어슈런트(AIZ) 2026년 3분기 실적 콘퍼런스 콜: 라이프스타일 성장 가속화로 가이던스 상향
어슈런트(AIZ)는 2026년 3분기 실적 발표에서 이익 성장을 기록하고 연간 전망치를 상향 조정했다. 대형 재해를 제외한 3분기 조정 EBITDA와 조정 EPS는 전년 동기 대비 각각 12% 증가했다. 글로벌 라이프스타일 부문은 커넥티드 리빙의 23% 성장에 힘입어 15% 증가했고, 글로벌 하우징 부문은 재보험 비용 감소 등의 수혜로 대형 재해를 제외한 조정 EBITDA가 11% 증가했다. 경영진은 2026년 대형 재해 제외 조정 EBITDA 성장률을 약 10%, 조정 EPS 성장률을 10%대 초반으로 상향 조정했으며, 자사주 매입 목표를 3억 5,000만 달러로 증액했다. 2027년에도 글로벌 라이프스타일이 성장을 이끌 것으로 예상된다.
어슈런트(AIZ)는 2026년 3분기 실적 발표에서 전반적인 이익 성장을 기록하고 연간 전망치를 상향 조정했다고 밝혔다. 글로벌 라이프스타일(Global Lifestyle) 부문이 주 성장 동력으로 유지된 반면, 글로벌 하우징(Global Housing) 부문은 우호적인 비대형 재해 손실 실적과 재보험 비용 감소의 수혜를 입었다.
핵심 요약
- 보고 대상 대형 재해를 제외한 3분기 조정 EBITDA와 조정 주당순이익(EPS)은 모두 전년 동기 대비 12% 증가했다.
- 글로벌 라이프스타일 조정 EBITDA는 커넥티드 리빙(Connected Living)의 23% 성장에 힘입어 15% 증가했다. 어슈런트는 지난 12개월 동안 370만 대의 보호 기기를 추가했다.
- 글로벌 하우징은 대형 재해를 제외하고 11% 증가한 2억 8,800만 달러의 조정 EBITDA를 기록했다. 보고 대상 대형 재해로 인해 보고된 부문 조정 EBITDA는 2,000만 달러 감소했다.
- 경영진은 대형 재해를 제외한 2026년 조정 EBITDA 성장률 전망치를 약 10%, 조정 EPS 성장률 전망치를 10%대 초반으로 상향 조정했다.
- 어슈런트는 2026년 자사주 매입 목표를 3억 5,000만 달러로 증액했다. 10월 31일 기준 연초 이후 누적 매입액은 3억 500만 달러에 달했다.
- 경영진은 2027년 세부 실적 가이던스는 추후 제공할 예정이지만, 글로벌 라이프스타일 부문이 2027년에도 어슈런트의 핵심 성장 기여 부문으로 남을 것으로 예상하고 있다.
주요 재무 데이터
| 지표 | 2026년 3분기 실적 또는 변동 | 비고 |
|---|---|---|
| 조정 EBITDA | 전년 동기 대비 +12% | 보고 대상 대형 재해 제외 |
| 조정 EPS | 전년 동기 대비 +12% | 보고 대상 대형 재해 제외 |
| 글로벌 라이프스타일 조정 EBITDA | +15% 또는 3,000만 달러 | 커넥티드 리빙 실적 견인 |
| 커넥티드 리빙 조정 EBITDA | +23% 또는 3,000만 달러 | 기기 보호 및 공급망 프로그램 지원에 힘입음 |
| 글로벌 오토모티브 기저 조정 EBITDA | +9% 또는 700만 달러 | 2025년 3분기 비경상 이익 600만 달러 제외 |
| 글로벌 하우징 조정 EBITDA | 2억 6,800만 달러 | 보고 대상 대형 재해 2,000만 달러 포함 |
| 대형 재해 제외 글로벌 하우징 조정 EBITDA | 2억 8,800만 달러, +11% | 전년 동기 대비 2,900만 달러 증가 |
| 분기 말 유동성 | 9억 5,400만 달러 | 투자 및 주주 환원 지원 |
| 3분기 주주 환원액 | 1억 1,900만 달러 | 자사주 매입 7,500만 달러 및 배당금 4,400만 달러 |
2026년 첫 9개월 동안 보고 대상 대형 재해를 제외한 조정 EBITDA는 12% 증가했고 조정 EPS는 13% 상승했다. 글로벌 라이프스타일 이익은 커넥티드 리빙의 23% 성장과 글로벌 오토모티브의 10% 성장에 힘입어 18% 증가했다. 대형 재해를 제외한 글로벌 하우징 조정 EBITDA는 8% 증가했다.
사업 및 영업 실적
글로벌 라이프스타일
커넥티드 리빙은 어슈런트의 가장 강력한 성장 사업으로 유지되었다. 어슈런트는 전 세계적으로 6,900만 대 이상의 기기를 보호하고 있으며, 지난 12개월 동안 370만 대의 보호 기기를 추가했다.
어슈런트는 이번 분기 동안 공급망 솔루션을 통해 전년 동기 대비 약 280만 대 증가한 760만 대의 기기를 처리했다. 첫 9개월 동안 역물류(reverse logistics) 및 보상 판매(trade-in) 프로그램을 통해 2,200만 대 이상의 기기를 처리했다.
경영진은 이러한 실적 개선의 원인으로 기존 고객사와의 협력 확대, 성숙 단계에 접어든 후불 및 선불 프로그램, 역물류의 규모의 경제 달성을 꼽았다. US셀룰러(UScellular), 베스트바이(Best Buy), 체이스(Chase) 관련 최근 프로그램도 2026년 실적 성장에 기여했다.
기기 보호가 여전히 더 큰 이익 기여 요인인 가운데, 경영진은 공급망 서비스 또한 수익에 긍정적인 영향을 미치며 종합적인 고객 관계의 경제성을 강화한다고 설명했다. T모바일(T-Mobile) 관련 물량이 2분기까지 적정 수준의 실행률(run rate)에 도달함에 따라, 향후 수 분기 동안 전년 동기 대비 비교 기준이 더욱 높아질 것으로 예상된다.
글로벌 오토모티브
글로벌 오토모티브의 3분기 기저 이익은 전년 동기 기저에 포함되었던 600만 달러의 비경상 이익을 제외하고 9% 증가했다. 이러한 실적은 손해율 개선과 미국 및 글로벌 파트너사와의 협력 확대를 반영했다.
원수보험료(Net written premium)는 25% 증가했으나, 경영진은 이 중 약 절반이 특정 고객사와의 시점 차이에서 비롯되었다고 설명했다. 나머지는 확장에 성공한 미국 2개 고객사와의 관계 및 성장하는 글로벌 파트너십에 기반한 경상적인 성장 덕분이었다.
어슈런트는 2개 제3자 관리기관(TPA)과의 관계를 갱신했으며, 멕시코의 대형 완성차 업체(OEM) 및 영국의 주요 중고차 판매업체와 신규 파트너십을 체결했다. 또한 경영진은 차량 서비스 계약(VSC) 및 잔존가치 보장(GAP)의 손실 실적이 지속적으로 개선되고 있으며, 이러한 성장 잠재력이 2027년 이후까지 이어질 수 있다고 밝혔다.
글로벌 하우징
대형 재해를 제외한 글로벌 하우징의 11% 조정 EBITDA 성장은 비대형 재해 청구 건수 감소와 4월 1일 재보험 갱신 시 우호적인 가격 조건에 따른 재해 재보험 비용 절감을 반영했다. 이러한 이점은 이전 기간 적립금 변동(prior-period reserve development)의 우호적 효과가 800만 달러 줄어들면서 일부 상쇄되었다.
어슈런트는 프리덤 모기지(Freedom Mortgage)와의 파트너십을 통해 약 260만 건의 대출을 신규 수임하여 총 관리 대출 건수를 3,400만 건으로 늘렸다. 해당 파트너십을 통한 보험료 기여는 향후 수 분기에 걸쳐 본격화될 것으로 예상된다.
세입자 보험 분야에서 Cover360은 침투율 제고, 더 우호적인 상품 구성, 부동산 관리 채널 전반에 걸친 두 자릿수 보험료 성장을 지속적으로 지원했다. 지난 5년간 글로벌 하우징은 평균 83%의 합산비율(combined ratio)과 평균 28%의 자기자본이익률(ROE)을 기록했다.
AI 및 기술
어슈런트는 보험금 청구, 고객 참여, 문서 처리, 업무 프로세스 자동화, 기기 수급 관리 전반에 AI를 적용하고 있다. 경영진은 현재 실현된 이점으로 기술 개발 속도 향상과 함께 운영, 콜센터, 기기 케어 센터에서의 효율성 향상을 언급했다.
회사는 이러한 효율성 향상으로 얻은 이익의 일부를 새로운 역량 확보와 성장 기회에 재투자할 계획이다. 경영진은 AI 도입 과정에 거버넌스, 보안 및 위험 관리 통제가 포함될 것임을 강조했다.
경영진 가이던스
어슈런트는 2026년 연간 전망치를 다음과 같이 상향 조정했다:
| 2026년 지표 | 수정된 경영진 전망 |
|---|---|
| 조정 EBITDA 성장률 | 대형 재해 제외 약 10% |
| 조정 EPS 성장률 | 대형 재해 제외 10%대 초반 |
| 전년도 적립금 변동 효과 제외 조정 EBITDA 성장률 | 대형 재해 제외 10%대 초중반 |
| 전년도 적립금 변동 효과 제외 조정 EPS 성장률 | 대형 재해 제외 10%대 중반 |
| 글로벌 라이프스타일 이익 성장률 | 10%대 중후반 |
| 글로벌 하우징 이익 성장률 | 대형 재해 제외 한 자릿수 중반 |
| 전년도 적립금 감소 효과 제외 글로벌 하우징 기저 성장률 | 10%대 초반 |
| 자사주 매입 | 3억 5,000만 달러 |
이 전망은 어슈런트가 글로벌 하우징에서 5,200만 달러 감소한 전년도 적립금 변동 효과를 감내한다는 가정을 전제로 한다. 또한 4분기의 추가적인 우호적 전년도 적립금 변동 효과는 포함하지 않았다.
2027년의 경우 경영진은 커넥티드 리빙과 오토모티브 두 부문의 기여를 바탕으로 글로벌 라이프스타일이 회사 성장을 계속 이끌 것으로 예상하고 있다. 하우징 부문에서는 현재 이익 수준을 유지하고 신규 사업 파이프라인을 실적 결실로 전환하는 데 주력할 예정이다. 본사 및 기타 비용은 대체로 안정적으로 유지될 것으로 보이며, 보다 세부적인 가이던스는 2월에 발표될 계획이다.
리스크 및 주시 영역
- 글로벌 하우징 실적은 청구 건수 감소와 우호적인 재보험 가격 형성의 수혜를 입었으나, 이는 동일한 수준으로 되풀이되지 않을 수 있다. 다음 주요 재보험 갱신은 2027년 4월로 예정되어 있다.
- 어슈런트는 2026년에 전년도 적립금의 우호적 변동 효과가 5,200만 달러 감소하는 악재를 극복해야 한다.
- 글로벌 오토모티브의 25% 원수보험료 성장 중 약 절반은 경상적인 확장이라기보다 고객사 관련 시점 차이를 반영한 것이다.
- T모바일의 역물류 물량은 이제 상당 부분 규모 확장에 이르러, 어슈런트가 해당 프로그램의 본격 가동 시기를 지나면서 전년 대비 비교 기준이 더욱 까다로워질 전망이다.
- AI 에이전트 및 비교 쇼핑 툴은 고객이 서비스 계약을 평가하는 방식에 영향을 미칠 수 있다. 경영진은 어슈런트의 내재화된 B2B2C 유통 모델이 이를 방어해 줄 것으로 보고 있으나, 지속적인 상품 혁신과 강력한 보안 관리 통제의 필요성도 인정했다.
- 폴더블 스마트폰은 더 높은 보험금 청구 빈도를 발생시킬 것으로 예상된다. 경영진은 위험 분담 및 재보험 계약을 통해 어슈런트의 손실 노출을 제한하고 있으며, 고가 기기에 대한 보호 수요 증가가 순 긍정적 요소로 작용할 수 있다고 밝혔다.
애널리스트 Q&A 하이라이트
애널리스트들은 최근 프로그램의 본격 가동 이후에도 커넥티드 리빙의 성장이 지속될 수 있는지에 주목했다. 경영진은 몇몇 대형 프로그램이 이미 성숙 단계에 도달하고 있긴 하지만, 추가적인 최적화와 서비스 확대 가능성은 여전히 열려 있다고 밝혔다.
스마트폰 교체 주기와 관련해 경영진은 사용 기간이 늘어남에 따라 기기 보호, 인증 중고 기기, 보상 판매 및 리퍼비시 서비스 수요가 지원된다고 언급했다. 기기 가격 상승 역시 기기 보호 및 보상 판매 프로그램의 중요성을 높이고 있다.
AI와 관련해 경영진은 운영 효율성, 고객 경험 개선, 신규 매출 기회를 주요 재무적 이점으로 꼽았다. 다만 어슈런트는 모든 효율성 향상분이 영업이익률 개선으로 바로 이어지게 두기보다는 절감된 비용의 일부를 재투자할 계획이라고 밝혔다.
글로벌 하우징에 대해 경영진은 연초 이후 손해율이 몇 퍼센트포인트 더 우호적인 상태라고 설명했다. 장기적으로 회사는 80%대 초중반의 합산비율을 정상적인 범위로 계속 보고 있다.
실적 발표 컨퍼런스 콜 전문
전체 실적 발표 컨퍼런스 콜 녹취록
경영진 발표
Operator
Welcome to Assurant's Third Quarter 2026 Conference Call and Webcast. [Operator Instructions]
It is now my pleasure to turn the floor over to Sean Moshier, Head of Investor Relations. You may begin.
Sean Moshier
Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. We look forward to discussing our third quarter results with you today. Joining me for Assurant's conference call are Keith Demmings, our President and Chief Executive Officer; and Keith Meier, our Chief Financial Officer. Yesterday, after the market closed, we issued an earnings release announcing our results for the third quarter 2026. The release and corresponding financial supplement are available on assurant.com. Also on our website is a slide presentation for our webcast participants.
Some of the statements made today are forward-looking. Forward-looking statements are based upon historical and current expectations and subject to risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from those contemplated by these statements. Additional information regarding these factors can be found in the earnings release, presentation and financial supplement on our website as well as in our SEC reports. During today's call, we will refer to non-GAAP financial measures, which we believe are important in analyzing the company's performance. For more details on these measures, the most comparable GAAP measures and a reconciliation of the 2, please refer to the earnings release, presentation and financial supplement on our website.
We'll start today's call with remarks before moving into Q&A. I will now turn the call over to Keith Demmings.
Keith Demmings
Good morning, and thank you for joining us. Our third quarter results reflect broad-based earnings growth across Assurant, supporting a record year in demonstrating the financial and operational momentum behind our strategy. Global Lifestyle and Global Housing both delivered double-digit earnings growth, driving a 12% increase in adjusted EBITDA and EPS, all excluding reportable catastrophes. These results reinforce the durability of our business model and our right to win in the lifestyle and housing markets we serve. 2026 has been an exceptional year of outperformance for Assurant. Through the first 9 months of the year, adjusted EBITDA increased 12% and adjusted EPS grew 13%, both excluding reportable cats.
These results extend our track record of profitable growth. Our performance reflects operational discipline, technology-driven efficiency and a diversified business mix that continues to generate earnings growth. Importantly, we've delivered these results while investing in future growth and returning capital to shareholders. I want to thank our global teams. Their execution turns our strategy into results for our clients, customers and shareholders. As we approach the end of 2026, we are well positioned to deliver our 10th consecutive year of profitable earnings growth.
Let's move on to our segment highlights. Global Lifestyle's performance this year reinforces this business as a major engine of innovation and growth, anchored by a large subscriber base and recurring fee-based revenue streams. Year-to-date, earnings increased 18%, driven by growth in both Connected Living and Global Automotive. Within Connected Living, earnings grew 23% year-to-date, reflecting expansion with existing clients and continued optimization of recently added programs. Our growth is built on deep embedded partnerships with the world's leading mobile carriers, retailers, cable operators and financial institutions.
In mobile, we now protect over 69 million devices globally, and our subscriber base continues to generate strong year-over-year growth. We continue to benefit from our alignment with the market leaders who are winning share as well as from new scaling postpaid and prepaid programs that are continuing to mature. Our supply chain capability also operates with significant scale. Through the first 9 months of the year, we processed more than 22 million devices through our reverse logistics and trade-in programs, leveraging powerful technology, advanced automation and operational expertise to support our partners.
Across the device life cycle, our end-to-end capabilities continue to be a key differentiator. We innovate alongside our global mobile partners while delivering exceptional customer experiences across their growing subscriber bases. In extended service contracts and financial services, expanding partnerships with some of the largest appliance and consumer electronics retailers and financial institutions position these businesses for continued growth.
Turning to Global Automotive. Year-to-date, adjusted EBITDA grew 10%, driven by continued improved loss experience and expansion of our global partnership base. We continue to strengthen relationships across our dealer, third-party administrator and OEM or manufacturer channels while adding new partners, both domestically and internationally. We recently renewed 2 important TPA relationships and signed new partnerships with a large OEM in Mexico and a major used vehicle retailer in the United Kingdom. We continue to see strong momentum across our growing commercial equipment and lease and finance business, expanding distribution through new OEM, dealer and lending partnerships. During the quarter, we added multiple new partnerships while expanding several existing programs, further strengthening the growth trajectory of these businesses.
Moving to Global Housing. Our differentiated business model continues to deliver with 8% growth in adjusted EBITDA, excluding cats, through the first 9 months of 2026. These results reflect the strength of our business and the value of the capabilities that we've built. At the center of housing is our lender-placed business. Lender-placed is more than an insurance product. It's a specialized coverage verification tracking business that helps ensure insurance continuity to protect lenders, servicers and homeowners while playing a critical role in safeguarding the U.S. housing market. The business is built on proprietary technology with deep client integration at scale, enabling us to navigate the highly complex nature of the business and demonstrating why it's so hard to replicate.
Our decades of investment in data-centric operational capabilities have strengthened Assurant's competitive position and benefited partners and consumers through scale, expense efficiencies and customer experience. The durability of our client relationships reflects the value we provide. On average, our largest lender-placed clients have partnered with Assurant for almost 20 years, representing more than 3/4 of our tracked loans.
With the onboarding of approximately 2.6 million loans through our Freedom Mortgage partnership, we now ensure insurance continuity on 34 million loans. We continue to see a clear runway to expand that base further through new partnerships. In Renters, we're expanding Cover360 through close integration with our property management company channel partners. Cover360 remains an important growth platform for our Renters business, driving improved penetration, a more favorable product mix and stronger customer engagement, all of which support double-digit premium growth across the channel.
In housing, our scale and operating efficiency translate into differentiated financial performance across our product lines. Over the last 5 years, Housing delivered an average combined ratio of 83% and an average return on equity of 28%. and our results in 2026 are extending our track record of attractive returns. The takeaway is simple: Housing operates a specialized advantaged business model that delivers attractive returns. Across all of Assurant, 2026 has truly been a remarkable year. As we execute on our 10th consecutive year of profitable growth, I'm incredibly proud of our performance so far in 2026, which comes on the heels of 3 consecutive years of double-digit adjusted EBITDA and adjusted EPS growth, excluding cats.
The broad-based success across our businesses this year is a direct reflection of our clear strategy and a business model built for durable growth. Our position as a trusted B2B2C provider across embedded services and protection programs that are less dependent on traditional insurance market cycles resonates with many of the world's leading brands. We leverage relationships built on transparency and shared outcomes, helping clients grow and strengthening customer loyalty. During the year, we've continued to build on that momentum. In mobile, within Connected Living, we launched several new programs, increasing our presence with major U.S. carriers, including long-standing partnerships and growing relationships that represent attractive long-term opportunities.
In auto, we've deepened relationships with existing U.S. partners while expanding our global footprint, increasing future opportunities for growth. And within our lender-placed business, we've expanded our market position through our new partnership as we continue to leverage our scale and technology to execute on a robust new client pipeline. As Keith Meier will discuss, a fundamental driver of our success is investments in technology and innovation. Integrated ecosystems of services, technology, data and AI are critical to creating value across the client and customer journey. These capabilities are hard to replicate and increasingly important as clients look for partners who can solve complex challenges at scale.
Our disciplined execution this year has demonstrated our meaningful competitive advantages positioning us well to extend our track record of delivering profitable growth and generating attractive returns for shareholders.
Now I'll turn it over to Keith Meier to discuss third quarter results and our increased outlook for 2026.
Keith Meier
Thanks, Keith, and good morning, everyone. We were very pleased with the strong performance in the quarter, driven by double-digit earnings growth in both Global Lifestyle and Global Housing, excluding cats. Third quarter growth was exceptional with adjusted EBITDA and adjusted earnings per share growth of 12%, both excluding cats. We're proud of our performance across Assurant as we continue to enable growth through our focus on leveraging technology, driving innovation and product differentiation. Given the outstanding performance so far this year, we are once again increasing our expectations for full year growth.
Before reviewing our increased outlook, let me start by highlighting our third quarter results, beginning with Global Lifestyle. Third quarter adjusted EBITDA increased 15% or $30 million compared to last year. Within Connected Living, adjusted EBITDA grew 23%, also up $30 million. Our mobile business continues to drive strong growth, building on our momentum with existing clients to expand products and capabilities through innovative programs. Across global supply chain and device protection programs, we continue to build scale and efficiencies as programs mature, improving underlying profitability as they've grown.
Within our fee-based global supply chain solutions, we serviced 7.6 million devices, an increase of approximately 2.8 million devices compared to last year, driven by our new reverse logistics programs. Within device protection, we added 3.7 million protected devices over the last 12 months, reflecting continued subscriber growth across our global partnerships.
Rising device costs and lengthening replacement cycles are increasing the need to protect existing devices for consumers and repurposing pre-owned devices, reinforcing the relevance of Assurance offerings. These trends are increasing demand for high-quality refurbished devices that are serviced at our 9 global device care centers. Within Connected Living, we also continue to see growth from optimizing programs through our expanding card benefits business within financial services.
Turning to Global Automotive. Adjusted EBITDA was slightly above the prior year as results were impacted by our previously disclosed $6 million nonrecurring benefit in the third quarter of 2025. Excluding that item, underlying earnings increased $7 million or 9%. Auto results continue to reflect improving loss experience and global partnerships expansion. We see additional opportunities to grow the business both in the U.S. and internationally as we deepen existing relationships and add new partners.
Moving to Global Housing. Third quarter adjusted EBITDA was $268 million, including $20 million of reportable catastrophes. Excluding cats, adjusted EBITDA was $288 million, an increase of $29 million or 11%. Results benefited from a favorable non-cat loss ratio, driven by lower claim frequencies during the quarter.
Lower cat reinsurance costs from favorable pricing following the April 1 placement of our 2026 program also contributed to growth. Third quarter results were partially offset by $8 million of lower favorable prior period reserve development. Within lender-placed, our placement rate increased modestly in the quarter. Growth from our Freedom Mortgage partnership more than offset the impact of a client who transferred a portion of their loan portfolio to another loan servicer. Policy placement of Freedom Mortgage is expected to ramp up over the next few quarters. More broadly, we believe there continues to be a meaningful opportunity to grow our 34 million tracked loans over the next several years.
Turning to capital. Our liquidity position at quarter end was $954 million, providing flexibility to continue to invest in growth and return excess capital to shareholders. This quarter, we returned $119 million to our shareholders, including $75 million of share repurchases and $44 million in dividends. Through October 31, we repurchased an additional $30 million, bringing our year-to-date total to $305 million. Before moving to our 2026 outlook, I want to spend a moment on AI and how it fits within Assurant's long-term strategy. Our technology-first approach has been a differentiator for many years and positions us well to capitalize on AI. We do not view AI as a stand-alone initiative or a onetime investment. We evaluate AI the same way we evaluate any strategic capability, investing where we see a clear path to improving customer experience, creating new sources of growth and strengthening profitability.
What makes Assurant's opportunity unique is the combination of our technology platforms, proprietary data, deep domain expertise and long-standing client relationships. Together, these assets enable us to deploy AI at scale across our businesses and create differentiated solutions for both clients and consumers. We are already seeing benefits across the enterprise. In Connected Living, AI is helping optimize device supply and demand, improve claims outcomes and enhance customer engagement. In auto, AI is supporting both revenue generation and claims decision-making, helping simplify increasingly complex vehicle repair processes. Across housing, AI is reducing friction through intelligent document processing, workflow automation and digital customer interactions.
Importantly, these investments are producing value today while creating opportunities for future growth. As we capture benefits through improved operating performance and customer experiences, we reinvest a portion of those gains into additional innovation and capabilities, further strengthening our competitive position. And as we expand these capabilities, we're doing so responsibly with appropriate oversight and controls. As these technologies continue to evolve, we believe our technology foundation and ability to scale solutions globally expand our right to win and support sustainable growth and shareholder value creation over the long term. So whenever there are new technologies, including AI in the market, you can think of that as an advantage for Assurant with our strong technology-first DNA.
Now let's move on to our increased outlook for 2026. We now expect full year adjusted EBITDA to grow approximately 10% and adjusted earnings per share to grow low double digits with both metrics excluding cats. Our expectation is to deliver strong growth while overcoming $52 million of lower favorable prior year reserve development in Global Housing. Excluding the impact of prior year reserve development, we expect low to mid-teens adjusted EBITDA growth and mid-teens adjusted earnings per share growth, excluding cats. Global Lifestyle is expected to lead the growth for Assurant. We're increasing our outlook for Lifestyle and now expect mid- to high teens growth, reflecting our strong year-to-date results in both Connected Living and Global Auto.
Turning to Global Housing. We also increased our outlook and now expect earnings to grow mid-single digits, excluding cats. Absent impacts from lower prior year reserve development, we expect low double-digit underlying growth for the full year. Consistent with our past approach, our 2026 outlook does not contemplate incremental prior year reserve development in the fourth quarter.
From a capital perspective, our strong cash generation creates flexibility, enabling us to reinvest for growth, including M&A and return excess capital to shareholders. For 2026, we are increasing our expectations for share repurchases to $350 million at the top of our $250 million to $350 million initial repurchase range. Our third quarter and year-to-date results underscore the momentum across Assurant. We are on track to deliver record performance in 2026, a milestone that reflects the strength of Global Lifestyle and Global Housing. As we close out the year, we will continue investing in the opportunities ahead and putting our strong capital position to work to create value for our shareholders.
With that, operator, please open the call for questions.
Operator
[Operator Instructions]
Our first question comes from Mark Hughes with Truist Securities.
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Mark Hughes
In Global Auto, the net written premium up 25%, you talked about some new partnerships, et cetera. What are you seeing on an underlying basis just in terms of sales? And is this 25% is that kind of growth sustainable in the next few quarters as these partnerships continue to make a contribution?
Keith Demmings
Yes. So let me start just at the highest level, and then I'll have Keith provide comments directly. But I just want to reinforce how excited we are with the results we've delivered. I mean you obviously saw strong double-digit growth across all of our businesses in the third quarter and then really, really strong year-to-date performance. I think what's most encouraging is the strength across the board. So having Lifestyle lead the growth, but delivering double digit in both Connected Living and Auto and then Housing maintaining such strong momentum overcoming PYD, I think we feel incredibly good about how that sets us up. And then international has continued to perform well. Happy to have Keith provide some specific comments on the business itself.
Keith Meier
Yes. And so Mark, you asked about the increase in the written premium for auto. I would say that you can look at that and split it into 2 halves. So one half of it is really just timing with a particular client from this year versus last year. And then the other is more of the recurring growth that you can think of. And that relates to some expansion with 2 of our clients in the U.S. and also our global partnerships that continue to grow as well. So we are really pleased to see the results there in the quarter in terms of written premium for auto.
Mark Hughes
Yes, I appreciate that. And then -- it seems like there's been some news, Elon Musk talking about getting into the wireless space. What does that potentially mean for you? And then the other risk that's come up is the news and the potential search or comparison shopping that might lead consumers to be a little more sensitive to pricing on the service contracts. I wonder if you could just address those 2 issues.
Keith Demmings
Those are 2 big questions. Yes, maybe first, I'll start with Starlink. Obviously, the wireless market is very competitive to begin with, right? And there's a couple of major cable players in the space. There's the 3 big network operators. We saw a lot of balanced growth across the board, lots of competition. I think generally, that backdrop sets up well for us as clients are looking to innovate and then leverage the full scale of our capabilities. The second thing I'd say is we've had a long track record of helping clients drive change, disrupt the status quo, whether that's cable, Rakuten, T-Mobile when they kind of launched the Un-carrier. So I think we're well positioned as the market evolves, and I think it sets up well for our capability set.
And I do think we have the broadest and deepest set of capabilities in the marketplace. In terms of -- the question more broadly on AI and Muse. I think maybe I'll talk a little bit about AI disruption broadly, and then I'll speak about Muse agents. But I think the interesting thing for Assurant is our business model is incredibly unique, and I think that creates fundamental advantages. As you know, we're a B2B provider. We're naturally embedded in the transaction flows with our clients. We don't generally offer products direct to consumer. And I think as we work with clients, they want to control how the product is offered, but also influence the design of the product, the value prop, the service experience. My expectation is AI causes us and clients to continue to innovate to enhance coverages, evolve the experience for customers and then even more proactively communicate with customers and provide personalization.
So I do think there are some really good advantages that come through our model. In terms of Muse and AI agent adoption more broadly, I'd say a couple of things. First, really early in the development and the adoption cycle. It will evolve, no doubt significantly over time. I think from an Assurant perspective, we've always tried to embrace technology, particularly when it improves the customer experience. And then giving customers choice, different options to interact with us. We've done that over time, phone, web, mobile device, chat. This will continue to evolve, and we'll explore how best to support their desire to use an AI agent, but we also have to have the appropriate governance and risk management and balance security and decision-making control.
So how do we make it easier for customers but prevent fraud, protect policyholders and leverage technology. And I think as we think about customers shopping and looking at our products versus other options in the marketplace, first, our advantage that we're embedded with clients in their direct sales process, I think, is really important. And two, it will cause us all to raise the bar on delivering the utmost customer value proposition.
Keith Meier
Yes. And I think on top of that, our philosophy is to be very transparent in how we operate. And I think to the extent that this benefits companies that are transparent, I think that certainly is a positive for us. And like I mentioned earlier, we're leaning in heavily on a lot of our AI initiatives, and we're making a lot of progress, whether it be efficiencies or new capabilities. But overall, I think when you think about AI coming into our markets, we like how we're positioned to address it.
Operator
Our next question comes from Charlie Lederer with BMO.
Charles Lederer
You mentioned the new partnerships in auto. Wondering if you could talk about the pipeline for new partnerships in Connected Living and maybe Home too. And then just dovetailing to that on the Connected Living side, can you give us a sense of maybe what inning you feel like you're in, in terms of the ramp of the various mobile programs you've added in the last 12 to 18 months?
Keith Demmings
Sure. And obviously, we've had a fantastic year in Connected Living with 23% growth year-to-date. So we're incredibly proud of that. I definitely think we've seen significant ramping this year. We talked about a number of things that we were investing in, certainly last year that fed into this year's performance, clients like onboarding UScellular. We've obviously scaled really significantly around reverse logistics. We've launched and expanded Best Buy. We've grown and matured our Chase relationship. So I do think 2026 is benefiting from a lot of those big programs moving towards scale. There's still opportunity to further scale and optimize as we go forward.
But that's why you see such a big step-up in year-over-year performance. In terms of what inning we're in, it's an interesting question. We've got really lofty ambitions for how we think about Connected Living broadly. Certainly, mobile is the biggest driver, but we've got great momentum in extended service contracts with the retail space. We're doing a lot of good work in financial services as well. And then mobile, I think our broad set of capabilities is really resonating, and you see that showing up in our protected subs, in our devices serviced. And I think there's a lot of long-term opportunity to grow the business.
Keith Meier
Yes. When I think about housing as well, we recently mentioned the new win with Freedom, and we feel really good about our pipeline as well that we'll be able to talk about over the coming quarters. So overall, we like the position we're in, in terms of new opportunities coming over the next year.
Charles Lederer
And then as my follow-up, just looking at the strong results in housing, there's a few moving pieces. Maybe you can help unpack gross written premium growth bounced back nicely, but it sounds like you still have more premium to onboard from that Freedom Mortgage relationship being onboarded. Wondering if you can expand on the underlying volume and pricing trends in lender-placed. And then on the frequency benefit you're seeing, it would be great if you can -- if you could help quantify how much that impacted the ex cat loss ratio, ex PPD in the quarter too?
Keith Meier
All right. A lot to unpack there, Charlie. Let me start with your first point on Freedom. So we had one client that transferred some loans to another servicer last quarter. And then Freedom came on in terms of gross written premium this quarter. So that was what was contributing to us this quarter. And then you should see Freedom being able to ramp up over the next few quarters. So that's how I would characterize the trends in gross written premium. And then in general, I think our position for the Housing business is -- this year, we had favorable loss ratios. I'd say from a year-to-date perspective, you can think about it as a couple of percentage points. But overall, I think we're in a pretty stable position.
If you think about our long-term views, we typically have talked about combined ratios in the low to mid-80s. And this year, we're seeing those loss ratios be a little bit better. So I think that's helping us a little bit this year. But overall, we're really pleased with the performance of housing. And then we have lots of growth levers as we think about going into next year as well with new clients, our AIVs, and we also think there'll be favorable trends for our reinsurance, but we'll see how that plays out when we renew that reinsurance treaties in April of next year.
Operator
Our next question comes from Jeff Schmitt with William Blair.
Jeffrey Schmitt
On AI, where are you seeing the clearest financial benefits today, whether it's in claims, fraud or customer service? And could those benefits become kind of meaningful enough to impact margins over time?
Keith Meier
Yes. I think we're certainly seeing good efficiencies, Jeff, in terms of our operations, our call centers and our device care centers. A great example is we -- many of you were able to see our AI adoption in action at our investor event earlier this year in Nashville. So there's a lot of talk about it, but it was nice to be able to show that actually operating in our facility at scale. So I think there's good efficiencies. We also see technology opportunities where we can really accelerate our tech initiatives. So we feel good there. So I think we are getting some efficiencies, but we also want to reinvest a portion of that into additional growth opportunities.
We're always trying to drive innovation and new capabilities. So I think that's where we're really indexed pretty heavily. So if you think about our priorities, it's really improving the customer experience, driving new revenue streams and then certainly strengthening profitability as well.
Jeffrey Schmitt
And then a question on the smartphone upgrade cycle. I think that's extended to roughly 4 years now. And is that creating a larger opportunity for refurbishment services? Or does that -- does the slower replacement cycle kind of offset any benefits by lowering device volumes?
Keith Demmings
Yes. Certainly, it's an interesting dynamic and one that we've seen play out, as you say, over a few years and the ownership cycle certainly lengthened. And I think from our perspective, we're protecting 69-plus million subscribers today. That's very sticky. Obviously, they want to protect those devices regardless of the age. So I think we feel really good in terms of the base of the portfolio. I do think it creates opportunity with respect to certified pre-owned devices. Customers are more interested in upgrading to a CPO device than they've been historically in the past. I think that creates interesting dynamics and opportunities.
You've got broad affordability challenges with the cost of devices, certainly from memory and component costs. And I think, therefore, trade-in is really important to help the customer be able to afford the new device. So there's lots of different ways that we play across the ecosystem. And I think we're set up really well because we do play in the full ecosystem.
Operator
Our next question comes from Bob Huang with Morgan Stanley.
Jian Huang
So just given the strong commentaries you've had so far, right? And then as we think about maybe not even rest of 2026, as we think about 2027, can you maybe help us think about -- where is the momentum within your various segments going forward? Is Global Lifestyle or Connected Living related to the one that's going to be driving 2027. Can you maybe give us a little bit additional color on how you're thinking about next year?
Keith Demmings
Sure. And I'll try to drop a few breadcrumbs for you as best we can. I would say the first thing is certainly, we're going to close out '26, ultimately see where the performance lands and understand the latest trends. Having said that, I do think '26 is going to be an incredible year of record performance. So we're starting from a really strong position as we think about growth into 2027. As we look at '27, I would say -- we're certainly going to maintain momentum across the businesses, and that's from a really high watermark in terms of results. I think Lifestyle will continue to lead growth for the enterprise. We're going to expand services. We're going to continue to optimize performance, great opportunities to continue to drive underlying organic growth. And I expect that growth to be both in Connected Living and Automotive.
And then in Housing, I would say we're focused on sustaining the really high level of earnings we've achieved. And then a lot of focus, as Keith Meier mentioned, on continuing to convert our new business pipeline, which we're excited about. So those are probably a few messages I'd leave you with '27.
Jian Huang
Okay. I really appreciate that. We're all about breadcrumbs here. So in terms of Connect -- actually, maybe if we think about one piece of that, right? So can you -- on the corporate side and the other cost side, can you maybe help us think about, okay, if this is the case, then the full year corporate and other expense is now expected to be about $150 million. But if we were to think about going forward, is that $150 million, give or take, for full year the right run rate way of thinking about corporate and other costs going forward as well? Or are there any other strategic investments or payoffs that we should be incorporating as we think about just the overall corporate expense?
Keith Meier
Yes. I think as we look forward, this is the year that we really leaned in on the investments for home warranty in corporate. And that basically is playing out about what we expected. And I think as we go into next year, we'll see how that continues. But overall, I wouldn't say that we expect any big increases or anything like that in our corporate. So I think you could see that as pretty stable at this stage. And we'll provide more specifics on that certainly on our call in February as well.
Operator
[Operator Instructions]
Our next question comes from Tommy McJoynt with KBW.
Thomas Mcjoynt-Griffith
When we look at the Connected Living segment through the first 9 months of the year, the growth has been really strong in adjusted EBITDA growing 22% or 23%. Would you be able to roughly quantify the growth split between what we think of as the core device protection in-force growth versus the more volume-driven devices protected that's come from your reverse logistics new partners?
Keith Demmings
Yes, it's a great question. There's probably a couple of things to think about when you look at '26. The first thing I'd just say is we did call out a couple of one-timers earlier in the year, just to level set because obviously, 23% growth is incredible. When you look at that, we had a $3 million benefit in the first quarter in Connected Living from a real estate joint venture gain. We had $10 million in the second quarter. We called those out. So that's one thing I would say. The other thing is we've seen growth across all of the businesses. So our financial services business, our service contract business as well as mobile. And then when you look at mobile, a really strong balance between growing device protection, profitability in subs, but also growing around the supply chain and related services.
So a nice blend across both in terms of the growth within mobile, which is exactly what we want to see.
Keith Meier
Yes. And the only thing I would add is just always keep in mind that our device protection is the bigger driver of our economics and the supply chain side is a key capability that enables us to drive that growth in our mobile business as well.
Thomas Mcjoynt-Griffith
Okay. Got it. And when we see the metric that you report for devices serviced up about 40% year-to-date through the first 9 months. Is that margin accretive or margin dilutive? What's the margin profile like on the more supply chain reverse logistics side versus your core protection program.
Keith Meier
Yes. Like I say, the protection program is the one that drives our economics, but certainly, on a stand-alone basis, we're certainly very pleased with the supply chain side of the business as well. And then when you combine them, I think that's when the combination of those 2 -- of our protection program services and our supply chain services, I think that's where we get the best economics when you combine those 2.
Keith Demmings
But to be clear, it's accretive to performance.
Operator
Our next question comes from Mark Hughes with Truist Securities.
Mark Hughes
Just following up on that point, the T-Mobile, the co-located facility, the device service accelerated really strong in the third quarter. Is that still ramping? What's the kind of the cycle? When do you lap some of that, run into tougher comps? What's the -- as we think about the next few quarters with that T-Mobile, what's the growth profile look like?
Keith Demmings
Yes. I think in terms of volume, most of the integration and volume was sort of at a reasonable run rate in the second quarter. It's probably a good way to think about it. So there's a few quarters where we're lapping times where that wasn't the case. I would say there's still opportunity to continue to optimize to add additional services. But we're pretty scaled in what we're doing with T-Mobile. We're certainly excited about the overall performance and the strength of the relationship.
And like Keith said, I mean, us providing services across the spectrum is really important to helping partners drive value, optimize devices, put devices back into their ecosystem, and that's more important today than it's ever been. I'm so glad we invested so aggressively in this space the last few years because it's a more important factor for us going forward than it's been in the past.
Mark Hughes
On the Global Auto benefit costs, loss costs, repair costs, are you at an equilibrium at this point? Have you made the progress you're going to make and it should be more stable? Or is there still some more margin to be extracted there?
Keith Meier
Yes. So I think we had that inflection point in 2025 last year, and we've continued to see that play out this year. In the quarter, we have seen improved loss performance, both on our vehicle service contract and our GAAP side. And then as we look forward, there is still runway to continue to improve and grow into 2027 and beyond. So I think we're still working through that journey, but really pleased with how that's coming along.
Operator
Our last question comes from Charlie Lederer with BMO.
Charles Lederer
Just wanted to touch on the iPhone Duo and maybe some nuances with that rollout. Does that affect any of -- from a seasonality perspective, can you just talk about how things might be a little bit different, if at all, with that product? And then also from a loss cost product, there's been some commentary online that we've seen just on the dynamics being a little bit different. Wondering if that impacts the economic arrangements you have with your partners or how to think about that?
Keith Meier
Yes, sure. So the first part was on the seasonality. Right now, Charlie, the Duo is pretty immaterial to our volumes. So I wouldn't say there's going to be much impact in terms of seasonality there. I think it's going to have to grow a lot more to -- for us to see any of that. In terms of loss costs, we do have a lot of experience on foldables from the other manufacturers that have had them out for the last few years. And we don't expect the iPhone to be any different, and that is that it will certainly have more claims frequencies. So there'll be more failures typically with these foldables.
And then in terms of how it impacts us, not very much. In fact, I would say it's probably a net positive for us because people -- people are going to be wanting to have coverage on their higher-end phones like the Duo. And then also, a lot of our arrangements with our clients is risk sharing. And so an example would be we would have reinsurance with our clients. And so it really doesn't affect the losses for us. But I think overall, it's a positive because I think people are going to want to protect those devices even more in the future. So that's why I say, overall, I'd say it's a net positive, Charlie.
Keith Demmings
All right. Well, I think that was the last question. So thanks again for joining us. As we've said, super encouraged by our year-to-date performance. Pleased to raise the guide for the full year and look forward to updating everybody in February, and we'll get into more details on the '27 outlook. So thanks a lot. Have a great day.
Operator
Thank you. This does conclude today's teleconference. Please disconnect your lines at this time, and have a wonderful day.
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