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GLOBAL MARKETS-Stocks stabilise, gold hits record before Trump tariff reveal

ReutersApr 1, 2025 2:28 AM
  • Bond yields fall, yen gains as safe havens garner demand
  • Oil eases from 5-week high as traders weigh slowdown risks
  • Aussie slips ahead of RBA monetary policy decision
  • Spot gold hits record high at $3,139.78 per ounce

By Kevin Buckland

- Asian equities rose on Tuesday following Wall Street's overnight gains, while gold hit an all-time peak and Treasury yields fell as markets awaited details of U.S. President Donald Trump's reciprocal tariffs.

The Japanese yen strengthened as traditional haven assets drew demand. Meanwhile, the risk-sensitive Australian dollar was under pressure after a soft reading of local retail sales, ahead of a Reserve Bank of Australia policy decision later in the day.

Regional stocks found some respite on the first day of April after being battered in March by worries that Trump's trade war could trigger stagflation or even a U.S. recession.

Investors are nervously awaiting April 2, a day Trump has dubbed "Liberation Day", when he has promised to unveil a massive reciprocal tariff plan.

Japan's Nikkei .N225 rose 0.7%, South Korea's KOSPI .KS11 advanced 1.4% and Taiwan's equity benchmark .TWII climbed 1.7%, following steep drops on Monday.

Hong Kong's Hang Seng .HSI gained 1%, while mainland Chinese blue chips .CSI300 edged 0.1% higher.

The U.S. S&P 500 .SPX gained 0.55% on Monday, snapping a three-day losing run, but futures EScv1 pointed 0.54% lower.

"It is possible that a significant portion of last night's rebound in the key (Wall Street) indices was attributable to month-end and quarter-end rebalancing flows, as well as short covering ahead of Trump's Liberation Day, amid considerable uncertainty about what comes next," said Tony Sycamore, an analyst at IG.

"U.S. equity markets are priced for a slowdown in growth and earnings. However, they are not priced for a recession, and if the U.S. economy enters recession, U.S. stock markets could easily fall by another 10%."

Bullion powered to a record high for a fourth straight session, hitting $3,139.78 per ounce.

"On top of general risk aversion, investors are increasing allocation to gold with the Trump administration's trade policy threatening the dollar's special reserve status," said Kyle Rodda, senior financial markets analyst at Capital.com.

"The fundamental backdrop remains strong for gold."

DOLLAR UNDER PRESSURE

Demand for the safety of Treasuries sent yields lower on Tuesday, with those on benchmark 10-year notes US10YT=RR sinking some 4 basis points to 4.2072%.

That put pressure on the dollar, which slipped 0.19% to 149.70 yen JPY=EBS. The euro EUR=EBS added 0.08% to $1.0825.

However the dollar edged up against the currencies of some of its top trading partners, adding 0.08% to C$1.4398 CAD=D3 and rising by the same margin to 20.4751 Mexican pesos MXN=.

The Aussie AUD=D3 slipped 0.18% to $0.6238.

The RBA is widely expected to keep interest rates steady, but with conditions falling into place for a cut, traders will be looking for hints that a reduction could be coming in May.

Bitcoin BTC= was steady at around $82,708.

Oil prices dipped slightly from a five-week high as traders weighed the impact of a trade war on global growth. Brent LCOc1 eased 0.1% to $74.67 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude CLc1 fell by the same margin to $71.37.

Both crude contracts had jumped about 2% on Monday after Trump threatened secondary tariffs on Russian crude and on Iran. He also threatened Iran with bombing if Tehran did not come to an agreement with Washington over its nuclear programme.

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