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Teleconferência de Resultados do 3T26 da Fastly (FSLY): Crescimento de 20% e Elevação de Projeções

4 de nov de 2026 às 23:53
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A Fastly registrou forte desempenho no terceiro trimestre de 2026, com receita recorde de US$ 190,2 milhões, alta de 20% na comparação anual, impulsionada pelo crescimento no tráfego de grandes clientes e produtos de segurança. O lucro operacional non-GAAP atingiu US$ 31,2 milhões, e o fluxo de caixa livre somou US$ 25 milhões, marcando o sétimo trimestre positivo consecutivo. A empresa elevou suas projeções para o ano todo de 2026, prevendo receita entre US$ 744 milhões e US$ 748 milhões. A administração monitora riscos como a variabilidade no consumo e a transição planejada na liderança de go-to-market.

Resumo gerado por IA

Principais Destaques

  • A Fastly registrou receita recorde no terceiro trimestre de 2026 de US$ 190,2 milhões, alta de 20% na comparação anual e acima do seu intervalo de projeção de US$ 184 milhões a US$ 190 milhões. Este foi o quarto trimestre consecutivo de crescimento de receita de pelo menos 20%.
  • O lucro operacional non-GAAP atingiu o recorde de US$ 31,2 milhões, com a margem operacional se expandindo em aproximadamente 900 pontos-base na comparação anual para 16,4%. A margem bruta igualou o recorde de 65,8%.
  • A taxa de retenção líquida dos últimos 12 meses subiu para 119%, ante 117% no 2T e 106% um ano antes, marcando o sexto trimestre consecutivo de expansão.
  • A adoção de múltiplos produtos continuou a crescer. Entre os grandes clientes, 74% utilizaram pelo menos duas suítes de produtos e 34% usaram pelo menos quatro, ante 30% no 2T e mais de três vezes o nível de dois anos antes.
  • A administração elevou as projeções para o ano todo de 2026 para uma receita de US$ 744 milhões a US$ 748 milhões, lucro operacional non-GAAP de US$ 107 milhões a US$ 111 milhões e fluxo de caixa livre de US$ 50 milhões a US$ 60 milhões.
  • O presidente de Go-to-Market, Scott Lovett, planeja se aposentar em 2027. O CEO Kip Compton e Lovett liderarão a busca por um novo Chief Revenue Officer enquanto Lovett continua à frente da organização durante a transição.

Principais Resultados Financeiros

Métrica3T2026Variação / Contexto
ReceitaUS$ 190,2 milhõesAlta de 20% na comparação anual; recorde histórico
Receita de Serviços de RedeUS$ 138,0 milhõesAlta de 16% na comparação anual
Receita de SegurançaUS$ 44,7 milhõesAlta de 32%; 24% da receita total
Receita de outros produtosUS$ 7,4 milhõesAlta de 37% na comparação anual
Margem bruta non-GAAP65,8%Alta frente aos 62,8% no 3T2025; igualou o recorde histórico
Lucro operacional non-GAAPUS$ 31,2 milhõesAcima da projeção de US$ 20 milhões a US$ 24 milhões
Margem operacional non-GAAP16,4%Alta frente aos 7% registrados um ano antes
Lucro líquido non-GAAPUS$ 31,6 milhõesFrente a US$ 11,1 milhões no 3T2025
LPA diluído non-GAAPUS$ 0,17Frente a US$ 0,07 um ano antes
EBITDA ajustadoUS$ 43,5 milhões23% da receita, ante 16% um ano antes
Fluxo de caixa operacionalUS$ 40 milhõesFrente a US$ 29 milhões no 3T2025
Fluxo de caixa livreUS$ 25 milhõesSétimo trimestre positivo consecutivo
Obrigações de desempenho remanescentesUS$ 334 milhõesAlta de 24% na comparação anual
Caixa e investimentosAproximadamente US$ 365 milhõesAlta de US$ 28 milhões na comparação sequencial

A menos que indicado de outra forma, os números de lucratividade discutidos pela administração foram apresentados em uma base non-GAAP.

Desempenho Comercial e Operacional

O upselling e o cross-selling continuaram sendo os principais direcionadores de receita. A Fastly atribuiu o resultado positivo do 3T ao tráfego mais forte do que o previsto entre alguns dos maiores clientes e ao momento favorável contínuo dos produtos de segurança.

Os 10 maiores clientes geraram 39% da receita, ante 37% no 2T. A receita desse grupo aumentou 46% na comparação anual, enquanto a receita de clientes fora do top 10 cresceu 8%. A Fastly encerrou o trimestre com 634 grandes clientes, definidos como contas que geram mais de US$ 100.000 em receita anualizada.

A receita de segurança aumentou 32%, apesar de uma base de comparação mais difícil relacionada a um grande contrato de segurança fechado no 3T2025. A administração também informou que os produtos de gestão de bots e DDoS voltaram a registrar crescimento de três dígitos durante o trimestre.

A Fastly expandiu seu portfólio de IA com o AI Runtime Control, AI Firewall e recursos mais amplos de segurança de API. Uma grande empresa de IA assinou um compromisso de sete dígitos para proteger e dimensionar o tráfego agêntico. A administração disse que as cargas de trabalho agênticas oferecem atualmente oportunidades de segurança mais significativas do que a receita de entrega, porque o tráfego baseado em texto consome relativamente poucos bytes.

Os investimentos internacionais resultaram na conquista de clientes no Japão nos setores de varejo, streaming e eletrônicos de consumo. A Fastly também anunciou uma implementação integrada com a Comcast que posiciona sua plataforma de entrega, segurança e computação dentro da rede da Comcast, oferecendo suporte a serviços de menor latência e capacidade adicional mais próxima dos usuários finais.

A partir de 2027, a Fastly planeja substituir suas três categorias de receita por uma única linha de receita consolidada. Ela utilizará a adoção de múltiplos produtos para fornecer visibilidade sobre o uso pelos clientes de suas seis suítes de produtos.

Projeções da Administração

Métrica de Projeção4T2026Ano Todo de 2026
ReceitaUS$ 198 milhões a US$ 202 milhõesUS$ 744 milhões a US$ 748 milhões
Crescimento no ponto médio16% na comparação anual20% na comparação anual
Margem bruta non-GAAP65,5%, mais ou menos 50 pontos-base65,5%, mais ou menos 50 pontos-base
Lucro operacional non-GAAPUS$ 30 milhões a US$ 34 milhõesUS$ 107 milhões a US$ 111 milhões
Margem operacional non-GAAP no ponto médio16%15%
LPA diluído non-GAAPUS$ 0,16 a US$ 0,18US$ 0,61 a US$ 0,63
Fluxo de caixa livre—US$ 50 milhões a US$ 60 milhões
Gastos de capital em infraestrutura—Aproximadamente 10% da receita

A administração espera que as despesas operacionais do 4T aumentem na faixa média de um único dígito em milhões de dólares na comparação sequencial, devido a incentivos de go-to-market mais altos, atividades sazonais de marketing e gastos com TI. As despesas do 3T também foram beneficiadas por um item tributário não recorrente de US$ 1,5 milhão.

A Fastly reduziu sua previsão de investimentos em capital para infraestrutura em 2026 de 10% a 12% da receita para aproximadamente 10%. A empresa afirmou que quase 70% do investimento de capital anual ocorreu no primeiro semestre, com a antecipação da expansão de capacidade.

Riscos e Áreas de Atenção

  • O modelo de receita baseado em consumo da Fastly pode gerar variabilidade trimestral, especialmente decorrente dos níveis de tráfego dos clientes e de eventos episódicos.
  • O crescimento continua concentrado entre os maiores clientes. Os 10 principais responderam por 39% da receita do 3T e cresceram substancialmente mais rápido do que o restante da base de clientes.
  • A administração reconheceu que a Fastly pode ter se concentrado excessivamente em seus maiores clientes. Espera-se que a transformação do marketing, a expansão internacional e as parcerias estratégicas levem mais tempo para apoiar um crescimento mais amplo.
  • A transição planejada na liderança de go-to-market gera um risco de execução, embora Lovett vá continuar envolvido enquanto a Fastly busca um sucessor.
  • A Fastly continua monitorando as condições da cadeia de suprimentos, em particular os componentes de memória. A administração afirmou que compras antecipadas e atualizações de componentes ajudaram a mitigar potenciais interrupções.
  • As premissas de tráfego para o 4T incluem demandas episódicas, como downloads de jogos, compras de fim de ano, tráfego da NFL e eleições de meio de mandato nos EUA, tornando o consumo real difícil de prever com precisão.

Destaques da Sessão de Perguntas e Respostas dos Analistas

Monetização de IA: A administração afirmou que os agentes de IA podem contribuir para o tráfego de entrega, mas a maior oportunidade de curto prazo está na segurança. A receita pode vir da proteção de cargas de trabalho agênticas de empresas de IA e da ajuda a corporações no gerenciamento de bots e agentes por meio de produtos como gestão de bots, AI Runtime Control e AI Firewall. A maioria dos contratos de segurança é baseada em assinatura, com preços influenciados pelo tráfego esperado ou volume de solicitações.

Requisitos de capital para cargas de trabalho de IA: O contrato de IA de sete dígitos não exige GPUs nem gastos de capital específicos para o negócio. A Fastly afirmou que sua infraestrutura unificada dá suporte a novas cargas de trabalho sem a necessidade de investimento dedicado em rede.

Expansão da retenção líquida: A administração atribuiu a taxa de retenção líquida de 119% tanto ao upselling quanto ao cross-selling. Segundo a empresa, os clientes que adotam mais suítes de produtos geralmente apresentam maior retenção, com expansão visível tanto nos maiores clientes quanto nos demais grupos de clientes.

Crescimento fora do top 10: A administração associou o crescimento mais lento fora das maiores contas ao cronograma das iniciativas de go-to-market. Espera-se que o desenvolvimento da marca, a nova liderança de marketing, a expansão nas regiões APJ e América Latina, e as parcerias exijam mais tempo do que o engajamento mais profundo com os grandes clientes existentes.

Sucessão de Go-to-Market: A Fastly considerará candidatos internos e externos para seu próximo Chief Revenue Officer. A administração afirmou que suas projeções atuais incorporam a avaliação sobre o impacto da transição, enquanto se recusou a fornecer projeções para 2027.

Tráfego do GTA 6: A administração afirmou que suas premissas do 4T para o GTA 6 são maiores do que as utilizadas anteriormente para o Fortnite, com base em fatores que incluem o tamanho do download, atualizações subsequentes e a participação da Fastly na distribuição. A empresa enfatizou que a contribuição de tráfego continua sendo episódica e altamente variável.

Transcrição Completa da Teleconferência de Resultados


Transcrição completa da teleconferência de resultados

Comentários da administração

Operator

Good afternoon. My name is Michelle, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Fastly Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]

Please be advised today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Vernon Essi, Investor Relations at Fastly. Sir, please go ahead.

Vernon Essi

Thank you, and whom everyone to our third quarter 2026 earnings conference call. We have Fastly's CEO, Kip Compton, and CFO, Rich Wong, with us today. The webcast of this call can be accessed through our website, fastly.com and will be archived for 1 quarter. A copy of today's earnings press release, related financial tables and supplements, all of which are furnished in our 8-K filing today can be found in the Investor Relations portion of Festa's website, along with the investor presentation.

During this call, we will make forward-looking statements, including statements related to the expected performance of our business, future financial results, product and services, sales and growth, strategy, long-term growth and overall future prospects. These statements are subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially from those projected or implied during the call.

For further information regarding risk factors for our business, please refer to our filings with the SEC, including our most annual report filed on Form 10-K and quarterly reports filed on Form 10-Q filed with the SEC and our third quarter 2026 earnings press release and supplement for a discussion of the factors that could cause our results to differ. Please refer in particular to the sections entitled Risk Factors. We encourage you to read these documents.

Also note that the forward-looking statements on this call are based on information available to us as of today's date. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements, except as required by law. Also during this call, we will discuss certain non-GAAP financial measures and certain key performance indicators. Unless otherwise noted, all numbers we discuss today other than revenue will be on an adjusted non-GAAP basis. We do not provide reconciliations of forward-looking non-GAAP measures because quantitative reconciling of information for these measures is unavailable without unreasonable effort.

Reconciliations to the most directly comparable GAAP financial measures are provided in the earnings release and supplement in our Investor Relations website and filed with the SEC. These non-GAAP measures are intended to be a substitute for our GAAP results. Before we begin our prepared comments, please note that during the fourth quarter, we will be attending the RBC 2026 Global TIMT Conference in New York on November 17. The UBS 30th Annual Global Technology and AI Conference in Scottsdale on December 2 and the Wells Fargo Tenth Annual TMT Summit in Rancho Palos Verdes on December 8.

Now I'll turn the call over to Kip.

Kip Compton

Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us. Fastly delivered another strong quarter with record revenue, operating income and free cash flow. Q3 revenue was $190.2 million, up 20% year-over-year and above the high end of our guidance. Operating income was $31.2 million for an operating margin of 16.4%. Gross margin was 65.8%, matching record levels. This is our fifth consecutive quarter of operating profit and our seventh consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow.

Trailing 12-month net retention rate rose to 119%, and we continue to see customers expanding across our platform and driving more revenue. Today, I'll cover what's driving these positive results. Our customers are growing with us. We're delivering outcomes that matter most to them, and we're building for AI scale. I will also share details of our planned transition in our go-to-market leadership in the year ahead. Customers come to us with business problems, traffic they can't afford to drop, an attack they need to stop or a wave of AI agents they need to govern.

The breadth of our platform and relationships built on trust allow us to solve those challenges, and that's how we grow with our customers. Customers increasing the value that they derive from the Fastly platform is a central driver of our financial performance and underpins our ability to create long-term value for you, our shareholders. As we continue to refine our operating metrics, multiproduct adoption, along with incremental margin will be key to how we evaluate our performance.

In the third quarter, 74% of our large customers use 2 or more of our product suites and 34% used 4 or more, up from 30% in the second quarter and more than 3x the level we saw just 2 years ago. Customers who use more of our product suite see more value are stickier and spend more with us over time. Our go-to-market transformation is a multifaceted strategy with investments aimed at driving growth across customer cohorts. Parts of it are already paying off. We have seen tremendous success with our largest customers, driving robust growth that, in turn, is powering our overall growth.

Expanding the growth we are seeing with our largest customers to our other customer cohorts is our biggest near-term opportunity and a clear execution priority. The other go-to-market investments that we have made, including our international expansion, strategic partnerships and marketing transformation, are progressing well, and we expect them to have a larger impact over time. Our customer wins this quarter show this strategy at work.

Many span multiple product suites and highlight our platform's high performance. As AI use cases continue to accelerate, one of the world's leading AI companies signed a 7-figure commitment with Fastly to secure and scale its agentic traffic. Agents are central to its strategy. They chose Fastly to protect that mission-critical work.

Our track record of delivering reliability and performance at scale continue to pay dividends with a major U.S. media and entertainment company, home to leading new sports and entertainment brands selected fastly to power live streaming across its digital properties. We are also seeing significant success in unseating incumbent providers. One of the largest restaurant chains in the U.S. replaced a legacy security vendor with Fastly to protect and accelerate its online checkout and has already seen critical performance and reliability metrics improve for its most important digital revenue stream.

Security and Control are winning us business, a global online marketplace with tens of millions of members added Fastly delivery, WAF and bot management, giving it network resilience, improved security posture and the transparency and control at once over its network. In the APJ region, our investments are producing results. A major Japanese apparel and lifestyle retail group moved to Fastly for delivery, security and bot management to optimize infrastructure costs while maintaining performance and security.

A leading Japanese streaming service chose Fastly to scale while reducing infrastructure costs. And one of the world's largest consumer electronics makers is using Fastly to protect user privacy and deliver more reliable software updates as it launches AI services on its devices. As the breadth of our platform expands, we are also building new routes to market through strategic partnerships, a digital experience platform company that runs websites, customer portals and Internet is building Fastly's delivery, WAF, bot management and DDoS protection into its platform through a managed service provider partnership, expanding our reach to critical new customers.

In September, we announced an industry-first deployment in partnership with Comcast. It puts Fastly's entire platform, including security and compute inside Comcast network to deliver content and applications closer to users. Uniquely, we have integrated Fastly software directly into Comcast's networking elements, delivering high capacity and performance. For customers, it means lower latency and faster downloads, even when millions are streaming at once. For Comcast, it means delivering a new level of speed, reliability and quality.

And for Fastly, it adds capacity close to end users and serves as a foundation for latency-sensitive applications from online gaming to emerging AI services. We look forward to adding more network partners and deployment models in the coming quarters. We're also investing for what's next as enterprise AI shifts from experimentation to business-critical production, the focus turns to leveraging AI at scale.

AI use cases on Fastly are showing up across our network in more ways from agents interacting with our customers' applications to code generation, model distribution and content authenticity. In Q3, we expanded the Fastly for AI portfolio beyond capabilities like bot management and NextGen WAF. We announced new innovations, including AI run time control to govern AI access and usage, AI firewall to protect AI applications and expanded API security to control how AI agents access enterprise applications and websites.

We built these solutions with our customer design partners who helped shape what we shipped. We'll keep working closely with customers as their challenges evolve. This quarter also shows progress on 3 priorities: increasing product velocity, transforming our go-to-market motion and driving profitable growth with record revenue, operating income and free cash flow. I'm proud of this team, grateful for the trust our customers place in us and as optimistic as ever about the future of Fastly.

Before I hand it over to Rich, I want to share a leadership update. Scott Lovett, President go-to-market plans to retire next year. Together, Scott and I will lead a broad search for our new Chief Revenue Officer, and Scott will continue to run the go-to-market organization during the transition. Since joining Fastly in 2024, Scott has transformed how we sell. He brought executive selling and true customer partnerships to our largest accounts, aligned our sales motion and conversation around the platform and expanded our presence in APJ.

He also built a seasoned leadership team across sales, marketing, channel and customer success. That strength and our strategy are not changing. Scott's leadership through the transition gives us time to find the right leader for the next phase of our go-to-market transformation with continuity for our customers and our teams. On behalf of the entire Fastly team, Scott, thank you.

And now I'll hand it over to Rich, who will take you through our results and our outlook. Rich?

Richard Wong

Thank you, Kip, and thank you, everyone, for joining us today. Before I review our detailed financial results, I want to emphasize that Q3 demonstrated the strength of our underlying business model that Kip and I discussed at our first earnings call together a year ago and highlighted again at our Investor Day back in September. We delivered durable revenue growth of 20% or more for 4 consecutive quarters while driving meaningful operating leverage across our expense base. Q3 was also our fifth consecutive quarter of non-GAAP operating profit and our seventh consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow.

Now on to the specifics of our Q3 results. I'd like to remind you that unless otherwise stated, all financial results in my discussion are non-GAAP based. Revenue for the third quarter increased 20% year-over-year to $190.2 million, above the high end of our guidance range of $184 million to $190 million. This result was a record high for Fastly and as I mentioned, the fourth consecutive quarter of 20% or more year-on-year revenue growth.

The revenue strength in the quarter was driven by continued success in our go-to-market upsell and cross-sell motions as we see customers adopt more product suites within our platform. The upside was driven by better-than-anticipated traffic at some of our larger customers and continued success with our security products. At Investor Day, we highlighted our shift toward a single unified edge platform with 6 main product suites.

Beginning in 2027, we're aligning our financial metrics to match the strategy by transitioning from 3 separate revenue lines, network services, security and other, down to one consolidated revenue line. To give investors full visibility into platform adoption, we're introducing a new reporting metric, multiproduct adoption. This metric measures the percentage of large customers adopting 2 or more product suites and those adopting 4 or more product suites.

In the third quarter, 74% of our large customers adopted 2 or more product suites, up 7 percentage points year-over-year and up 2 percentage points quarter-over-quarter. More importantly, 34% of large customers have now adopted 4 or more product suites, up from 30% in the second quarter and more than 3x the level we saw just 2 years ago.

For more information on multiproduct adoption, including a description of the product suites and historical trended view of this data, please refer to our investor presentation and supplement on our IR website. I will now review our prior 3 revenue line reporting. In the third quarter, Network Services revenue of $138 million grew 16% year-over-year. Security revenue was $44.7 million, which represented a growth of 32% year-over-year and represented 24% of revenue.

Recall that our security revenue growth faced tougher year-over-year comps as it was impacted by a large security win with a top 10 customer in the third quarter of 2025. However, on a sequential basis, security revenue has demonstrated growth in excess of 7% for every quarter in 2026. Our other products revenue of $7.4 million grew 37% year-over-year. We will report these 3 revenue lines one final time for the fourth quarter of 2026, before retiring them in favor of our streamlined single revenue structure and multiproduct adoption metrics.

In the third quarter, our top 10 customers represented 39% of revenue, a moderate increase from 37% in the second quarter. Revenues from our top 10 customers grew 46% year-over-year. Revenue from our customers outside of our top 10 grew 8% year-over-year. Also, no single entity accounted for 10% of our revenue in the third quarter, a group of entities under common control as a single customer accounted for 12% of the company's revenue for the quarter. Our large customer account, which represents customers with more than $100,000 in annualized revenue in the quarter with 634 customers.

Our trailing 12-month net retention rate was 119%, up from 117% in the prior quarter and up from 106% in the year ago quarter. This marks Fastly a sixth consecutive quarter of NRR expansion. The quarter-over-quarter and year-over-year increases were due to revenue increases in our larger customers as they expand their use of our platform. We exited the third quarter with RPO of $334 million, growing 24% year-over-year.

The current portion of RPO was 81% of total RPO and grew 31% year-over-year. We believe improvements in our go-to-market motion have contributed to year-over-year RPO growth, though RPO will fluctuate quarter-to-quarter with the timing of large renewals. Given this variability, we continue to encourage investors to focus on our current RPO, which gives a more accurate indication of our revenue visibility and year-over-year progress.

I will now turn to the rest of our financial results for the third quarter. Our gross margin was 65.8% in the third quarter, matching our record high for Fastly. Gross margin was 80 basis points above our guidance midpoint of 65% and up 300 basis points from 62.8% in Q3 2025. Our gross margin performance is driven by revenue scale relative to our cost-effective software-defined infrastructure. Combined with our continued financial discipline and our cost of revenue, we believe our gross margins are sustainable at these levels.

This is further substantiated by our incremental gross margin flow-through on a trailing 12-month basis increasing to 93% in the third quarter, up from 58% a year ago. Operating expenses were $94 million in the third quarter coming in better than anticipated due to disciplined expense management and a nonrecurring tax benefit of $1.5 million that favorably impacted operating expenses. We had operating income of $31.2 million in the third quarter, exceeding the high end of our operating income guidance range of $20 million to $24 million.

As mentioned, this upside was a combination of higher revenue and resulting gross profit flow-through as well as less-than-anticipated operating expenses. We believe this reflects the inherent operating leverage in our business model. This is demonstrated by our operating margin expanding from 7% in the third quarter of last year to 16% this quarter, expansion of approximately 900 basis points year-over-year.

This is underscored by our incremental operating margin flow-through of 79% of revenue on a trailing 12-month basis, significantly above our long-term target of 30% to 40%. In the third quarter, we reported a net profit of $31.6 million or $0.17 per diluted share compared to a net profit of $11.1 million or $0.07 per diluted share in Q3 2025. Our adjusted EBITDA was $43.5 million or 23% of revenues in the third quarter compared to $25.7 million or 16% of revenues in the third quarter of 2025.

Turning to the balance sheet. We ended the quarter with approximately $365 million in cash, cash equivalents, marketable securities and investments, including those classified as long term, a sequential increase of $28 million over Q2 2026. We also ended the quarter with a positive net cash balance of $41 million compared to $5 million one year ago. Our cash flow from operations was positive $40 million in the third quarter compared to positive $29 million in Q3 2025. Our free cash flow for the third quarter was positive $25 million representing our seventh consecutive quarter of positive free cash flow.

Our infrastructure capital expenditures were approximately 6% of revenue in the third quarter. As we discussed in prior quarters, we front-loaded our 2026 CapEx to ensure we have adequate equipment given supply chain constraints. We anticipate our CapEx spend will remain at a lower level in the fourth quarter, as I will discuss in a moment. In closing, the results from our first 9 months reflect disciplined execution and expanding platform reach. We believe this strengthens our underlying financial model and reinforces our conviction in our 2026 as longer-term goals.

I will now discuss our outlook for the fourth quarter and full year 2026. I'd like to remind everyone again that the following statements are based on current expectations as of today and include forward-looking statements. Actual results may differ materially, and we undertake no obligation to update these forward-looking statements in the future, except as required by law. Our revenue model is primarily based on customer consumption, which can lead to variability in our quarterly results.

Our revenue guidance reflects these dynamics in our business and is based on the visibility that we have today. Customers who trust us with one business problem bring us to next. That's the engine behind our platform strategy, which as Kip discussed is foundational for success. Over time, we expect this to mean deeper relationships and a more durable revenue model. The strategy is working, and it gives us added assurance in the opportunity ahead.

In the fourth quarter, we expect revenue in the range of $198 million to $202 million, representing 16% annual growth at the midpoint. We anticipate our gross margins for the fourth quarter will be 65.5% plus or minus 50 basis points. As a reminder, our gross margin performance is highly dependent upon incremental revenue increases or decline relative to our infrastructure costs.

We anticipate OpEx to increase mid-single-digit millions on a sequential basis due to increased go-to-market spend on incentives and seasonal market activities as well as increased IT spend. As I mentioned earlier, we incurred a $1.5 million nonrecurring tax benefit in the third quarter. For the fourth quarter, we expect a non-GAAP operating profit of $30 million to $34 million, reflecting an operating margin of 16% at the midpoint. .

We expect the non-GAAP net earnings per diluted share of $0.16 to $0.18. For calendar year 2026, we are raising our revenue guidance to a range of $744 million to $748 million reflecting annual growth of 20% at the midpoint. We anticipate our 2026 gross margins will be 65.5%, plus or minus 50 basis points. We are increasing our non-GAAP operating profit expectations to a range of $107 million to $111 million, reflecting an operating margin of 15% at the midpoint and highlighting our improved profitability compared to 2025 operating margin of 4%.

We expect our non-GAAP net earnings per diluted share to be in the range of $0.61 to $0.63. We continue to closely monitor supply chain dynamics, particularly regarding memory components and have taken strategic actions in the end of 2025 and through the first half of 2026 to mitigate potential impact. Our software-defined infrastructure is continuously improving, typically with lower capital requirements for expansion than legacy competitors.

We are also implementing server component upgrades in our fleet to efficiently expand our capacity. This structural efficiency underpins our expanding gross margins, positioning us to stay ahead of global traffic trends while maintaining strict capital discipline. For 2026, we anticipate our infrastructure capital spend will be approximately 10% of revenue compared to our previous guidance range of 10% to 12% of revenue as we are at the tail end of our front-loaded 2026 capacity expansion. We will continue to have a rigorous planning process to ensure that our capital investments align with demand.

As a result, we are raising our 2026 free cash flow guidance in the range of $50 million to $60 million. To recap, we're seeing continued evidence disciplined execution and growing platform adoption are translating into stronger financial performance. We believe our refined strategy to focus on the power of our platform is working and we are evaluating ways to better align our financial disclosures to our success.

Before we open the line for questions, we would like to thank you for your interest and your support in Fastly. Operator?

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question will come from the line of Jackson Ader with KeyBanc Capital Markets.

Perguntas e respostas

Aidan Daniels

This is Aidan Danes on for Jackson. Last quarter, you talked about AI-driven traffic growing materially faster than human traffic. In this quarter, you ended the 7-figure deal that to secure agentic traffic workloads. Can you maybe just walk us through just how agentic traffic shows up in the revenue for Fastly. Or maybe using this deal as an example, our revenue is solely showing up in security. We're also in more traditional CDN revenues, Nick as a function of bytes toward? And then just to follow up on that, just maybe as this template. Is this maybe a template for additional deals you're seeing in the pipeline?

Kip Compton

Yes. Thanks for the question. I think there's a few ways that genetic traffic shows up in our revenue. Sometimes it's helping the agents and protecting their traffic. And that's what that deal that I mentioned in the prepared remarks was about. And that's certainly a source of revenue for us and I would not be surprised if we saw further interest in that from other AI companies. Of course, you mentioned the security side that's right now a broader set of concerns with our broader customer base around managing the agents and the bots that are coming to their sites.

And that drives some volume in our CDN business, although I think people in the industry have noted that actual amount of traffic related is relatively low, given that these are text-based things, but it also drives security revenue in AI bot detection, regular bot detection and things like our new AI run-time controller and AI firewall that we launched during the quarter.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question will come from the line of Paramveer Singh with Oppenheimer & Co.

Paramveer Singh

I want to kind of dive a little bit more into your go-to-market strategy, obviously, losing Scott is a big loss, but I want to hear think about how you want to address this in terms of bringing on an outside go-to-market leader or kind of looking internally? And also, how does your go-to-market change into the next year as more and more of the security portfolio, the gins to cross-sell into your customer base?

Kip Compton

Yes. Now this is the top of mind for us today with sort of Scott's retirement. Scott's been obviously foundational to the reinvigoration of our go-to-market engine over the last few years and has helped us drive to now, I think, 4 quarters of 20% or greater growth. So we'll miss him. We're very happy, though, that he's going to be sticking around for a while in the next year and helping us very much with this transition. He and I will be leading a search for his successor.

In terms of the search, we will be looking at internal candidates. Scott has built a strong team as well as external candidates to make sure that we find the best leader for the next phase of our go-to-market transformation. You mentioned how well things change. I mean, security cross-sell, you're right, will continue.

And as you've seen us launching additional security products like run time control and AI firewall, those will continue to provide us with additional cross-sell opportunities. We also have a lot of momentum with our existing security products. We had a triple-digit growth again this last quarter in bot and DDoS.

I think the thing that will change will be just the progress we make on the investments we've already talked about. So whether it's strategic partnerships or what our new CMO has been on the marketing side or the international expansion of our go-to-market motion that we've talked about. Scott will continue to drive those, and those will be key priorities for his successor as well.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question will come from the line of Fatima Boolani with Citi.

Fatima Boolani

My first question is for Kip. I was hoping you could opine on the PHP headlines that took over the new cycle a couple of weeks ago as it relates to server side, website vulnerabilities. How is the platform positioned to monetize some of these newer on the web security stack landscape? And how broadly would you characterize kind of pipeline and demand for the security portfolio in direct response to that?

And then a follow-up for Rich. Just wondering if you can talk to some of the gating factors for the non-top segment of the business. So that's been decelerating. So just hoping you can put some finer points on why the momentum is trending in the opposite direction and what you can do to rehabilitate that especially in the context of Scott's transition?

Kip Compton

Yes. With respect to PHP to Shell, our hypothesis for a while has been that the emergence of AI bringing accelerated vulnerability, discovery and exploitation would actually increase the value of security products, particularly like our next-gen WAF at the edge. That was our reaction earlier this year when Mythos came out and we've seen that a number of times, and I think PHP to sell is just the most recent example of that. Customers can use the NextGen WAF to virtually patch all of their components because we can detect that exploit and block it before it reaches their components.

And that gives them time to remediate the different components in their state. And that can take some time, especially if some of the things in their IT estate are older, patches may not be immediately available. So I don't know that I can point to specific demand specifically from the PHP to shell exploit. But we do see it as an overall trend that reinforces the value of having sort of one control point like our NextGen WAF for customers to deal with this accelerated threat environment. I'll let Rich take your second question.

Richard Wong

Fatima, thank you for that second question. So I think the go-to-market transformation that Scott has done with the organization has been phenomenal. I mean, for 2025 and 2026, we are really focused on the largest customers and focusing on where we succeed, which is where performance matters. We basically have talked about the platform approach and cross-selling opportunities. And we've made a lot of progress on that. That said, the go-to-market transformation is still continuing. His focus right now has also been acquiring new customers.

We've mentioned on the prior earnings call that we have a new CMO with Jon, who started. Joan is very focused on top of funnel and expansion value for all customers. And we've also talked about our international expansion, specifically in APAC and even the LatAm regions. And so we're basically investing that -- these investments take out at different points in time. And so I think that we should be seeing improvement on the non-top 10 to come.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Frank Louthan with Raymond James & Associates.

Frank Louthan

For the new contract or the AI company, what kind of drove that business to you? And I assume there's no sort of GPU commitment, but is there any CapEx involved with that? And then I had a follow-up regarding some of the discussions around AI agents as a potential opportunity or threat, depending on where you are with subscription-based businesses and so forth. How do you play in that? Do you benefit that? Is it more on the delivery side or the security side of that play?

Kip Compton

Great question. On that AI deal, no -- you're correct in your assumption that GPUs are not required, and there's no specific additional capital investment required. We've talked about in the past, and this is another example of our unified platform. So we have one network, one infrastructure that runs all of our services, and that gives us the flexibility to onboard new workloads like this one without additional specific investments. In terms of what drove them to work with us. I think with the combination of the quality of some of the security products that we could offer with -- as often is the case with our exceptional performance where they really wanted to make sure that they had a high-performance solution and we're excited to be working with them on that.

On the bread to subscription models, it's an interesting phenomenon. I don't know that it -- just to be clear, I don't think Frank, you are suggesting this, but we don't see it as an effect to our subscription model, but we do see the consumer dynamics where agents can help people manage their subscriptions more effectively, and that could certainly affect those consumer business models. For us, agentic traffic is attended traffic, and we process that traffic, as I said earlier, a relative modest impact on delivery revenue, more significant opportunities in security. And we help our customers govern net traffic and it depends on their business strategy as far as how they want that traffic treated.

Operator

Our next question will come from the line of Peter Levine with Evercore.

Peter Levine

I think the highest we've seen for a while since maybe 2022, just based on my model. But I guess how much of that impact or improvement reflects just broader-based expansion across your customer base versus maybe a handful of larger customers just kind of increasing consumption. Can you maybe just break down kind of the acceleration in net retention this quarter. What drove it?

Richard Wong

Yes, Peter, thank you for the question. Yes, so NRR, we reported was 119%. That was our sixth consecutive quarter of increasing NRR -- as you can imagine, of course, very obviously, the NRR expansion is both cross sells and upsells. I think that for us, the addition of multiple products and new products over the past kind of 12 to like 18 months has really helped the cross-selling efforts on that front.

But the more we release, I think we talked about the product suites and having 6 product suites out there. The more that we've released, we've actually noticed a general correlation that as customers buy more products suites, the NRR tends to increase. And so what we're seeing here and we're benefiting from is really a broader product portfolio.

And as they adopt more and more, that kind of NRR tends to rise with our customer base. We are seeing kind of broad-based across -- I think your question was larger or smaller customers. We do see strong across both our top customers and our nontop customers as well. So it's pretty uniform across that group.

Peter Levine

And I know -- I thinking the right way to phrase the question is Scott me a board are going to be going through this transition, you're looking for a new CRO, and you're not gone in for '27, but maybe help us or investors, how are you going to mitigate any kind of risk, but there's always going to be disruption with the new CRO. We've seen it.

Maybe it doesn't happen, but should we be prepared for the '27 guide to maybe adjust for potential disruption to go to market and maybe that's going to impact numbers when you report next -- when you give us the guide next quarter. Just help us understand how you're thinking about any possible disruption in how you're going to mitigate that and when you do guide for '27, should we be prepared now just to, I guess, just assuming that maybe that is baked into the numbers?

Kip Compton

Yes. I mean it certainly understand the concern. I'll comment and Rich may have some more detail. Our guide that we've offered today incorporates our view of the impact of that transition. We're very pleased with the transition plan that we've worked out with Scott, and we think it affords us more than enough time to find a fantastic leader and then 5 for Scott to continue to be involved in the business. even as we're ramping that leader up.

We're very pleased with the momentum that we've established with 4 quarters now in a row of 20% or greater revenue growth, and we're very happy with the strength of the leadership team that Scott has assembled as well as the investments that I mentioned earlier that are playing out now, and we think will help in the future.

I don't know that we can comment on our '27 guide until we have it to offer. If we develop concerns one way or the other about any aspect of the business, including this transition, obviously, we'll incorporate that entire guide. But for now, the guidance that we've offered incorporates our view of the situation. I don't know, I don't know if we have anything more specific.

Richard Wong

Yes. Nothing else to add. I've been through a number of transitions in prior career, and I would say that the best transitions are ones where there's a next level bench strength that has been formed and developed. I think that Scott has just done a fantastic job in building his next level bench strength. And it's not just Scott's org. I think that the rest of the leadership team has a good bench strength that kind of brings the continuity and the continuity that's needed in a regular business as public.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question will come from the line of Rudy Kessinger with D.A. Davidson.

Rudy Kessinger

I want to go back to the Fatima's question on the non-top 10. Just any further color you can add there as to why the growth has really deos significantly the last couple of quarters. Is it just weak overall traffic growth in that top 10? Or is there anything else you can share that can help us kind of reconcile the 10-point in that growth the last 2 quarters.

Unknown Executive

Yes. I think the only other thing I would add is that I think that we probably over focused a little bit on the top 10, I think that -- or even top 50 actually because I think one of the areas that Scott has done a fantastic job on has been really focused on the customers that matter to -- that -- where performance matters to them.

And so as a result, we spent a lot of time on that. And it's really timing, right? I mentioned that these initiatives -- different initiatives take different times, building a brand beyond top 50, making investments on kind of getting out there and doing this I guess selling beyond the top 50. That takes a little bit more time than it does with the top 50.

Kip Compton

Yes, I think that's right. I mean, obviously, our engagement with those top customers has been incredibly effective, and that's something we were able to put in place early on in Scott's tenure. And so we're seeing the results of that now. Engaging more tightly with those customers is something we could get in place fairly quickly. When you think about transforming our marketing engine with bringing in a new marketing leader. Obviously, that's going to take time to show results.

You think about international expansion with the new leadership team in APJ and changes in Latin America as well, where both areas where we see significant opportunities going forward that takes some time as well. And with partnerships, we talked about the Comcast 1 on the call today, but we have a number of other partnerships in the pipeline, and those can -- have a huge impact on the business, but they take time to develop. So I think it really is just these investments have different time scales, and we're pretty confident in the progress we're making in those investments, and we think that they will generate results over time.

Rudy Kessinger

Yes. Okay. Got it. And then secondly, everybody has been asking GTA 6, Q4. Any kind of commentary you can provide maybe just comparing it to the Fortnite download traffic you had Q4 last year, the World Cup just in terms of how much it could potentially generate in Q4 and just what all you have assumed in your guide at this point for it?

Kip Compton

Yes. I mean, GTA 6 a bunch of us are looking forward to it. But I'll turn it over to Rich to comment on how his team incorporated into the guide offered.

Richard Wong

Yes. The way we are looking at it, basically, we work pretty closely with our infrastructure team, making sure that we have the capacity to support the customers we have here. We do model it out based on a number of assumptions. So the assumptions that really drive kind of what goes into our model is really around initial download size, kind of the number of subsequent patches and the size of those patches kind of our share of wallet with those customers and their share of wallet on the GTA 6 distribution you can tell that there's a lot of assumptions that go behind it.

And we basically work very closely with our customers to really make that model and put it in. But as you can imagine, it is very episodic and it could be highly variable. I appreciate the question and the drill down here. I think that's all I can really say on the GTA 6 beyond GTA 6, I would say that other episodic areas that we think about and are factoring in. It's a little bit more known because it's happened in the past, which would be holiday shopping, NFL and then midterm elections, of course.

Yes, I think the other part of your question was GTA relative to like Fortnite and others. I would say that GTA from a download kind of assumption perspective, it is bigger. And of course, the number of downloads is a lot bigger, too. So it's definitely assumed to be bigger in our Q4 guide than Fortnite has been.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And our next question is going to come from the line of Jeff Van Rhee with Craig-Hallum Capital Group.

Daniel Hibshman

Rich, congrats on the quarter. This is Daniel on for Jeff. Maybe just in terms of the component upgrades you talked about in the network in terms of efficiency that you're thinking you can put through that way. I'm assuming what you're talking about there is that said, replacing servers wholesale, you can sort of selectively replace individual components and save on CapEx. Just is that something you've done before? Any thoughts on how meaningful that could be? Is that part of what already saved here in terms of the 2026 CapEx guidance coming down? Just any further thoughts or elaboration on that would be great.

Kip Compton

Yes. I'll comment, and then Rich can maybe comment on how it fits into the CapEx guide. Generally speaking, the capital that we spend on our network is to expand it. We generally do not have significant capital going to repair or upgrade existing servers. We're typically expanding it. There are cases, especially given the current supply chain issues around things like memory where we are looking at component upgrades that enable us to get more out of memory that we already have.

But in general, you should interpret the CapEx that we spend on our network as expanding our capacity. And now I'll also comment, though, that beyond the capital and growing the server and the network base, we regularly improve our software. And we've seen some significant improvements in our efficiency for various services this year. As services scale up, our engineering team looks at how they can make them more efficient and often that provides us with an advantage as well. But Rich, maybe you can comment on the CapEx guide.

Richard Wong

Yes. Our CapEx guide for the full year is now at 10%. I think in the prior, we had guided to 10% to 12%. I would say that from a network perspective, I think we're -- because we have one network that supports all of our products, we're just like a lot more efficient, and we can use a lot of off-the-shelf hardware. That gives us a lot of more flexibility in terms of how we kind of want to build out our network. And so whether it's going to be components or whether it's going to be wholesale servers across the board, we have flexibility in how we scale and grow.

And that's actually playing out. If you look at what we did for this past year, almost 70% of our CapEx was in the first half and we had chosen to do a combination of like regular wholesale purchases of server, we also chose to do some component upgrades. That actually helps us a lot on and I think it's because we have a software configured kind of infrastructure, and it makes us more efficient than our peers.

Daniel Hibshman

Yes. And then just one follow-up in terms of AI traffic and this use case that was discussed in particular on this call with a 7-figure win. Just when we talk about that as agentic traffic, just -- how does that work? So if this is primarily security, not delivery or compute, if I'm correct, that's what I got it from the call. If it's security, that primarily, I think it is on sort of a software subscription basis. Is it price based on volume of traffic. To what degree does sort of the volume of traffic drive the pricing relative to the sort of just being a flat subscription for this?

Kip Compton

I don't want to comment on any specific deal. Broadly speaking, the majority of our security revenue is based on subscriptions, but those subscriptions do increase in price based on the amount of volume of traffic that's covered by the subscription. So that does provide us with growth of revenue with the volume of traffic. But I don't know, Rich, if you have further insight.

Richard Wong

No, I think that's absolutely right. I mean I think it is pseudo subscription based on consumption, how much RPS request that we expect to kind of process for our customers.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of [indiscernible] with Piper Sandler.

Unknown Analyst

I know you guys aren't guiding out to 2027, but kind of given the transition here, how should we start thinking about kind of balancing investments with the go-to-market and increasing the product velocity with kind of profitability just kind of moving forward?

Richard Wong

Yes. I think that we had Investor Day in September, we laid out a framework out to 2029 that where we're targeting. I think with Scott's announcement today, nothing really kind of changes from -- or deviates from what we've talked about. We do think that we're going to continue to make investments in the right areas around product but also go to market and we want to continue the expansion in APAC and LatAm that we've talked about. So I don't think, from my perspective, anything really changes. We're looking longer term for that 2029 objectives and seeing how we get there. And so we're keeping kind of line in the ball and continue the same path that we're on.

Unknown Analyst

Got it. And really, I appreciate kind of the history of the multiproduct adoption here, some kind of big increases, especially with the 4-plus products. Can you talk about what's kind of driving that? And what are some ways that you can keep pushing that higher?

Unknown Executive

Yes. I think that what's driving it, I would say it really starts with a real good product offering. I think that from -- over the past kind of even 24 to 36 months, we've launched a number of products at parity or better than our peers. And so having that is very helpful in terms of existing customer base. But that alone doesn't do it, right? I think the investments we made on the go-to-market side, bringing in sellers who know how to sell security was really important, bringing in people who know how to do the platform approach and changing the way our commissions plan.

So I would say it's both the combination of having a broader product portfolio, combined with a real go-to-market motion adjusted for a platform approach is what's really driving it. I think that as I look forward, we've talked and announced some AI products as well. And I just think that we're on that trajectory where as we launch more products and as we get deeper with our customers and as we add more value, that opportunity just gets bigger and bigger for us.

Operator

Thank you. I would now like to hand the conference back over to Kip Compton for closing remarks.

Kip Compton

Thank you. I want to thank our Fastly employees for all of their contributions, our customers for their trust and partnership and our investors for their continued support and interest. Thank you, and have a great day.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.

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