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ECB: Rate hike risks rise as inflation watched – Societe Generale

Societe Generale analysts comment on the latest Reuters European Central Bank (ECB) poll showing more economists now expect at least one rate increase this year, though a majority still see no move.

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

Reuters Poll: Fed to hold policy rate at 3.50%-3.75% until at least September

55 of 82 economists polled by Reuters think that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will keep the policy rate unchanged at the 3.5%-3.75% range at least until September.

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

NOK: Norges Bank signals possible hike this year – TD Securities

TD Securities reports that Norges Bank left its policy rate unchanged at 4.00%, in line with expectations, but shifted guidance toward a base case of at least one rate hike in 2026.

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

US President Trump: Iranian negotiators begging to make a deal

In a post published on Truth Social on Thursday, United States (US) President Donald Trump called Iranian negotiators "very different and strange."

US Dollar Index

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

BoE’s Breeden: Needs more data before an action on monetary policy

Bank of England (BoE) Deputy Governor for Financial Stability Sarah Breeden stated at a panel discussion during European trading hours on Thursday that the monetary policy should remain steady until the United Kingdom (UK) central bank has sufficient information.

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

SEK: Riksbank split on supply shocks – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team notes that Riksbank Minutes show a divided board on handling supply shocks, with Seim and Thedéen favouring frontloaded rate hikes, while Jansson, Bunge and Hjelm prefer a gradual, wait-and-see stance.

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

South Africa Producer Price Index (MoM) climbed from previous -0.2% to 0% in February

South Africa Producer Price Index (MoM) climbed from previous -0.2% to 0% in February

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

South Africa Producer Price Index (YoY): 1.8% (February) vs previous 2.2%

South Africa Producer Price Index (YoY): 1.8% (February) vs previous 2.2%

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

ZAR: SARB holds through conflict – Commerzbank

Commerzbank analyst Volkmar Baur expects the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) to keep rates unchanged, despite inflation having fallen to its new 3% target and real rates remaining restrictive.

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

Italy Consumer Confidence down to 92.6 in March from previous 97.4

Italy Consumer Confidence down to 92.6 in March from previous 97.4

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

Italy Business Confidence rose from previous 88.5 to 88.8 in March

Italy Business Confidence rose from previous 88.5 to 88.8 in March

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

Eurozone Private Loans (YoY) came in at 3%, below expectations (3.1%) in February

Eurozone Private Loans (YoY) came in at 3%, below expectations (3.1%) in February

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

Fed: Expected to stay on hold – ABN AMRO

ABN AMRO’s Senior US Economist Rogier Quaedvlieg argues that US growth has slowed sharply outside AI-related activity, with near-zero job creation and downgraded GDP.

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

Norges Bank: Policy rate seen on hold at 4% with upside risk – Danske Bank

Danske Research Team expects the central bank of Norway, Norges Bank (NB) to keep its policy rate unchanged at 4% at the upcoming meeting, reflecting Middle East-related uncertainty and volatile energy prices.

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

GBP/USD: Mild downside within mixed outlook – UOB

UOB economist analysts Quek Ser Leang Lee and Sue Ann report that GBP/USD traded softer, closing at 1.3366 after a narrower 1.3359–1.3436 range than expected. They see mild downward pressure intraday, though a move to 1.3320 is unlikely.

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

Spain Gross Domestic Product (YoY) registered at 2.7% above expectations (2.6%) in 4Q

Spain Gross Domestic Product (YoY) registered at 2.7% above expectations (2.6%) in 4Q

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

Spain Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) meets expectations (0.8%) in 4Q

Spain Gross Domestic Product (QoQ) meets expectations (0.8%) in 4Q

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

France Business Climate in Manufacturing came in at 99 below forecasts (100) in March

France Business Climate in Manufacturing came in at 99 below forecasts (100) in March

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

France Consumer Confidence meets expectations (89) in March

France Consumer Confidence meets expectations (89) in March

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

Forex Today: Markets Turn Risk-averse as Ceasefire Optimism Fades

Financial markets adopt a cautious stance early Thursday as hopes of an end to the conflict in the Middle East wane. The US Dollar (USD) Index holds comfortably above 99.50 after closing in positive territory on Wednesday, while US stock index futures lose between 0.3% and 0.4%.

Fxstreet

Thu, Mar 26

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