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BUZZ-BofA sees fortunes to reverse for Nordic banks in 2025

ReutersFeb 19, 2025 11:58 AM

BofA Global Research says Nordic banks' fourth quarter net interest income (NII) is "saved again" by temporary effects, but sees fortunes to reverse in 2025

The broker cuts 2025 NII by 1.2% on average for Swedish banks as the 2024 temporary boost reverses in 2025 partly offset by higher rate expectations

Norway is the clear outlier with loan growth rebounding, driven by the business segment versus negative business sentiment in the other Nordic countries, it says

Yield profiles of Nordic banks remain mostly unimpressive versus Europe until extra buffers come down, it adds

BofA double upgrades DNB DNB.OL to "buy" on improved NII dynamics with fading market rate cut expectations and surging loan growth in Norway

It downgrades Swedbank SWEDa.ST to "underperform" from "neutral" as all positives are priced in, while seeing the strongest NII pressure in the Nordics

The broker maintains "buy" on Danske DANSKE.CO, "neutral" on Nordea, and "underperform" on Svenska Handelsbanken SHBa.ST, and SEB SEBa.ST

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