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Analysts tick up Mexico end-2025 growth forecast

ReutersSep 1, 2025 3:14 PM

- Private sector analysts polled by Mexico's central bank last month saw Mexico's economy growing slightly more in 2025 than they had forecast a month prior, according to the survey published on Monday.

Analysts also expect Mexico's peso currency to close the year at 19.50 pesos per dollar, stronger than their previous estimate in July but nevertheless forecasting that the peso will ultimately end the year weaker than its current level.

July

August

Inflation, end year pct

2025

4.04

3.97

2026

3.75

3.70

Core inflation, end year

2025

4.12

4.11

2026

3.72

3.72

Economic growth, annual pct

2025

0.30

0.40

2026

1.37

1.40

Peso-dollar rate, end yr

2025

19.80

19.50

2026

20.24

20.00

Interbank lending rate

2025

7.50

7.25

2026

6.75

6.75

The survey of 45 analysts was taken between August 18-28. The values shown are medians.

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