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United States: Inflation risks but still contained - TD Securities
TD Securities projects August Core CPI at 0.19% m/m and 2.3% y/y, with services driving gains and core goods slightly negative. Headline CPI is seen at 0.37% m/m and 3.4% y/y on higher energy and food.
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Euro area: Inflation overshoot extends ECB hiking path – Societe Generale
Societe Generale economists Anatoli Annenkov, Michel Martinez and colleagues expect Euro area inflation to stay above target beyond 2027, with headline inflation projected to peak near 3.7-3.8% and core around 2.7-2.8%.
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Asia FX: Oil shock keeps tone cautious – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong expects Asia ex-Japan (AxJ) currencies to start the week on a selectively cautious footing after renewed US–Iran tensions lifted Brent above US$96.
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Euro: ECB tightening supports currency – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad expects the European Central Bank (ECB) to deliver another 25 bps hike this week, taking the policy rate to 2.50%, supported by above-target Eurozone inflation and a firmer growth outlook.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Canadian Dollar: Trade tensions and US CPI in focus – TD Securities
TD Securities notes that a data-light week in Canada will keep attention on CAN-US trade tensions as Canadian countertariffs take effect. The US has already signalled higher tariffs on Canadian vehicles from January 1.
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Brent: Uptrend targets $102 before higher projections - Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts highlight that Brent has resumed a steady advance after defending its 200-DMA in August and crossing a multi-month descending trend line.
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Saudi Oil facilities hit in fresh strikes, WTI surges above $90
According to the Financial Times, Saudi Aramco’s Oil facilities in Jizan were hit on Monday. The extent of the damage is currently being assessed, the newspaper reported.
Brent
WTI
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Czech Koruna: CPI keeps CNB on hold but risks build – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose notes that Czech August CPI matched expectations and CNB forecasts, keeping inflation within target and allowing rates to stay unchanged on 17 September.
USD/CZK
EUR/CZK
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
ECB: Political strains test policy shield – Rabobank
RaboResearch notes that the ECB’s Transmission Protection Instrument provides a backstop for Eurozone government bonds during stress not justified by fundamentals.
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Federal Reserve: Inflation data steer policy path – TD Securities
TD Securities economists Oscar Munoz and Eli Nir expect August Consumer Price Index (CPI) to prove subdued enough to keep the Federal Reserve (Fed) on hold in September, with the CPI-to-PCE translation also pointing to contained underlying inflation.
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
UK Chancellor Healey: I will build on Reeves' move to recover fiscal discipline
United Kingdom (UK) Chancellor of the Exchequer John Healey signaled in a scheduled speech during the European trading session on Monday that the government will continue focusing on maintaining fiscal discipline, in an attempt to contain higher borrowing costs.
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Brent: Supply risks support prices – Danske Bank
Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team notes Brent crude trading near USD 97 as renewed US-Iran strikes around the Strait of Hormuz raise concerns over prolonged disruptions to Middle East energy flows.
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Swiss Franc: Downside risks build against Yen as policy diverges – DBS
DBS Group Research strategist Philip Wee highlights growing downside risks in CHF/JPY after the cross failed to re-enter its February–July 198–204 range and slipped to 193.
EUR/CHF
USD/CHF
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Euro remains stronger against Canadian Dollar following Eurozone Investor Confidence
EUR/CAD remains stronger for the second consecutive day, trading around 1.6080 during European hours on Monday.
EUR/CAD
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
British Pound: BoE repricing risk weighs on Sterling – BBH
Brown Brothers Harriman’s (BBH) Elias Haddad argues that United Kingdom (UK) July Gross Domestic Product (GDP), expected flat month-on-month, is unlikely to alter Bank of England (BoE) expectations.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Forex Today: Middle East tensions keep investors on edge
Here is what you need to know on Monday, September 7:
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
New Zealand Dollar struggles due to cautious RBNZ policy outlook
NZD/USD depreciates after two days of gains, trading around 0.5880 during European hours on Monday. The pair depreciates as the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) faces pressure from cautious sentiment surrounding the Reserve Bank of New Zealand’s (RBNZ) policy outlook.
NZD/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Euro: Support at 180 eyed against Yen on BoJ risk – DBS
DBS strategist Philip Wee argues that downside risk in EUR/JPY is less straightforward than in CHF/JPY.
EUR/CHF
EUR/JPY
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Equities: Labour data weighs on stocks – Danske Bank
Danske Research notes that a strong US labour market report increased expectations of a more hawkish Federal Reserve, pressuring global equities. The S&P 500 declined while the Stoxx 600 posted a small gain, with cyclicals outperforming and rate-sensitive sectors underperforming.
SPX500
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
CEE FX: Hawkish pricing versus dovish banks – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky highlights a busy CEE data and policy calendar, with Hungary’s inflation seen edging up, the National Bank of Poland and Central Bank of Turkey expected on hold, and Romania’s inflation falling sharply on base effects.
USD/CZK
EUR/HUF
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
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