Cuộc họp công bố kết quả kinh doanh Quý 3/2026 của Crane Company (CR): Nâng dự báo EPS nhờ biên lợi nhuận kỷ lục

Crane Company (CR) công bố tăng trưởng trên diện rộng trong cuộc họp báo cáo kết quả kinh doanh quý 3 năm tài chính 2026, nhờ nhu cầu từ ngành hàng không vũ trụ và quốc phòng, lượng đơn hàng cải thiện tại mảng Công nghệ Dòng chảy Quy trình và kết quả hoạt động từ các thương vụ thâu tóm tốt hơn dự kiến. Ban lãnh đạo đã nâng dự báo EPS điều chỉnh cả năm, đồng thời nhấn mạnh mức tăng 9% của lượng đơn hàng tồn đọng cốt lõi không chịu ảnh hưởng bởi tỷ giá.

Các điểm chính

• Tổng doanh số tăng 28% so với cùng kỳ năm trước, bao gồm 8% tăng trưởng cốt lõi và 21% đóng góp từ bốn thương vụ thâu tóm.
• Lợi nhuận hoạt động điều chỉnh tăng 36%, trong khi biên lợi nhuận hoạt động điều chỉnh mở rộng 130 điểm cơ bản lên mức kỷ lục 22,5% bất chấp tác động pha loãng tạm thời từ các thương vụ thâu tóm.
• Lượng đơn hàng tồn đọng cốt lõi không chịu ảnh hưởng bởi tỷ giá tăng 9% so với cùng kỳ năm trước. Đơn hàng cốt lõi tăng 11%, dẫn đầu là mức tăng 20% từ đơn hàng mảng Công nghệ Dòng chảy Quy trình.
• Ban lãnh đạo đã nâng dự báo EPS điều chỉnh cho cả năm 2026 thêm 0,35 USD tại điểm trung vị lên 7,23–7,38 USD.
• Doanh số mảng Hàng không Vũ trụ & Công nghệ Tiên tiến tăng 27% lên 344 triệu USD, với doanh số cốt lõi tăng 9,5% và biên lợi nhuận điều chỉnh của bộ phận đạt 26,3%.
• Doanh số mảng Công nghệ Dòng chảy Quy trình tăng 29% lên 413 triệu USD. Doanh số cốt lõi tăng 6,2%, trong khi biên lợi nhuận điều chỉnh của bộ phận đạt mức kỷ lục 24%.

Dữ liệu tài chính chính

Công ty đã loại trừ các khoản lợi ích hồi thu thuế quan một lần khỏi kết quả điều chỉnh để tách biệt chúng khỏi các xu hướng hoạt động cốt lõi.

Kết quả kinh doanh và vận hành

Hàng không Vũ trụ & Công nghệ Tiên tiến

Mảng Hàng không Vũ trụ & Công nghệ Tiên tiến đạt doanh số 344 triệu USD, tăng 27% so với cùng kỳ năm trước. Doanh số cốt lõi tăng 9,5%.

Lượng đơn hàng tồn đọng của mảng này tiệm cận 1,3 tỷ USD, tăng 9% trên cơ sở cốt lõi và tăng 20% nếu tính cả tác động từ thâu tóm. Mức tăng trưởng được hỗ trợ nhờ sự gia tăng sản lượng thiết bị gốc thương mại và nhu cầu rộng khắp từ lĩnh vực quốc phòng. Nếu không tính khoản dự phòng ban đầu của năm trước, tổng doanh số thị trường hậu mãi tăng 11%, trong khi thị trường hậu mãi thương mại cốt lõi tăng trưởng ở mức một chữ số cao (high-single-digit).

Biên lợi nhuận điều chỉnh của bộ phận đạt 26,3%, tăng 100 điểm cơ bản. Ban lãnh đạo cho biết kết quả này đạt được dù tỷ trọng doanh số thiết bị gốc cao hơn và chịu tác động pha loãng từ thâu tóm đúng như dự kiến.

Các cơ hội trong lĩnh vực quốc phòng tiếp tục tập trung vào phòng thủ tên lửa, ra-da, chuyển đổi nguồn điện tiên tiến và năng lực vũ trụ. Crane tham gia vào khoảng 15 chương trình tên lửa, với quy mô doanh thu năm 2026 đạt khoảng 35 triệu USD. Ban lãnh đạo kỳ vọng hoạt động này sẽ tăng trưởng 40%–50% trong năm 2027, với phần lớn nhu cầu đó đã nằm trong đơn hàng tồn đọng. Công ty cũng nhận thấy tiềm năng mở rộng hoạt động kinh doanh này lên gấp bốn đến sáu lần quy mô hiện tại trong phần còn lại của thập kỷ.

Công nghệ Dòng chảy Quy trình

Mảng Công nghệ Dòng chảy Quy trình báo cáo doanh số đạt 413 triệu USD, tăng 29%. Doanh số cốt lõi tăng 6,2%, trong khi các thương vụ thâu tóm đóng góp gần 24 điểm phần trăm vào mức tăng trưởng.

Lượng đơn hàng tồn đọng cốt lõi không chịu ảnh hưởng bởi tỷ giá tăng 8% so với cùng kỳ năm trước và tăng 2% so với quý trước. Đơn hàng tăng 20% so với cùng kỳ năm trước và tăng 8% so với quý trước. Biên lợi nhuận điều chỉnh của bộ phận tăng 80 điểm cơ bản lên mức kỷ lục 24%.

Nhu cầu cải thiện ở các thị trường kỹ thuật nhiệt độ thấp, năng lượng, nước và nước thải, dược phẩm, hạt nhân và công nghiệp đại chúng. Ngành kỹ thuật nhiệt độ thấp hưởng lợi từ hạ tầng phóng vũ trụ và thử nghiệm môi trường hàng không vũ trụ. Nhu cầu năng lượng dẫn đầu bởi khoản đầu tư vào tua-bin chu trình hỗn hợp khí tự nhiên tại Mỹ, trong khi hoạt động dược phẩm phản ánh việc mở rộng công suất tại Mỹ và các dự án liên quan đến đưa sản xuất về nước.

Nhu cầu hóa chất duy trì ở mức đi ngang. Ban lãnh đạo nhấn mạnh rằng mảng Công nghệ Dòng chảy Quy trình hiện ít phụ thuộc hơn vào sự phục hồi của ngành hóa chất, với tỷ trọng đóng góp của ngành hóa chất giảm từ mức khoảng 30% trong lịch sử xuống còn khoảng 20%. Nước và nước thải chiếm khoảng 15% danh mục, công nghiệp đại chúng khoảng 20%, còn điện khí và điện hạt nhân kết hợp chiếm khoảng 15%.

Về mặt địa lý, ban lãnh đạo đánh giá Mỹ là thị trường mạnh nhất, Châu Âu nhìn chung đi ngang và Trung Đông đang phục hồi từ mức suy yếu trong nửa đầu năm.

Danh mục đầu tư và Các thương vụ thâu tóm

Các thương vụ thâu tóm gần đây tiếp tục vượt kỳ vọng ban đầu của Crane về doanh thu, biên lợi nhuận và lợi nhuận. Ban lãnh đạo hiện kỳ vọng các vụ thâu tóm này sẽ đóng góp khoảng 0,30 USD trên mỗi cổ phiếu vào lợi nhuận điều chỉnh năm 2026, tăng so với ước tính trước đó là 0,20 USD trên mỗi cổ phiếu. Biên lợi nhuận hoạt động của các công ty này dự kiến sẽ mở rộng hơn 500 điểm cơ bản trong năm 2026.

Crane cũng kỳ vọng đạt mục tiêu tỷ suất sinh lời trên vốn đầu tư 10% sớm hơn khoảng 18 tháng so với kế hoạch ban đầu.

Thương vụ thâu tóm máy bơm Trillium đang chờ xử lý nhằm củng cố vị thế của Crane trong mảng nước và nước thải. Kế hoạch thoái vốn khỏi mảng Dịch vụ & Tiện ích Tòa nhà hoàn tất việc công ty rút khỏi mảng xây dựng phi nhà ở. Ban lãnh đạo cho biết hiện tại họ không xem xét thêm các thương vụ thoái vốn lớn nào khác, đồng thời lưu ý rằng danh mục đầu tư được xem xét hàng năm.

Dự báo của Ban lãnh đạo

Ban lãnh đạo kỳ vọng Crane sẽ bước vào năm 2027 với lượng đơn hàng tồn đọng kỷ lục và đà tăng trưởng trên cả hai bộ phận hoạt động. Công ty có kế hoạch cung cấp thêm thông tin chi tiết về chiến lược, cơ hội tăng trưởng và triển vọng dài hạn tại Ngày hội Nhà đầu tư dự kiến diễn ra vào ngày 9 tháng 2 tại Thành phố New York.

Rủi ro và Các yếu tố cần theo dõi

• Các thương vụ thâu tóm gần đây vẫn gây pha loãng tạm thời đối với biên lợi nhuận báo cáo, mặc dù hiệu quả hoạt động và sự cải thiện biên lợi nhuận của các công ty này đang vượt kế hoạch.
• Thị trường hóa chất tiếp tục đi ngang. Ban lãnh đạo không kỳ vọng sự phục hồi toàn diện nhờ ngành xây dựng và hàng hóa lâu bền trong ít nhất là nửa đầu năm 2027.
• Châu Âu dự kiến sẽ tiếp tục đi ngang sang năm 2027, trong khi các thị trường hóa chất ở Mỹ và Trung Đông mang lại hoạt động dự án thuận lợi hơn.
• Trillium hoạt động với biên lợi nhuận thấp hơn mức trung bình toàn công ty của Crane, và thương vụ thoái vốn khỏi mảng Dịch vụ & Tiện ích Tòa nhà sẽ loại bỏ một doanh nghiệp có doanh thu hàng năm dự kiến khoảng 160 triệu USD. Ban lãnh đạo kỳ vọng Trillium sẽ bù đắp một phần lớn tác động phát sinh, tùy thuộc vào thời điểm giao dịch.
• Tỷ trọng thị trường Trung Đông chiếm chưa đến 5% tổng thể công ty. Mức độ chậm trễ giao hàng trước đó về cơ bản đã bình thường hóa, mặc dù chi phí vận chuyển vẫn ở mức cao.

Điểm nổi bật trong phần Q&A với các chuyên gia phân tích

Ban lãnh đạo cho biết tiềm năng tăng trưởng từ một doanh nghiệp lớn vừa được thâu tóm hiện lớn hơn so với dự kiến ban đầu. Mục tiêu 5 năm trước đó về việc tăng EBITDA từ 60 triệu USD lên 150 triệu USD dự kiến sẽ đạt được sớm hơn, đồng thời ban lãnh đạo cũng dự báo mức tăng trưởng và biên lợi nhuận cao hơn ở mốc 5 năm.

Về phân bổ vốn, Crane cho biết công ty đánh giá các thương vụ thâu tóm thông qua Hệ thống Kinh doanh Crane. Công ty vẫn cởi mở với cả các cơ hội cải thiện vận hành lẫn các tài sản đã hoạt động tốt, có tăng trưởng cao, miễn là chúng củng cố danh mục đầu tư và tạo ra giá trị cho cổ đông trong thời gian từ ba đến năm năm.

Về biên lợi nhuận của mảng Công nghệ Dòng chảy Quy trình, ban lãnh đạo cho rằng khả năng sinh lời tăng thêm mạnh mẽ là nhờ định giá, năng suất và sự chuyển dịch cơ cấu hướng tới các mảng kinh doanh có mức tăng trưởng và biên lợi nhuận cao hơn. Đòn bẩy hoạt động cốt lõi đạt mức nhỉnh hơn 40% trong quý, và ban lãnh đạo nhắc lại khung đòn bẩy qua các chu kỳ là 35%–40%.

Ban lãnh đạo kỳ vọng thương vụ thoái vốn mảng Dịch vụ & Tiện ích Tòa nhà và thâu tóm Trillium sẽ hoàn tất vào khoảng cuối quý 1. Vì cả hai giao dịch đều không ảnh hưởng đến cả năm, Crane kỳ vọng Trillium sẽ bù đắp phần lớn sự pha loãng lợi nhuận do thương vụ thoái vốn gây ra trong năm.

Toàn văn Biên bản cuộc họp báo cáo kết quả kinh doanh

Toàn văn cuộc gọi công bố kết quả kinh doanh

Phần trình bày của ban lãnh đạo

Operator

Welcome to the Crane Company Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I'd like to now turn the call over to Allison Poliniak, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.

Allison Ann Poliniak-Cusic

Thank you, Stephanie, and good day, everyone. Welcome to our third quarter 2026 Earnings Release Conference Call. I'm Allison Poliniak, Vice President of Investor Relations. On our call this morning, we have Alex Alcala, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Rich Maue, our Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; along with Jason Feldman, Senior Vice President, Treasury and Tax who's on for Q&A.

We will start up our call with a few prepared remarks, Alex and Rich, after which we will respond to questions. And just a reminder, the comments we make on this call will include some forward-looking statements. We refer you to the cautionary language at the bottom of our earnings release and also in our annual report, 10-K and subsequent filings pertaining to forward-looking statements.

Also during the call, we will be using some non-GAAP numbers, which are reconciled to the comparable GAAP numbers and tables at the end of our press release and accompanying slide presentation, both of which are available on our website at craneco.com in the Investor Relations section. Now let me turn the call over to Alex.

Alejandro Alcala

Thank you, Allison, and good morning, everyone. Crane delivered another quarter of record performance, reflecting the strength of our portfolio, broad-based demand across our end markets, exceptional execution throughout the company and the continued success of our acquisition strategy.

Demand remains very strong across Aerospace and Advanced Technologies Momentum continues to build within process for technologies, and our recent acquisitions are performing well ahead of expectations. Together, these drivers resulted in an 8% core sales growth. Strong operating leverage, record margins, record earnings and a record backlog while reinforcing our confidence in the outlook for both 2026 and 2027.

Of note, order activity was particularly strong in process both technologies, where core orders increased 20% year-over-year and 8% sequentially. This combined with exceptional strength and resilience across the aerospace and Advanced Technologies, total company backlog increased 9% year-over-year providing strong visibility as we close out the year and enter 2027.

Execution continues to be a key differentiator, adjusted operating margin expanded 130 basis points to a record 22.5% despite the temporary dilutive impact of our recent acquisitions. These results demonstrate our ability to translate growth into meaningful earnings expansion while continuing to invest for the future.

Our acquisitions continue to significantly exceed expectations. Revenue growth, margin expansion and earnings contribution are all ahead of plan. And we now expect to achieve our 10% ROIC hurdle approximately 18 months earlier than originally anticipated. We expect these acquisitions to contribute approximately $0.30 per share to 2026 earnings up from our previous expectation of $0.20 per share, with operating margins expanding more than 500 basis points this year.

These incredible results reinforce our confidence in the Crane business system and our ability to create substantial shareholder value through disciplined capital deployment. We are equally excited about the opportunities ahead including the pending acquisition of [ Trillium ] pumps. Given our strong year-to-date performance, record backlog levels and confidence in both our core and acquired businesses, we are raising our full year adjusted EPS outlook by $0.35 at the midpoint to a range of $7.23 to $7.38 per share.

Turning to Aerospace & Advanced Technologies. This segment continues to perform exceptionally well. Demand remains robust across commercial aerospace, defense and space, supported by a record backlog and a growing pipeline of opportunities. Commercial aerospace remains healthy with solid OE demand and continued strength in aftermarket.

On the defense side, investment remained very strong as customers continue to prioritize missile defense, radar, advanced power inversion and space-based capabilities. All areas where we continue to invest and win. Strong execution and continued program wins are providing increasing visibility into the future growth.

As a result, we continue to expect 2026 core growth modestly above the high end of our long-term 7% to 9% growth framework, leveraging that growth between 35% and 40%. The team continues to execute at a very high level, and we remain highly confident in the long-term growth opportunities across the segment.

Process [indiscernible] Technologies also delivered an outstanding quarter. The business returned to core growth while delivering record profitability. Core sales increased 6%. Orders grew 20%, and adjusted operating margins expanded despite the dilutive impact of recent acquisitions. More importantly, the transformation of the portfolio continues to gain momentum.

Growth was broad-based across cryogenics power, wastewater nuclear and general industrial markets. We secured additional wins in cryogenics, supporting the growing space launch market. New pharmaceutical orders related to GEO P1 capacity expansion and further wins in wastewater and power.

For the full year, our outlook has improved. Driven by solid core growth in the second half. We now expect low single-digit core growth full year and continued margin expansion. We also continue to enhance the quality of our portfolio through disciplined capital allocation.

The announced acquisition of Trillium pumps strengthens our position in the attractive water and wastewater market. while the announced divestiture of our Building Services & Utilities business further sharpen the strategic focus of the segment. Before moving on, I want to recognize and thank the outstanding Basin team.

For nearly 120 years, this business has been an important part of Crane, built by incredibly talented people who consistently deliver results the right way. We are grateful for the many contributions and proud of what they have accomplished. As they begin this next chapter, I'm confident they have a bright future ahead.

Together, these actions continue to reposition PFT around highly engineered mission-critical technologies, serving attractive growth markets, including pharmaceuticals, water and wastewater, power Progenics and nuclear. Importantly, we are not finished. We continue to see attractive opportunities to further strengthen the portfolio and remain confident in our ability to outperform the markets we serve over the long term.

To summarize, Crane is performing at a very high level. Our businesses are executing exceptionally well. Our end markets remain attractive. Our acquisitions are exceeding expectations. Our portfolio continues to become stronger and more resilient.

We will enter 2027 with record backlog, strong momentum across both segments increasing earnings power and significant strategic flexibility. As we look toward 2027, our confidence continues to grow. Over the summer, we completed strategy reviews across all our businesses, and those we reinforce our long-term growth framework.

In particular, 4 themes stand out. First, Aerospace and Advanced Technologies remains exceptionally well positioned. Strong aerospace and defense demand, combined with the benefits of years of investment in differentiated technologies, creating a resilient portfolio gives us confidence in the segment's ability to deliver attractive growth for many years to come.

Second, the transformation of the process flow technologies portfolio is gaining momentum. While the benefits are increasingly visible in our results today, we believe we are still in the early innings of our value creation journey as we continue to reshape the portfolio around higher growth, higher margin and less cyclical markets.

Third, our acquisition strategy continues to create meaningful value. We have significant capacity to deploy capital, a robust pipeline of opportunities and a proven ability to integrate businesses and accelerate earnings, margins and returns.

And last, but most important, we have an incredible intangible asset, the Crane Business System. The combination of world-class processes and a high-performance culture built on focus, intensity and accountability, continues to differentiate Crane and drive sustainable value creation.

pimply put, our businesses are performing very well. Our portfolio is stronger, it has ever been, and we continue to see significant opportunities to create value through both organic and inorganic growth.

Before turning it over to Rich, I'm pleased to announce that we will host our next Investor Day on February 9 in New York City. We look forward to sharing more about our strategy, growth opportunities and long-term outlook at that event.

With that, I'll turn the call over to Rich.

Richard Maue

Thank you, Alex. Another outstanding quarter with certainly more to come. Alex, as you just said, the Crane business system, this machine that we have and this unique culture is what enables us to consistently deliver the results that we do quarter after quarter. .

And it reminded me of the Academy Award-winning movie Fletch during an iconic scene, where Chevy Chase was impersonating Gordon Liddy, an airplane mechanic supervisor. During that scene, I was reflecting on our well oiled machines and I thought about full or coaching to our leadership teams and even how we talk with our investors when Fletch pro claims, it's so simple maybe you need to refresh your course.

It's all ball bearings nowadays guys. Now you just prepare that [indiscernible] valve with that 3 in 1 oil and some gas pads and I'm going to need about 10 courts of any freeze preferably prior. No, no make that Quaker Stan, and we'll just keep delivering top quartile results quarter after quarter.

And with that in mind, let me start off with total company results. Total sales were up 28% in the quarter compared to last year with 8% core growth, reflecting broad-based strength across both process flow technologies and aerospace and advanced technologies. Sales from our 4 acquisitions contributed 21% growth in the quarter, once again outperforming our expectations.

Adjusted operating profit increased 36%, reflecting the impact of the higher core sales contributions from the acquisitions, productivity and favorable pricing net of inflation, another outstanding result. And total core FX neutral backlog was up 9% compared to the prior year, reflecting strength at both Aerospace and Advanced Technologies and Process flow technologies.

Core orders increased 11% year-over-year, with continued strength in Aerospace & Advanced Technologies, up 2% as expected. And when excluding a multiyear order received in the same period last year, we're up in the mid-teens and process flow technologies up an exceptional 20%.

We generated strong free cash flow in the quarter and repaid $170 million of debt, resulting in pro forma net leverage today at 1.1x a very strong balance sheet that positions us well for further M&A. Before discussing segment performance, I wanted to remind everyone that our adjusted results exclude the benefit from [indiscernible] tariff recoveries recorded during the quarter.

Once again, in our view, it's important to isolate these onetime benefits from the true underlying operating trends in the business. A few more details on the segments of the quarter here. Starting with Aerospace and Advanced Technologies.

Sales of $344 million increased 27% in the quarter, with core sales up 9.5%. Our record backlog of nearly $1.3 billion increased 9% on a core basis and increased 20%, including the impact of the DRC acquisition. Once again, demand remains very strong across our highly diverse portfolio.

Top line strength in our core business was driven by the commercial OE ramp as well as ongoing broad-based strength within the defense market. Total aftermarket remained strong, bolstered by military and when isolating prior year initial provisioning was up 11%, with core commercial aftermarket up at a high single-digit rate, exactly what we expected.

Adjusted segment margin was exceptional at 26.3% ahead of our core leverage expectations and up 100 basis points year-over-year. That performance is notable given the higher OE sales and expected dilution from the drug acquisition and it speaks to the resiliency of our margin profile, irrespective of any changes in OE aftermarket mix.

Drug continued to outperform our expectations, and our core A&E business delivered another very strong quarter. Taken all together, we remain very confident in our full year segment sales outlook and continue to expect full year core sales growth slightly ahead of our 7% to 9% algorithm.

The diversity of the overall AAT portfolio supports the durability of that 7% to 9% regardless of periodic changes in the sales composition, whether that be in OE versus aftermarket or commercial versus military. Moving on to Process Flow Technologies.

In Q3, we delivered sales of $413 million, up 29% compared to a year ago with core sales up 6.2%, and the acquisitions of [ Panametrics ] were topotecan adding nearly 24 points of growth. Demand improved significantly in the quarter. Compared to the prior year, core FX-neutral backlog of PFT increased 8% on a sequential basis was up 2% and core FX-neutral orders were up 20% year-over-year and up 8% sequentially.

Adjusted operating margin was a record 24% and was 80 basis points above the prior year. And like AAT, results were above our expectations, given better performance across both our core businesses and each of our 3 acquired businesses. In summary, another outstanding quarter.

Moving to the nonoperational items below the segments. Corporate expense for the quarter was $20 million as expected. And for the full year, we expect to be within our previously guided $80 million to $85 million range.

Net nonoperating expense in the quarter was $14 million and we continue to estimate full year 2026 net nonoperating expense of approximately $58 million.

And lastly, we continue to estimate our tax rate for the year to approximate 23%. And taking all of this into account, our performance to date as well as the risks and opportunities we see ahead.

As Alex mentioned, we are raising our adjusted full year guidance by $0.35 to a range of $7.23 to $7.38. Overall, again, an outstanding year-to-date and momentum continues to build. And with that, operator, we are now ready to take the questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And we'll take our first question from Jeff Sprague with Vertical Research.

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Jeffrey Sprague

On TSI, Alex, obviously, very, very encouraging. Is the endpoint now much higher on this than you thought also, obviously, you're ahead of schedule on what you wanted to do. But as the upside were even bigger than you thought maybe you could kind of frame that relative to how you initially bridged the deal shortly after you closed it.

Jason Feldman

Yes. Thank you, Jeff. So yes, the upside is higher. I think we have that 5-year mark, where we're going to go from $60 million EBITDA to $150 million in 5 years. Now we think that's going to be quicker than that. And then when we look at the 5-year mark, the growth is going to be higher and the margins are going to be higher as well. So outside to that 5-year reference point for sure.

Jeffrey Sprague

And then one of the other sort of interesting things here, and I don't know if it's how you plan to approach all deals. But a lot of companies that are doing deals, right, seem to be allergic to trying to fix stuff.

They just want to pay for growth. Not saying that everything you'll be looking to buy is a fixer upward. But both PSI and Trillium, right? They seem to win good assets, maybe not run the way they should be an opportunity to kind of run it through your business system. As you look at the M&A pipeline, is there a lot of that sort of asset opportunity out there? .

Alejandro Alcala

Yes, Jeff. So every -- yes, that's a good observation. I think we do look at deals from the lens of CBS. So we obviously would see more opportunity than the seller.

But you feel is different. There's other deals. You may remember, Optech, which we also did earlier this year, a smaller deal we don't talk a lot about, but that was a high-growth business, very well run, and we're just adding contributing to it.

So I think we're open to a combination of circumstances, certainly not opposed to turnarounds or improvements like what we've been doing. It's all about where we see shareholder value creation and a combination of a path to improving the portfolio when we're hitting that 3-, 5-year mark.

Operator

We'll take our next question from Matt Summerville with D.A. Davidson.

Matt Summerville

I was wondering if you could maybe comment, you've sold the business up in Canada. You're in the process of selling the U.K. business -- are there more consequential portfolio actions still to be had specific to PFT?

And I'm also curious, sort of tangential to that, given that I would assume that transaction in isolation is going to be dilutive. Maybe comment on that and maybe how much Trillium can backfill relative to that dilution .

Alejandro Alcala

Yes. Thanks, Matt. So there is no more substantial divestitures that we're looking at right now. We evaluate the portfolio every year and our thinking could change.

But if you recall, like you mentioned, we divested that Crane Supply in Canada exposure to nonresidential construction. This business in BSU primary exposure is also nonresidential.

So this completes our exit of that market, a very well run business operated by a great team, but not really aligned to the markets that we're trying to expand into. As far as the accretion dilution, I'll let Rich answer that.

Richard Maue

Yes. Matt, yes, I think the way to think about the BSU business, right, we did -- this is a business that does roughly $160 million will be the outlook this year in revenue, and they're essentially at fleet margin.

So when you look at that and compare to Trillium, Trillium is $115 million in revenue with below fleet margin. So there will be some dilution to your point, obviously, the timing and the amount -- the timing of the close and the amount will coincide, right?

So we're currently thinking that, that will close sometime near the end of the first quarter. So if you tried to create a model around that, it's not a full year impact, but we would expect to offset a good portion of that with Trillium in the year. If that helps.

Matt Summerville

Perfect. And then maybe if you could just provide a little bit more end market and geographic color specific to in the context of that 20% year-on-year improvement you saw in organic order activity.

Alejandro Alcala

Yes, Matt. So it's looking quite positive from our perspective for PFT. I think a number of end markets that are seeing the growth, which is a positive from our perspective, makes us confidence on sustainability. .

We -- where we've seen the tailwind, those markets where we've been focused on over the last few years and increasing our exposure cryogenics, which is driven by space launch, water, wastewater, primarily U.S.-based business, where it's been resilient pharma, which our backlog is growing, and we expect increased investment in particular in the U.S. power as well.

So all these markets and of note, Chemical continues to be flat, where in the past, we've depended on chemical recovery to boost our growth -- that's not the case anymore in PST. So that chemical recovery is all upside still. We expect to drive growth without depending on that, and that will be additive to it.

I think regionally, U.S. continues to be the best market overall. Europe pretty flat. I think Middle East has recovered from the first half and continues to be solid, and then we have much less exposure in the rest of the world.

Operator

We'll take our next question from Nathan Jones with Stifel.

Nathan Jones

Maybe a follow up maybe a follow-up around the chemical market there. I would imagine it's probably the tale of a couple of different regions with capacity still coming out of Europe and maybe capacity improvements in the U.S. .

Maybe you could talk about chemical in a little bit more detail from a regional perspective and your outlook for a recovery there is -- I mean, if Europe just gets to being kind of a flat chemical market or something like that and stops going down, can the U.S. add growth to that, just how you view the shape of a recovery there?

Jason Feldman

Yes, Nathan. So Yes. I think you stated in Europe, we expect to continue to be flat even going to next year. I think the 2 markets that are the most interesting for us is the U.S. and Middle East. I think the U.S., as I mentioned in the last call, is held up pretty well.

As you know, when oil prices are high, there's a feedstock advantage on natural gas. So even when there's capacity globally, it makes sense for chemical companies to invest in the U.S. So we see some sporadic project activity.

Middle East also recovering. I think a full recovery that you'll notice in the P&L will come -- it's usually driven by construction, residential construction, durable goods, which I'm not expecting, not counting on at least in the first half of '27, we'll see after that.

But again, very pleased with the transformation of the portfolio that we're much less dependent on that recovery to drive growth.

Richard Maue

Maybe just to add, if you recall, our chemical exposure is mainly in the U.S., right? So maybe 70% of our chemical exposure is U.S.-based.

Nathan Jones

I'm going to try and pin you down a little bit more on PSI. The 5-year target was $150 million said you're going to get that quicker than that now. Do you have a new target for the 5-year number that's over that $150 million?

Alejandro Alcala

Yes. I mean I think -- it will grow in the 4% to 6% range and be leveraging that 35%, 40% after the 3-year mark.

Operator

We'll take our next question from Myles Walton with Wolfe Research.

Myles Walton

I'm curious if -- if I can on something off here, as were the acquisitions of PFT about 100 basis points dilutive to the reported margins, just backing into it based on -- you talked about up 500 basis points this year for the acquisitions. And then if that's the case, the 300 basis points of core margin expansion on 6% core growth, could you just maybe help us understand how you got that kind of operating leverage in the core business.

Richard Maue

Yes. I mean, in the quarter, look, it was -- I think you you're correct. Our performance from a margin point of view was exceptional. The leverage on the core business. And if I just -- I'll give both in the aerospace Advanced Technologies sector.

We were just above the high end of our 35% to 40%. So I think low 40s in terms of operating leverage there. And it's a combination of everything, right?

We just continue to execute really well from a price cost point of view, a productivity point of view and so forth, even in the face of any changes in mix. So like I said, the durability and resiliency of our Aerospace & Advanced Technologies part of the portfolio.

We're going to see that kind of performance irrespective of the composition of revenues. On the PFT side, we're already accretive in that zone today with the deals as we're exiting the year. Our core leverage in the quarter was just -- I think it was just north of 40%, something like that. So fairly solid.

Alejandro Alcala

Myles, just to add to that. We've continued to invest in PFT through the cycle. So there's no incremental cost increase that we'll see. So our leverage is pretty strong.

As we continue to mix more into these higher growth market. That's also where we are more profitable. So we see this bit of a flywheel effect where the growth is in our higher-margin businesses.

So the incremental leverage will be very solid in PST as we continue to drive growth.

Myles Walton

Got it. And just a clarification, if I could. The margin is up 500 basis points. That's for the full year. So you're saying you're already above that level here in the third and fourth quarter. Is that right? In terms of the PSI acquisition.

Richard Maue

Yes. In the second half of the -- yes, in the second half, just mathematically, I think we have to be there. .

Myles Walton

Yes, great. And then -- so then this PFT performance from a margin perspective, we should think about this as being reasonably sustainable at these levels?

Richard Maue

Yes. Yes. Again, it gets back to our core leverage rate in that 35% to 40% range through cycles. And we expect Q4 to be very, very similar. .

Operator

We'll take our next question from Dan DiCicco with BMO Capital Markets.

Daniel DiCicco

You mentioned PFT wins throughout the quarter. I think power, cryogenics wastewater. Could you provide some color on what you're seeing there?

Alejandro Alcala

Yes. If you think about those markets, Dan, cryogenic, the 2 main markets are space launch, on the rocket itself but on the launch pads and those build-outs continue.

So we're seeing good traction there. And then the second biggest market is just general aerospace in the factories with environmental testing to aerospace ramp-up continues. We see that demands and the teams are doing an exceptional job.

When you think about power again, our power business is mainly U.S.-based and the expansion on natural gas combined cycle turbines. That's where we see the momentum. And pharma -- similar in the U.S., the reshoring activity of funnels are increasing. So capacity expansion in the U.S., those type of project wins. Those are some highlights then. Always we expect to continue those markets to continue to '27.

Operator

And we'll take our next question from Ronald Epstein with Bank of America.

Unknown Analyst

This is Andrew Steiner on for Ron. I just wanted to ask a quick one on the missile demand and the broader domestic munitions ramp with several primes securing ops over the past few months.

Can you talk about how the process towards getting under contract for these programs has looked from your end so far?

Alejandro Alcala

Yes, I'll comment, and then I'll let Rich comment just we said, we're in about 15 missile programs. I think our jump-off point this year is around $35 million, mostly or different type of product power products and microwave products. And we expect next year to grow 40%, 50%.

A lot of that demand is already in the backlog. And then the projections for -- after that, 4 to 6x growth of the 35 base. And I think is where these contracts come into play, securing a bit more growth next year, but also securing that continued expansion growth through the rest of the decade. Do you have anything?

Richard Maue

I would just -- I would echo that, but just say that the demand signals that we're getting just continue to increase. We continue to see a lot of activity, a lot of RFQ work and so forth to the point that you made, we're seeing a lot of that. It's not slowed. It's increased.

Unknown Analyst

Can you just comment on what the process with these UPS actually looks like from the view of a subcontractor?

Alejandro Alcala

You broke up a little bit. Can you repeat?

Unknown Analyst

Yes. I was just looking to see if you guys could provide some color on what the UCA contracting process has looked like a view of a contract?

Alejandro Alcala

Yes, I think you asked -- I don't know if everybody heard, but we're seeing to break up how the contract processing looks for that missile demand. So we get RFP requests for tranches of multiyear opportunities for the different programs.

And we provide those updated quotes. And then we align with the customer to cure and then get a contract in a purchase order. So it's all happening at different times and different programs for different tranches for different periods of year that's on an ongoing basis. Hope that helps.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] I'd like to now announce Justin Ages with CJS Securities.

Justin Ages

Given the ongoing repositioning that you guys have done in PFT, can you give us an update on what the relative contribution of each of the end markets is you used to say like nuclear, 5%. Anything like that so we can see what the current contributions are?

Alejandro Alcala

Yes. I'll give you a quick snapshot. So I think starting with chemical, right? In the past, it's been like 30%. Now we have it close to 20% in chemical, water wastewater is around 15%; general industrial, up 20%.

And then our Power business, combined with -- when I say power, it's gas and nuclear -- it's like 15% with [indiscernible] I think those are the main ones of them.

Justin Ages

Great. And then given lingering conflict in the Middle East. Can you just remind us what your current exposure there is?

Alejandro Alcala

So exposure is mainly in PST and it's less than 5% overall. So what we -- we don't see really any material impact this year going forward. We saw some delays in shipments earlier in the year that's somewhat normalized. There's plenty of activity -- so not really a headwind that we expect.

Richard Maue

I'd say maybe tangentially, it's just the freight costs being higher and things like that, that we've been able to more than offset.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes the question-and-answer portion of today's call. I would like to now turn the call back to Alex Alcala for closing remarks.

Alejandro Alcala

Thank you for your questions and continued interest in Crane. We have significant momentum across the company, a record backlog and substantial opportunities ahead.

Most importantly, we have a proven team, a proven system. We remain highly confident in creating future and our ability to create long-term shareholder value. Thank you, and have a great day.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's Crane Company Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. Please disconnect your lines at this time, and have a wonderful day.