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Brent: Questionable flows, fragile outlook – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Commodity Research team, led by Barbara Lambrecht, notes that uncertainty over crude flows through the Strait of Hormuz and conflicting transit data are clouding the outlook for Brent.
Brent
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
European Central Bank: Dovish hold may follow September hike - Rabobank
Rabobank's Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen expects the European Central Bank (ECB) to hike its deposit rate by 25bp to 2.50% next week and then hold at that level for an extended period.
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
Hungary: Inflation uptick complicates rate-cut path – ING
ING’s Peter Virovacz expects Hungarian industrial production to rebound in July, helping avoid a third-quarter GDP decline despite August headwinds from heatwave-related energy issues.
EUR/HUF
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
Canada: Gradual improvement outlook on labour market – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) economist Claire Fan notes Canada’s labour market lost 42,000 jobs in August, partly reversing earlier gains and leaving modest year-to-date job growth. She emphasizes structural factors like demographics and weaker immigration as key drags.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
United States: Solid jobs data support steady Fed – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Christoph Balz notes that the U.S. labor market surprised to the upside in August, with Nonfarm Payrolls and private sector jobs both rising strongly while the unemployment rate held at 4.1%. Wage growth continued to slow.
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
European Central Bank: September hike path and oil risks – Nomura
Nomura’s Global Markets Research team, led by Andrzej Szczepaniak, George Buckley and Josie Anderson, expects the ECB to raise the depo rate by 25bp to 2.50% at the 10 September meeting and then pause.
Brent
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
"Lower the rate or I’ll stop trading": Trump pressures Fed after strong US jobs report
In a post on Truth Social, United States (US) President Donald Trump welcomed the creation of 162K jobs in August, a figure he described as significantly above expectations.
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
European Central Bank: Inflation-driven hike prospects – DBS
DBS Group Research expects the European Central Bank (ECB) to raise the deposit facility rate to 2.50%, citing a resilient inflation-growth mix in the Eurozone. The report notes headline inflation has moved further above target, while core pressures remain contained for now.
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
Federal Reserve: Close call on further tightening – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Dr. Christoph Balz expects the Federal Reserve to keep rates unchanged, but highlights a significant risk of another 25 bps hike.
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
BoE's Bailey defends central bank flexibility, warns of bond market pressures
Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey said on Friday that monetary policymakers have some discretion over how quickly they bring inflation back to target, while stressing that returning inflation to the target remains imperative.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
Canadian Dollar: Data volatility guides Bank of Canada – Commerzbank
Commerzbank analysts Norman Liebke and Michael Pfister report that the Bank of Canada kept its policy rate at 2.25% but adopted a more hawkish tone as inflation risks rise from higher energy prices and trade tensions with the US.
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
Indian Rupee: Rate hike path supports currency – Societe Generale
Societe Generale strategists note that the Indian Rupee (INR) rallied to its strongest level against the US Dollar (USD) since late June, helped by active RBI intervention and sizeable FX mobilisation flows.
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
US August Nonfarm Payrolls expected to rebound to 58K after July slump
The United States (US) Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) is set to release the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data for August on Friday at 12:30 GMT.
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
Hungarian Forint: Forint supported by possible MNB pause – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose highlights a sharp Forint rally after a Bloomberg report suggested the National Bank of Hungary may pause rate cuts on 22 September and consider lowering its inflation target. While unconfirmed, this aligns with the bank’s less dovish August message.
EUR/HUF
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
Equities: Rally on dovish Fed tone – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank reports that US equities, led by the S&P 500, rallied as dovish remarks from Fed Governor Waller offset stronger US data. The S&P 500 logged its best day in nearly a month and moved close to record highs, supported by gains in the Magnificent 7 and easing energy prices.
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
US Dollar: Fed outlook stays data-dependent after Waller – Danske Bank
Danske Research Team highlights that Fed Governor Waller is inclined to keep rates unchanged in September if August inflation shows further progress, but would consider a hike if inflation comes in hot.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
Australian Dollar edges higher above 0.7200 on rising RBA hike bets, eyes on US NFP data
The AUD/USD pair gathers strength to near 0.7210 during the early European session on Friday. The US Dollar (USD) weakens against the Australian Dollar (AUD) following Federal Reserve (Fed) Governor Christopher Waller’s remarks.
AUD/USD
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
Indonesian Rupiah declines as US Dollar gains despite easing Fed rate hike odds
USD/IDR gains ground after two days of losses, trading around 17,670 during the Asian hours on Friday. The currency pair is pushing higher as the US Dollar (USD) holds onto its recent gains after rebounding from intraday losses.
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
India Gold price today: Gold falls, according to FXStreet data
Gold prices fell in India on Friday, according to data compiled by FXStreet.
Gold
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
Japan’s Katayama says will closely monitoring bond markets with heightened urgency
Japanese Finance Minister (FM) Satsuki Katayama said on Friday that the officials will closely monitoring bond markets with heightened urgency.
USD/JPY
Fxstreet
Fri, Sep 4
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