ファーストエナジー(FE)2026年第3四半期決算説明会:データセンター需要が投資成長を牽引
ファーストエナジーの2026年第3四半期決算は、GAAP EPSが0.96ドル、コアEPSが0.98ドルとなり、料金改定や需要拡大により前年同期から上昇した。経営陣は2026年のコアEPS予想(2.62ドル〜2.82ドル)を再確認し、中央値付近を見込んでいる。事業地域全体におけるデータセンターの契約済み需要は7.9 GWに達し、送電投資計画は少なくとも25%拡大する見通しである。成長プロジェクトであるメイズビル発電設備について、第4四半期に規制当局の認可を見込むほか、最大3GWの追加発電に関する提案依頼書を発行した。リスク要因には規制審査や資金調達ニーズが含まれる。
重要なポイント
- ファーストエナジーが発表した2026年第3四半期のGAAP EPSは、前年同期の0.76ドルから上昇して0.96ドルとなった。コアEPSは0.83ドルから0.98ドルに増加した。
- 9ヶ月間のコアEPSは9%増の2.20ドルとなった。同社は改善の主な要因として、料金・投資プログラム、顧客需要の拡大、財務規律、ならびに実効税率のわずかな低下を挙げている。
- 経営陣は2026年のコアEPS予想(2.62ドル〜2.82ドル)を再確認し、中央値である2.72ドルと同等かそれをわずかに上回る結果を見込んでいる。
- ファーストエナジーの事業地域全体におけるデータセンターの契約済み需要は7.9 GWに達し、さらに約4 GWの追加負荷について活発な交渉が行われている。ウェストバージニア州におけるパイプライン(見込み)需要は約6倍の約6 GWに急増した。
- ファーストエナジーは、更新される5ヵ年計画により、現在190億ドル規模となっている送電投資計画が少なくとも25%拡大すると見込んでいる。
- 提案されているメイズビル発電設備は、引き続き重要な成長プロジェクトである。ファーストエナジーは2026年第4四半期にウェストバージニア州規制当局の認可を見込んでおり、2030年納入予定のシーメンス製タービンを確保している。
主要財務データ
| 指標 | 2026年第3四半期 / 当期 | 前年同期比 / 変動 | 解説・コメント |
|---|---|---|---|
| GAAP EPS | 0.96ドル | 2025年第3四半期は0.76ドル | 前年同期比で上昇 |
| コアEPS | 0.98ドル | 2025年第3四半期は0.83ドル | 料金、投資、需要に下支えされる |
| 9ヶ月間コアEPS | 2.20ドル | 2.02ドル(9%増) | 2026年9月期まで |
| 投入資本 | 49億ドル | 23%増 | 電力システム強化に向けた投資 |
| 連結自己資本利益率(ROE) | 9.5% | 直近12ヶ月間(TTM) | 目標リターンに沿った水準 |
| ファーストエナジーの総資産(レートベース)成長率 | 9.9% | — | 計画通り |
| 送電総資産(レートベース)合計成長率 | 14% | — | 統合送電の成長率は21% |
| 天候調整後の電力負荷成長率 | 1.2% | 前年同期比 | 4四半期連続でプラス |
| 産業用電力負荷成長率 | 3.3% | 過去12ヶ月間で2.1% | 製造業およびデータセンター需要がけん引 |
| 子会社債券発行額 | 26億ドル | 平均表面利率(クーポン)4.7% | 2026年の子会社資金調達が完了 |
事業および業績の動向
データセンターおよびウェストバージニア州の発電
ファーストエナジーは、契約済みおよびパイプライン(見込み)のデータセンター需要が前年末比で約60%増加し、うち契約済み需要は90%増加したと発表した。同社の事業地域全体において7.9 GWが契約済みであり、さらに約4 GWの追加負荷について交渉中である。
ウェストバージニア州はパイプライン拡大の最大の要因であり、見込み需要は約6倍の約6 GWに増加した。ファーストエナジーは大口需要顧客との間で、立地、供給スケジュール、価格設定、リスク分担、ならびに地域社会や既存顧客への恩恵について交渉を行っている。
同社はまた、初期段階として追加で3 GW分のコンバインドサイクル(複合発電)タービンに関する提案依頼書(RFP)を発行した。経営陣は2027年年初に最新情報を提供する予定であり、より長期的なプロジェクトは2031〜2032年以降に運転を開始する見通しである。
より早い電力供給を求める顧客に対し、ファーストエナジーは往復動内燃機関(レシプロエンジン)、燃料電池、蓄電池などのブリッジ(つなぎ)ソリューションを検討している。経営陣は、これらの資産がファーストエナジー、顧客、または第三者によって所有される可能性があり、複数の開発プロジェクトで再利用される可能性があると述べた。
送電投資
送電事業は引き続きファーストエナジーの戦略の中核である。経営陣は、更新される5ヵ年見通しが発表される際、現在の190億ドル規模の送電投資計画が少なくとも25%増加すると見込んでいる。
同社は、追加支出の大部分が既存システムの信頼性、レジリエンス(強靭性)、および容量要件への対応に充てられると述べた。契約済みの大型負荷について、経営陣は需要1 GWごとに約2億5,000万ドルの送電網改修費用を見込んでいる。未契約の需要は設備投資計画に含まれていない。
2022年以降、ファーストエナジーは他の電力会社との合弁事業を含め、PJMのプロセスを通じて50億ドル以上の競合送電プロジェクトを獲得した。
配電の信頼性と電気料金改定手続
2024年以降、信頼性はペンシルベニア州で11%、ニュージャージー州で40%向上した。ニュージャージー州において、ファーストエナジーは2024年2月に前回の値上げが承認されて以来の約10億ドルの総資産(レートベース)成長を反映し、2億5,300万ドルの基本料金値上げを申請した。この提案では、値上げの影響発生を2028年まで延期することになる。
メリーランド州では、同社は5,300万ドルの収益増加を申請した。公聴会は2027年1月に予定されており、結果は2027年4月に判明する見込みである。
ウェストバージニア州の規制当局は、同社が提出した7,600万ドルのインフレおよび投資調整申請を原案通り承認した。最初の値上げは8月1日に発効し、2回目は2027年6月1日に予定されている。また、この決定では2028年4月までの値上げ申請据え置き期間(ステイアウト期間)が設けられている。
経営陣の見通し(ガイダンス)
ファーストエナジーは2026年のコアEPS予想範囲(2.62ドル〜2.82ドル)を再確認した。経営陣は、実績が中央値と同等かそれをわずかに上回ると予想している。
同社は2030年まで、コア利益成長率が目標範囲である6%〜8%の上限付近で推移する軌道を維持している。経営陣はまた、規制当局の決定や追加の発電・送電プロジェクトの実施次第で、将来的にさらなる高成長の可能性があるとみている。
現在の5ヵ年設備投資計画は合計360億ドル規模で、2030年までに最大20億ドルの株式または株式類似証券の調達が必要になると予想されている。ウェストバージニア州での追加の発電および送電投資については、最大35%を株式または株式類似証券で調達する見込みである。経営陣は、普通株式の発行額について当面の間、年間の時価総額の約1%程度に留まる見込みであると述べた。
ファーストエナジーは、2027年2月に予定されている第4四半期決算発表時に、2027〜2031年の完全な設備投資および財務見通しを提示する計画である。
リスクと注視すべきポイント
- メイズビル・プロジェクトは引き続きウェストバージニア州の公益証明書(CPCN)命令に依存しており、経営陣は2026年第4四半期にこれが取得できると見込んでいる。
- メイズビルのその他の条件には、ガス供給および設計・調達・建設(EPC)契約の最終決定が含まれる。
- 追加発電のタイミングは機器供給のバックログによって制限されており、3 GWの拡張は2031〜2032年以降に完了する見込みである。
- 追加プロジェクトには更なる資金調達が必要となる。最終的な自己資本調達ニーズは、サーチャージ(追加課金)メカニズムや顧客契約の構造に一部依存する。
- ファーストエナジーは、既存顧客を保護しつつ、プロジェクトおよび商用リスクを大口需要顧客に割り当てることを目指している。
- ニュージャージー州の規制審査は未解決のままである。経営陣は2026年後半または2027年初頭により明確になると見込んでいる。
アナリスト質疑応答の要点
- ウェストバージニア州の構造:経営陣は、メイズビルを超えるプロジェクトについて、総資産(レートベース)構造と発電会社構造の両方が引き続き検討対象であると述べた。大口需要顧客は、サーチャージ制度を通じて投資の一部を負担することに対して前向きな姿勢を示している。
- 送電事業の拡大余地:外部パートナーがファーストエナジーの送電事業全体の約30%を保有している。経営陣は、投資計画が拡大してもその割合はおおむね安定して維持されると予想している。
- データセンターの長期展望:ファーストエナジーは、本格的なハイパースケーラーや開発事業者がメリーランド州、オハイオ州、ペンシルベニア州、ウェストバージニア州で2030〜2031年以降を見据えたプロジェクトを検討していると述べた。
- メイズビルの顧客交渉:経営陣は、信用力の高い複数の顧客との協議がメイズビルおよび追加の3 GWの機会の双方を対象として、活発かつ迅速に進んでいると説明した。
- ブリッジ電源の所有形態:一時的な電源資産はファーストエナジー、顧客、または第三者が所有できる可能性がある。経営陣はこれらの資産を使い捨てとはみなしておらず、複数の開発プロジェクトを支援できると見込んでいる。
決算説明会文字起こし全文
決算説明会の完全なトランスクリプト
経営陣による説明
Operator
Hello, and welcome to FirstEnergy Corp.'s Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. As a reminder, this conference call is being recorded. It is now my pleasure to introduce Karen Sagot, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead, Karen.
Karen Sagot
Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to FirstEnergy's Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Review. Our earnings release, presentation and related financial information are available on our website at firstenergycorp.com/ir. Today's discussion will include the use of non-GAAP financial measures and forward-looking statements, which are subject to risks and uncertainties. Actual results could differ materially from forward-looking statements discussed in our news release during today's conference call and in our SEC filings. The appendix of today's presentation includes supplemental information, along with the reconciliation of non-GAAP financial measures. Please read our cautionary statement and discussion of non-GAAP financial measures on Slides 2 and 3 of the presentation.
Our Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer, Brian Tierney, will lead our call today, and he will be joined by Jon Taylor, our Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.
Now it's my pleasure to turn the call over to Brian.
Brian Tierney
Thank you, Karen, and good morning, everyone. We delivered another strong quarter and remain on track to meet our objectives for the year. Our performance reflects strong capital deployment, financial discipline, and an improving customer experience. The team has done a great job executing against our plan to drive continuous improvement, while focusing on affordability for our customers. We have also made great progress advancing key regulatory strategies and business opportunities that will fundamentally change the trajectory for FirstEnergy.
We continue to see strong interest from data center companies with contracted and pipeline demand up nearly 60% since year-end, including a 90% increase in contracted demand. West Virginia is a big part of that growth with pipeline demand up approximately 6x to nearly 6 gigawatts. Our proposed Maidsville energy generating facility will be a key investment to support this demand. We expect an order from the West Virginia Public Service Commission in the fourth quarter.
Given our confidence level and to protect the schedule, we have reserved the turbines with Siemens for delivery in 2030. All other major contracts are on track to be signed shortly after we receive a commission order. Maidsville is an important project on its own, but we see it as the first of a broader set of opportunities in West Virginia. Last November, I was at our Harrison Power Station with Governor Morrisey to announce our plans for new generation. He challenged FirstEnergy to do more. My response to the governor was simple, challenge accepted. West Virginia's constructive legislative and regulatory environment are driving economic development, jobs, and businesses that will have a long-term positive impact in the state.
We are in active negotiations with large load customers about locations within our West Virginia service territory. Those conversations are open and constructive around delivery schedules, pricing, risk mitigation, and frameworks for benefits to communities and existing customers. To support these large load customers, we've issued a request for proposal for an initial 3 gigawatts of additional combined cycle turbines, and we expect to provide an update in early 2027.
We are also exploring innovative bridge power options and temporary behind-the-meter solutions as we build out the grid to support these customers with permanent transmission and generation service. This is a significant opportunity for FirstEnergy. These investments will support the state's goals and create meaningful value for our shareholders.
In addition to the opportunities in West Virginia, transmission and distribution remain the foundation of our business and investment strategy. Our transmission system sits at the heart of PJM, a region serving more than 65 million people. Our network connects critical parts of the grid and helps deliver power where it's needed most. The need for transmission investment has never been more important. We need a more flexible and resilient grid to support increasing demand and the economic development taking place in and around our service territory.
Across our footprint, we now have 7.9 gigawatts of contracted data center demand. We are in active negotiations with approximately 4 gigawatts of additional load. This demand and the critical infrastructure needed to support a more resilient and reliable regional grid will continue to require increasing transmission investments for the foreseeable future. We expect this to drive at least a 25% increase in our current $19 billion transmission investment plan when we release our updated 5-year plan.
We are also seeing measurable progress in our distribution business, particularly in Pennsylvania and New Jersey, where we are investing to improve reliability. Since 2024, our reliability has improved by 11% in Pennsylvania and 40% in New Jersey. This is solid proof that our investment plan is working. I am pleased with our progress and believe that our customers, regulators, and policymakers are seeing value from the investments we are making.
In the rate cases we have filed, we made the case for investments to meet or exceed our customers' expectations. When we consistently demonstrate the value of our investments for customers, we expect a fair and constructive regulatory outcome. There's more to do, but we are making the right investments, improving performance, and delivering tangible value to our customers.
We are reaffirming our 2026 core EPS guidance range of $2.62 to $2.82 per share and expect to be at or slightly above the midpoint. We remain on track to deliver core earnings growth near the top end of our 6% to 8% range through 2030 and have meaningful opportunities to increase earnings growth over time. Our experienced leadership team has the expertise to execute major projects while making the operational improvements our customers expect. We have the people, capability, and commitments to deliver for our customers and shareholders.
I'll now turn the call over to Jon to cover our financial performance and the progress we've made on key regulatory priorities. Jon?
K. Taylor
Thank you, Brian, and good morning, everyone. Our financial results are on track for the year, and we've made solid progress on regulatory and strategic priorities. Let me start with our third quarter results. For the quarter, we reported GAAP earnings of $0.96 per share compared with $0.76 in the third quarter of 2025. Core earnings were $0.98 per share compared with $0.83 a year ago, largely reflecting growth from our rates and investment programs, increasing customer demand, strong financial discipline, and a slightly lower effective tax rate.
Through the first 9 months of the year, core earnings increased 9% at $2.20 per share compared with $2.02 for the same period last year. Through September, we've deployed $4.9 billion of investments to strengthen our electric system, a 23% increase from the same period of 2025. On a trailing 12-month basis, our financial performance resulted in a consolidated 9.5% return on equity, in line with our targeted returns. Strong capital deployment continues to drive rate base growth in line with plan of 9.9% at the FirstEnergy level, supported by total transmission rate base growth of 14%, including 21% in our integrated transmission business.
We also continue to see encouraging demand trends in our service territory. Total weather-adjusted load increased 1.2% in the third quarter and has been positive in each of the last 4 quarters. This growth is led by the industrial class, which increased 3.3% in the third quarter and 2.1% over the last 12 months. We are seeing broad strength in manufacturing activity, including metals, oil and gas, and chemical sectors, along with increasing data center demand. These promising trends give us confidence in the strength and durability of the growth we're seeing across our footprint.
As per our financing plan, we completed our subsidiary debt financings for the year, issuing $2.6 billion at an average coupon of 4.7%. Our expected common equity needs in 2026 remain modest, and we continue to consider equity-like instruments to support our long-term financing plan. Going forward, approximately 50% of our total long-term debt financing needs are supported by formula rate mechanisms that recover interest cost, providing meaningful protection from changes in interest rates.
Transitioning to regulatory updates where we continue to make good progress. Earlier this month, we submitted several low-voltage transmission solutions through PJM's open window process to address near-term reliability needs. We expect projects to be awarded in the first quarter of next year. We've had a solid track record of success in open windows since 2022 with over $5 billion in awarded competitive transmission investments, including joint ventures with other major utilities to develop large complex projects that cross state boundaries. Our track record positions us well to compete for additional investments as growing electricity demand and new generation drive the need for a stronger regional grid.
In New Jersey, we filed our base rate case in August, requesting a rate increase of $253 million, which reflects approximately $1 billion in rate base growth since our last increase was approved in February 2024. Those investments are delivering results for our customers. Reliability improved 16% in 2025, followed by another 22% year-over-year improvement through September of this year. We developed a proposal that delays the impact of any rate increase until 2028 and engaged with the Sherrill Administration, the Board of Public Utilities, and Rate Counsel throughout that process.
Our proposal balances the investments necessary to improve reliability with affordability for our customers. Even with the proposed increase associated with these important investments, we expect our rates to remain approximately 18% below the state average for investor-owned utilities. In Maryland, we filed our base rate case in September, requesting a revenue increase of $53 million since our last rate increase was approved in October 2023. Hearings are scheduled for January, and we expect an outcome in April of next year. And in West Virginia, we received a regulatory decision on our base rate case with the commission approving our $76 million inflation and investment adjustment filing as submitted.
The first rate increase took effect August 1 with a second scheduled for June 1, 2027. The order also provides for a stay out through April 2028. We expect a regulatory order on the Maidsville CPCN in the fourth quarter. And as Brian discussed, that project represents another important opportunity for FirstEnergy, and we'll update our 2026 through 2030 financial plan to reflect this investment following an order.
As we pursue this opportunity, we remain focused on ensuring that this investment benefits all of our stakeholders. An important part of our approach is to appropriately allocate project and commercial risk to large load offtakers, while providing a framework that benefits and protects existing customers. We believe this will create meaningful value for shareholders and will provide the blueprint for future opportunities in West Virginia.
Turning to our long-term financial outlook. As we talked about before, our current 5-year $36 billion investment plan will be financed with up to $2 billion of equity or equity-like securities through 2030. We will look to fund the additional investments that Brian talked about, including West Virginia generation and transmission with up to 35% equity or equity-like securities. We're pleased with our results and progress on regulatory matters. Our investment plan provides a solid foundation for continued growth with additional potential beyond it. We'll provide a more comprehensive update with our full 2027 through 2031 capital investment and financial outlook on the fourth quarter earnings call in February, reflecting the incremental transmission investments that Brian highlighted.
As we roll forward our plan with incremental investment opportunities, we will continue to maintain the financial discipline and balance sheet strength needed to pursue those investments while delivering value for customers and shareholders.
With that, I'll turn the call back over to Brian.
Brian Tierney
Thanks, Jon. Let me close with 3 points. First, we're executing on our commitments. Our financial performance remains on track, and the investments we're making are producing measurable improvements in reliability and customer service. Second, growing electricity demand is expanding the opportunity across our business. Transmission and distribution remain the foundation of our strategy and an expanding runway for investment needs. In West Virginia, Maidsville and the additional generation opportunities developing behind it offer another meaningful source of long-term growth. Third, we are pursuing growth with discipline. We will invest where we have a constructive regulatory environment, where existing customers benefit and are protected, and where the expected returns create value for shareholders.
We have a clear strategy, a compelling opportunity set, and the capabilities to execute.
Thank you for your continued interest in FirstEnergy. We look forward to seeing many of you at the EEI Conference in a couple of weeks. Now we'll turn the call over for questions.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from Nicholas Campanella with Barclays.
質疑応答
Nicholas Campanella
Thanks for all the updates on West Virginia. My question is, if you were to kind of go beyond Maidsville here with the 3 gigawatts of additional discussions happening right now, any thoughts on continuing to kind of do that in a rate base solution or doing that through the Genco structure? How do those kind of returns compare? And would that change the 35% incremental equity need that you laid out at all?
Brian Tierney
Yes. Thanks, Nick. So I think the most important thing is for us to get a clean order out of the commission on Maidsville. And that is certainly going to inform how we think about moving forward in West Virginia. The Genco is absolutely still on the table, and we look at that as an opportunity to protect existing customers, yet still serve the new large load customers. So we're still exploring both opportunities there. And if we were to get the additional 3 gigawatts that we're talking about here, that would certainly include additional financing required to finance that.
K. Taylor
Yes, Nick, I would say that the discussions that we're having today with offtakers, specifically related to Maidsville, there is an openness to fund some of the investment through a surcharge type of mechanism. And we would absolutely expect that to continue with generation investments beyond Maidsville.
Nicholas Campanella
And then just a follow-up on the 3 gigs. What type of bridge solutions are you looking for, for behind-the-meter? Is it like fuel cells or smaller RICE units? If you could talk to that at all? And can you just remind us of the timing of the 3 gigawatts of incremental? Is this kind of layered in to be '31, '32? Or is it going to be a little bit further beyond that?
Brian Tierney
So thanks, Nick. It's going to be beyond that. And so what we're seeing from customers is, if they want like 1 gigawatt type campus, they're looking at seeing if they can start with a building that might be about 100 megawatts in the near term. So we're looking at solutions from everything from RICE to fuel cells to batteries to anything that can get us quicker to power than a long-term natural gas combined cycle solution. So something that gets the campus up and started and then transitions ultimately to a long-term grid integrated solution.
Operator
Our next question is from Jeremy Tonet with JPMorgan.
Jeremy Tonet
I just want to dive into the large load pipeline as you laid out there. And it seems like the opportunity set in West Virginia moved up a bunch quarter-over-quarter. And I was wondering if you could talk about that a bit more. It looks like at the same time, Maryland and New Jersey contracted a little. So just wondering how you see trends developing by state here.
Brian Tierney
Yes. So I think you kind of got it. Maryland, Ohio, Pennsylvania, West Virginia, we're seeing sort of broad interest across the system. And it's real. Like we're talking to these customers and people are saying, does it end at 2030, 2031. The answer is it doesn't. We're seeing it continue beyond that. And the 2030, 2031 is what I'd say the first wave, but the people who are serious, the large customers that you might think of, the hyperscalers, the legitimate developers are looking well beyond that, and they're doing so across our service territory.
So I was out visiting what used to be called Quantum Loophole, I think they now call it the Catellus site outside of Frederick, Maryland. We had our Board strategy meeting in Frederick this year. I was out there 3 years ago, and it was dirt. And now there's multiple buildings up and running and construction continues as they continue to build out that facility. So the idea that this stops at 2030, 2031 just is incredible to us. And the people who are serious about this development are talking well beyond that.
Jeremy Tonet
Got it. That's very helpful. And as we think about the transmission additions that could come into the plan here, can you remind me, I guess, how much of the capital plan gross versus net with partners out there? And just wondering if you could talk a bit more, I guess, on competitive processes out there and what potential upside that could bring.
K. Taylor
Okay. Jeremy, I'll take the first part of that. If you look at our total transmission business, which would include the stand-alone transmission business plus the transmission in our integrated segment, our external partners' interest in that business is about 30% of that total transmission business, which I would expect to generally stay the same as we roll forward the new plan. So the 25% increase that we're talking about would have the exact impact, the same impact on our owned rate base as we move the plan forward. So it's a significant driver. And if you actually did the math and rolled the plan forward, you would see a pretty significant increase in our own rate base in 2031 versus what we have in 2030. So it's a material adjustment for the company.
Brian Tierney
And then, Jeremy, you talked about the competitive processes. Jon mentioned that in the last few years, we've got about $5 billion worth of awarded projects through the PJM competitive process. I think this year, it might be smaller than what we've seen in the prior years, because they were looking for short-term solutions out to 5 years. So I think they're going to be lower voltage, more localized-type projects. But that means when they come back out next year for the longer-term solutions, we're going to have big opportunities once again. So I think this thing is just going to continue. And the idea that you have an open window and it goes away isn't real. I think these open windows are going to continue for the foreseeable future as we're seeing load growth driven by large load customers across the PJM footprint. I see this as far as I can look out continuing.
Operator
Our next question is from Michael Sullivan with Wolfe Research.
Michael Sullivan
Brian, I wanted to just ask a little more on the financing plan and maybe how you think about the split between equity and equity-like, and just as you get ready to roll the plan forward and those needs potentially go up, how you're thinking about getting going on equity issuance?
K. Taylor
Yes. I mean, I think we are open to equity-like instruments. You've seen us execute those types of transactions in the past. But I think for the time being, we've talked about common equity being 1% of market cap on an annual basis. I think that's kind of where we'll be for the foreseeable future. But we'll talk more about that as we roll forward the plan in February of next year. But that's generally how we think about it. We would explore those options. We've done that before. So we're used to that, but we'll provide those details in February.
Michael Sullivan
Okay. Great. Very helpful. And then in terms of just New Jersey and the broader review going on there, can you just give us some insight into the latest and where and when we see that concluding?
Brian Tierney
Yes. So I think the big thing there is that the -- we're talking about improving affordability without creating additional cost, regulatory lag, or unintended consequences. So there's sort of a menu that's out there right now. And I think as clearer heads prevail, those things will form around things like multiyear rate plans and performance-based rates. So there's a menu out there. A lot of the things on the menu make sense. A lot of them don't. And I think we'll end up at the right place. A lot of what Jersey Central Power & Light's comments were, were incorporated in the New Jersey Utilities Association's remarks, comments back to the plan. But I think we'll end up at the right place there. If it looked anything like Ohio, I think it will be reasonable. It will protect customers and allow utilities to continue to invest to improve reliability.
Michael Sullivan
Okay. Great. And just any sense of when? And that was all for me.
Brian Tierney
Well, we filed our comments May 29 and again, September 25. We provided additional comments to the working group. So I think later this year, early next year, we'll have some resolution to what's selected off the menu.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Our next question is from Carly Davenport with Goldman Sachs.
Carly Davenport
I just wanted to follow up on Jeremy's question earlier on transmission. Anything that you can share on how much of that increase would be tied to the large load that is now in your plan versus RTO processes versus kind of regular way maintenance investment? And just anything on how we should think about how front-end or back-end loaded that could be in the new plan?
K. Taylor
Yes, Carly, I would say that if you think about what we've talked about before in terms of every 1 gigawatt of contracted demand being about $250 million of transmission network upgrades. That's kind of how we think about it. So that would be the math that you would put into the plan associated with contracted demand. We don't put any uncontracted demand in our plan. So it has to be fairly solid for us to put something in our plan. Most of the increase you'll see is from the work that we need to do on our existing system to stabilize, provide better reliability, provide better resiliency to the system, just given what we're seeing across our footprint in terms of the need to shore up transmission capacity given the demand across the region that we're seeing. So I would say very little would be associated with contracted demand. The large piece of it would be just reliability on our existing system, those types of investments.
Carly Davenport
Got it. Okay. That's really helpful. And then you highlighted in the slides negotiations with the data center customer at Maidsville are advancing. Anything that you can provide there on, outside of the CPCN approval, the key gating factors to finalizing that? And is there any sense on if customers you're in negotiations with could be interested in offtake from more than 1 facility as you think about the go-forward opportunity in West Virginia?
Brian Tierney
Yes. So Carly, I think the big thing, as you mentioned, is getting the CPCN out of West Virginia. In addition to that, other gating things are finalizing the gas supply and our EPC arrangement. And so that's on the we're buying side. On the we're selling side to customers, there's an enormous amount of interest from a number of, I'd say, creditworthy known customers out there, and they're interested in both this first tranche that I call it of generation that we're putting together, and people are interested in the remaining 3 gigawatts as well.
So these things just take time. I'll say it's kind of refreshing, the negotiations that we're having. People are very candid about what they want, when they want it, what the schedule they can have is, what we're willing to talk about in terms of bridge solutions, protections to our existing customers, even benefits to our existing customers. So they're very candid, but I'd say fast-moving discussions. And as we get the next gigawatt and the next gigawatt and the next one lined up, we're going to be in active discussions with those customers who are lined up to take that service from us in West Virginia.
Operator
Our final question is from Andrew Weisel with Scotiabank.
Andrew Weisel
First, on the RFP for the 3 gigawatts, what's the targeted in-service date?
Brian Tierney
So it will likely be in the '31, '32 time frame. Just given where we are in time today and where backlogs are. In between now and then, Andrew, we're going to be pursuing those bridge alternatives that we talk about, whether it's batteries, fuel cells, reciprocating engines, whatever it is. People want some speed to power to get their campuses up and running. But for those longer-term solutions, it will be in the '31, '32 and beyond time frame.
Andrew Weisel
Makes sense. And then on the bridge stuff, so you mentioned things like RICE units and batteries, et cetera. Would the idea be that those assets are actually permanently on site? I mean you call that bridge, but what would happen to them physically and economically after the first few years? Would they be permanently there?
Brian Tierney
Yes. So that's a great question. I think as we're thinking about it today, it would be bridge for one solution today. And then as you get the long-term solution in place, that bridge could be used for future developments that aren't necessarily on site. So we don't view those bridge solutions as being disposable. We view them as being reusable for multiple locations as we move forward in time.
Andrew Weisel
And you would own them for the customer? Or is that TBD?
Brian Tierney
Any combination of that. And we're in conversations where we own them, where third parties would own them, where the customer would own them, but we view them as being multiply reusable, whether we move them or not. And I don't think you need to move them.
Andrew Weisel
Interesting. It certainly has flexibility. Okay. Great. And one last one, Jon, forgive me, maybe I misheard you, but did you say up to 35% on the equity? The slides just say 35%, but I thought I heard you say up to. Is there a potential for that to come down?
K. Taylor
Yes. I think on the Maidsville, assuming we get the surcharge, it's about a 35% equity requirement. But if you roll forward the plan, it's up to 35%. So there's some flexibility there, but it's probably going to be in that neighborhood.
Operator
That will conclude today's conference. You may disconnect your lines at this time, and thank you for your participation.
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