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FOREX-Dollar flat after inflation data, yen set for strong weekly gain

ReutersFeb 13, 2026 4:52 PM
  • US inflation increase less than expected in January
  • Dollar index rises by set for weekly loss
  • Yen poised for strongest weekly gain in a year
  • Euro falls but still set for weekly rise against dollar

By Chibuike Oguh

- The U.S. dollar was mostly flat against peer currencies on Friday after data showed a less-than-expected increase in inflation in January, suggesting the Federal Reserve could continue to hold rates steady in the near term.

The Japanese yen was set for its strongest weekly gain in a year.

U.S. Labor Department data on Friday showed that the consumer price index rose 0.2% last month compared with an estimate of 0.3% from economists polled by Reuters.

The euro EUR= was 0.07% lower at $1.1863 against the dollar, but was set to gain 0.4% this week. Against the Swiss franc CHF=, the dollar weakened 0.13% to 0.7684 and was on course for a weekly loss of 0.95%.

The dollar's behavior reflects market positioning as it awaits fresh central bank signals on the direction of interest rates, said Olivier Bellemare, senior derivatives trader at Monex Canada in Montreal.

MARKET REACTION IS 'TIMID'

Earlier this week, data suggested the U.S. labor market was stabilizing with a drop in the U.S. unemployment rate amid strong jobs growth in January and a less-than-expected decrease in the number of Americans filing new applications for unemployment.

"The market reaction to the data was timid at best and the moves were mostly tactical," Bellemare said.

The dollar index =USD edged higher by 0.02% to 96.95, on track to shed 0.73% for the week.

The yen JPY= has dominated activity in the foreign exchange market this week, after Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi's historic election win allayed some investor worries about the government's finances.

YEN'S STRONGEST PERFORMANCE IN A YEAR

The yen was still headed for a gain of 2.64% for the week, its largest rise since February last year, although it was down 0.15% on the day at 153.08.

The yen was down 0.14% against the euro EURJPY= but still was headed for a 2.27% weekly jump against the single currency, its strongest performance in a year.

"Over the longer term, yen‑weakening risks remain firmly in place," said Bank of America Global Research analysts led by Claudio Piron in an investor note. "But in the near term, the combination of potential intervention and scope for the market to further price-in Bank of Japan hikes at the March and April meetings skews the risk‑reward for USD/JPY to the downside."

The Australian dollar AUD=, the top-performing major currency of 2026 so far after soaring in recent weeks on a hawkish Reserve Bank of Australia, was down 0.47% at $0.705, but still headed for a 0.66% gain this week.

The Canadian dollar CAD= strengthened 0.01% versus the greenback to C$1.361 per dollar, still set to drop 0.45% for the week.

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