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India: New GDP series challenges growth narrative – Societe Generale

Societe Generale’s Kunal Kundu argues that India’s new GDP series points to weaker historical growth and softer domestic demand than previously reported.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

Euro area: Resilient NPL ratios face 2026 energy shock – BNP Paribas

BNP Paribas argues that European Union (EU) manufacturing firms enter the 2026 energy shock from Iran with historically low non-performing loan (NPL) ratios, suggesting stronger financial health than in 2022.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

Australia: Energy costs keep CPI elevated – UOB

UOB economist Lee Sue Ann highlights that Australian inflation remains elevated, with housing and electricity key drivers, even as trimmed mean CPI tracks slightly below earlier RBA projections.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

United States 5-Year Note Auction increased to 3.98% from previous 3.615%

United States 5-Year Note Auction increased to 3.98% from previous 3.615%

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

Russia Industrial Output registered at -0.9%, below expectations (1.1%) in February

Russia Industrial Output registered at -0.9%, below expectations (1.1%) in February

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

Denmark: Government formation faces prolonged negotiations – Nordea

Nordea’s Group Chief Economist Helge J. Pedersen notes that the Danish parliamentary election has produced a highly fragmented Folketing, with 12 parties entering parliament and no majority for either the red or blue bloc. The Moderates, led by Lars Løkke Rasmussen, now hold the balance of power.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

GBP: BoE hawkish shift supports Pound – UOB

UOB economist Lee Sue Ann highlights a hawkish pivot by the Bank of England (BoE), with the Bank Rate held at 3.75% and a unanimous 9–0 vote. The report removes prior expectations for three 2026 cuts, now forecasting the GBP Repo Rate steady at 3.75% through 4Q26 as inflation risks dominate.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

ECB: Inflation risks point to further hikes – ABN AMRO

ABN AMRO economists Bill Diviney and Jan-Paul van de Kerke note that the ECB is likely to respond to the renewed energy shock with additional tightening focused on preventing second-round effects.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

Germany: Rebound risks grow on Ifo slump – ING

ING’s Carsten Brzeski warns that Germany’s long-awaited cyclical rebound has been dented after the Ifo index fell sharply in March, with expectations suffering their worst hit since the Russian invasion of Ukraine.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

NOK: Norges Bank seen on hold at 4.00% – TD Securities

TD Securities expects Norges Bank to keep its policy rate unchanged at 4.00%, noting stubbornly sticky inflation and risks of re-acceleration after the Middle East crisis and energy price shock.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

ECB: Hawkish shift with energy-driven inflation – ABN AMRO

ABN AMRO economists revise their Eurozone outlook after the Iran-related energy shock, expecting weaker growth but notably higher inflation. They now see the European Central Bank (ECB) hiking twice in Q2, front‑loading tightening to prevent second‑round effects.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

UK: Energy scenarios shape BoE outlook – ING

ING’s James Smith outlines scenarios for UK inflation, with current energy prices implying a brief 4% peak in autumn and ING’s base case of easing disruption pointing to a 3.5% peak in September.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

Germany: War risks darken Ifo outlook – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Chief Economist Dr. Jörg Krämer warns that the sharp March drop in the German Ifo Business Climate Index reflects rising war-related risks rather than current damage.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

BoE's Greene: There is a risk inflation expectations will rise

Bank of England Monetary Policy Committee member Megan Greene said on Wednesday that if their inflation forecasts are right, there is a risk inflation expectations will rise, per Reuters.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

Canada Employment Insurance Beneficiaries Change (MoM) declined to -1.9% in January from previous 0.4%

Canada Employment Insurance Beneficiaries Change (MoM) declined to -1.9% in January from previous 0.4%

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

United States Import Price Index (YoY) increased to 1.3% in February from previous -0.1%

United States Import Price Index (YoY) increased to 1.3% in February from previous -0.1%

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

United States Export Price Index (YoY): 3.5% (February) vs 2.6%

United States Export Price Index (YoY): 3.5% (February) vs 2.6%

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

United States Current Account above expectations ($-211B) in 4Q: Actual ($-190.7B)

United States Current Account above expectations ($-211B) in 4Q: Actual ($-190.7B)

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

United States Import Price Index (MoM) above expectations (0.5%) in February: Actual (1.3%)

United States Import Price Index (MoM) above expectations (0.5%) in February: Actual (1.3%)

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

United States Export Price Index (MoM) registered at 1.5% above expectations (0.5%) in February

United States Export Price Index (MoM) registered at 1.5% above expectations (0.5%) in February

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

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