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Specialty alcohols and renewable fuels distributor Alto Ingredients' Q2 sales miss estimates

ReutersAug 6, 2025 9:10 PM


Overview

  • Alto Ingredients Q2 sales fell 8% yr/yr, missing analyst expectations, per LSEG data

  • Adjusted EBITDA for Q2 was negative, missing analyst expectations, per LSEG data

  • Company attributes financial challenges to market conditions and operational disruptions


Outlook

  • Alto Ingredients expects 45Z credit extension to improve earnings profile

  • Company plans to apply for credits up to $18 mln in two years

  • Alto Ingredients to increase CO2 utilization at Pekin and Columbia


Result Drivers

  • OPERATIONAL DISRUPTIONS - Loading dock outage at Pekin partially offset by selling higher-margin ISCC export products into Europe

  • STRATEGIC DECISIONS - Cold-idling Magic Valley facility due to adverse market factors and acquiring liquid CO2 facility positively impacted Western assets

  • REGULATORY DEVELOPMENTS - Extension of 45Z credit through 2029 improves earnings profile and offers potential credits for two plants


Key Details

Metric

Beat/Miss

Actual

Consensus Estimate

Q2 Sales

Miss

$218.40 mln

$223.60 mln (2 Analysts)

Q2 EPS

-$0.15

Q2 Net Income

-$11.30 mln

Q2 Adjusted EBITDA

Miss

-$200,000

$4.27 mln (2 Analysts)


Analyst Coverage

  • The current average analyst rating on the shares is "buy" and the breakdown of recommendations is 2 "strong buy" or "buy", no "hold" and no "sell" or "strong sell"

  • The average consensus recommendation for the renewable fuels peer group is "buy"

  • Wall Street's median 12-month price target for Alto Ingredients Inc is $4.00, about 74% above its August 5 closing price of $1.04

Press Release: ID:nGNXbdghH0

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