tradingkey.logo
tradingkey.logo
검색

포레스터(FORR) 2026년 3분기 실적 발표회: AI 성장 및 EPS 가이던스 상향

TradingKeyOct 29, 2026 9:53 PM
facebooktwitterlinkedin
모든 코멘트 보기(0)

포레스터의 3분기 매출은 8,610만 달러로 전년 동기 대비 9% 감소했다. 리서치 매출은 3% 줄어든 7,010만 달러, 컨설팅 매출은 31% 감소한 1,470만 달러를 기록했다. 조정 영업이익은 35% 감소한 650만 달러, 조정 EPS는 0.24달러로 하락했다.

반면 계약 가치 감소 폭은 3.5%로 축소되었고, 리텐션은 89%, 고객 유지율은 78%로 상승했다. 경영진은 2026년 매출 전망치 3억 5,000만~3억 6,000만 달러와 영업이익률 가이던스 6%~6.5%를 유지했으나, 조정 EPS 하단을 0.77달러로 상향 조정했다.

연방 정부 자금 지원의 불확실성과 대기업 판매 주기 연장 등으로 인해 연말 계약 가치는 보합세를 중심으로 2% 감소에서 2% 증가 범위에 그칠 것으로 예상된다.

AI 생성 요약

핵심 요약

  • 3분기 매출은 전년 동기 대비 9% 감소한 8,610만 달러를 기록했다. 리서치 매출은 3% 줄어든 7,010만 달러, 컨설팅 매출은 31% 감소한 1,470만 달러로 집계됐다.
  • 계약 가치는 전년 동기 7% 감소했던 것에 비해 3.5% 감소에 그쳤다. 리텐션(계약 유지율)은 89%로 전년 동기 대비 3%포인트 상승했으며, 고객 유지율은 4%포인트 오른 78%를 기록했다.
  • 조정 영업이익은 35% 감소한 650만 달러를 기록했으며, 영업이익률은 10.5%에서 7.6%로 축소됐다. 조정 EPS는 0.37달러에서 0.24달러로 하락했다.
  • 포레스터 AI 활용도는 지속적으로 확대되어, 프롬프트 수는 전분기 대비 13%, 전년 동기 대비 142% 증가했으며, 총 사용자 수는 각각 6%, 65% 증가했다.
  • 경영진은 2026년 매출 전망치 3억 5,000만~3억 6,000만 달러와 영업이익률 가이던스 6%~6.5%를 유지했다. 조정 EPS 가이던스의 하단은 0.77달러로 상향 조정해 새로운 범위인 0.77~0.82달러를 제시했다.
  • 포레스터는 연방 정부 자금 지원의 불확실성, 대기업 판매 주기 연장, 4분기 집행 리스크 등을 반영해 연말 계약 가치 실적이 보합세를 중심으로 2% 감소에서 2% 증가 범위에 그칠 것으로 예상했다.

주요 재무 데이터

지표2026년 3분기전년 동기 대비 변동 / 문맥
매출8,610만 달러9,430만 달러 대비 9% 감소
리서치 매출7,010만 달러7,270만 달러 대비 3% 감소
컨설팅 매출1,470만 달러31% 감소
이벤트 매출120만 달러전년 동기 대비 비교는 이벤트 타이밍의 영향을 받음
계약 가치—3.5% 감소
리텐션(유지율)89%3%포인트 상승
고객 유지율78%전년 동기 대비 4%포인트, 전분기 대비 1%포인트 상승
조정 영업이익650만 달러990만 달러 대비 35% 감소
조정 영업이익률7.6%10.5%에서 하락
조정 순이익470만 달러720만 달러 대비 35% 감소
조정 EPS$0.24$0.37에서 하락
분기 말 현금1억 1,760만 달러부채 총액 3,000만 달러
연초 대비 누적 영업활동 현금흐름3,340만 달러임대인 자금 지원 1,710만 달러 포함
연초 대비 누적 자본 지출2,480만 달러본사 건설 비용 2,230만 달러 포함

사업 및 영업 실적

리서치는 여전히 포레스터의 가장 큰 사업 부문으로, 테크놀로지 섹터의 호조에 힘입어 전분기 대비 개선됐다. 리서치 제품 매출은 3% 감소했고 리프린트(재전재) 매출은 6% 감소했으며, 업세일즈는 예상치를 소폭 하회했다.

컨설팅 매출은 지속적인 시장 불확실성, 콘텐츠 마케팅 약세, 그리고 앞서 진행된 전략 컨설팅 사업 철수 여파로 31% 축소됐다. 경영진은 3분기가 전통적으로 공공 부문 전략 컨설팅의 성수기였기 때문에 이 부문의 매출 감소가 특히 컸다고 설명했다.

포레스터는 이번 분기 중 팀 솔루션(Team Solutions)과 AI 액세스 플러스(AI Access Plus)를 출시했다. 팀 솔루션은 혁신 프로젝트의 협업을 지원하도록 설계되었으며, AI 액세스 플러스는 포레스터 리서치에 대한 AI 기반 접근권과 분기별 애널리스트 질의응답 세션을 결합한 상품이다.

AI 액세스는 3분기까지 포레스터 전체 계약 가치 기준의 약 4%를 차지했다. 경영진은 연말까지 이 기여도가 5%에 근접할 것으로 예상하며, 이 셀프서비스 제품의 마진이 최고 등급 리서치 상품보다 실질적으로 훨씬 높다고 밝혔다. 영업 인력의 절반 이상이 AI 액세스를 판매한 실적이 있다.

또한 포레스터는 앤트로픽(Anthropic)의 클로드(Claude)에 대한 제한적 얼리 어답터 프로그램을 통해 마이크로소프트 팀즈(Microsoft Teams)와 마이크로소프트 코필럿(Microsoft Copilot)을 넘어선 '웨어 유 워크(Where You Work)' 전략을 확장했다. 포레스터는 슬랙(Slack)과 제미나이(Gemini)를 포함한 추가적인 연동도 검토 중이라고 전했다.

조정 영업비용은 인건비 및 관련 비용, 부동산 비용 감소에 힘입어 6% 줄어들었다. 인원수는 연초 구조조정에 따라 10% 감소했다.

포레스터는 이번 분기 동안 약 1,000만 달러 규모의 자사주를 매입했으며, 매입 한도 잔액은 약 6,600만 달러가 남아있다. 또한 부채 500만 달러를 상환했다.

경영진 가이던스

2026년 전망경영진 가이던스
매출3억 5,000만~3억 6,000만 달러
매출 성장률2025년 대비 9%~12% 감소
조정 영업이익률6%~6.5%
이자 비용220만 달러
세율29%
조정 EPS0.77~0.82달러 (기존 0.72~0.82달러에서 하단 상향)
연말 계약 가치 성장률보합세를 중심으로 2% 감소에서 2% 증가 범위

경영진은 연간 전체 기준으로 리서치 매출이 5% 안팎 감소하고 이벤트 매출은 10%대 중후반 하락할 것으로 예상하고 있다. EPS 하단을 높여 잡은 배경에 대해서는 비용 관리와 자사주 매입 덕분이라고 설명했다.

리스크 및 관전 포인트

  • 미국 연방 정부 자금 지원의 불확실성으로 인해 3분기 기대되었던 성장 거래들이 지연됐다. 경영진은 해당 거래들이 무산된 것은 아니지만 시점을 예측하기가 더 어려워졌다고 밝혔다.
  • 대기업 거래는 여전히 복잡하며 계약 체결까지 더 오랜 시간이 걸릴 수 있다.
  • 연간 신규 계약(부킹)의 약 40%가 4분기에 발생하므로 연말 계약 가치는 계약 성사율과 최근 출시된 제품의 채택률에 민감하게 반응한다.
  • 컨설팅 부문은 시장의 불확실성과 포레스터의 전략 컨설팅 철수 여파에 지속적으로 직면해 있다.
  • 업세일즈는 예상치를 소폭 하회했으나, 경영진은 AI 액세스 플러스와 팀 솔루션이 추가적인 확장 기회를 창출할 것으로 기대하고 있다.

애널리스트 Q&A 하이라이트

경영진은 2027년 가이던스를 제시하지는 않았으나, 리텐션 개선, 신제품 출시, 영업 집행력이 2027년으로 진입하며 지속적인 계약 가치 성장에 대한 자신감을 뒷받침한다고 전했다.

영업 역량과 관련해 포레스터는 광범위한 인원 확장보다는 생산성, 교육, 성과 관리를 강조했다. 다만 경영진은 특정 분야에서 영업 목표(쿼터)가 부여되는 인력을 선별적으로 증원할 수도 있다고 덧붙였다.

북미 하이테크 고객과 CIO, CTO, CISO 등 기술 경영진 부문에서 견조한 실적을 기록했다. 글로벌 모멘텀은 특히 아시아태평양(APAC) 지역을 중심으로 이어졌으나, 미국 연방 정부 부문은 자금 지원 시기로 인해 여전히 난항을 겪었다.

경영진은 AI를 자사 리서치에 더 빠르게 접근할 수 있도록 돕는 전달 메커니즘이자 자문 서비스 수요의 원천으로 설명했다. 고객들이 프라이빗 모델, 에이전트 시스템, AI 주도 비즈니스 재설계 등에서 지원을 필요로 할 것으로 예상했다. 또한 AI 액세스와 AI 액세스 플러스는 중소 AI 기업 및 기존 고객들로 포레스터의 고객 저변을 확대하기 위한 목적도 가지고 있다.

영업 파이프라인은 최근 분기들과 유사한 수준을 유지했으며, AI 솔루션 및 확장된 제품 포트폴리오의 기여도가 더 커졌다. 영업 리더십은 전체 파이프라인 규모보다 파이프라인의 질, 후기 단계 전환율, 거래 체결 속도에 주력하고 있다.

실적 발표 컨퍼런스 콜 전체 전문


전체 실적 발표 컨퍼런스 콜 녹취록

경영진 발표

Operator

Good afternoon and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Forrester's Third Quarter 2026 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I'd now like to turn the conference over to Vice President of Corporate Development and Investor Relations, Ed Bryce Morris. Please go ahead.

Unknown Speaker

Thank you, and hello everyone. Thanks for joining today's call. Earlier this afternoon, we issued our press release for the third quarter, 2026. If you need a copy, you can find one on our website in the Investors section. Here with us today to discuss our results are George Colony, Forrester's Chief Executive Officer and Chairman, and Chris Finn, Chief Financial Officer. Barry Johnson, our Chief Product Officer, and Christophe Favre, our Chief Sales Officer, are also here with us for the Q&A section of the call. Before we begin, I'd like to remind you that this call will contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Words such as expects, believes, anticipates, intends, plans, estimates, or similar expressions are intended to identify these forward-looking statements. These statements are based on the company's current plans and expectations and involve risks and uncertainties that could cause future activities and results of operations to be materially different from those set forth in the forward-looking statements. Factors that could cause actual results to differ are discussed in our reports and filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, and the company undertakes no obligation to publicly update any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Lastly, consistent with our previous calls, today we'll be discussing our performance on an unadjusted basis. This excludes items affecting comparability. While reporting on an unadjusted basis is not in accordance with GAAP, we believe that reporting numbers on this adjusted basis provides a meaningful comparison and an appropriate basis for our discussion. You can find a detailed list of items excluded from these adjusted results in our press release. And with that, I'll hand it over to George.

George Colony

Hello and thank you for joining Forrester's Q3 2026 investor call. Today I'll be discussing 4 key topics. 1, our third quarter performance and outlook for the remainder of the year. 2, new products announced in Q3. 3, the adoption and usage of Forrester AI, and 4, important research that the company released in the third quarter. Third quarter contract value declined 3.5% year over year, while retention was in line with the previous 2 quarters at 89%, up from 86% in the previous year. Client retention returned to Q1 levels up to 78%, a 1-point increase from the previous quarter, and a 4-point increase from the previous year. Total revenue decreased 9%, consistent with the prior quarter. Research revenue was down 3%, an improvement from last quarter driven by strength in the technology vertical. Consulting was down 31%, driven by continuing market uncertainty, along with our exit of the strategy consulting business earlier in the year. In Q3, we hosted sold-out events in APAC and EMEA with our B2B forum in London and our AI forums in Singapore and Sydney. The B2B forum focused on the go-to-market singularity, the point where AI and changing buyer behaviors permanently reshape how companies win, serve, and retain B2B customers. The AI forums mapped how clients can scale their generative and agentic deployments and how to use these new systems to drive revenue growth. Overall, Q3 performance was in line with our expectations with consensus beats on revenue, margin, and EPS. Turning now to product expansion. In Q3, we introduced a new research product, Team Solutions, that makes it easier for teams to collaborate and complete transformations faster. Because our research is unsiloed, teams get the analysis, data, and frameworks to see all facets of a problem and to make decisions that will positively impact a wide range of business outcomes. Along with Team Solutions, we expanded our portfolio of AI products with the introduction of AI Access Plus. This offering enables clients to access our research via AI and schedule quarterly inquiry sessions with Forrester analysts. AI Access Plus will further democratize Forrester's research and advisory, reaching a broader range of executives within the organizations we serve. We continue to expand our product line, giving clients more choice and optionality, enabling Forrester to drive upsell within our client base. Turning now to an update on Forrester AI. As I have talked about on previous calls, generative AI technology has fulfilled the dream for the company, enabling our clients to get advice and guidance faster and to empower them to create something new and original from our data. This is not theory. In a recent client survey of Forrester AI users, more than 70% of respondents told us that the tools help them get more value from Forrester. Engagement with Forrester AI continues to grow, with the # of prompts in the third quarter increasing 13% quarter-over-quarter and 142% year-over-year. Total users of Forrester AI increased 6% quarter-over-quarter and 65% year-over-year. And here's a quote from a Forrester AI customer. I use it all the time. It's a great way to summarize the research and to get instant answers. It's a time saver and a game changer. End quote. Forrester continues to lead this space and we see AI as a major driver of CV growth. In addition to enhancing the Forrester AI platform, we are making it available in more places, and we call this the Where You Work strategy. While a majority of clients access Forrester AI through the Forrester website, a growing # now use Forrester AI from within their corporate Microsoft Teams and Microsoft Copilot environments. In Q3, we have expanded the Where You Work program to include Anthropic's Claude. The Forrester AI plugin for Claude brings Forrester's trusted research, proprietary data, and analyst expertise directly into a client's Claude environment. We are not yet in full release on this product, launching the Claude Plugin through a limited early adopter program. Forrester clients value frictionless access to our research, and we are committed to delivering that promise. We are actively exploring a # of other platforms, including Slack and Gemini. Now, I wanted to spend a few moments highlighting some recent groundbreaking research from Forrester. In the early spring of this year, we launched a research project to quantify how AI is going to disrupt specific sectors of the technology market. We built the Forrester AI Disruption Model and ran it against 17 business categories comprising 205 technology and service markets. Our model showed how AI will accelerate, disrupt, reshape, or destroy specific markets. And here are some of the conclusions. Providers of infrastructure, data, cybersecurity, and identity will benefit from AI deployment at scale. Labor-intensive knowledge work will face extensive disruption. Transformation services, technology implementation, software development, and other similar markets will experience pressure as AI substitutes activities previously performed by people. Many enterprise software categories are more likely to be reshaped than replaced. Business applications, governance, process automation, customer experience and others will evolve as AI continues to proliferate. Obstacles like switching costs, regulatory requirements, and accumulated trust will prevent wholesale destruction in this space, at least in the 2- to 3-year timeframe. In the third quarter, there was a groundswell of AI doomsday scenarios swirling through the media. Many of these claims were being propagated by the leaders of the frontier model companies. The self-serving motivation behind these declarations is noteworthy. With the Frontier Labs preparing IPOs, advocating regulation protects their competitive edge, making it harder for challengers to form and grow. Our research team convened to analyze the warnings and technology, resulting in several new reports for our clients. Forrester is counseling clients to remain composed, patient, and relentlessly rational in the face of the doomsday narratives. While risk can never be fully eliminated, AI models do not independently have the resources to inflict serious societal damage. Frontier Labs could create safeguards, but companies should not rely on them to do so. Instead, firms need to maintain a disciplined approach grounded in reality and not science fiction conjecture. They must learn how AI exposes and exploits weaknesses in software and take steps to bridge those security gaps. Companies can't assume any model is inherently safe, but they should also not shy away from this opportunity, especially based on the views of CEOs who may be more intent on protecting their leads than on facilitating safe implementations of AI in large companies. Corporations should be planning and implementing their own private models that will serve their customers in a trusted and secure way. We also believe that the Frontier Model producers should be held legally liable for damages their products may inflict on companies, governments, or individuals. I wanted to highlight this moment because it demonstrates Forrester's value, imparting an objective and unbiased view, unafraid to draw different conclusions than the received wisdom being propagated by tech companies, the media, investment banks, and venture capitalists. Thank you for listening, and I will now hand the call over to our CFO, Chris Finn. Chris?

Unknown Speaker

Thanks, George, and good afternoon, everyone. In the third quarter, we saw a meaningful expansion of our product capabilities with the launch of AI Access Plus and Team Solutions. A year ago, we launched AI Access, one of our best-selling new products in the history of the company. This product has delivered meaningful incremental bookings since its launch and now makes up approximately 4% of our contract value base. In parallel, the sales transformation work enacted by our head of sales has helped build pipeline and equip the sales force with the right tools to drive improved productivity. The new products released this quarter provide additional price and engagement-level options to our product hierarchy. We believe these new products, similar to AI Access, will also become a meaningful portion of our contract value over time and will help drive sustained CV growth by offering retention and upsell benefits. For Q3, CV was down 3.5%. This compares to a 7% decline in the same period a year ago. This quarter's decline was largely consistent with the first half of the year. We saw CV declines of 3.3% in the first and second quarters. Retention at 89% was up 3 points from prior year and was consistent with the 2 prior quarters. Retention at 78% was up 4 points from prior year and up 1 point from prior quarter. Retention improvements, the positive impact of new products going forward, along with improvements we're seeing in our largest sales segment, high-tech, gives us continued confidence in the outlook for our CV business. However, near-term challenges in the U.S. federal government's selling environment has impacted our CV outlook for the remainder of the year. Our fourth quarter is our largest bookings quarter, and performance in this period has an outsized impact on results. We now see a slightly wider range of outcomes for CV at year end, centered around flat performance, with a spread from 2% decline to 2% growth. Despite some of these challenges, we delivered a strong quarter with revenue, margin, and EPS above consensus. We accelerated our stock buyback program and bought back approximately $10 million of stock in the period. Furthermore, we are increasing the low end of our earnings per share guidance. This reflects our prudent management of expenses throughout the year and the positive impact of our stock buyback program. For the total company, we generated $86.1 million in revenue compared to $94.3 million in the prior year period, which is an overall revenue decrease of 9%. In terms of our revenue breakdown for the quarter, research revenues were $70.1 million, down from $72.7 million in 2023. This was a decrease of 3% compared to the third quarter of 2025, with revenue from research products down 3% and reprints down 6%. Churn, downsell, and new business were all at or above expectations, while upsell was slightly below expectations and remained flat versus prior period. We believe the new products launched this quarter will offer a compelling up-sell opportunity for our clients. For example, AI Access users who enjoy the self-service capabilities of the product, but would like additional engagement with analysts, can now upgrade their seats to AI Access Plus. This provides clients the opportunity to spend time with analysts on their most pressing initiatives multiple times a year. Furthermore, we believe the expansion of our Where You Work strategy, which encompasses Microsoft Teams, Copilot, and now Claude, will provide growing retention benefits as we move forward through the remainder of the year and into next year. Our consulting business posted revenues of $14.7 million, which was down 31% compared to the prior year, with meaningful declines in our content marketing business and in the now exited strategy consulting business. Strategy consulting decline was notably impactful as third quarter had traditionally been a strong quarter for the government portion of that practice. And finally, in our events business, revenue was $1.2 million for the quarter, including 2 smaller events that occurred in Q4 in the prior year. As a result, year-to-year comparisons are not meaningful. We remain focused on executing our revised event strategy, which emphasizes shorter duration, smaller footprint forums, design, and performance to improve efficiency and attendee engagement. Early indicators are encouraging with several sold-out events and healthy sponsorship activity, especially across EMEA and APAC. Continuing down our P&L on an adjusted basis, operating expenses for the third quarter decreased by 6%, primarily driven by lower compensation and related costs, along with the benefits of our reduced real estate costs. Headcount was down 10%, driven by the restructuring earlier in the year. We continue to manage costs very closely, with specific attention focused on headcount, hiring, and attrition. Operating income decreased by 35% to $6.5 million, or 7.6% of revenue in the current quarter, compared to $9.9 million, or 10.5% of revenue in the third quarter of 2025. Interest expense for the quarter was $0.5 million, down from $0.7 million in the third quarter of 2025. Finally, net income and earnings per share decreased 35% compared to Q3 of last year with net income at $4.7 million and earnings per share at $0.24 for the current quarter compared with net income of $7.2 million and earnings per share of $0.37 in the third quarter of 2025. For some context, regarding our CapEx this year, our typical run rate is approximately $3 million per year. However, during 2025, we amended the lease for our headquarters, which reduced our footprint in the building, generating significant and ongoing cost savings, which began last year. As part of this amendment, we received $17.2 million of landlord funding towards the cost of renovating our space in the building. The total cost of renovations are expected to be approximately $25 million, which will be fully incurred during 2026. Year-to-date cash flow from operating activities was $33.4 million, of which $17.1 million represents cash received from our landlord to offset capital expenditures for our headquarters. Year-to-date capital expenditures were $24.8 million, of which $22.3 million relates to the headquarter build-out. Free cash flow year-to-date, excluding the net spending on the build-out, was approximately $13.9 million. Remaining CapEx spend for the build-out will be approximately $2.5 million. Our balance sheet is strong, with cash at the end of the quarter of $117.6 million. We paid down $5 million of debt in the quarter, and debt now stands at $30 million. We accelerated our stock buyback program and repurchased approximately $10 million worth of shares this quarter. We have approximately $66 million of our stock repurchase authorization intact, and we plan on continuing to aggressively repurchase our stock for the remainder of the year. As mentioned earlier, we are adjusting our EPS guidance range for the year. For 2026, we continue to expect revenue to be $350 million to $360 million or down 9% to 12% versus 2025. This guidance assumes the output for research to be a mid single-digit decline, consulting to be a decline in low double digits, 20s and events to be declined in the mid to high teens for the year. We still expect our operating margins to be in the range of 6% to 6.5% for 2026, and interest expense is expected to be $2.2 million for the year. We are guiding to a full year tax rate of 29%. With the impact of careful expense management and the stock buyback program, we now see EPS to be on the high side of the original range of $0.72 to $0.82. To that end, we are raising the low end of guidance to $0.77, so the new range will be $0.77 to $0.82 for the full year. We continue to offer additional flexibility, scalability, and pricing options for our clients. Every increasing adoption and additional platform integrations for Forrester AI should continue to support retention improvements. As we have seen over the last year, AI Access, retention initiatives, and go-to-market improvements have all helped cut the CV decline in half. We believe going forward, the new product we outlined and ongoing product innovation will play a meaningful role in returning the business to CV growth. Thank you all for taking the time today. With that, I'll hand the call back to George.

George Colony

Thank you, Chris. We continue to evolve our product offerings to deliver insights faster, where our clients work to a wider audience of executives in the companies we serve. AI has revolutionized the way we guide our clients, and it has increased the need for our research as organizations strive to stay on pace with the market and use the new technology to serve their customers in new ways. As has been true for many previous technology waves, our clients need Forrester's research and advice to help them navigate the new math and the new rules of AI. This is an extraordinary opportunity. Thank you for your time, and I will now turn the call over to the operator for questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] And I'm sure our first question comes from the line of Ashish Alpesh Shah from Sidonian Company. Please go ahead.

Unknown Speaker

I'm here on behalf of Anya. Could you talk a little bit about your confidence in returning to positive contract value growth by the end of the year? And what trends are you seeing in customer renewals and new business activity? Are you seeing any improvement in the customer retention?

Christophe Favre

Yes, sure. Thanks for the question. This is Chris. Yes, so I'll start with just the range for this year, talking about the minus 2% to flat to plus 2% range we gave. We're being a little bit cautious here in our CV outlook. There's really 3 factors that are driving that. The first is just anticipated, you know, we had anticipated some growth deals in the U.S. federal government space that did not materialize in the third quarter. We didn't lose the deals. There were just some funding issues that pushed out the timing on those, made them a little bit harder to forecast. The second piece of that is, you know, we have some enterprise deals in our pipeline. They're just more complex, they take a little bit longer to close. And the third piece is, you know, 40% of our annual bookings happen in the fourth quarter for the year. And so we just launched 2 new products so that it can be a bit of variability in ending CV based on how the fourth quarter goes. And those are factored into that range. But based on all that, you know, especially with the new products that we just launched, all the go-to-market changes that Christoph has been driving in the sales organization, we feel confident as we go forward into 2027. We don't, we're not guiding obviously right now in 2027, we're still going through our annual plan planning process. But we look at the stabilization of the business that we've had this year, obviously the improvement in retention rates, cutting the CV decline from negative 6% in 2025 to the projected range that we've talked about here for the end of the year. The new products that we're introducing, our retention initiatives, the leadership, obviously the sales organization, as I've discussed, they're all contributing to improvement in 2026, and that's what gives us confidence as we go forward to sustain CV growth as we get into 2027.

Unknown Speaker

Thank you. And just a few questions on the AI opportunity. With the introduction of several new AI-enabled offerings this quarter, how do you view AI's impact on the core research and advisory business? Do you see it primarily as an opportunity or a potential competitive threat? And if you can just elaborate a little bit on the monetization of these new offerings and how will they compare in margin profile with the traditional research products?

George Colony

Yes, I'll talk in, this is George here, I'll just talk in generality and then maybe Chris can talk about margin. But there are 2 very big opportunities here. One of course is that having our own private model Forrester AI enables our clients to get our research, to converse with our research and get answers across all of our research reports over many years, and to get the best answer at a very, very high speed. This is, and I use the word dream in my remarks, but this really is a dream for us and for our clients, and the fact, so much easier to use our research and to not only find it, but also to be able to generate something new and original from our research. As an example, PowerPoints, presentations, internal reports for themselves. So 1, a very big opportunity in the way we deliver our research, that's #1. Of course #2 is the big one, which is this is the seventh technology wave that actually I've lived through. This is the biggest technology wave actually of my lifetime, and it means that all of our clients will need massive help in how they build their private models, how they redeploy systems internally around an agentic system to be agentic, and how they essentially redefine their businesses using AI. So there will be, so 1, it is a very big opportunity the way we deliver, #2, it means that our clients will need more from the future, not less. This is a very big opportunity for us. Do you have a comment on that?

Unknown Speaker

You want to talk about margin, Chris? Yeah, thanks, George. Yeah, so from a margin perspective, you know, we're very excited about the new product, AI Access. This year, as we talked about on the call, it makes up through Q3 about 4% of our CV base. That's going to grow to be in the neighborhood of approximately 5% as we get through to the end of the year here. And that's a self-service product. So it has materially higher margins, obviously, than our forecasting decisions product, and higher margins than the newer products that we're launching in Q4 with AI Access Plus. But with that said, what's nice about AI Access as a self-service product and then AI Access Plus, which does have some analyst support around the product, you know, not guidance sessions, but inquiry a few times a year. A little bit, you know, higher costs there from a selling perspective and a service perspective. But the reality is, once again, much higher margins than our highest tier products and forest decisions. So look, we're excited about the ongoing opportunity there and seeing margin expansion from a product perspective as we move forward. And I think Christophe, you want to mention, talk about for my shop.

Christophe Favre

Yes, really, AI Access is really performing well. And we have now more than 50% of all our sales force which have sold that product. And it proved very efficient product to sell to new customer as well as to win back customers. But it's also a fantastic product to deploy Forrester are the broader range within organizations. So I really believe that AI Access and now the expansion of it with AI Access Plus will become a very important driver for the future growth of Forrester.

Unknown Speaker

I hope that helps.

Unknown Speaker

Right. Yes. Thank you so much. Thank you. Good question. Thank you.

Operator

And our next question comes from the line of Vincent Colicchio from Barrington Research. Please go ahead.

질의응답

Vincent Colicchio

Yes, Christophe, could you give some color on what drove the sales staff decline sequentially? And any early thoughts on if you're going to grow the sales staff in 2027?

Christophe Favre

Yes, so as Chris mentioned, the selling environment remains mixed. We are really seeing strength in North America high-tech segment. We see also strength in selling to the tech personnel, so the CIO, the CTO, the CISO, the enterprise architect in the end user market. So in industry like financial services, manufacturing or business services. We still see momentum in international, especially in Q3 in APAC, but there are more challenging areas. And one challenging area was clearly the U.S. federal business where funding uncertainty has affected the timing of large deals. That segment remain attractive for Forrester, but we are going to be more cautious in planning those deals in the future due to timing reasons. Chris, go ahead. Yes, I was just going to add.

Unknown Speaker

I'd say, Vincent, the other thing we're focused on really is really productivity sales, ongoing upskilling of sales talent, and we're focused on performance management. So, look, in the near term, I think we're going to look very closely at quarter bearing headcount and for expansion in specific areas, but we're laser focused on productivity and enablement of sales at this juncture.

Vincent Colicchio

Introducing the AI Access Plus, it gives you more and more economical price points for maybe that's what certain clients are looking for. Will we see more products maybe in the near future to broaden the price points you offer?

Carrie Fanlo

Hey Vince, it's Carrie. We have a very full portfolio right now. The launch of these latest products really fill out some gaps that we had in our portfolio and including Team Solutions, which George also mentioned, George and Chris both mentioned, that also help clients work better together faster with a group of individuals and peers that are on their team. So we're always looking at new product offerings based on what clients have asked us. And the ones that we launched this quarter really do, or the 2, I would say, most requested ones by our clients and fill the biggest needs. So we're excited about that. The other place you'll continue to see product innovation from us, as we've talked about, is on the where Forrester is available. George mentioned this as well. While we don't charge for that separately per se, it is creating demand across all of the products that we've mentioned because it's available as part of everything that we offer and part of all Forrester products. So plenty of Forrester innovation coming for sure. Feel really good about the current portfolio.

George Colony

The market need. Yes, one thing, Vince, about 4 years ago, we decided not to sell to vendors, tech vendors under $50 million in size. As we look forward into this AI era, there's going to be, I think, the greatest # of launches and startups in history in the next 5 years. So we want to be able to serve those small AI companies as they launch. To an extent, AI Access Plus is to an extent was built for them, but it's a perfect product for them to introduce themselves to Forrester. So the market has changed, and we've changed our product line to match it.

Vincent Colicchio

And contract value pipeline, did that increase year over year? What does that look like?

Christophe Favre

So the pipeline right now remains consistent with recent quarter, but with a larger contribution from our new expanded portfolio and our AI solutions. My focus right now is less on the overall pipeline value, but more on the quality of that pipeline, on the late stage conversion and deal velocity. And I've put in place a new sales leadership system in order to put more rigor and discipline in the way we convert those opportunities and we drive retention. And as George mentioned, we saw leading indicators such as wallet share going up by 3 points compared last year and client retention going up by 4 points compared to last year. So we are going to the right direction.

Operator

Thanks, gentlemen. Thanks, Vince. Thanks, Vince. Thank you. That concludes our Q&A session. At this time I'd like to turn the conference back to Chris Finn, Chief Financial Officer, for closing remarks.

Unknown Speaker

Thanks all for joining us today. Any questions or follow-up, I'm just going to reach out to myself or Ed, and we're always available. Thank you. Thank you.

Operator

Thank you. This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating. You may now disconnect.

This live transcript is auto-generated without human intervention or review.

이 문서에는 사람이 검토한 AI 생성 콘텐츠 또는 AI 번역 콘텐츠가 포함될 수 있습니다. 이는 참고용 및 전반적인 정보를 제공용으로만 제공되며 투자 조언에 해당하지 않습니다.

면책 조항: 이 웹사이트에서 제공되는 정보는 교육적이고 정보 제공을 위한 목적으로만 사용되며, 금융 또는 투자 조언으로 간주되어서는 안 됩니다.

코멘트 (0)

$ 버튼을 클릭하고, 종목 코드를 입력한 후 주식, ETF 또는 기타 티커를 연결합니다.

0/500
코멘트 가이드라인
로딩 중...

추천 기사

tradingkey.logo
위험 경고: 저희 웹사이트와 모바일 앱은 특정 투자 상품에 대한 일반적인 정보만을 제공합니다. Finsights는 재정적 조언이나 투자 상품에 대한 추천을 제공하지 않으며, 이러한 정보 제공이 Finsights가 금융 조언이나 추천을 제공하는 것으로 해석되어서는 안 됩니다.
투자 상품은 투자 원금 손실을 포함한 상당한 투자 위험에 노출되어 있으며, 모든 사람에게 적합하지 않을 수 있습니다. 투자 상품의 과거 성과는 미래 성과를 보장하지 않습니다.
Finsights는 제3자 광고주나 제휴사가 저희 웹사이트나 모바일 앱 또는 그 일부에 광고를 게재하거나 전달할 수 있도록 허용할 수 있으며, 사용자가 광고와 상호작용하는 방식에 따라 이들로부터 보상을 받을 수 있습니다.
© 저작권: FINSIGHTS MEDIA PTE. LTD. 모든 권리 보유