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ECB: Energy shock complicates June hike odds – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank economists expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to keep the deposit rate at 2% while markets fully price a June hike due to Europe’s energy exposure.

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

South Africa Producer Price Index (YoY) up to 2.3% in March from previous 1.8%

South Africa Producer Price Index (YoY) up to 2.3% in March from previous 1.8%

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

South Africa Producer Price Index (MoM): 1.1% (March) vs 0%

South Africa Producer Price Index (MoM): 1.1% (March) vs 0%

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

ECB: Oil shock complicates rate path – Societe Generale

Societe Generale strategists expect the European Central Bank (ECB) to keep rates unchanged today despite a hawkish bias after past late tightening. It warns that unresolved Gulf tensions in six weeks could make a future rate hike more contentious as growth risks rise.

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

Oil: Iran conflict keeps prices elevated – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team highlights that Brent has surged to around USD 124–126 per barrel as Iran-related tensions and a US naval blockade drive supply fears. They note Polymarket-implied odds of only a modest chance of normalised Hormuz traffic by end-May.

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

Greece Retail Sales (YoY) rose from previous 4.5% to 4.6% in February

Greece Retail Sales (YoY) rose from previous 4.5% to 4.6% in February

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

Eurozone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY) below forecasts (0.9%) in 1Q: Actual (0.8%)

Eurozone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (YoY) below forecasts (0.9%) in 1Q: Actual (0.8%)

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

Eurozone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ) below forecasts (0.2%) in 1Q: Actual (0.1%)

Eurozone Gross Domestic Product s.a. (QoQ) below forecasts (0.2%) in 1Q: Actual (0.1%)

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

Italy Consumer Price Index (MoM) above forecasts (0.5%) in April: Actual (1.2%)

Italy Consumer Price Index (MoM) above forecasts (0.5%) in April: Actual (1.2%)

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

Italy Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 2.8%, above expectations (2.6%) in April

Italy Consumer Price Index (YoY) came in at 2.8%, above expectations (2.6%) in April

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (MoM) registered at 1.7% above expectations (1.3%) in April

Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (MoM) registered at 1.7% above expectations (1.3%) in April

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY) came in at 2.9%, above expectations (2.5%) in April

Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY) came in at 2.9%, above expectations (2.5%) in April

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

BoE: Holding fire with two-sided risks – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank economists expect the Bank of England (BoE) to keep rates at 3.75%, stressing two-sided risks as growth forecasts are cut and inflation projections raised.

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

Portugal Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) declined to 0% in 1Q from previous 0.9%

Portugal Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) declined to 0% in 1Q from previous 0.9%

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

Portugal Gross Domestic Product (YoY) climbed from previous 1.9% to 2.3% in 1Q

Portugal Gross Domestic Product (YoY) climbed from previous 1.9% to 2.3% in 1Q

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

Italy Unemployment came in at 5.2% below forecasts (5.3%) in March

Italy Unemployment came in at 5.2% below forecasts (5.3%) in March

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

Fed: Warsh-led cuts seen limited – Rabobank

Rabobank’s Senior Macro Strategist Bas van Geffen notes the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) left the federal funds rate at 3.50–3.75%, with internal dissent over easing bias. He still projects two rate cuts under an incoming Chair Warsh but stresses risks are skewed toward fewer cuts.

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

Spain Current Account Balance increased to €4.04B in February from previous €2.73B

Spain Current Account Balance increased to €4.04B in February from previous €2.73B

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

Japan's Katayama: Getting closer to taking decisive step in FX market

Japanese Finance Minister Satsuki Katayama said on Thursday that they are moving closer to taking a decisive action in the foreign exchange markets, as reported by Reuters.

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

German flash Q1 GDP rises steadily by 0.3%, beats 0.2% estimates

German preliminary Q1 Gross Domestic Product (GDP) rises at a steady pace of 0.3%, beats the estimates of 0.2%, according to the Federal Statistics Office of Germany. On an annualized basis,

Fxstreet

Thu, Apr 30

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