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FACTBOX-Wells Fargo lifts end-2026 target for gold to $6,100-$6,300/oz

ReutersFeb 4, 2026 4:58 PM

- Wells Fargo Investment Institute (WFII) has raised its end-2026 gold price target to $6,100–$6,300 an ounce, citing expectations of lower short-term interest rates and sustained central bank demand, it said in a note on Wednesday.

The bank had previously projected year-end prices in a range of $4,500–$4,700.

Spot gold is currently trading around $4,920 per ounce after touching a record high of $5,594.82 on January 29. Prices have gained about 14% so far this year after rising over 64% last year.

"The prospect for lower short-term interest rates and the potential to hedge against accelerating policy surprises prompt us to raise our 2026 gold target," WFII said, adding that such conditions should encourage further central-bank buying.

However, WFII noted that central-bank purchases slowed in 2025 even as retail buying surged, especially into exchange-traded funds.

Historically, retail investors often include speculators who may sell quickly on headlines, the bank said. Spot gold fell 9% in a single session on January 30 after news emerged about a nominee for the chair of the U.S. Federal Reserve.

Following is a list of analysts' latest gold price forecasts (in $ per ounce):

Brokerage/Agency

Annual Price Forecast

Price Targets

Forecast as of

2026

Wells Fargo Investment Institute*

Expects $6,100-$6,300 by end of 2026

February 4, 2026

J.P. Morgan

$6,300

Expects prices reaching $6,300 by 4Q26

February 2, 2026

UBS

-

Raises target to $6,200 for March,

June, and September 2026

January 29, 2026

Deutsche Bank

$5,500

$6,000 in 2026

January 26, 2026

Societe Generale

-

$6,000 by the end of 2026

January 26, 2026

Morgan Stanley

$4,600

Bull case is $5,700 for second half of 2026

January 23, 2026

Goldman Sachs

-

$5,400 by December 2026

January 22, 2026

Citi Research

$5,000

Raises 0-3 month price target to $5,000

January 13, 2026

HSBC

$4,587

$4,450 by year-end 2026

January 8, 2026

ANZ

$4,445

$4,400 by year-end and $4,600 by June 2026

October 16, 2025

Bank of America

$4,438

2026 gold outlook raised to $5,000

October 13, 2025

Standard Chartered

$4,488

-

October 13, 2025

Commerzbank

$4,900

$4,800 by mid-2026

January 13, 2026

*end-of-period forecasts

Disclaimer: The information provided on this website is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.

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