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China’s August Trade Balance: Surplus widens to $119.09 billion as expected
China's Trade Balance for August, in US Dollar (USD) terms, arrives at $119.09 billion, almost in line with $119.1 billion estimates, but higher than the July reading of $112.5 billion.
Fxstreet
Tue, Sep 8
China Trade Balance USD came in at $119.09B, below expectations ($119.1B) in August
Fxstreet
Tue, Sep 8
China Imports (YoY) came in at 28.2% below forecasts (30%) in August
Fxstreet
Tue, Sep 8
China Exports (YoY) in line with forecasts (25%) in August
Fxstreet
Tue, Sep 8
China Trade Balance CNY above forecasts (795B) in August: Actual (809.3B)
Fxstreet
Tue, Sep 8
China Exports (YoY) CNY: 18.6% (August) vs 17.8%
Fxstreet
Tue, Sep 8
Citi Survey sees Banxico frozen as Peso holds below 18.00
Citi Mexico released its September “Expectations Survey,” in which most private economists expect the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) to hold rates unchanged, while the exchange rate is forecast to end below the 18.00 threshold by the end of 2026.
USD/MXN
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Thai Baht: Recent THB gains face headwinds – OCBC
OCBC’s Christopher Wong notes that recent Thai Baht (THB) strength may slow as external conditions turn less supportive. Governor Vitai’s comments suggest further rate cuts are unlikely without another shock, tempering easing expectations.
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Chinese Yuan: Hong Kong’s offshore gateway role expands – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Charlie Lay highlights Hong Kong’s first five-year plan to strengthen its position as the leading offshore CNY and cross-border financial centre.
USD/CNH
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Indonesian Rupiah: Oil and US inflation pose risks – MUFG
MUFG’s Lloyd Chan warns that upcoming US inflation data could test the recent Rupiah recovery, as firmer US inflation may reinforce elevated US yields and challenge USD/IDR’s break below 17,700.
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Vietnam: Inflation and trade trends shape VND – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Vietnam update highlights rising inflation and a narrowing trade deficit, with strong manufacturing-led imports and resilient exports. The bank notes elevated CPI and external deficits limit scope for aggressive easing, but robust activity persists.
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Asia FX: Stronger Dollar and Oil weigh on CNY and peers – BNY
BNY’s Geoff Yu highlights that a stronger US Dollar (USD), higher Oil prices and rising global yields are pressuring Asian currencies and assets.
USD/CNH
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Equities: AI-led upside and income focus – HSBC
HSBC’s Willem Sels highlights that accelerating AI adoption, resilient growth and broadening earnings are supporting global equities into Q4 2026. The bank has recently added exposure to global stocks, favouring the US and Asia, while keeping sector diversification.
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Germany: Cautious growth outlook – ABN AMRO
ABN AMRO’s Chief Economist Germany, Alexander Krüger, notes that German economic output is rising and the bank has raised its Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth forecast for 2026 to 1.3% and for 2027 to 1.1%.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Forex Today: Japanese GDP figures and China’s trade results in the limelight
The US Dollar (USD) has started the week on the back foot, rapidly leaving behind Friday’s uptick and refocusing on the downside.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
United States: Sideways growth and oil shock risks – TD Securities
TD Securities expects US output growth to move sideways in 2026 as the prior Oil shock lingers and the Iran conflict poses stagflationary risks. GDP is forecast to end 2026 at 2.1% Q4/Q4, with unemployment around 4.2%. The bank assigns a 25% probability to a US recession over the next year.
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
United Kingdom: BoE holds but risks later cuts – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s UK team notes weakening housing demand as mortgage approvals fall to late-2023 lows, while business lending remains firm and wage expectations show limited second-round effects.
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Bank of Canada: Rates outlook and inflation risks – TD Securities
TD Securities economists Robert Both and Emma Lawrence highlight that the Bank of Canada adopted a more hawkish tone, emphasizing upside inflation risks even as core inflation stays subdued.
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
Eurozone: Resilient growth, worrying inflation – ABN AMRO
ABN AMRO economists Bill Diviney and Jan-Paul van de Kerke expect Eurozone growth to remain resilient despite a renewed energy shock, supported by German fiscal spending and solid underlying activity.
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
United Kingdom: Growth pace cools after hot start – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank economists Sanjay Raja and Maui Brennan expect United Kingdom (UK) Gross Domestic Product (GDP) to have slipped slightly in July after strong growth earlier in 2026. They forecast a modest monthly contraction led by services and production, with construction only marginally higher.
Fxstreet
Mon, Sep 7
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