected to be between $180 million and $190 million, up 14% year-over-year at the midpoint. R&D expenses are expected to be between $10 million and $12 million. Selling and administrative expenses are expected to be within the range of $29 million to $31 million. We're projecting adjusted EBIT margin for the quarter to be within the range of 23% to 25%. Interest expense in Q4 is estimated at $1.5 million, and we expect an effective tax rate of 15% to 19%.

We're projecting EPS to be within the range of $0.39 to $0.43 per share, up $0.05 or 14% year-over-year at the midpoint, driven by a 20% increase in adjusted EBITDA, partially offset by the absence of a $0.03 discrete tax benefit, which was included in Q4 2025. This assumes weighted average shares outstanding during the quarter of 87 million on a fully diluted basis.

We're projecting cash from operating activities to be within the range of $60 million to $70 million. Capital spending is expected to be $8 million. We expect full year capital spending to be approximately 5% of revenues. Looking ahead, we expect capital spending to be above our historic range of 3% to 5%, increasing to 5% to 7% of revenues in 2027 as we continue to make investments in capacity to support increased customer demand in the Precision Devices segment.

The strong growth and financial results we've achieved through the first 3 quarters of '26, combined with a robust backlog and increased order activity, give me confidence in our ability to deliver 2026 revenue growth of 16% at the midpoint of our guidance range and adjusted EBITDA growth of 24% over 2025 levels, with both metrics well above the high end of the target ranges that we provided at our May 2025 Investor Day.

I'll now turn the call back over to the operator for the Q&A portion of our call.

Operator?

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question is from the line of Anthony Stoss with Craig-Hallum.

질의응답

Anthony Stoss

Congrats again on just solid and continued execution. Jeff, I'd love to hear your thoughts. You gave a little bit of a preamble on 2027. Maybe you can expand on that a little bit in terms of order visibility kind of entering into the first half of 2027. Then I have a couple of follow-ups.

Jeffrey Niew

Yes. So let me just say at a top level, if you look sector by sector or market by market that we're in, what we're seeing is just extremely high design activity. And whether it be for faster, more precision, getting more output, new innovative features, all the applications we're involved in, people are asking for more customized stuff. It's a trend that we're just clearly seeing now. And our product portfolio is well positioned to take advantage of this. I mean it's very well positioned.

Now to take it to '27, let me break it down by the segments, right? First, MSA. MSA, we expect next year, the hearing health business is going to perform at historical levels again. We will have a little bit of a headwind, I'd say, primarily in the first half. I think we mentioned this before on stamping that we had this -- when we sold the consumer business, we have a supplier. We're at the last time buy at the end of this year. There'll be no revenue, and that's about a headwind of about 2% to 3% next year, especially more in the first half, I would say, than the back half. But the Micro Solutions business, as we talked about, should start accelerating in the back half. So overall, we'll still probably be in that 2% to 4% for the full year, although it might be down a little bit in the first half.

Now PD, let's say, the book-to-bill, again, in the second quarter was very strong. But the orders we're taking now, it was 1.5 in Q3. The orders we're taking in Q3 are already being scheduled into the first half of next year. But we are at a point where we are pretty close to capacity constraint. So while we're going to have very strong year-over-year growth in the first half with PD, I think sequentially, it's going to be relatively flat because of capacity constraints.

And so I think that's probably the one thing. And one thing I think on -- just to be clear on the MSA thing, yes, it may be a little bit of a headwind to stamping. But remember that stamping was on a cost-plus basis. It doesn't generate a lot of EBIT. So it won't affect the EBIT and the margin should be better.

John Anderson

Yes. I think gross margins, Tony, this year, we've talked about kind of for MSA in that low 50% range, and expect that maybe a little 1% or so higher in '27 over '26.

Jeffrey Niew

So bottom line is on this, we expect strong year-over-year growth in the first half. But sequentially, it's probably going to be -- especially in the first quarter, might be slightly down, like PD being flat sequentially because of capacity constraints with MSA being slightly down.

Anthony Stoss

Just to be clear, and maybe this is a better question for John. Last year, it seems like seasonal, your March quarter was typically down 5% sequentially. Are you saying it's only going to be down a little bit, like 1%, 2% sequentially?

Jeffrey Niew

I think that's a fair guess, somewhere in that -- it's slightly down sequentially based on the guide that we have...

John Anderson

Tony, were you talking about the MSA segment or total Knowles?

Anthony Stoss

Total Knowles.

Jeffrey Niew

Yes. It will be down slightly sequentially, but still, if you look at the year-over-year number, it's way up. And again, MSA being slightly down, right, because of the stamping business going away, PD being flat capacity constrained because we're pretty much running all out.

Anthony Stoss

Got it. No, it's a good problem to have. And then my last question, Jeff, I'd love to hear kind of an update on the energy order, the trajectory and what you're seeing from that customer.

Jeffrey Niew

Yes. I mean the business is fully ramped. We're outputting like as expected. And so now we've got about 6, 7 more quarters of delivery of this order. I think if I look at the numbers, it's performing in terms of the margins and the output as expected. I really put -- I really call out to the team. I mean this was like a Herculean effort to ramp with this speed and this amount of volume, but it's going very well.

Operator

Your next question is from the line of Christopher Rolland with Susquehanna.

Christopher Rolland

Mine is around looking at Knowles kind of through the cycle here. I think everybody is benefiting from the cycle, longer lead times, longer bookings, people worrying about short capacity and perhaps even safety stock building. How much do you think this is a part of your business? Or conversely, do you think what we're seeing here is really more representative of something through cycle? Maybe if you could put the larger picture in focus for us.

Jeffrey Niew

So let me just first say based on the markets. If I think about the markets that we participate in, and I think I said this, in medical, I do not see that there's safety stock or that this is going to grow through a cycle. We've got a lot of great new design wins. I think it's sustainable. We're not seeing in medical that there's a concern here.

Then I go to defense, I would argue that there's probably an opportunity for an acceleration from even where we are in terms of defense in the next 12 to 18 months as budgets around the world are increasing for both the U.S. as well as allies, the replacement of munitions, there's a lot of things going on here that says that this is going to continue to maybe even accelerate. And so that's about 60% of our business or so right there as a company.

Electrification is what it is, and is -- I would say, we still expect growth next year. We have some EV business. We expect that to be up again next year. We've got a lot of great design wins as well as the energy order. I don't see a lot of concerns there. So it really comes back down to industrial. And if you look at it, there are some pockets here where I would sit there and say, okay, maybe this isn't sustainable, like semiconductor equipment, how long will that last?

But we are not really overly reliant on one market. And I can tell you, when I look at our distribution partners, they do not have a lot of inventory. They're not holding excess inventory like we saw happen in '22. And I think this goes back to kind of the discussion of what's different between back then and '22. In '22, we had lead times of 15 weeks and some of the competitors, like say, ceramic capacitor guys had 60-week lead times. Our lead times are now long, not driven by AI. They're driven by our demand in our core markets. And so I think, generally speaking, we're going to be pretty good going forward through the cycle.

John Anderson

Chris, just to clarify, too, that Jeff mentioned roughly 60% of our business is Med and defense and Med includes the hearing health business.

Christopher Rolland

Yes. Yes. Okay. Perfect. And then as I look at some of the implied fourth quarter stuff around gross margin, it looks like that's up nicely. Maybe any puts and takes into next year as well, that would be appreciated.

John Anderson

Chris, you're right. I mean in terms of gross margin, if you kind of take the guidance, the components of the guidance that I gave, you can back into gross margin, and it's just above 46% at the midpoint of the guidance that I gave. I think there's room to continue to expand gross margins. Our target is 100 basis points a year. But kind of exiting this year, again, the guidance I provided is just a touch above 46%, but there is room to increase that next year.

Jeffrey Niew

Yes. I would just add one more thing, Chris, on that, as I'm kind of looking at the numbers here. I think we're going to exit above -- well above 25% on EBITDA margins this year. And I think John said this before, but I mean, we clearly see the path over the midterm now to get to 30% EBITDA margins.

John Anderson

Yes. If you take what I said, the gross margin alone, we think there's 100 basis points of improvement annually. And then we're going to get operating leverage of 50 to 100 basis points with the growth that we have. So yes, you can see a path there within 2 to 3 years going from where we are just a little north of 25% this year to 30%.

Operator

Your next question is from the line of Tristan Gerra with Baird.

Tyler Bomba

This is Tyler Bomba on for Tristan. Looking into 2027, could you give us a sense of which of the newer growth platforms that you outlined in the prepared remarks are closest to contributing meaningful revenue? Are you starting to get production orders that give you better visibility on the timing across those different platforms?

Jeffrey Niew

Yes. So here's what I'd say is I'll give you a little bit of color on this, but I think this is going to be a great topic for an Investor Day sometime next year, right, as we kind of move forward. But let me kind of talk about it a little bit.

First, I'd say if you look at our Micro Solutions group from MSA, we really have now a list as long as my arm of opportunities. We're really starting to actually have to kind of push back on customers. We talked about this. We had about $1 million worth of revenue in 2025. We'll have $2 million to $3 million, probably going to closer to $3 million this year. I see a clear path north of $5 million next year. And then if you look in '28, it should be north of $10 million and maybe even more. And so I'd say that one is really coming along well.

I would sit there and say the pulse power opportunity, it's a matter now of really of our execution. There are so many new applications, whether it be downhole applications, there's all different types of things in terms of even beyond the energy that we've discussed kind of a lot. So I think -- and that's ready to go. And I mean, it's a question of when the customers will start ordering in some of these new applications.

I'm really encouraged. I mean, like we have not talked about this at all. We introduced a line of attenuators, now this is primarily for defense, takes some time, but super encouraged by the initial reaction we're getting from attenuators. I'm super encouraged by inductors. So a lot of good stuff coming here.

I think I would just say this, what we're seeing is a meaningful expansion of our SAM with all these things we're doing beyond the core that will supplement that growth. And that's why we're feeling more and more compelled to kind of call that out. I think we'll raise some numbers around that probably sometime in the new year.

Tyler Bomba

Great. Well, looking forward to that. With -- for my follow-up, with the energy order now fully ramped, are you seeing discussions around follow-on orders or similar applications with different customers that could sustain growth beyond this initial $75 million order?

Jeffrey Niew

Let me give you the short answer. Yes. Let me give you a little more color, a little bit longer answer. I think we're still 6 to 7 quarters out from completing this order. I think there's a possibility that we get another order like that follows right on, but there may be a small gap. I think from my perspective, we have so many growth opportunities that are even beyond this energy order. I think not that I don't want to focus on this because this could be a big upside to our numbers in '28, '29 and beyond. But I mean, it's a great opportunity for us. And hopefully, we'll -- as we get further along in delivering this order, we'll be able to talk more about what the next -- what comes beyond.

Operator

Your next question is from the line of Bob Labick with CJS.

Bob Labick

Congratulations on really strong results. Also exciting news that you're adding capacity here due to all the demand and that you're kind of bumping up. And obviously, we've talked about the energy order on the call already. You've stood up a fully automated production facility recently kind of state-of-the-art for this energy order. What have you learned from that process? And how can you apply that to the incremental capacity you want to add and also just other Knowles facilities already in the footprint of manufacturing?

Jeffrey Niew

I mean that's a great question, Bob. I think what we've learned from the whole ramp-up of this automation is that we have a lot of margin expansion opportunity within that factory. I think that's what we've learned. I think part of that, John has kind of alluded to that within the Cornell, former Cornell business, that we acquired, the specialty film business, we think there are great opportunities for margin expansion.

I don't know if it applies as much because we really are applying these kind of learnings to every one of our facilities as we go along. But for sure, in this area, we're going to be adding more automation in order to improve yields, lower our overhead and make the Cornell business more profitable.

I think we've alluded to this when we bought that business. It was in the 27%, 28% gross margin. It's exiting the year in the mid-30s now with a clear path above 40%. And so we're seeing all the things that we expected from that. I think what we're hoping is we can find another acquisition that is a 1 plus 1 equals 3 and be a real home run that is like another Cornell over the next year or two that really makes sense for us.

Bob Labick

And then obviously, you gave a nice initial look to 2027. And in general, in the economy and kind of the macro, there's obviously a lot of inflationary pressures right now. How is Knowles positioned based on the kind of current inflationary market? And how would this project into 2027 for you, if at all?

Jeffrey Niew

I think we're positioned very well. I think just to state, first off, we have an excellent operations team globally that focus on value creation every year. So they're looking for ways to reduce costs, reduce -- improve yields. We have that going on. That's an ongoing thing.

I think we've alluded to this. I think the pricing environment is positive and the direction we're heading with the customers with. Generally speaking, we are a critical piece of the bill of materials, but we're not an overly large portion of our bill of materials to our customers. And so moderate pricing every year increases are pretty much what we do.

I wouldn't say we do it with every customer across every single segment, but we are looking at this on a continual basis. And I think, generally speaking, we're in a very good position to be able to handle inflationary pressures. I don't know...

John Anderson

Yes. Bob, just to add to that. I mean, I talked about the potential to increase gross margins 100 basis points. The levers are really price, capacity utilization and productivity on the factory floor. Those are the 3 components. And there's a piece of both of those that will benefit us in 2027.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.

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