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FOREX-US dollar firms as investors await Fed interest rate decision

ReutersJan 29, 2025 4:25 PM
  • Markets expect Fed to hold rates steady
  • Investors weigh Trump tariff policies

Updates headline, first paragraph and prices throughout, adds fresh analyst quote

By Chibuike Oguh and Greta Rosen Fondahn

- The U.S. dollar was firmer against major currencies on Wednesday as investors awaited the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision, as well as clues on the trajectory of interest rates this year.

The Fed is widely expected to hold interest rates steady at the end of its first policy meeting of the year on Wednesday. Fed Chair Jerome Powell is due to hold a press conference later. Markets fully price two 25-basis-point cuts from the Fed this year, but do not expect the first easing until June.

The dollar and other major currencies have come under pressure as investors weighed the impact of the anticipated tariff policies of U.S. President Donald Trump.

"What I've been telling clients is, 'just look through the noise: we're going to get duelling headlines, denials, etcetera, but the bottom line is that tariffs are coming and that's at the margin dollar-positive,'" said Win Thin, global head of currency markets strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co in New York.

The dollar strengthened 0.23% to 0.906 against the Swiss franc CHF=EBS. Against the Japanese yen JPY=EBS, the dollar weakened 0.29% to 155.07.

The dollar index =USD, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro,

rose 0.03% to 107.95.

The index touched a one-month low on Monday at 106.96 amid a global selloff in technology stocks and rush to safe-haven currencies such as the Japanese yen and Swiss franc, but the index is still up more than 4% since the U.S. election in November.

"The fundamental driver that's really been playing for the last year has been the policy divergence and U.S. economic outperformance. That's been keeping the Fed on hold. And they expected to deliver a hawkish hold," Thin added.

White House spokeswoman Karoline Leavitt said on Tuesday that Trump plans to make good on his promise to issue tariffs on Canada and Mexico on Saturday, but gave no details.

The Bank of Canada cut its key policy rate by 25 bps to 3% on Wednesday, and warned Canadians that a tariff war triggered by the United States could cause major economic damage.

The Canadian dollar CAD= weakened 0.32% versus the greenback to C$1.44 per dollar. The Mexican peso MXN= weakened 0.05% versus the dollar at 20.579.

Bank lending to firms in the euro area picked up last month, indicating that rapid interest rate cuts have started to flow through to the real economy, European Central Bank data showed. The euro EUR= was down 0.07% at $1.0421, while the Sterling GBP= weakened 0.04% to $1.2438.

Bitcoin BTC= gained 1.73% to $102,059.54. Ethereum ETH= rose 1.76% to $3,106.53.

Currency bid prices at 29 January​ 4:07 p.m. GMT

Description

RIC

Last

U.S. Close Previous Session

Pct Change

YTD Pct

High Bid

Low Bid

Dollar index

=USD

107.98

107.92

0.07%

-0.47%

108.29

107.74

Euro/Dollar

EUR=EBS

1.0417

1.0431

-0.14%

0.61%

$1.0444

$1.0383

Dollar/Yen

JPY=D3

155.09

155.55

-0.36%

-1.5%

155.685

154.995

Euro/Yen

EURJPY=

161.55​

162.19

-0.39%

-1.02%

162.49

161.32

Dollar/Swiss

CHF=EBS

0.9068

0.9042

0.29%

-0.08%

0.9082

0.9033

Sterling/Dollar

GBP=D3

1.2429

1.2443

-0.09%

-0.61%

$1.2463

$1.2394​

Dollar/Canadian

CAD=D3

1.4444

1.4403

0.28%

0.44%

1.4471

1.4394

Aussie/Dollar

AUD=D3

0.6224

0.6252

-0.4%

0.63%

$0.6256

$0.6211

Euro/Swiss

EURCHF=

0.9443

0.9429

0.15%

0.53%

0.9447

0.9423

Euro/Sterling

EURGBP=

0.8376

0.8383

-0.08%

1.25%

0.8387

0.8365

NZ Dollar/Dollar

NZD=D3

0.5651

0.5667

-0.24%

1.03%

$0.5668

0.5635

Dollar/Norway

NOK=

11.2959​

11.2741

0.19%

-0.61%

11.3473

11.2673

Euro/Norway

EURNOK=

11.7669

11.7601

0.06%

-0.02%

11.791

11.7524

Dollar/Sweden

SEK=

10.9997

10.997

0.02%

-0.16%

11.037

10.9762

Euro/Sweden

EURSEK=

11.4585

11.4706

-0.11%

-0.07%

11.4787

11.4456

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