United States Monthly Budget Statement above forecasts ($-236.6B) in March: Actual ($-161B)

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Microsoft released its FY26 Q3 earnings on April 29. This article provides an in-depth analysis of the impact of the OpenAI agreement restructuring, examining three key metrics—Azure growth, a 3.3% Copilot penetration rate, and $110 billion in capital expenditure—to determine whether MSFT’s forward P/E of 22x offers a long-term positioning opportunity.

TradingKey - On April 27, Eastern Time, driven by rising expectations for AI capital expenditure, Nvidia’s share price continued its rally from Friday, closing up 4% at a record high of $216.83, with its market capitalization reaching $5.26 trillion.

TradingKey - Microsoft (MSFT) is scheduled to release its Q3 FY2026 earnings report after the market close on April 29, ET. As one of the most proactive tech giants in advancing global AI strategies, this report is regarded as a key indicator for evaluating the large-scale monetization of AI technology and the growth resilience of its cloud business.

TradingKey - On April 26, Eastern Time, Citigroup raised its 2026 Brent crude oil price forecast to $150. Citing the deadlock in U.S.-Iran negotiations and the resulting persistent blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, Citi believes the situation in the Middle East has shifted from a short-term risk to a structural variable that could continuously disrupt global supply.