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BoC: Dovish stance versus market pricing – TD Securities

TD Securities strategist Andrew Kelvin notes that the Bank of Canada (BoC) is stressing downside risks to growth and appears willing to look through an energy-driven inflation shock.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

ECB: Divergent energy shock response scenarios – Nomura

Nomura analysts note that markets currently price around three rate hikes for the European Central Bank (ECB) by December 2026, implying a similar response to the Iran war energy shock as the Bank of England (BoE).

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

Germany: Recovery prospects delayed – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank economist Marc Schattenberg notes that the ifo Business Climate Index deteriorated in March as German businesses turned more pessimistic on expectations, while their assessment of current conditions was unchanged.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

India M3 Money Supply dipped from previous 11.5% to 10.7% in March 2

India M3 Money Supply dipped from previous 11.5% to 10.7% in March 2

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

United States MBA Mortgage Applications climbed from previous -10.9% to -10.5% in March 20

United States MBA Mortgage Applications climbed from previous -10.9% to -10.5% in March 20

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

Pakistan delivered US proposal to Tehran – Reuters

Citing a source, who asked not to be named, Reuters reported on Wednesday that Pakistan has delivered the United States' proposal to Iran.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

ECB: Wait-and-see for second-round effects from energy shock – TD Securities

TD Securities notes that President Lagarde used the ECB and Its Watchers conference to outline how the Governing Council is assessing the Middle East conflict shock. The bank says the ECB is effectively playing for time, watching selling price expectations and wage trackers.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

BoE: War-driven inflation outlook reshapes rate path – Nomura

Nomura’s Global Markets Research team notes UK CPI inflation held at 3.0% year-on-year in February, matching Bank of England (BoE) forecasts. Services inflation stayed sticky, but core measures eased slightly.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

Euro Area: Pmis Soften as Inflation Pressures Rise

Deutsche Bank analysts report that Euro Area activity is slowing, with the composite PMI dropping to a 10‑month low while still just above the 50 expansion threshold. They emphasize that survey details point to rising input prices, suggesting renewed inflation pressures.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

ECB’s Lane: Inflation readings could be higher in March and April

European Central Bank (ECB) Chief Economist Philip Lane warned of higher inflationary pressures in the Eurozone in the next two months during European trading hours at the ECB and its Watchers conference at Goethe University in Frankfurt on Wednesday.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

BoE: Hawks keep hike risk alive – ING

ING’s Chris Turner notes that February UK CPI was broadly in line, but stronger services inflation and higher energy prices keep Bank of England (BoE) hawks vigilant.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

RBA: Energy shock keeps inflation risks elevated – UOB

UOB Economist Lee Sue Ann expects the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to keep the cash rate at 4.10% through 4Q26, after a split decision hike in March driven by Iran-related energy shocks and a strong labour market.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

Lagarde speech: Economy may be more-quick to adjust if inflation rises

European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde signaled at the ECB and its Watchers conference at Goethe University in Frankfurt during European trading hours on Wednesday that the central bank is ready for monetary policy adjustments if inflation proves stronger.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

UK Inflation Holds at 3% Ahead of Middle East War, With Markets Eyeing Oil Surge

TradingKey - UK inflation remained steady at 3% in February, hovering at its lowest level in 11 months before the outbreak of conflict in the Middle East heightened concerns about energy costs.

TradingKey

Wed, Mar 25

Equities: Consumer sectors flag demand strain – BNY

BNY’s Geoff Yu argues that developed market central banks, especially in Europe, are unlikely to deliver all priced rate hikes as weaker household demand emerges as a key second-round effect of the conflict. iFlow data show consumer discretionary as the worst-performing DM sector, while Utilities an

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

UK: Persistent price pressures challenge BoE – Deutsche Bank

Deutsche Bank’s Chief UK Economist Sanjay Raja notes that UK inflation data broadly matched expectations, with Headline CPI at 3% and stronger Services CPI driving a firmer Core CPI outcome.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

Forex Today: Mood remains upbeat despite uncertainty over US-Iran talks

Here is what you need to know on Wednesday, March 25:

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

When is the IFO German Survey and how could it affect EUR/USD?

Germany’s IFO institute will publish its business survey for March on Wednesday at 09:00 GMT.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) n.s.a came in at 0.8%, above expectations (0.5%) in February

United Kingdom Producer Price Index - Input (MoM) n.s.a came in at 0.8%, above expectations (0.5%) in February

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

EUR/CHF: SNB threat seen as limited deterrent – Commerzbank

Commerzbank’s Thu Lan Nguyen highlights that the Swiss Franc (CHF) has weakened since the Iran war began, helped by ultra-low Swiss inflation and the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) persistent intervention threats.

Fxstreet

Wed, Mar 25

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