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Canada's Aris Mining posts rise in Q4 revenue; forecasts higher 2026 output

ReutersMar 11, 2026 9:15 PM


Overview

  • Canada gold miner's Q4 revenue and adjusted net earnings rose sharply year-over-year

  • Gold production in 2025 up 22% from prior year

  • Company expects 2026 gold output to rise to 300,000–350,000 ounces


Outlook

  • Aris Mining expects 2026 gold production between 300,000 and 350,000 oz

  • Company sees Segovia 2026 gold output at 265,000–300,000 oz

  • Aris Mining expects Marmato 2026 gold production at 35,000–50,000 oz


Result Drivers

  • SEGOVIA EXPANSION - Ramp-up of second mill at Segovia increased tonnes milled and gold grades, boosting annual production

  • MARMATO PERFORMANCE - Stable throughput and higher average gold grades at Marmato drove a 23% production increase in 2025


Company press release: ID:nBwbh3bjya


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q4 Adjusted Net Income

$94.1 mln

Q4 Net Income

$50.9 mln

Q4 Adjusted EBITDA

Miss

$168 mln

$178.60 mln (1 Analyst)

Q4 EBITDA

$120.4 mln


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 4 "strong buy" or "buy", no "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the gold peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Aris Mining Corp is C$32.00, about 19.9% above its March 11 closing price of C$26.69

  • The stock recently traded at 9 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 6 three months ago


For questions concerning the data in this report, contact Estimates.Support@lseg.com. For any other questions or feedback, contact reuters.support@thomsonreuters.com.

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