Overview
Canada gold miner's Q4 revenue and adjusted net earnings rose sharply year-over-year
Gold production in 2025 up 22% from prior year
Company expects 2026 gold output to rise to 300,000–350,000 ounces
Outlook
Aris Mining expects 2026 gold production between 300,000 and 350,000 oz
Company sees Segovia 2026 gold output at 265,000–300,000 oz
Aris Mining expects Marmato 2026 gold production at 35,000–50,000 oz
Result Drivers
SEGOVIA EXPANSION - Ramp-up of second mill at Segovia increased tonnes milled and gold grades, boosting annual production
MARMATO PERFORMANCE - Stable throughput and higher average gold grades at Marmato drove a 23% production increase in 2025
Company press release: ID:nBwbh3bjya
Key Details
Metric | Beat/Miss | Actual | Consensus Estimate |
Q4 Adjusted Net Income |
| $94.1 mln |
|
Q4 Net Income |
| $50.9 mln |
|
Q4 Adjusted EBITDA | Miss | $168 mln | $178.60 mln (1 Analyst) |
Q4 EBITDA |
| $120.4 mln |
|
Analyst Coverage
The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 4 "strong buy" or "buy", no "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"
The average consensus recommendation for the gold peer group is "buy"
Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Aris Mining Corp is C$32.00, about 19.9% above its March 11 closing price of C$26.69
The stock recently traded at 9 times the next 12-month earnings vs. a P/E of 6 three months ago
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