Walmart (WMT) reported second-quarter sales before the U.S. market open that exceeded Wall Street expectations and raised its full-year performance forecast. However, full-year earnings per share (EPS) guidance came in below expectations, sending its stock down by around 10%.

TradingKey - Walmart (WMT) is scheduled to report its second-quarter fiscal 2027 financial results before the market open on August 20 ET. The market currently expects Walmart's Q2 revenue to range between approximately $186.3 billion and $186.9 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of about 5% to 6%, with adjusted earnings per share (EPS) estimated at $0.73 to $0.74. Walmart's previously issued quarterly guidance projected net sales growth of 3.5% to 4.5% and adjusted EPS of $0.72 to $0.74.

WMT reports Aug 20 at 6am CT. Q1: Revenue $177.8B (+7.3%), e-commerce +26%, advertising +37%, comp sales +4.1%. Consumer sentiment fell to 51.0 (down from 55.2). Can Walmart take share in weakening consumer? Jackson Hole (Aug 21-22) follows day after.

TradingKey - In the coming week (August 17 to August 21), the US market's focus will be on the minutes of the July monetary policy meeting. The US will also release key data, including housing starts, building permits, industrial production, initial jobless claims, the Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index, the Conference Board Leading Economic Index, and preliminary August PMI values.

At the inaugural FOMC meeting chaired by the newly appointed Fed Chairman Kevin Warsh, the median dot plot shifted directly from rate-cut expectations to rate-hike expectations. Interest rate futures immediately priced in a roughly 70% probability of a rate hike in September, plunging the market into a rate-hike panic. This article argues that the market is highly likely overestimating the intensity of this rate-hike cycle. Even if rate hikes do resume in September, the move would fundamentally represent a robust tightening characterized by "withdrawing insurance rate cuts against the backdrop of a still-resilient economy," which is fundamentally different from the panic-driven tightening of 2022. For long-term investors in US equities, this shift presents opportunities that outweigh the risks. However, this assessment is conditional and must be dynamically adjusted using three indicators as anchors: core inflation, long-term inflation expectations, and the unemployment rate.

Despite stable Q1 FY27 results, premium valuations and margin headwinds caused a Walmart (WMT) stock sell-off. However, analysts remain bullish, citing long-term growth driven by high-margin digital transformations toward 2030.
