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Street View: Brokerages hopeful of sales revival in Australia's Lovisa post dour trading update

ReutersNov 23, 2025 7:53 PM

Lovisa Holdings LOV.AX on Friday logged global comparable store sales growth of 3.5% in first 20 weeks of FY26

Jewellery retailer's sales growth misses VA consensus estimate of 5.3% growth for 1H26

Comparable sales growth for first 20 weeks of FY26 also weakens compared to 5.6% growth in first 8 weeks of same fiscal

Stock closed down 13.8% at A$30.02 on Friday, its lowest level since July 3

Lovisa slightly down 0.5% so far this year, as of last close

BROKERAGES CUT EARNINGS VIEW, BUT SEE POTENTIAL FOR REBOUND

Jefferies trims PT to A$33.4 from A$37, also cuts revenue estimate by 2% for fiscals 2026-2028 each citing insipid consumer conditions

Brokerage, however, continues to view co as a "quality retail growth story", with a highly differentiated business model

Citi cuts TP by 10% to A$38.45 but maintains "buy" rating on expectations of improving comparable sales

Brokerage flags, however, that the benefits anticipated from rival Claire's disruption and co's store refurbishments may take longer than anticipated

Morningstar lowers revenue forecast by 3% for fiscal 2026, but forecasts sales momentum to rebound with average same-store-sales of 4% in FY26 on the expectation of global store network expanding; maintains fair value estimate A$26

Analysts on average rate the stock "hold"; their median PT is A$38.03 - LSEG data

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