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PLN: Disinflation offsets but risks cap gains – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose notes that updated Polish CPI data confirm disinflation, with core inflation at 2.5% year-on-year, in line with the central bank of Poland, Narodowy Bank Polski (NBP) target.
EUR/PLN
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 17
CEE FX: Central banks comfortable waiting out shock – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky highlights that Central and Eastern European FX and rates have seen some relief despite elevated energy prices. Regional central banks currently treat the Gulf-related energy spike as a supply shock and prefer to wait, with no case for hikes.
EUR/PLN
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 17
Italy Consumer Price Index (YoY) below expectations (1.6%) in February: Actual (1.5%)
Italy Consumer Price Index (YoY) below expectations (1.6%) in February: Actual (1.5%)
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 17
Italy Consumer Price Index (MoM) registered at 0.7%, below expectations (0.8%) in February
Italy Consumer Price Index (MoM) registered at 0.7%, below expectations (0.8%) in February
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 17
Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY) registered at 1.5%, below expectations (1.6%) in February
Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (YoY) registered at 1.5%, below expectations (1.6%) in February
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 17
Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (MoM) came in at 0.5%, below expectations (0.6%) in February
Italy Consumer Price Index (EU Norm) (MoM) came in at 0.5%, below expectations (0.6%) in February
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 17
Canadian home sales fell 1.3% in February, CREA says
By Promit MukherjeeOTTAWA, March 17 (Reuters) - Canadian home sales fell 1.3% in February from January and prices declined in continuation of a trend that started early this year, data from the Canadian Real Estate Association showed on Wednesday, although it added there were some signs of a pick-up...
Reuters
Tue, Mar 17
BoC: Policy hold as war risk lifts inflation – Rabobank
Rabobank Strategist Molly Schwartz and Christian Lawrence expects the Bank of Canada (BoC) to keep its overnight rate at 2.25% at the March 18 meeting and through year-end, despite elevated inflation and weaker activity.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 17
Israel vows retaliation against Iran attacks on US embassy in Iraq
Israel Defense Forces (IDF) warn retaliation against Iran for attacking the United States (US) embassy in Iraq, in which four people were killed, The Guardian reported.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 17
Iranian oil production and exports continue without interruption, official says
DUBAI, March 17 (Reuters) - Iran's oil production and exports continue without interruption, a spokesperson for the parliamentary energy commission said on Tuesday, adding that daily life is going on as usual on Kharg island. Kharg island serves as Iran's main oil export hub, representing 90...
Reuters
Tue, Mar 17
SEK: Riksbank risk focus limits moves – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke expects the Riksbank to keep its policy rate at 1.75% this week and signal no near-term changes, with a first hike only possible late in the year.
EUR/SEK
USD/SEK
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 17
RBA: Close split keeps May hike in play – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists Prashant Newnaha and Alex Loo note the RBA lifted the cash rate by 25 bps to 4.10% in a narrow 5-4 decision, driven mainly by elevated domestic inflation and excess demand.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 17
Indonesia Bank Indonesia Rate in line with expectations (4.75%)
Indonesia Bank Indonesia Rate in line with expectations (4.75%)
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 17
Switzerland Producer and Import Prices (YoY): -2.7% (February) vs previous -2.2%
Switzerland Producer and Import Prices (YoY): -2.7% (February) vs previous -2.2%
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 17
GBP/USD: Negative bias capped by 1.3350 – UOB
According to UOB’s Senior Technical Strategist Quek Ser Leang, GBP/USD’s sharp rebound from 1.3226 to 1.3340 looks like short-covering rather than a trend change. The pair is expected to range between 1.3250 and 1.3350 intraday.
GBP/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 17
EUR/USD: Rate differentials regain focus – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Antje Praefcke notes that the Dollar has benefited from safe-haven demand as the war in the Middle East weighs on sentiment, pushing EUR/USD below 1.15.
EUR/USD
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 17
Brent: Supply risk keeps prices above USD 100 – Danske Bank
Danske Bank’s Danske Research Team underlines that conflict in the Middle East has intensified, with Iran targeting Oil and gas infrastructure in the UAE and elsewhere.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 17
IDR: BI dovish bias with Strait of Hormuz risks – MUFG
MUFG's Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan notes that Bank Indonesia benefits from Indonesia’s net commodity exporter status, but faces weak starting macro conditions and fiscal constraints as oil rises. Higher energy prices threaten subsidy costs and the 3% of GDP deficit cap.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 17
Fed: War-driven uncertainty clouds rate path – BNY
BNY’s Americas Macro Strategist John Velis expects no policy change at the March FOMC meeting and very limited forward guidance, as the Federal Reserve grapples with higher inflation expectations from the Middle East conflict and a softening labor market.
Fxstreet
Tue, Mar 17
RBA Hikes Rates for the Second Time This Year, Warns of Rising Inflation Risks
TraingKey - The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raised its benchmark cash rate by 25 basis points to 4.10% following its monetary policy meeting today, marking the second tightening move this year.
AUD/USD
TradingKey
Tue, Mar 17
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