Andy Chen

Tradingkey - Following Morgan Stanley’s bullish view on capital rotating into cloud computing giants, economists at top asset management firm Apollo Global Management warned in a report that if the monetization of AI investments is slower than market consensus, it could spread from the tech sector to become a systemic risk for the entire market. Recently, Morgan Stanley stated that although the AI sector remains the consensual main theme of the current US stock bull market, market concerns regarding high sector concentration, rising valuation premiums, and the monetization efficiency of massive AI capital expenditures continue to intensify. In the short term, Morgan Stanley prefers the risk-reward profile of hyperscale cloud providers over the semiconductor sector. It also expects that, influenced by recent lagging stock price performance, leading cloud giants will gradually revise down their capital expenditure guidance.

Tradingkey - On July 9, Eastern Time, Nvidia rival Cerebras Systems (CBRS) surged over 12% intraday, with its share price climbing back above $200. As of press time, the stock was up 9.44% at $198.87. Reportedly, Cerebras and Flex are expanding their domestic production lines in California, which is expected to increase the production capacity of completed CS-3 systems by sevenfold. Meanwhile, Cerebras stated that it plans to commission its first European data center by the end of 2026.

Tradingkey - SK Hynix (SKHY) has unveiled its U.S. listing pricing plan, proposing to issue ADRs at $149 per share, targeting a total fundraising size of approximately $26.5 billion. If listed at this price, it is poised to break the multi-year record held by Alibaba to become the largest-ever IPO by a foreign company in the U.S. stock market. According to filings submitted by SK Hynix to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), each ADR represents one-tenth of a share of its common stock. The pricing represents a slight premium of approximately 3% over its latest closing price on the Korean stock exchange.

Tradingkey - On July 9, Eastern Time, Broadcom (AVGO) shares climbed back above $1,000. As of press time, the stock rose 7.69% to $1,021. Since hitting an all-time high of $1,254.8 on June 25, the stock had experienced a pullback of over 10%. The early-session surge was catalyzed by a combination of

TradingKey - Donald Trump publicly stated that he has no intention of resuming any agreement negotiations with Iran, dampening market trading sentiment. The three major US stock indexes diverged, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average taking a hit, the Nasdaq Composite rising, blue-chip stocks declining, and memory chip stocks rebounding. At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 1.09% to 52,348.39 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 0.20% to 25,870.65 points; and the S&P 500 Index fell 0.28% to 7,482.71 points.

The Federal Reserve released the minutes of its June 16-17 FOMC monetary policy meeting on July 8. The document shows that the Fed's policy has completely shifted to a neutral, wait-and-see stance, with upside risks to inflation becoming the core contradiction. This FOMC meeting sent a clear signal that the Fed has completely moved away from its previous unilateral rate-cut bias and entered a period of two-way, flexible policy observation. Higher-than-expected inflation stickiness and its broadening scope are the core reasons for this policy shift, while the resilience of employment and growth provides room for flexible policy adjustments. Officials confirmed a further rise in inflation, noting that pressures are no longer confined to exogenous factors such as energy and tariffs. Instead, price increases have spread across a wide range of categories including transportation, airfares, and oil, with service inflation excluding housing showing almost no improvement. In the short term, as shipping through the Strait of Hormuz recovers and the marginal effects of tariffs fade, inflation is expected to decline gradually.

Tradingkey - On July 8, Eastern Time, Broadcom (AVGO) bucked the market trend, surging over 6% to close at $393.25. It is reported that Apple (AAPL) announced a multi-year partnership agreement with Broadcom today, valued at over $30 billion. BofA Securities previously pointed out that Broadcom's newly added fifth AI ASIC customer "is likely Apple."

Tradingkey - On July 8, Eastern Time, the two major crude oil futures surged sharply, with Brent crude on the verge of reclaiming the $80 mark, returning to its mid-June highs. It is reported that during his attendance at the NATO summit in Turkey, US President Trump stated that the US military might launch another military strike against Iran tonight. As of press time, Brent crude rose over 7% to $79.41, peaking at $79.93; WTI crude oil futures rose approximately 7% to $75.23.

Tradingkey - Following SpaceX's (SPCX) record-breaking IPO, market attention on the commercial space sector has steadily intensified. Latest reports indicate that Jeff Bezos's Blue Origin is moving quickly to follow suit, planning to open its first-ever external funding round. The company aims to raise $10 billion at a post-money valuation of $130 billion, officially joining the ranks of global commercial space enterprises with valuations exceeding $100 billion. According to people familiar with the matter, the round will be led by top hedge fund Coatue with a $4 billion investment, with Bezos co-investing $20 billion (erratum: $2 billion). The remaining portion has seen strong demand from institutions, with several large investors poised to participate. This marks the first time Blue Origin has raised external capital in its over 20-year history, breaking the traditional model where Bezos solely funded the company by selling Amazon stock.

TradingKey - A further escalation of the US-Iran conflict, coupled with mixed earnings from Samsung, weighed on market sentiment and triggered a sell-off in chip and memory stocks. The three major US stock indexes fell across the board, even as the Dow hit a historic high in early trading. At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.25% to 52,925.15 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index declined 1.16% to 25,818.69 points; and the S&P 500 Index lost 0.45% to 7,503.85 points.

TradingKey - On July 7, Eastern Time, following Iran's attacks on commercial vessels transiting the Strait of Hormuz, the U.S. Department of the Treasury published a document on its official website revoking general licenses related to Iran. This will phase out the authorizations for the production, delivery, and sale of Iranian crude oil, petrochemical products, and petroleum products issued on June 21, 2026. The two major crude oil futures strengthened in the short term. As of press time, WTI crude rose 5.25% to $72.15, while Brent crude oil futures gained 5.7% to $76.14.

TradingKey - On July 7, Eastern Time, the three major stock indices all declined as an intensifying sell-off in chip and memory stocks dragged down technology stocks overall. The Dow Jones Industrial Average reversed course after hitting a record high, the Nasdaq 100 Index fell 1.29%, and the Philad

TradingKey - On July 7, Eastern Time, Intel (INTC) fell to as low as $108.36, breaking below its 5-day, 10-day, 20-day, and 30-day moving averages simultaneously. As of press time, it was still down over 8%, trading at $111.78. Reportedly, Samsung plans to mass-produce its advanced 1.4nm process technology by 2029. The market believes this move could further narrow the competitive gap between Samsung and its rivals, Intel and TSMC, and makes it highly likely to secure orders from Apple.

TradingKey - On July 7, EST, SpaceX (SPCX) fell to as low as $150.55 during early trading, nearing a break below its first-day listing price again. As of press time, it was down over 5% at $150.85. Notably, SpaceX will be officially included in the Nasdaq 100 Index, becoming the first-ever constituent stock in the index's history with spaceflight as its core business. Despite expectations of passive buying driven by the index inclusion, SpaceX is currently facing lawsuits regarding its core business.

TradingKey - On July 7, Eastern Time, geopolitical tensions escalated once again, with two consecutive military conflicts triggering a rebound in oil prices. Following Iran's firing of at least two missiles at several commercial vessels in the Strait of Hormuz, Ukraine launched a drone attack on Russia's largest oil refinery. These successive military conflicts have shattered the recently eased geopolitical environment. Impacted by the two conflicts, both major crude oil futures rose across the board. As of press time, WTI crude oil futures were up 2.49% at $70.26, while Brent crude oil futures gained 2.7% to trade at $74.

TradingKey - Market expectations that Samsung Electronics will soon announce a positive profit alert in its preliminary Q2 earnings, coupled with SK Hynix officially launching its roadshow for a US listing, fueled strong market sentiment. The three major US stock indexes rose across the board, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average continuing to hit record highs and the Nasdaq Composite Index strengthening, led by gains in chip and memory stocks. At the close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average rose 0.29% to 53,055.91 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.12% to 26,121.16 points; and the S&P 500 Index rose 0.72% to 7,537.43 points.

TradingKey - Meta (META) recently proposed launching a cloud infrastructure service named "Meta Compute," planning to sell its excess AI computing power to external customers and considering allowing developers to access AI models hosted on Meta's infrastructure. Influenced by this, Meta closed up 8.81% on the day at $612.91. Meanwhile, major cloud providers such as Amazon (AMZN), Alphabet (GOOGL), and Microsoft (MSFT) all posted weekly gains of over 4%. Just two months prior, market concerns over high valuations had dragged down the share prices of these tech giants. Morgan Stanley stated that as investors take profits on tech stocks that led the gains earlier this year, it will be difficult for the US stock market to reach new highs.

TradingKey - On July 6, Eastern Time, the three major US stock indexes diverged as AI hardware stocks rebounded. JPMorgan Chase stated that a trio of positive catalysts is supporting demand for AI infrastructure. The Nasdaq Composite Index recovered its losses from the previous two sessions, the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index rose over 3%, and the Dow turned lower after hitting a new high. As of press time, the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.05% to 52,874.57 points; the Nasdaq Composite Index rose 1.35% to 26,182.40 points; and the S&P 500 Index rose 0.71% to 7,536.62 points.

TradingKey - On July 6, Eastern Time, Dell (DELL) briefly rose to $429.74, returning to an upward trend. As of press time, it was up over 8%. It is reported that Dell computers were recommended to the public, with explicit recognition given to Dell's CEO for his investment support of the heavily promoted "Trump Account" project. Funded with initial seed capital and matching tax incentives provided by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, this children's investment account project is a key livelihood policy introduced by the current administration.

TradingKey - Microsoft (MSFT) has officially implemented a new round of workforce optimization, laying off 4,800 employees across the company with immediate effect on the same day, representing 2.1% of its total workforce, with the gaming business serving as the core area of contraction. The Xbox division is the hardest-hit area of this adjustment, with cumulative layoffs projected to reach 20% by fiscal year 2027, to be rolled out gradually in phases. In addition to the layoffs, Microsoft has simultaneously initiated a review of its gaming assets, with four studios spinning off from its ecosystem: Compulsion Games and Double Fine, acquired in earlier years, will return to independent operations; Ninja Theory and Undead Labs will change ownership; and France-based Arkane Studios is also moving forward with an evaluation of strategic options.