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CEE MARKETS-Central Europe's currencies dip after holiday, watching dollar

ReutersApr 22, 2025 9:25 AM

- The Polish zloty and Hungarian forint fell back into ranges on Tuesday, adjusting after a long holiday weekend, although central Europe's currencies looked to win back recent losses with the U.S. dollar on the back foot.

The dollar fell to multi-year lows against the euro, central Europe's main reference currency, with U.S. President Donald Trump's attacks on the Federal Reserve lifting concerns about the central bank's independence and adding to market uncertainty already clouded by global trade wars.

The weaker dollar, though, has raised interest in emerging market currencies such as those in the region after they hit multi-month lows in recent weeks.

On Tuesday, local markets re-opened after the holiday weekend, and most currencies gave up gains seen on Monday when the dollar started weakening.

The zloty EURPLN= traded at 4.2765 per euro, a tad lower than Monday when local markets were closed.

It hit a 10-year high of 4.127 in February but fell to a low of 4.3095 last week as U.S. tariff policy hit markets and investors started anticipating Polish rate cuts.

"We still consider sideways movements in the range of 4.24–4.30 as the prevailing trend, although with the development of the global situation and investors' reluctance to (take on) dollar assets, currencies from the Central and Eastern European region are enjoying interest," ING said.

"Despite the still extremely dynamic global environment, a move towards the aforementioned lower limit (of 4.24) seems more likely than the level of 4.30."

In Hungary, the forint EURHUF= lost 0.4% to 409.05 to the euro as markets also re-opened after the holiday.

The Czech crown EURCZK= was down 0.1% at 25.05 to the euro, staying close to the 25 psychological level it was trading beyond before market turmoil.

Unlike Poland, the Czech central bank has stuck to a cautious stance on interest rate cuts, highlighting potential inflation pressures from trade wars.

Elsewhere, Romania's leu EURRON= was steady at 4.9775 per euro, while stock markets mostly gained after the long weekend, led by Warsaw blue chips .WIG20, which gained around 1%.

CEE MARKETS SNAPSHOT AT 1104 CET

CURRENCIES

Latest trade

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2025

Czech crown

EURCZK=

25.0500

25.0200

-0.12%

+0.63%

Hungary forint

EURHUF=

409.0500

407.3500

-0.42%

+0.58%

Polish zloty

EURPLN=

4.2765

4.2750

-0.04%

+0.01%

Romanian leu

EURRON=

4.9775

4.9776

+0.00%

-0.02%

Serbian dinar

EURRSD=

117.1800

117.2600

+0.07%

-0.20%

Note: daily change calculated from 1800 CET

STOCKS

Latest

Previous close

Daily change

Change in 2025

Prague

.PX

2048.15

2049.7500

-0.08%

+16.36%

Budapest

.BUX

87573.33

87062.04

+0.59%

+10.40%

Warsaw

.WIG20

2669.78

2643.52

+0.99%

+21.80%

Bucharest

.BETI

17060.58

17071.85

-0.07%

+2.03%

BONDS

Yield (bid)

Yield change

Spread vs Bund

Daily change in spread

Czech Rep 2-year

CZ2YT=RR

3.3020

0.0230

+165bps

+5bps

Czech Rep 5-year

CZ5YT=RR

3.5990

-0.0060

+162bps

+3bps

Czech Rep 10-year

CZ10YT=RR

4.0620

0.0190

+161bps

+3bps

Poland 2-year

PL2YT=RR

4.3300

-0.0600

+268bps

-3bps

Poland 5-year

PL5YT=RR

4.6620

-0.0700

+268bps

-4bps

Poland 10-year

PL10YT=RR

5.2180

0.0340

+276bps

+5bps

FORWARD RATE AGREEMENTS

3x6

6x9

9x12

3M interbank

Czech Rep

CZKFRA, PRIBOR=

3.44

3.14

2.95

3.68

Hungary

HUFFRA, BUBOR=

6.90

6.68

6.23

6.50

Poland

PLNFRA, WIBOR=

4.39

3.97

3.69

5.49

Note: FRA quotes are for ask prices

Disclaimer: The information provided on this website is for educational and informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice.
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