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Brazil's October retail sales beat forecasts with biggest gain since March

ReutersDec 11, 2025 12:52 PM

- Brazil's retail sales volumes unexpectedly rose in October, data from government statistics agency IBGE showed on Thursday, despite signs of a slowdown in Latin America's largest economy amid high interest rates.

  • Sales were up 0.5% in October from the previous month, while economists in a Reuters poll expected a decrease of 0.1%.

  • It was the largest monthly gain since March, according to IBGE.

  • Sales also grew 1.1% from the year-earlier period, compared to expectations for a 0.2% drop in the Reuters poll.

  • High borrowing costs had been weighing on consumption, with Brazil's benchmark interest rate currently at a near two-decade high of 15% in a bid to curb sticky inflation .

  • Seven out of the eight sectors surveyed posted gains in October from September, IBGE said.

  • "The data indicate a solid start to Q4, countering headwinds from elevated borrowing costs and stricter credit amid a resilient - though softening - labor market," said Pantheon Macroeconomics' chief Latin America economist Andres Abadia.

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