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EMERGING MARKETS-Trump tariff delays boost Asian currencies and stock markets

ReutersFeb 4, 2025 4:04 AM
  • Malaysian ringgit adds 0.5%
  • Thai baht slips 0.1%
  • Philippine stocks add 0.4%

By Rishav Chatterjee

- Major Asian currencies and stock markets recouped losses on Tuesday, as investor sentiment improved after U.S. President Donald Trump postponed tariffs on Canada and Mexico for a month and said he would hold further talks with China.

The Malaysian ringgit MYR= and Indonesian rupiah IDR= climbed 0.5% and 0.4% respectively while the Taiwan dollar TWD=TP and South Korean won KRW=KFTC added 0.1% and 0.2% each.

The reversal in market sentiment comes as Trump delayed 25% tariffs against Mexico and Canada after the two countries' leaders said they would bolster border enforcement efforts.

Trump's press secretary said the president would speak with Chinese President Xi Jinping in the next couple of days. Tariffs on China are due to come into effect at 0501 GMT on Tuesday.

Asian currencies had slumped on Monday amid fears of a trade war as Trump threatened tariffs on imports from the United States' three biggest trade partners.

The Singapore dollar SGD= and the Thai baht THB=TH were little changed on Tuesday against the dollar, which held steady.

"Tariffs against Canada and Mexico are likely just negotiation tools and should not be viewed as how Trump intends to wield tariffs to handle trade with the U.S. more broadly," said Eugene Leow, senior rates strategist at DBS.

"We suspect that a more systematic tariff policy would be mooted in March/April."

Asian shares climbed, with stocks in Manila .PSI rising the most - and set for a second consecutive day of gains - after the central bank governor hinted last week at a further cut in interest rates when officials meet later this month.

Philippine stocks had fallen for five straight days, reflecting rising concern about the global economy and a growth slowdown at home.

The benchmark slipped 4% last Friday to its lowest close since October 2022.

Analysts at Citi expect the Philippine central bank to cut rates by 25 basis points on Feb. 13.

Citi expects the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) to hold steady in April before cutting again in June and August, partly due to the potential increase in U.S. tariffs and its impact on global trade and USD/PHP, coupled with the Federal Reserve's rate cut decisions and mid-term election campaigning at home.

Other stock markets including Indonesia .JKSE, Malaysia .KLSE and Taiwan .TWII climbed between 0.5% and 1.1%.

HIGHLIGHTS:

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Thai EV output set to jump

Asian currencies and stocks as 0301 GMT

COUNTRY

FX RIC

FX DAILY %

FX YTD %

INDEX

STOCKS DAILY %

STOCKS YTD %

Japan

JPY=

-0.24

+1.32

.N225

1.61

-0.42

China

CNY=CFXS

-

-

.SSEC

-

-

India

INR=IN

+0.00

-1.80

.NSEI

0.00

-1.20

Indonesia

IDR=

+0.43

-1.65

.JKSE

1.12

0.41

Malaysia

MYR=

+0.45

+0.40

.KLSE

0.52

-4.91

Philippines

PHP=

+0.23

-0.47

.PSI

2.46

-7.67

S.Korea

KRW=KFTC

+0.16

+0.86

.KS11

1.62

3.93

Singapore

SGD=

+0.02

+0.48

.STI

0.14

1.17

Taiwan

TWD=TP

+0.05

-0.51

.TWII

0.85

-0.64

Thailand

THB=TH

-0.02

+1.43

.SETI

0.51

-6.37

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