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Teleconferência de Resultados do 3T26 da Central Pacific Financial (CPF): NIM Expande, LPA Atinge US$ 0,88

TradingKey28 de out de 2026 às 21:52
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A Central Pacific Financial Corp. registrou lucro líquido de US$ 22,8 milhões no 3º trimestre de 2026, com alta na receita líquida de juros e na margem de juros líquida, que atingiu 3,62%. A qualidade dos ativos permaneceu sólida, com redução nos ativos não performáticos. A administração projeta margem estável e crescimento controlado das despesas, mantendo foco na disciplina de crédito e recompra de ações.

Resumo gerado por IA

Principais Destaques

  • A Central Pacific Financial Corp. registrou lucro líquido de US$ 22,8 milhões no 3º trimestre de 2026, ou US$ 0,88 por ação diluída, acima dos US$ 20,8 milhões e US$ 0,80 do trimestre anterior.
  • A receita líquida de juros aumentou 2,6% na comparação trimestral e 5,2% na comparação anual, atingindo US$ 64,5 milhões. A margem de juros líquida expandiu para 3,62%, uma alta de 5 pontos-base na comparação trimestral e de 13 pontos-base na comparação anual.
  • O total de empréstimos somou US$ 5,31 bilhões, mantendo-se amplamente estável em relação ao trimestre anterior. A nova produção concedida teve uma taxa média ponderada de 6,26%, contra 5,72% nos saldos amortizados.
  • Os depósitos totalizaram US$ 6,66 bilhões, queda de 0,5% no trimestre, mas alta de 1,3% na comparação anual. Um recuo de US$ 49,2 milhões nos depósitos a prazo de maior custo ajudou a manter o custo médio total dos depósitos em 0,90%.
  • A qualidade dos ativos permaneceu sólida. Os ativos não performáticos caíram para US$ 14 milhões, ou 0,19% dos ativos totais, enquanto o índice de empréstimos classificados em risco (criticized loans) melhorou de 2,34% para 1,81%.
  • A administração projeta a margem de juros líquida do 4º trimestre de 2026 na faixa média de 3,60% e outras receitas operacionais em aproximadamente US$ 13 milhões.

Principais Dados Financeiros

Métrica3T26Variação / Comentários
Lucro líquidoUS$ 22,8 milhõesAcima dos US$ 20,8 milhões no 2T26
LPA diluídoUS$ 0,88Acima dos US$ 0,80 no 2T26
Retorno sobre o ativo médio1,22%Tendência contínua de rentabilidade favorável
Retorno sobre o patrimônio líquido médio15,28%Tendência contínua de rentabilidade favorável
Receita líquida de jurosUS$ 64,5 milhõesAlta de 2,6% t/t e 5,2% a/a
Margem de juros líquida3,62%Alta de 5 pb t/t e 13 pb a/a
Rendimento médio dos empréstimos5,01%Alta de 5 pb t/t
Custo médio total dos depósitos0,90%Estável t/t; o custo pontual de setembro foi de 0,91%
Outras receitas operacionaisUS$ 12,4 milhõesQueda em relação aos US$ 14,6 milhões, principalmente devido à menor receita de BOLI
Outras despesas operacionaisUS$ 44,8 milhõesQueda em relação aos US$ 46,2 milhões
Índice de eficiência58,3%Melhora em relação aos 59,6%
Total de empréstimosUS$ 5,31 bilhõesAlta de cerca de US$ 5 milhões t/t; queda de cerca de US$ 54 milhões a/a
Total de depósitosUS$ 6,66 bilhõesQueda de 0,5% t/t; alta de 1,3% a/a
Ativos não performáticosUS$ 14 milhões0,19% dos ativos totais
Provisão para perdas com créditoUS$ 59,8 milhões1,13% do total de empréstimos
Despesa de provisão para perdas com créditoUS$ 1,9 milhãoProvisão do 3T26

Desempenho Operacional e de Negócios

Os saldos de empréstimos permaneceram relativamente estáveis, mas a composição da carteira continuou a migrar para financiamentos imobiliários comerciais de taxa variável e crédito para construção civil. Essas categorias substituíram empréstimos habitacionais de taxa fixa de menor rendimento, crédito ao consumidor e home equity, melhorando o posicionamento do banco em relação às taxas de juros.

A produção concedida, excluindo linhas rotativas, totalizou aproximadamente US$ 229 milhões, em comparação com US$ 204 milhões em amortizações. A produção do 3T foi dividida quase igualmente entre o Havaí e o continente americano (Mainland). Os empréstimos no continente representavam 18% dos saldos totais ao final do trimestre.

A administração identificou aproximadamente US$ 224 milhões em 71 oportunidades de empréstimo agendadas para fechamento no 4T, ressaltando que esse pipeline não constitui uma previsão. Mais de um terço desse volume em dólares foi contratado em outubro.

A produção de crédito imobiliário residencial operava em cerca de um terço do seu nível normal devido às taxas de longo prazo elevadas. A administração está avaliando o crédito home equity como uma forma potencial de reduzir as amortizações, dado que muitos clientes mantêm hipotecas de primeiro grau com taxas baixas.

A composição dos depósitos melhorou com a queda de US$ 49,2 milhões nos depósitos a prazo de maior custo. Isso foi parcialmente compensado pelo crescimento de US$ 15,7 milhões em depósitos à vista remunerados e US$ 21,6 milhões em contas de poupança e money market. A empresa não registrou depósitos intermediados e descreveu sua base de depósitos como diversificada, granular e pautada pelo relacionamento.

Durante o trimestre, a CPF recomprou aproximadamente 294.000 ações por US$ 11,2 milhões a um preço médio de cerca de US$ 38. A autorização remanescente era de US$ 22 milhões. O conselho de administração também elevou o dividendo em dinheiro do 4T em 3,3%, para US$ 0,31 por ação.

Orientações da Administração

  • Margem de juros líquida no 4T: A administração projeta a NIM na faixa média de 3,60%. A repremificação de ativos deve continuar favorável, mas taxas de depósito mais altas podem compensar parte desse benefício.
  • Outras receitas operacionais no 4T: Aproximadamente US$ 13 milhões, sujeitas à volatilidade do mercado que afeta as receitas de seguros de vida de propriedade do banco (BOLI).
  • Despesas operacionais no ano todo: A administração prevê crescimento de cerca de 2% a 2,5%, na extremidade inferior de sua faixa de projeção anterior. Espera-se que as despesas do 4T aumentem sazonalmente devido a incentivos e atividades de fim de ano.
  • Alíquota efetiva de imposto normalizada: Aproximadamente 22% a 24%, com potencial variação decorrente da receita de BOLI. Possíveis créditos tributários adicionais não estão incluídos nas projeções.
  • Beta de depósitos: A administração projeta um beta total de depósitos em torno de 24%, ou aproximadamente 33% para depósitos remunerados.
  • Relação empréstimos/depósitos: O índice atual é de cerca de 80%, em comparação com a meta da administração de 80% a 85%.
  • Recompra de ações: A administração espera, em geral, recompras no 4T em ritmo semelhante ao do 3T, sujeitas ao crescimento de empréstimos, condições operacionais, valuation, AOCI e ao índice de patrimônio líquido tangível (TCE).

Riscos e Pontos de Atenção

As taxas de juros elevadas por mais tempo continuam a pressionar o setor de crédito imobiliário residencial e podem aumentar os custos de depósitos à medida que o crescimento dos empréstimos se fortalece. Aproximadamente US$ 410 milhões em certificados de depósito (CDs), ou cerca de 40% da carteira de CDs, vencem no 4T. A taxa média ponderada de vencimento é de cerca de 2,7%, em comparação com uma taxa nova combinada estimada em aproximadamente 3,0%.

A receita de BOLI e as despesas com remuneração diferida permanecem sensíveis à volatilidade do mercado de ações. A administração também está monitorando o crédito ao consumidor de perto devido às condições macroeconômicas e às taxas de juros elevadas.

Outros riscos identificados incluem conflitos geopolíticos, preços do petróleo, inflação, condições de viagem e intensa atividade de tempestades no Havaí. A administração afirmou que os efeitos das tempestades recentes foram isolados e não causaram impactos materiais para a empresa ou para seus clientes.

Destaques das Perguntas e Respostas com Analistas

A administração afirmou que os empréstimos no continente complementam, em vez de substituir, a franquia no Havaí. A produção no ano até o momento foi de aproximadamente US$ 380 milhões no Havaí e US$ 310 milhões no continente, embora as amortizações tenham permanecido mais altas no Havaí por se tratar da maior carteira.

A empresa está priorizando o retorno financeiro dos empréstimos em detrimento da expansão do balanço, focando em melhores preços, menor duração (duration), diversificação e seleção disciplinada de crédito. O fluxo de caixa trimestral de títulos é de cerca de US$ 30 milhões, com novas compras gerando um ganho de rendimento de 225 a 250 pontos-base. A amortização trimestral de empréstimos é de cerca de US$ 200 milhões, com taxas de reposição aproximadamente 50 a 60 pontos-base mais altas.

A administração espera que um crescimento líquido mais forte nos empréstimos exija a captação de depósitos adicionais, o que pode significar que o custo atual dos depósitos esteja próximo de uma mínima. No entanto, a empresa projeta que esse crescimento de captação continue sendo acretivo.

As tendências de crédito melhoraram durante o trimestre. A administração afirmou que 91% dos empréstimos classificados em risco estavam garantidos por imóveis com fortes índices de garantia sobre valor do imóvel (LTV), enquanto a carteira de crédito ao consumidor continua sendo a principal área a receber atenção adicional.

Transcrição Completa da Teleconferência de Resultados


Transcrição completa da teleconferência de resultados

Comentários da administração

Operator

Good morning and good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Central Pacific Financial Corp. Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions]. This call is being recorded and will be available for replay shortly after its completion on the company's website at www.cpb.bank.

I'd like to turn the call over to Mr. Jayrald Rabago, Senior Strategic Financial Officer. Please go ahead.

Jayrald Rabago

Thank you, Erica, and thank you all for joining us today to review Central Pacific Financial Corp.'s financial results for the third quarter of 2026. Joining me this morning are Arnold Martines, Chairman, President and Chief Executive Officer; David Morimoto, Vice Chair and Chief Operating Officer; Ralph Mesick, Vice Chair; Dayna Matsumoto, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; and Anna Hu, Executive Vice President and Chief Credit Officer.

Before we begin, I would like to remind everyone that our earnings release and supplemental slides are available on our Investor Relations website at ir.cbb.bank. During today's call, management may make forward-looking statements. These statements are based on current expectations and assumptions and are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. For a complete discussion of these risks, please refer to Slide 2 of our presentation.

With that, I will turn the call over to our Chairman, President and CEO, Arnold Martines.

Arnold Martines

Thank you, Jayrald, and hello to everyone joining us today. We delivered solid third quarter results driven by higher net interest income, disciplined expense management and continued balance sheet strength.

Our net interest margin expanded, supported by higher earning asset yields and stable deposit costs. Diluted earnings per share rose 21% compared with last year's third quarter results, which were adjusted to exclude onetime expenses.

Our performance reflects the resilience of our relationship-focused banking model and provides a sound foundation as we move into the fourth quarter. Our strategy remains focused on delivering sustainable returns as a high-performing bank while supporting our customers, communities and shareholders.

We continue to invest in talent, automation and data capabilities to support future operating efficiencies. At the same time, continued productivity gains and thoughtful resource allocation are helping us generate positive operating leverage.

Turning to the broader environment. Hawaii's economy remains resilient despite slower growth in the recent months due to storm-related travel disruptions. Through the first 8 months of 2026, visitor arrivals increased 1.8% and spending rose 4.1% compared with the prior year. Hawaii's unemployment rate remained low at 2.8% in September compared with 4.2% nationally.

Statewide nonfarm employment increased by 1,300 jobs year-over-year, including 700 jobs added in the construction industry, which continues to be a bright spot in the Hawaii economy. We continue to monitor external risks, including the geopolitical conflict and effects on oil prices, inflation and visitors to our state as well as impacts from the elevated storm activity Hawaii is experiencing this year.

We are committed to supporting our community as restoration and cleanup efforts continue. Overall, impacts were fortunately isolated, and we don't see any material impacts on our business or our customers.

With that, I will turn the call over to Dayna.

Dayna Matsumoto

Thank you, Arnold. We are pleased to report another solid quarter of earnings, reflecting the continued execution and diligence of our teams. For the third quarter, net income was $22.8 million or $0.88 per diluted share compared with $20.8 million or $0.80 per diluted share in the prior quarter.

Return on average assets was 1.22% and return on average equity was 15.28%. Our profitability metrics continue to trend favorably in line with our focus on high performance. Net interest income totaled $64.5 million for the quarter, up $1.6 million or 2.6% from the prior quarter and up $3.2 million or 5.2% from the year ago quarter.

Net interest margin increased 5 basis points from the prior quarter and 13 basis points from the year ago quarter to 3.62%. The sequential quarter increase in net interest income and margin was primarily driven by higher yields on loans and investment securities. Average loan yield increased 5 basis points to 5.01%, while the average rate paid on total deposits remained stable at 90 basis points. We continue to benefit from earning asset repricing and disciplined funding management.

Our balance sheet sensitivity position is neutral to slightly asset sensitive. Therefore, we are well positioned in the current rate environment. Fed rate hikes are modestly favorable as we've reduced our fixed rate asset exposures and we expect deposit pricing and betas to remain manageable.

For the fourth quarter, we expect NIM to be in the mid 3.60% range. Total other operating income was $12.4 million for the quarter compared with $14.6 million in the prior quarter. The sequential decrease was primarily due to a $2.4 million decline in our bank-owned life insurance income related to continued equity market volatility.

Total other operating expense was $44.8 million for the quarter compared with $46.2 million in the prior quarter. The sequential quarter decrease was primarily attributable to a $1.2 million reduction in salaries and employee benefits and a $1.0 million reduction in other expenses, both related to lower deferred compensation expenses driven by market volatility and offset by lower BOLI income.

The efficiency ratio improved to 58.3% from 59.6% in the prior quarter and continues to drive towards high performance with our ongoing focus on positive operating leverage. During the quarter, we repurchased approximately 294,000 shares for $11.2 million at an average price of about $38 per share.

At quarter end, $22 million remained available under our share repurchase authorization. Given our strong earnings, the Board increased the fourth quarter cash dividend by 3.3% to $0.31 per share. We continue to maintain a healthy capital position and remain committed to optimizing capital to enhance long-term shareholder value.

I will now turn the call over to Ralph.

Ralph Mesick

Thank you, Dayna. We continue to focus our lending activities on strengthening the earnings profile of the bank while maintaining pricing and credit discipline. We target good quality credit and emphasize sponsorship, structure and returns over volume.

Total loans ended the quarter at $5.31 billion, up approximately $5 million from the prior quarter and down approximately $54 million from a year ago. Average loans were essentially unchanged at $5.3 billion. While overall balances were relatively stable, portfolio mix continued to evolve, improving our interest rate position of our balance sheet.

As we've seen in previous quarters, growth in variable rate commercial mortgage and construction lending is replacing lower-yielding fixed rate residential mortgage, consumer and home equity loans. Funded production, excluding revolving activity, totaled approximately $229 million against $204 million of runoff. New production carried a weighted average rate of 6.26% compared with 5.72% on runoff balances, resulting in positive spread replacement.

From a geographic perspective, third quarter production was about 50% from Hawaii and 50% from the Mainland. At quarter end, Mainland loans represented 18% of total balances. Mainland balances increased by approximately $50 million during the quarter, while Hawaii balances declined by approximately $45 million.

In Hawaii, our emphasis remains on relationship-based lending that supports building deeper customer relationships. These types of relationships generate operating accounts and treasury management services as well as personal banking opportunities.

On the Mainland, we continue to selectively deploy excess funding, which will enhance portfolio diversification and increase risk-adjusted returns. Looking ahead, we are encouraged by pipeline activity. We have approximately $224 million in loan volume across 71 opportunities in the processing stages scheduled for fourth quarter closings.

I would emphasize that this represents scheduled pipeline activity rather than a forecast. The actual pull-through and timing of closings may differ, but we booked more than 1/3 of that production in dollars during the month of October.

Finally, we're well aware of the uncertainty and headwinds impacting the local and national economy, but continue to be biased towards business development and growth. We'll be intentional and disciplined in this pursuit, allocating capital to opportunities that strengthen the earnings power of the bank and the resilience of our balance sheet.

And with that, I'll turn the call over to David.

David Morimoto

Thank you, Ralph. Total deposits ended the quarter at $6.66 billion, down $31.9 million or 0.5% from the prior quarter and up $86.2 million or 1.3% from the prior year.

The quarterly decline was due to a $49.2 million reduction in higher cost time deposits. This was partially offset by growth of $15.7 million in interest-bearing demand deposits and $21.6 million in savings and money market balances.

On an average balance basis, noninterest-bearing deposits increased $10.9 million, while savings and money market balances increased $39.2 million, reflecting our continued focus on primary operating accounts and deeper customer relationships.

Our deposit franchise continues to reflect the strength of our consumer, business and international relationships. Deposits remain well diversified and granular, supported by long-tenured customers, low reliance on public time deposits and no broker deposits. We also continue to invest in the customer experience and operating efficiency across our digital, branch, data and operations platforms.

Recent work on our customer relationship management and data platform initiatives are strengthening service, insight and scalability. Our focus remains on new customer acquisition, increasing primary relationships and connecting our full range of capabilities to serve customers more fully.

With that, I'll turn the call over to Anna.

Anna Hu

Thank you, David. Asset quality remained strong at quarter end. Nonperforming assets declined to $14 million or 19 basis points of total assets, while net charge-offs remained flat at $2.7 million or 20 basis points of average loans.

Criticized loan ratio improved to 181 basis points of total loans from 234 basis points in the prior quarter. 91% of criticized loans are real estate secured with strong loan-to-value ratios. The allowance for credit losses was $59.8 million or 1.13% of total loans, relatively stable from 1.14% in the prior quarter. The provision for credit losses totaled $1.9 million for the quarter.

Overall, our credit quality remains strong with our lending and credit risk strategy focused on diversification, consistent underwriting standards, strong collateral and on stable segments and industries that we have solid expertise in.

I will now turn the call back to Arnold for closing comments.

Arnold Martines

Thank you, Anna. To summarize, we are pleased with our third quarter earnings performance, which continued to trend favorably and reflect the strong execution of our team. These results position us to serve our customers well, support prudent growth and navigate the ongoing market uncertainties with discipline.

I want to thank our employees for their continued commitment to our customers and our communities. Thank you also to our customers, shareholders and our broader community for your ongoing support. We are now happy to answer your questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. Your first question comes from the line of David Feaster with Raymond James.

Perguntas e respostas

David Feaster

I wanted to start on the growth side. It sounds like demand is holding up well. Pipelines are doing all right, and it sounds like you're still pulling things through. I'm just curious, how is demand from your perspective? Like I mean, as you talk to your clients about higher rates, have you seen any shift in demand? Are you concerned at all about anything starting to fall out of the pipeline?

And then just touch on the paydown activity. It sounds like that's really been the biggest inhibitor to faster growth, but just wanted to get your sense on that side.

Ralph Mesick

Yes, David, this is Ralph. I would say in terms of the forecast, the best forecast we have right now is what we have in the pipeline and the pipeline looks fairly healthy. As you probably are aware, we do underwrite loans to the higher rate environment.

We also look at that relative to our asset monitoring of our portfolio. I would say in terms of activity, Mainland lending is really supplementing not replacing the Hawaii franchise. We generated, I think, about $380 million in production in Hawaii this year against about, say, $310 million in the Mainland. And then the runoff is greater in Hawaii because it's basically a larger portfolio.

David Feaster

Okay. And when I look at it, it's -- a lot of the runoff is in kind of the resi mortgage and home equity lines. Could you touch on the mortgage market and the housing market from your perspective? How much of that is intentional and strategic, just kind of optimizing the loan book and rotating towards more CRE and commercial? And just again, kind of how you're seeing pricing trending today?

David Morimoto

David, it's David. On the first mortgage side, residential mortgage, obviously, that faces a lot of headwinds just because of the rate environment. So no different than the rest of the industry. And with the recent rise in longer-term rates, it's going to continue to face headwinds.

I think it's running at about 1/3 of what it normally would have been running on as far as production and we expect that to continue. The home equity is a potential opportunity. It is a product that we are taking a harder look at and seeing if there's opportunity to at least diminish the runoff, if not have some net growth in that portfolio.

As people have -- a lot of people have first mortgages at very low interest rates, they're not looking to refi that. So the way that they can access their equity is through the home equity product.

Ralph Mesick

I would add, David, that we're really trying to improve the economics of our loan portfolio, not really just pursuing balance sheet growth. So what you're going to see, I think, and what you've seen our priorities are better pricing, shorter duration, some diversification. And then I'd say continued sort of, I'd say, disciplined credit selection.

David Feaster

Okay. Okay. And maybe on the other side of the balance sheet, right? I mean, touching on funding, it's pretty impressive what you are able to do. I mean, reducing CDs, able to replace that with some core deposits, keep deposit costs flat. Could you just touch on how do you think about core deposit growth as we look forward? How pricing is trending and just kind of the competitive landscape for funding on the islands?

David Morimoto

David, it's David again. First off, I want to thank the teams. The teams have been doing an exceptional job with continuing to build core deposits, and that's what's led us to be able to keep -- to manage deposit costs over time. I think as we look forward, we are expecting strengthening loan growth, net loan growth and as a result, that likely will cause total deposit costs to -- this might be a trough going forward.

If we start to see loan growth, we'll look to start growing our deposits and that may result in slight increases in total deposit costs. Having said all of that, that is what we're looking to do, and that will be accretive growth. So I would think that's how we're looking at the deposit side. We've been very deliberate about our managing of our deposit base because of the lack -- not lack, but the minimal amount of loan growth. But going forward, we think that's going to change.

Operator

The next question comes from the line of Matthew Clark with Piper Sandler.

Matthew Clark

Just along those lines, maybe, Dayna, if you had the spot rate on deposits at the end of September. And just thinking through the beta, assuming we get maybe a rate hike in December and March. I think on the way down, you were about 35% for interest-bearing. Do you think you can kind of -- do you think you do something similar? Or do you think you can do a little better than that on the way up?

Dayna Matsumoto

Sure. Matthew, thanks for the question. On the spot rate for the month of September, our total deposit cost was 91 basis points, so starting to tick up slightly there. As far as the betas, we believe we can manage the deposit repricing beta in a favorable range, similar to what we've experienced in the last couple of cycles. So I'm expecting a total deposit beta of around 24% or about 33% on total interest-bearing deposits. Our depositors are relationship-based, sticky and generally less rate sensitive overall. So I feel good that we can manage the beta in a reasonable range.

Matthew Clark

Great. And then just on the CD side, down this quarter. It sounded like some of it was higher cost. Can you just update us on the amount of CDs you have maturing here in the fourth quarter and the roll-off and roll-on rates that you anticipate?

Dayna Matsumoto

Sure. In the fourth quarter, we have about $410 million of CD maturity. That's about 40% of our portfolio. That's running off at a weighted average rate of about 2.7%. And I believe our new CD rates on a blended basis, I estimate it to be approximately 3.0%. So a nominal rise in our CD costs going forward, but we can manage through that.

Matthew Clark

Got it. Okay. That's helpful. And then on the fee and expense run rate, I apologize if I missed it in your prepared comments if you spoke to kind of a run rate going forward, but just trying to think of a normalized fee income and noninterest expense run rate for the fourth quarter when you kind of distill the BOLI noise.

Dayna Matsumoto

Sure, Matthew. On the fee income side, when we carve out that BOLI noise, like you said, our noninterest income continues to do well on the wealth side. Our teams have been successful there growing the business. Mortgage banking, though, will be under pressure in this current higher for longer rate environment.

So considering these factors, I'm expecting that our total other operating income to be generally flattish year-over-year, but it will depend on further market volatility impacting our BOLI. And then just for the fourth quarter, if you're looking at that specifically, probably in about the $13 million range.

And then on expenses, Matthew, our -- we continue to manage our expense base well. And like I said, our objective is to consistently deliver positive operating leverage. The guidance for the full year, I updated it to expect an increase of about 2% to 2.5% this year, which is on the low end of the range that I had previously guided to.

In the fourth quarter, we do typically see some seasonal step-up in expenses related to incentives and some other year-end activities. And then as you know, our deferred compensation expense continues to be volatile, but we assume that it will normalize in the fourth quarter.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Andrew Liesch with StoneX Financial.

Your next question comes from the line of Kelly Motta with KBW.

Kelly Motta

It was a nice clean quarter. I feel like most of mine have been taken at this point. I guess as you look ahead, it seems like growth has been a little bit more muted with more coming from the Mainland. I'm wondering if you can supplement kind of what you're seeing in natural Hawaii for maybe more Mainland growth coming on. I'm just wondering how you guys are viewing that portion of the business.

Ralph Mesick

Kelly, I think I got your question. You were a little soft, but I think right now, we're running about 50-50 between Hawaii and the Mainland. And I think just through this first month of the quarter, that's kind of the mix right now. So again, if we continue to run off some of the fixed rate long-duration assets, we're probably going to see fairly muted growth.

Kelly Motta

Got it. That's helpful. And maybe just a housekeeping item for Dayna. Dayna, do you have your expected tax rate? It came in a little higher than where it was for the quarter?

Dayna Matsumoto

Sure, Kelly. On the tax rate, so the increase this quarter was due to less tax-exempt BOLI income as well as higher pretax book income. Going forward, I would expect our normalized ETR to be around 22% to 24%. The BOLI income has been volatile, so that could impact it. And then I'll lastly note that we are evaluating some potential additional tax credits, which would be favorable to our tax rate. But right now, I'm not building it into the guidance.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Andrew Liesch with StoneX Financial.

Andrew Liesch

Okay. No, my question is really just on the margin guide. I mean I see the repricing engine that's still flowing through, hear the asset sensitivity or the modest asset sensitivity. So why wouldn't the guide be closer to the high 3.60s rather than the mid-3.60s?

Dayna Matsumoto

Andrew, it's Dayna. So on the go-forward margin, you're correct about the factors that are -- will be favorable to the margin going forward. We will continue to have the positive asset back book cash flow repricing benefits on both the loans and the securities.

And then our balance sheet sensitivity, as I noted earlier, is neutral to slightly asset sensitive. So there could be a slight net positive for us there. But I will note loan yields are going up. But on the deposit side, those rates will also be going up, offsetting some of those benefits.

So those are the factors that are kind of influencing our margin outlook. Yes, as we head into next year, I think there is more potential upside on the margin to the extent we are able to drive more loan growth and assuming that pricing remains rational, but we're not providing guidance for 2027 at this point.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Liam Coohill with Hovde Group.

Liam Coohill

So to touch on deposits one more time, great to see the replacement of some higher cost funding in the quarter for some lower cost core deposits. But I was wondering, is there a loan-to-deposit ratio you're targeting as we're thinking about potential loan growth in the future and funding that with deposits?

Dayna Matsumoto

Liam, this is Dayna. On the loan-to-deposit ratio, we're currently at about 80%. Our target range, I would say, is about 80% to 85%. So we're on the lower end of that. I think that gives us a lot of flexibility to grow the balance sheet, and we plan to do that in a profitable way.

Liam Coohill

That's very helpful. Let's jump to credit quickly. Are there any verticals where you're watching dynamics more closely? I mean it looks like credit improved pretty nicely in the quarter, but just curious if you have any thoughts there.

Anna Hu

I think -- Liam, this is Anna. Where we're primarily focused on is just paying attention a little bit more to the consumer market, just given the macroeconomic market conditions, the higher interest rates for longer. Yes, it's mostly the consumer side.

Liam Coohill

That makes sense. And final question for me, just more of a housekeeping item. Moving forward, do you expect share repurchases likely continue in your current levels?

Dayna Matsumoto

Liam, I can take that one. This is Dayna. So we do have the repurchase program with some authorization left, as I noted. This does give us flexibility, which we like. It's a low-risk source of value. But as I've said in prior quarters, the level of repurchases in any given quarter, it will continue to be dynamic and informed by several factors, including loan growth opportunities, the operating environment, other risk considerations, our valuation as well as we are watching our AOCI and TCE ratio. But with all of that said, as of now, I generally expect we will continue share repurchases at a roughly similar pace in the fourth quarter as we did in the third quarter.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Matthew Clark with Piper Sandler.

Matthew Clark

Since we're digging into the margin a little bit more there in the Q&A, Dayna, can you just remind us of the securities cash flows that are coming off the portfolio roll off and expected roll-on rates?

And then same thing on the loan side. I think the payoffs and new production, roughly, I think, a 50 basis point pickup there, but just also want to think through the back book repricing on the loan side.

Dayna Matsumoto

Sure, Matthew. On the securities portfolio, the cash flows on a quarterly basis is about $30 million a quarter. And we've been getting about, I'd say, 225 to 250 basis points yield pickup on our new securities purchases. On the loan portfolio, it's about $200 million in total quarterly runoff. And as you mentioned, it is being replaced at weighted average yields that are around 50 to 60 basis points higher.

Operator

[Operator Instructions]. There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back to Mr. Jayrald Rabago.

Jayrald Rabago

Thank you, everyone, for joining us today and for your continued interest in Central Pacific Financial Corp. We look forward to speaking with you again next quarter.

Operator

This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.

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