선코크 에너지(SXC) 2026년 3분기 실적 발표 콘퍼런스 콜: EBITDA 7,690만 달러 기록, 전망치 상향

핵심 요약

• 선코크 에너지는 2026년 3분기 연결 조정 EBITDA가 7,690만 달러로 전년 동기 대비 1,780만 달러 증가했다고 발표했습니다.
• 선코크 귀속 주당순이익은 0.25달러로 전년 동기 대비 0.01달러 감소했습니다. 경영진은 2025년 3분기에 계상된 설비투자 세액공제를 제외하면 실질적인 기저 이익은 크게 개선되었다고 밝혔습니다.
• 내수 코크스 부문의 조정 EBITDA는 해버힐 I 가동 중단으로 판매량이 87만 5,000톤으로 감소했음에도 불구하고 5,110만 달러로 증가했습니다.
• 산업 서비스 부문의 조정 EBITDA는 피닉스 실적이 1개월 추가 반영되고 터미널 하역 물량이 늘어난 데 힘입어 1,820만 달러에서 3,210만 달러로 증가했습니다.
• 경영진은 이제 2026년 연간 연결 조정 EBITDA가 기존 전망치 범위인 2억 5,000만 달러~2억 6,500만 달러를 소폭 상회할 것으로 예상하고 있으며, 잉여현금흐름 전망치를 1억 8,000만 달러~1억 8,500만 달러로 상향 조정했습니다.
• 이사회는 2026년 12월 1일에 지급될 주당 0.12달러의 분기 배당금을 승인했습니다. 이는 선코크의 29분기 연속 분기 배당이 됩니다.

주요 재무 데이터

해당 분기 동안 선코크는 회전한도 대출 잔액을 줄이는 데 5,350만 달러, 설비투자에 2,090만 달러, 배당금 지급에 1,010만 달러를 사용했습니다. 또한 2023년 주얼 홍수 피해와 관련하여 690만 달러의 재산 피해 보험금을 수령했습니다.

사업 및 영업 실적

내수 코크스

내수 코크스 부문은 계약 및 스팟 코크스 판매 조합의 개선과 석탄 대비 코크스 수율 향상의 수혜를 입었습니다. 이러한 이익 증가는 해버힐 I 가동 중단에 따른 물량 감소를 충분히 상쇄했습니다.

경영진은 톤당 조정 EBITDA가 58.40달러로 증가한 주요 원인을 계약 코크스 출하 비중이 높아졌기 때문으로 분석했습니다. 또한 석탄 대비 코크스 수율의 계절적 개선도 기여했는데, 수율은 역사적으로 춥고 습한 시기보다 2분기와 3분기에 더 높게 나타납니다.

선코크는 해버힐 II 및 그래닛 시티 코크스 제조 계약이 이미 체결되어 있고 모든 스팟 고로 및 주물용 코크스 판매가 완료됨에 따라 2026년 전체 물량에 대한 판매가 완료되었다고 밝혔습니다.

산업 서비스

산업 서비스 부문은 3,210만 달러의 조정 EBITDA를 기록했습니다. 이러한 성장에는 2025년 3분기 대비 피닉스의 1개월 실적이 추가 반영되고 터미널 하역 물량이 증가한 점이 반영되었습니다.

경영진은 피닉스가 예상대로 실적을 내고 있으며 견조한 터미널 업황이 물류 사업을 뒷받침하고 있다고 말했습니다. 선코크는 개정된 뉴올리언스 가격 연동 구조에 따라 컨벤트 시설에서 가격 기반의 추가 인센티브를 수령하고 있습니다.

알고마 합의 및 보험금 수령

선코크는 알고마 스틸에 대한 2025년 청구 건과 관련해 비공개 합의에 도달했습니다. 경영진은 회사의 손실이 보전되었으며, 관련된 운전자본 영향을 포함한 이번 합의 내용이 2026년 전망치에 완전히 반영되어 있다고 설명했습니다.

선코크는 주얼 홍수 건과 관련하여 총 870만 달러의 수입금을 받았습니다. 이 중 180만 달러는 조정 EBITDA에 포함되었으며, 주로 재산 피해와 관련된 690만 달러는 조정 EBITDA에서 제외되었습니다.

경영진 전망치

경영진은 잉여현금흐름을 부채 상환, 이사회 승인에 따른 분기 배당 지속, 수익성 있는 성장 기회 모색에 활용할 계획입니다.

리스크 및 주시 항목

• 미들타운 터빈 보험 청구는 2027년 초가 되어서야 완료될 수 있어 잠재적 환수금은 2026년 전망치에서 제외되었습니다. 경영진은 2026년 내 보험금이 지급될 경우 실적이 전망치 상단을 대폭 상회하게 될 것이라고 말했습니다.
• 산업 서비스 부문의 물량은 제철소 가동률과 벌크 제품 이동량에 따라 변동될 수 있습니다. 경영진은 추수감사절 및 크리스마스 연휴 기간 전후로 4분기 영업 활동이 둔화될 것으로 예상하고 있습니다.
• 석탄 대비 코크스 수율은 계절적 변동성이 있으며, 일반적으로 날씨가 더 춥고 습한 분기에는 낮아집니다.
• CMT의 자벨린 계약과 US스틸 니폰과의 그래닛 시티 워크스 계약은 2026년 12월에 만료됩니다. 선코크는 논의가 활발히 진행 중이며 경영진은 2027년에도 협력 관계가 이어질 것으로 기대한다고 밝혔습니다.

애널리스트 Q&A 주요 내용

경영진은 비공개 알고마 합의의 구체적인 금액 공개는 거부했으나, 이로 인한 경제적 효과 및 운전자본 영향이 업데이트된 2026년 전망에 반영되었음을 확인했습니다.

산업 서비스 부문의 경우, 경영진은 예상되는 연휴 기간 물량 둔화를 반영해 4분기 조정 EBITDA가 1분기 수준에 가깝거나 1분기와 3분기 사이 수준일 것으로 예상합니다. 그럼에도 불구하고 회사는 연간 터미널 및 피닉스 물량이 연초에 설정한 목표치를 초과할 것으로 기대하고 있습니다.

2027년 계약과 관련해 경영진은 CMT의 자벨린 및 그래닛 시티 워크스의 US스틸 니폰 건에 대해 활발히 논의 중이라고 설명했습니다. 선코크는 양측 모두와 계약을 지속할 것으로 기대하고 있으나 추가 세부 조건은 공개하지 않았습니다.

실적 발표 전화회의 전문

전체 실적 발표 컨퍼런스 콜 녹취록

경영진 발표

Operator

Thank you for standing by. My name is Dale, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the SunCoke Energy Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions]

I would now like to turn the conference over to Sharon Doyle, Investor Relations Manager. You may begin.

Sharon Doyle

Thanks, Dale. Good morning, and thank you for joining us to discuss SunCoke Energy's Third Quarter 2026 results. With me today are Katherine Gates, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Shantanu Agrawal, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer.

This conference call is being webcast live on the Investor Relations section of our website, and a replay will be available later today. Following management's prepared remarks, we will open the call for Q&A. If we do not get to your questions on the call today, please feel free to reach out to our Investor Relations team.

Before I turn things over to Katherine, let me remind you that the various remarks we make on today's call regarding future expectations constitute forward-looking statements. The cautionary language regarding forward-looking statements in our SEC filings apply to the remarks we make today. These documents are available on our website, as are reconciliations to non-GAAP financial measures discussed on today's call.

With that, I'll now turn things over to Katherine.

Katherine Gates

Thanks, Sharon. Good morning, and thank you for joining us on today's call. This morning, we announced SunCoke Energy's third quarter results. I want to share a few highlights before turning it over to Shantanu to discuss the results in detail.

We are extremely pleased with our third quarter results with strong consolidated adjusted EBITDA of $76.9 million. Both of our operating segments delivered excellent performance. Domestic Coke benefited from a favorable mix of contract and spot coke sales and favorable coal-to-coke yields, while Industrial Services benefited from 1 additional month of Phoenix results compared with the prior year period and higher terminals handling volumes.

We also announced this morning that we reached a settlement agreement related to our 2025 claim against Algoma Steel. The agreement was executed in October, and we can confirm that we were made whole.

Turning to capital allocation. Earlier today, we also announced a quarterly dividend of $0.12 per share payable to shareholders on December 1, 2026. This is our 29th consecutive quarterly dividend. While the dividend is evaluated on a quarterly basis by our Board, we expect the dividend to continue as part of our well-balanced capital allocation strategy.

Our operating segments continue to perform strongly and consistently. Based on our year-to-date results and outlook for the remainder of the year, we expect to modestly exceed the high end of our full year 2026 consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $250 million to $265 million.

With that, I will turn it over to Shantanu to review our third quarter earnings in detail. Shantanu?

Shantanu Agrawal

Thanks, Katherine. Turning to Slide 4. Net income attributable to SunCoke was $0.25 per share in the third quarter of 2026, down $0.01 from the prior year period. The benefits from our operating performance and the insurance recoveries from the 2023 Jewell flood event were offset by the absence of capital investment tax credits recorded in the third quarter of 2025. Excluding that item, the underlying earnings performance improved materially. While the insurance recovery was a substantial benefit to our net income and earnings per share during the quarter, the majority of the recovery proceeds were attributable to property damage and therefore excluded from adjusted EBITDA.

Consolidated adjusted EBITDA for the third quarter of 2026 was $76.9 million, an increase of $17.8 million from the prior year period. Domestic Coke increased by $7.1 million, primarily driven by a change in the mix of contract and spot coke sales and favorable coal-to-coke yields, partially offset by lower coke sales volumes due to Haverhill I's shutdown.

Industrial Services increased by $13.9 million, primarily driven by 1 additional month of Phoenix results compared with the third quarter of 2025 and higher terminals handling volumes. Corporate and other expenses increased by $3.2 million, driven by higher employee-related expenses.

Moving to Slide 5 to discuss our Domestic Coke business performance in detail. Third quarter Domestic Coke adjusted EBITDA was $51.1 million, and coke sales volumes were 875,000 tons compared to $44 million and 951,000 tons in the prior year period. The increase in adjusted EBITDA was primarily driven by a change in the mix of contract and spot coke sales and favorable coal-to-coke yields, partially offset by lower coke sales volumes due to the Haverhill I shutdown. We are pleased with the excellent performance from our coke operations, and with a solid outlook for the remainder of the year, we are well positioned to achieve the high end of our full year 2026 Domestic Coke adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $172 million to $178 million.

Now moving on to Slide 6 to discuss our Industrial Services results. Our Industrial Services segment generated $32.1 million of adjusted EBITDA in the third quarter of 2026 compared with $18.2 million in the prior year period. The increase primarily reflects 1 additional month of Phoenix results compared with the third quarter of 2025 and higher terminals handling volumes. Third quarter terminals handling volumes were 6.4 million tons, and steel customer volumes serviced were 5.9 million tons. Our Industrial Services segment continues to perform very well, and we now expect to exceed the high end of our full year 2026 Industrial Services adjusted EBITDA guidance range of $110 million to $115 million.

Now turning to Slide 7 to discuss our liquidity position for Q3. SunCoke ended the third quarter with ample liquidity of approximately $276 million. Gross leverage was 2.34x on a trailing 12-month adjusted EBITDA basis. Net cash provided by operating activities during the third quarter was $94.8 million. We used $53.5 million to pay down our revolver balance, spent $20.9 million on capital expenditures and paid $10.1 million in dividends at the rate of $0.12 per share. We also received $6.9 million of insurance recoveries related to the 2023 Jewell flood event.

SunCoke has a strong track record of generating steady free cash flow, and we expect the trend to continue through the balance of the year. Year-to-date, we have reduced debt substantially while simultaneously increasing our free cash flow outlook to $180 million to $185 million, which reflects the impact of the settlement agreement with Algoma. As Kathleen mentioned earlier, we intend to continue utilizing our free cash flow to pay down debt as well as to reward our long-term shareholders via dividends, which is reviewed and approved on a quarterly basis by our Board of Directors.

With that, I'll turn it back over to Katherine.

Katherine Gates

Thanks, Shantanu. Wrapping up on Slide 8. As always, safety is our first priority, and our team remains committed to maintaining strong safety and environmental performance throughout the year. Robust safety and environmental standards set SunCoke apart and are central to our reliable delivery of high-quality coke and industrial services.

As we look ahead, we continue to be confident in all aspects of our business. Our long-term coke business is underpinned by the 3 pillars of Indiana Harbor, Middletown and Jewell Foundry, which have consistently delivered excellent performance and results. With our Haverhill II and Granite City coke-making contracts in place and all spot blast and foundry coke sales finalized, we're sold out for the full year.

Our Industrial Services segment is also well positioned going forward. Phoenix is performing as we expected, and 2026 will benefit from a full year of Phoenix adjusted EBITDA. We also see solid market conditions at our terminals and are focused on growing both our Phoenix and logistics businesses.

As always, we take a balanced yet opportunistic approach to capital allocation. Our focus will remain on utilizing our free cash flow to support our capital allocation priorities, including paying down our revolver balance. We plan to continue returning capital via the quarterly dividend approved by our Board, which has always been well received by our long-term shareholders. Our focus is also on profitable growth opportunities to further reward our long-term shareholders.

This commitment to maximizing value for all stakeholders means operating and investing in our assets in the best and most efficient way possible to support our customers and to further grow the business. Based on our strong year-to-date performance and outlook for the remainder of the year, we now expect full year consolidated adjusted EBITDA to modestly exceed the high end of our guidance range of $250 million to $265 million. In addition, we are increasing our free cash flow guidance to a range of $180 million to $185 million.

Let's go ahead and open up the call for Q&A.

Operator

Your first question comes from the line of Nathan Martin of StoneX Financial.

질의응답

Nathan Martin

Can we get some more details on the settlement agreement with Algoma that was reached this month? Katherine, I know you said you were made whole, but what was the amount? And then how will that impact the fourth quarter results?

Katherine Gates

Thanks for the question. You can appreciate that this is a confidential settlement. And beyond that, we don't talk about the economics of specific customers or specific contracts.

What I can say is that we're really pleased with the resolution of the matter. We were made whole, and the impact of the relationship that we have with Algoma as it related to both the steps that we took to mitigate the effect of the contract rejection and the settlement itself is totally reflected in the guidance for 2026.

Nathan Martin

Okay. So any of the previous kind of working capital headwinds you've talked about there, all that has been reflected now that you have the settlement in place?

Katherine Gates

That's correct.

Nathan Martin

Okay. Got it. And then somewhat related, does SunCoke still expect the insurance proceeds from the turbine failure at Middletown to arrive sometime here in the fourth quarter?

Katherine Gates

So great question. We're obviously really pleased that the turbine returned to service in May, and power resumed, and everything is working just as we expected. The claims process for the turbine may not be complete at the end of 2026. This may go into early 2027. So as a result, the insurance recovery for the turbine is not included in our guidance. If we receive payment for the claim in 2026, we will significantly exceed the high end of our guidance range.

Nathan Martin

Okay. Got it. Because previously, it was, I think, included in your guidance range. So is it almost the case that the -- maybe the Jewell proceeds you got there have kind of offset potentially the proceeds you originally expected from Middletown?

Shantanu Agrawal

No. So Nate, on that, as I mentioned, the Jewell proceeds, a significant chunk of that is excluded from adjusted EBITDA. We received total $8.7 million from the Jewell proceeds -- from the Jewell flood event, only $1.8 million of that in adjusted EBITDA. The remainder $6.9 million, as I mentioned, is running through the net income, but it's not included in adjusted EBITDA. The increase in the guidance as we are guiding towards the modestly exceeding the consolidated adjusted EBITDA guidance, that's driven by the performance, along with the Algoma settlement.

Nathan Martin

Okay. So that Algoma settlement is basically potentially going to offset any delay in the insurance proceeds from the turbine failure?

Shantanu Agrawal

That's kind of what is contemplated in the guidance.

Nathan Martin

Okay. Got it. That's helpful, Shantanu. I appreciate that. Maybe just looking at the Industrial Services segment, great quarter there. I think last quarter, we talked about how even the new higher full year guidance still kind of assumed a slowdown in the second half versus the first half. I think you said levels probably a bit more like the first quarter levels. Clearly, volumes for both the terminals business and Phoenix remained elevated.

So now, I guess, you're expecting to exceed the high end of the full year guidance range. But can you help us frame the magnitude there? I mean, is it reasonable to expect fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA looks similar again to the third quarter, just given strong demand? We've got higher export thermal volume and prices as well. Just how should we think about that?

Shantanu Agrawal

So great question, Nate, on that. Again, right, like as we have talked about, the Industrial Services segment is the segment where there is the most volatility in our business, right? So if the steel mills are running really hard and if there is a lot of bulk products moving through the rivers, bulk product moving out of the U.S., you see additional volumes and additional profitability come through that.

As we think about Q4, what is in our guidance today, both our full year volume guidance for terminals as well as for Phoenix, we expect to exceed the $24 million and the $22 million that we laid out at the start of the year, right? That's a given.

Now to your question of what is the magnitude of Q4, again, there is a little bit of uncertainty, but the expectation is as we go into the holiday period of Thanksgiving and Christmas, the steel mills are going to slow down, they shut down their volumes a little bit. Same thing on the -- a little bit on the terminals side. Not to that extent, but you see that a little bit on the -- in the Q4 where the volumes are a little bit lighter than Q2 or Q3, right? So if you want to think about what Q4 looks like, I would say somewhere closer to Q1 or in between the Q1 and the Q3 range would be my expectation for Industrial Services segment in Q4.

Nathan Martin

Okay. Got it, Shantanu. And then just to confirm, I'm assuming, just given where export thermal coal prices are today, that you guys are expecting you should receive the price kicker there at Convent?

Shantanu Agrawal

Yes. So if you recall, we changed our kicker. Instead of being an export coal-driven, it's more the New Orleans price-driven. Now that price has come up as well. Given kind of what's happening in the U.S. export market, the coal is moving. So we are getting the kicker, but it's a different kicker versus what it was previous -- in the previous years.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Henry Hearle of B. Riley Securities.

Henry Hearle

I guess, just on the Domestic Coke business, adjusted EBITDA per ton came in at $58.40, which is your strongest in recent quarters. How would you attribute the improvement between the contract and spot sales mix shift, and then also the coal-to-coke yield benefit?

Shantanu Agrawal

Henry, thanks for the question. So there are timing differences when you move quarter-to-quarter where the mix between what you're shipping in a quarter, what is contract versus spot versus what is spot changes. So in Q3, obviously, there was a bigger portion of contract coke going out versus the spot coke, and that's why you see the adjusted EBITDA per ton being higher.

And as for coal-to-coke yields, right, that has some seasonality in it where Q1 and Q4 being our cold and wet quarters, you historically see higher yields in Q2 and Q3 versus Q1 and Q4. So I would say both of these factors kind of played into it. But obviously, the contract versus spot coke mix is a bigger factor versus the yield if you're comparing quarter -- previous quarter to this -- previous year quarter to this year quarter.

Henry Hearle

Got it. And then looking towards 2027, I believe you have a couple of contracts expiring in December of this year, 2026. Are you confident that those will be extended going forward? Just any color there would be great.

Katherine Gates

So we're in active discussions if you're thinking about the Javelin contract at CMT and the contract with U.S. Steel Nippon at Granite City Works. We're in active discussions with both of those parties and expect to move forward with them in 2027. Obviously, we can't say more at this point in time.

But overall, if you're thinking about 2027, we expect to have a strong finish here to 2026, and Shantanu has sort of walked through some of the nuances of that. So Q4 being a bit softer, but overall, very strong finish to 2026, and we have good momentum going into 2027.

Operator

With no further questions, that concludes our Q&A session. I will now turn the conference back over to Katherine Gates, President and CEO, for closing remarks.

Katherine Gates

Thank you all for joining us today and for your continued interest in SunCoke. Let's continue to work safely today and every day. Thank you, guys.

Operator

This concludes today's conference call. You may now disconnect.