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์•„๋น„๋“œ๋ฑ…ํฌ ํ™€๋”ฉ์Šค(AVBH) 2026๋…„ 3๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์‹ค์ ๋ฐœํ‘œ ์ฝ˜ํผ๋Ÿฐ์Šค์ฝœ: ๋Œ€์ถœ ๋ฐ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ ์„ฑ์žฅ ๊ฐ•ํ™”

TradingKeyOct 27, 2026 8:01 PM
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๎šˆ๋ชจ๋“  ์ฝ”๋ฉ˜ํŠธ ๋ณด๊ธฐ๏ผˆ0๏ผ‰
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์—์ด๋น„๋“œ๋ฑ…ํฌ๋Š” 2026๋…„ 3๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์ˆœ์ด์ต 1,020๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ, ํฌ์„ EPS 0.94๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ๋กํ•˜๋ฉฐ ์ˆ˜์ต์„ฑ์ด ๊ฐœ์„ ๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค. ROAA๋Š” 1.42%๋กœ ์ƒ์Šนํ–ˆ๊ณ , ํšจ์œจ์„ฑ ๋น„์œจ์€ 50% ๋ฏธ๋งŒ์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ๋Œ€์ถœ์€ ์•ฝ 5,800๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ์œผ๋‚˜, ๊ฑด์„ค ๋Œ€์ถœ์˜ ๋†’์€ ์ƒํ™˜์•ก์ด ๊ณต์‹œ ๋Œ€์ถœ ์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ ์˜ ์ฃผ์š” ๋ถˆํ™•์‹ค์„ฑ ์š”์ธ์œผ๋กœ ์–ธ๊ธ‰๋˜์—ˆ๋‹ค. ์ˆœ์ด์ž์ด์ต์€ 2,870๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋กœ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•œ ๋ฐ˜๋ฉด, ์ˆœ์ด์ž๋งˆ์ง„(NIM)์€ 4.07%๋กœ ํ•˜๋ฝํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์ผ์‹œ์  ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ์„ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ์€ ์•ฝ 7,600๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์„ฑ์žฅํ–ˆ์œผ๋‚˜, ์•ฝ 2์–ต 7,000๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์˜ ์ผ์‹œ์  ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ์€ 4๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์ค‘ ์œ ์ถœ๋  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋œ๋‹ค. ๋ถ€์‹ค๋Œ€์ถœ ๋น„์œจ์€ 0.70%๋กœ ์†Œํญ ์ƒ์Šนํ–ˆ์œผ๋‚˜, ๊ด‘๋ฒ”์œ„ํ•œ ์‹ ์šฉ ์•…ํ™”๋Š” ๊ด€์ธก๋˜์ง€ ์•Š์•˜๋‹ค. ๊ฒฝ์˜์ง„์€ 4๋ถ„๊ธฐ ๋Œ€์ถœ ์‹ ๊ทœ ์‹คํ–‰์ด ๊ฒฌ์กฐํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์ „๋งํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ ๋ฒ ํƒ€๋ฅผ 50% ๋ฏธ๋งŒ์œผ๋กœ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค.

AI ์ƒ์„ฑ ์š”์•ฝ

ํ•ต์‹ฌ ์š”์•ฝ

  • ์ˆœ์ด์ต์€ 1,020๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ๋กํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ํฌ์„ EPS๋Š” 2026๋…„ 2๋ถ„๊ธฐ 0.71๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์—์„œ 0.94๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋กœ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํ‰๊ท ์ž์‚ฐ์ˆœ์ด์ต๋ฅ ์€ 1.42%๋กœ ๊ฐœ์„ ๋˜์—ˆ๊ณ , ํšจ์œจ์„ฑ ๋น„์œจ์€ 50% ๋ฏธ๋งŒ์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ์ด๋ฒˆ ๋ถ„๊ธฐ ๋Œ€์ถœ์€ ์•ฝ 5,800๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ(์—ฐํ™˜์‚ฐ 10%) ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, C&I, ๋‹ค์„ธ๋Œ€ ์ฃผํƒ ๋ฐ ์ž๊ฐ€ ์‚ฌ์šฉ ์ƒ์—…์šฉ ๋ถ€๋™์‚ฐ ๋Œ€์ถœ์˜ ์ฃผ๋„๋กœ ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 17% ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ์ˆœ์ด์ž์ด์ต์€ 200๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•œ 2,870๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ๋กํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ˆœ์ด์ž๋งˆ์ง„์€ ์ „๋ถ„๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 19bp ํ•˜๋ฝํ•œ 4.07%๋ฅผ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋ƒˆ๋Š”๋ฐ, ์ด๋Š” ์ฃผ๋กœ ๋†’์€ ํ˜„๊ธˆ ์ž”์•ก์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด ๋งˆ์ง„์ด ์ถ”์ •์น˜ ๊ธฐ์ค€ 17bp ๊ฐ์†Œํ–ˆ๊ธฐ ๋•Œ๋ฌธ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ์•ฝ 2์–ต 7,000๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์˜ ์ผ์‹œ์  ๊ณ ๊ฐ ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ๊ณผ ์ค‘๊ฐœ ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ์„ ์ œ์™ธํ•˜๋ฉด, ์—์ด๋น„๋“œ๋ฑ…ํฌ๋Š” ์ „์‚ฌ์ ์œผ๋กœ ์•ฝ 7,600๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์˜ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ ์„ฑ์žฅ์„ ๊ธฐ๋กํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • 150๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๊ทœ๋ชจ์˜ ํ† ์ง€ ๋Œ€์ถœ์ด ์ด์ž ๋ฏธ์ˆ˜์ต์œผ๋กœ ์ „ํ™˜๋œ ํ›„ ๋ถ€์‹ค๋Œ€์ถœ ๋น„์œจ์€ ์ด๋Œ€์ถœ์˜ 0.70%๋กœ ์™„๋งŒํ•˜๊ฒŒ ์ƒ์Šนํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ˆœ์ƒ๊ฐ์€ ์‚ฌ์‹ค์ƒ 0์ด์—ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๊ฒฝ์˜์ง„์€ ๊ด‘๋ฒ”์œ„ํ•œ ์‹ ์šฉ ์•…ํ™”๋Š” ์—†์—ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ณด๊ณ ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ๊ฒฝ์˜์ง„์€ 4๋ถ„๊ธฐ ๋Œ€์ถœ ์‹ ๊ทœ ์‹คํ–‰์ด ๊ฒฌ์กฐํ•˜๊ฒŒ ์œ ์ง€๋  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์ง€๋งŒ, ๊ฑด์„ค ๋Œ€์ถœ์˜ ๋†’์€ ์ƒํ™˜ ์ˆ˜์ค€์€ ๊ณต์‹œ ๋Œ€์ถœ ์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ ์˜ ์ฃผ์š” ๋ถˆํ™•์‹ค์„ฑ ์š”์ธ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

ํ•ต์‹ฌ ์žฌ๋ฌด ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ

์ง€ํ‘œ2026๋…„ 3๋ถ„๊ธฐ๋ณ€๋™ ๋‚ด์šฉ ๋ฐ ์„ค๋ช…
์ˆœ์ด์ต1,020๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์ด๋ฒˆ ๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์ˆ˜์ต์„ฑ ๊ฐœ์„ 
ํฌ์„์ฃผ๋‹น์ˆœ์ด์ต(EPS)0.94๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ2026๋…„ 2๋ถ„๊ธฐ 0.71๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์—์„œ ์ฆ๊ฐ€
์ˆœ์ด์ž์ด์ต2,870๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์ „๋ถ„๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 200๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ์ฆ๊ฐ€
์ˆœ์ด์ž๋งˆ์ง„(NIM)4.07%2๋ถ„๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 19bp ํ•˜๋ฝ
ํ‰๊ท ์ž์‚ฐ์ˆœ์ด์ต๋ฅ (ROAA)1.42%์ด๋ฒˆ ๋ถ„๊ธฐ ๊ฐœ์„ 
ํšจ์œจ์„ฑ ๋น„์œจ50% ๋ฏธ๋งŒ2๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์—ฐ์† 50% ๋ฏธ๋งŒ ์œ ์ง€
๋Œ€์ถœ ์ฆ๊ฐ€์•ฝ 5,800๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์—ฐํ™˜์‚ฐ 10%, ์ „๋…„ ๋™๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ 17%
ํ•ต์‹ฌ ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ ์„ฑ์žฅ์•ฝ 7,600๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์ผ์‹œ์  ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ ๋ฐ ์ค‘๊ฐœ ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ ์ œ์™ธ
๋น„์ด์ž์ด์ต170๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ310๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์—์„œ ๊ฐ์†Œ. 2๋ถ„๊ธฐ์—๋Š” 130๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์˜ ๋น„๊ณผ์„ธ BOLI ์‚ฌ๋ง๋ณดํ—˜๊ธˆ ์ˆ˜๋ น์•ก ํฌํ•จ
๋น„์ด์ž๋น„์šฉ1,510๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ1,650๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์—์„œ ๊ฐ์†Œ. 2๋ถ„๊ธฐ์—๋Š” 260๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์˜ ์†Œ์†ก ํ•ฉ์˜๊ธˆ ํฌํ•จ
๋ถ€์‹ค๋Œ€์ถœ์ด๋Œ€์ถœ์˜ 0.70%์‹ ๊ทœ ์ด์ž ๋ฏธ์ˆ˜์ต์œผ๋กœ ์ „ํ™˜๋œ 150๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๊ทœ๋ชจ์˜ ํ† ์ง€ ๋Œ€์ถœ ํฌํ•จ
Tier 1 ๋ ˆ๋ฒ„๋ฆฌ์ง€ ๋น„์œจ10.82%๋ถ„๊ธฐ ๋ง ๊ธฐ์ค€
์ด์œ„ํ—˜๊ธฐ์ค€์ž๋ณธ๋น„์œจ13.48%๋ถ„๊ธฐ ๋ง ๊ธฐ์ค€
์ฃผ๋‹น์ˆœ์ž์‚ฐ๊ฐ€์น˜(BPS)27.24๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ2๋ถ„๊ธฐ ๋Œ€๋น„ ์—ฐํ™˜์‚ฐ 4% ์ฆ๊ฐ€, 2025๋…„ 9์›” ๋Œ€๋น„ 9% ์ฆ๊ฐ€

์‚ฌ์—… ๋ฐ ์˜์—… ์‹ค์ 

๋Œ€์ถœ ์„ฑ์žฅ์€ C&I, ๋‹ค์„ธ๋Œ€ ์ฃผํƒ ๋ฐ ์ž๊ฐ€ ์‚ฌ์šฉ ์ƒ์—…์šฉ ๋ถ€๋™์‚ฐ ๋Œ€์ถœ์ด ์ฃผ์š” ๊ธฐ์—ฌ ์š”์ธ์œผ๋กœ ์ž‘์šฉํ•˜๋ฉฐ ์ „๋ฐ˜์ ์œผ๋กœ ๋„“๊ฒŒ ๋‚˜ํƒ€๋‚ฌ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ฑด์„ค ๋ฐ ํ† ์ง€ ๋Œ€์ถœ ์ž”์•ก์€ ๋†’์€ ์ƒํ™˜์•ก์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด ๊ณ„์† ๊ฐ์†Œํ–ˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ด๋Š” ์€ํ–‰ ๋‚ด ๋‹ค๋ฅธ ๋ถ€๋ฌธ์˜ ์‹ ๊ทœ ๋Œ€์ถœ ์„ฑ๊ณผ๋ฅผ ์ผ๋ถ€ ์ƒ์‡„ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๊ฒฝ์˜์ง„์€ 4๋ถ„๊ธฐ์— ๋“ค์–ด์„œ๋ฉฐ ๋Œ€์ถœ ํŒŒ์ดํ”„๋ผ์ธ์ด ๊ณ„์† ๊ฑด์ „ํ•œ ์ƒํƒœ๋ฅผ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐํ˜”์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ทธ๋Ÿฌ๋‚˜ ์‹ ๊ทœ ์‹คํ–‰๋œ ๊ฑด์„ค ๋Œ€์ถœ ์•ฝ์ •์•ก์€ ์ดˆ๊ธฐ์—๋Š” ์ผ๋ถ€๋งŒ ์ธ์ถœ๋˜๋Š” ๋ฐ˜๋ฉด, ์ƒํ™˜๋œ ๋Œ€์ถœ์€ ์ „์•ก ์ธ์ถœ ์ƒํƒœ์˜€์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ๊ฑด์„ค ๊ด€๋ จ ํ™œ๋™์ด ๋Œ€์ฐจ๋Œ€์กฐํ‘œ์ƒ์˜ ์ฆ‰๊ฐ์ ์ธ ์ž์‚ฐ ์„ฑ์žฅ์œผ๋กœ ์ด์–ด์ง€์ง€ ์•Š์„ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๊ณต์‹œ๋œ ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ ์ฆ๊ฐ€์•ก์—๋Š” ๊ธฐ์กด ๊ณ ๊ฐ์ด ์‚ฌ์—… ์ผ๋ถ€๋ฅผ ๋งค๊ฐํ•œ ํ›„ ์œ ์ž…๋œ ์•ฝ 2์–ต 7,000๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ๊ฐ€ ํฌํ•จ๋˜์–ด ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ฒฝ์˜์ง„์€ ์ด ์ผ์‹œ์  ์ž๊ธˆ์ด 4๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์ค‘์— ์œ ์ถœ๋  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ผ์‹œ์  ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ๊ณผ ์ค‘๊ฐœ ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ์„ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ์•ฝ 7,600๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์˜ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ ์„ฑ์žฅ์€ ๋ณด๋‹ค ์ง€์† ๊ฐ€๋Šฅํ•œ ์ž๊ธˆ ์กฐ๋‹ฌ ๋™ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ฐ˜์˜ํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์—์ด๋น„๋“œ๋ฑ…ํฌ์˜ ์ด๋ฒˆ ๋ถ„๊ธฐ ๋ง ์ •๊ทœ์ง ํ™˜์‚ฐ ์ฑ„์šฉ ์ธ์›์€ 171๋ช…์œผ๋กœ, 2๋ถ„๊ธฐ ๋ง 162๋ช… ๋ฐ ์ „๋…„ ๋ง 151๋ช…์—์„œ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ตœ๊ทผ ์ฑ„์šฉ์—๋Š” SBA ๋Œ€์ถœ, ์ฃผํƒ์†Œ์œ ์žํ˜‘ํšŒ ๋ฑ…ํ‚น ๋ฐ ํŠน์ˆ˜ ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ ์ „๋ฌธ ํŒ€์ด ํฌํ•จ๋˜์—ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ฒฝ์˜์ง„์€ ์ด๋Ÿฌํ•œ ์ด๋‹ˆ์…”ํ‹ฐ๋ธŒ๊ฐ€ 2027๋…„ ๋Œ€์ฐจ๋Œ€์กฐํ‘œ์— ๋ณด๋‹ค ์˜๋ฏธ ์žˆ๋Š” ์˜ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ฏธ์น  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋˜ํ•œ ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” 3,000๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๊ทœ๋ชจ์˜ ์‹ ๊ทœ ํ›„์ˆœ์œ„์ฑ„๋ฅผ ๋ฐœํ–‰ํ•˜๊ณ  ๊ธฐ์กด 2,200๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๋ฐœํ–‰๋ถ„์„ ์ƒํ™˜ํ•˜์—ฌ ์ž์ฒด ์„ฑ์žฅ์„ ์œ„ํ•œ ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ์ž๋ณธ์„ ํ™•๋ณดํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๊ฒฝ์˜์ง„ ์ „๋ง ๋ฐ ์ง€์นจ

๊ฒฝ์˜์ง„์€ ์—์ด๋น„๋“œ๋ฑ…ํฌ์˜ ์ž์‚ฐ ๋ฏผ๊ฐํ˜• ๋Œ€์ฐจ๋Œ€์กฐํ‘œ๊ฐ€ 4๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์ค‘์— 9์›” ์—ฐ๋ฐฉ๊ธฐ๊ธˆ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ธ์ƒ ํ˜œํƒ์„ ๋ฐ›์„ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. 9์›” ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ธ์ƒ์ด 3๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์‹ค์ ์— ์‹ค์งˆ์ ์ธ ์˜ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ฏธ์น˜๊ธฐ์—๋Š” ๋„ˆ๋ฌด ๋Šฆ๊ฒŒ ์ด๋ฃจ์–ด์กŒ๊ธฐ ๋•Œ๋ฌธ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์ผ์‹œ์  ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ์„ ์ œ์™ธํ•˜๋ฉด, ๊ฒฝ์˜์ง„์€ 9์›” ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ธ์ƒ ์ „ 3๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์ •๊ทœํ™” ์ˆœ์ด์ž๋งˆ์ง„(NIM)์„ 4.20%๋Œ€ ์ดˆ๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ์ถ”์ •ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ๊ฒฝ์Ÿ์€ ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ์น˜์—ดํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ๋ˆ„์  ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ ๋ฒ ํƒ€๋ฅผ 50% ๋ฏธ๋งŒ, ์ž ์žฌ์ ์œผ๋กœ 40%์— ๊ฐ€๊น๊ฒŒ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

4๋ถ„๊ธฐ ์˜์—…๋น„์šฉ์€ ์ „๋ถ„๊ธฐ์™€ ๋น„์Šทํ•˜๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์†Œํญ ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ธ‰์—ฌ ๋ฐ ๋ณต๋ฆฌํ›„์ƒ๋น„์˜ ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ์ฆ๊ฐ€๋ถ„์€ ๋ฒ•๋ฅ  ๋ฐ ์ „๋ฌธ ์„œ๋น„์Šค ์ˆ˜์ˆ˜๋ฃŒ ๊ฐ์†Œ๋กœ ๋Œ€๋ถ€๋ถ„ ์ƒ์‡„๋  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ๋ณด์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๊ฒฝ์˜์ง„์€ ํ˜„์žฌ ํŒŒ์ดํ”„๋ผ์ธ์„ ๋ฐ”ํƒ•์œผ๋กœ 4๋ถ„๊ธฐ ๋Œ€์ถœ ์‹ ๊ทœ ์‹คํ–‰ ์‹ค์ ์ด ๋น„๊ต์  ํ˜ธ์กฐ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์ผ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์‹ค์ œ ๋Œ€์ถœ ์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ ์€ ๊ฑด์„ค ๋Œ€์ถœ ์ƒํ™˜์˜ ์‹œ๊ธฐ์™€ ๊ทœ๋ชจ์— ํฌ๊ฒŒ ์ขŒ์šฐ๋  ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ํšจ์œจ์„ฑ ๋น„์œจ์„ 50% ์ˆ˜์ค€ ๋˜๋Š” ๊ทธ ์ดํ•˜๋กœ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ฒฝ์˜์ง„์€ ์—์ด๋น„๋“œ๋ฑ…ํฌ๊ฐ€ ์ธ๋ ฅ๊ณผ ์ธํ”„๋ผ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ํˆฌ์ž๋ฅผ ์ง€์†ํ•จ์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์ถ”๊ฐ€์ ์ธ ๊ฐœ์„ ์€ ์ ์ง„์ ์œผ๋กœ ์ด๋ฃจ์–ด์งˆ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์ด ๋†’๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐํ˜”์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์—์ด๋น„๋“œ๋ฑ…ํฌ๋Š” ๋น ๋ฅด๋ฉด 1๋ถ„๊ธฐ์— SBA ์˜์—… ๋ถ€๋ฌธ์˜ ์šฐ์„ ๋Œ€์ถœ๊ธฐ๊ด€ ์ง€์œ„๋ฅผ ์ทจ๋“ํ•˜๊ธฐ ์œ„ํ•ด ๋…ธ๋ ฅํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๋˜ํ•œ ๊ฒฝ์˜์ง„์€ ๋น„๊ณผ์„ธ BOLI ์ˆ˜์ž…์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด 2026๋…„ ์‹คํšจ์„ธ์œจ์ด ๋‚ฎ์•„์ง„ ํ›„ ๋‚ด๋…„์—๋Š” ์‹คํšจ์„ธ์œจ์ด 28%๋Œ€ ์ค‘๋ฐ˜์œผ๋กœ ๋ณต๊ท€ํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ์–ธ๊ธ‰ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฆฌ์Šคํฌ ๋ฐ ์ฃผ์‹œ ํ•ญ๋ชฉ

  • ์•ฝ 2์–ต 7,000๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์˜ ์ผ์‹œ์  ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ์ด 4๋ถ„๊ธฐ ๋™์•ˆ ์œ ์ถœ๋  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒ๋˜์–ด ๋‹จ๊ธฐ ์ž๊ธˆ ์กฐ๋‹ฌ ๋ฐ ๋Œ€์ฐจ๋Œ€์กฐํ‘œ ๊ด€๋ฆฌ ์ธก๋ฉด์—์„œ ๊ณ ๋ ค์‚ฌํ•ญ์ด ๋ฐœ์ƒํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ ๋น„์šฉ ๊ฒฝ์Ÿ์ด ์ง€์†๋˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ธ์ƒ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ์ˆ˜ํ˜œ ์™ธ์— ์ˆœ์ด์ž๋งˆ์ง„(NIM)์— ์••๋ฐ•์„ ๊ฐ€ํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ๊ฒฌ์กฐํ•œ ์‹ ๊ทœ ์•ฝ์ • ๋ฐ ํŒŒ์ดํ”„๋ผ์ธ์—๋„ ๋ถˆ๊ตฌํ•˜๊ณ  ๊ฑด์„ค ๋Œ€์ถœ์˜ ๋†’์€ ์ƒํ™˜์•ก์œผ๋กœ ์ธํ•ด ๊ณต์‹œ ๋Œ€์ถœ ์„ฑ์žฅ๋ฅ ์ด ์ œํ•œ๋  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • 150๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๊ทœ๋ชจ์˜ ํ† ์ง€ ๋Œ€์ถœ์ด ์ด์ž ๋ฏธ์ˆ˜์ต ์ƒํƒœ๋กœ ์ถ”๊ฐ€๋˜๋ฉด์„œ ๋ถ€์‹ค๋Œ€์ถœ์ด ์ฆ๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ์œผ๋‚˜, ๊ฒฝ์˜์ง„์€ ๊ด‘๋ฒ”์œ„ํ•œ ์‹ ์šฉ ์•…ํ™”๋Š” ์—†๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ณด๊ณ ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
  • ๊ณ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ์ฐจ์ฃผ๋“ค์—๊ฒŒ ๋ถ€๋‹ด์„ ์ฃผ๋ฉฐ ๊ถ๊ทน์ ์œผ๋กœ ๊ฒฝ์ œ ํ™œ๋™์— ์˜ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ฏธ์น  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ฒฝ์˜์ง„์€ ๊ณ ๊ฐ๋“ค์ด ๋Œ€์ฒด๋กœ ๊ฒฝํ—˜์ด ํ’๋ถ€ํ•˜๊ณ  ๋ถ€์ฑ„ ๋น„์œจ์ด ๋†’์ง€ ์•Š์œผ๋ฉฐ, ํ˜„์žฌ ํฌํŠธํด๋ฆฌ์˜ค ์ „๋ฐ˜์˜ ์ŠคํŠธ๋ ˆ์Šค์— ๋Œ€ํ•ด ์šฐ๋ คํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ๋ฐํ˜”์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์• ๋„๋ฆฌ์ŠคํŠธ Q&A ์ฃผ์š” ๋‚ด์šฉ

๊ฒฝ์˜์ง„์€ ์ผ์‹œ์  ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ์„ ์ œ์™ธํ–ˆ์„ ๋•Œ 9์›” 30์ผ ๊ธฐ์ค€ ์กฐ์ • ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ ์ŠคํŒŸ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ๋ฅผ ์ „๋ถ„๊ธฐ 3.07%์—์„œ ์†Œํญ ์ƒ์Šนํ•œ ์•ฝ 3.30%๋กœ ์ถ”์ •ํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํšŒ์‚ฌ๋Š” ์ž๊ธˆ ์กฐ๋‹ฌ ๋น„์šฉ ์••๋ฐ•์ด ์ผ๋ถ€ ์ถ”๊ฐ€๋  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ ๋ฒ ํƒ€๋ฅผ 50% ๋ฏธ๋งŒ์œผ๋กœ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์„ ๋ชฉํ‘œ๋กœ ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์ˆ˜์ˆ˜๋ฃŒ๋ฅผ ์ œ์™ธํ•œ ์‹ ๊ทœ ๋Œ€์ถœ์˜ ํ˜ผํ•ฉ ํ•ต์‹ฌ ์ˆ˜์ต๋ฅ ์€ ์•ฝ 6.82%๋ฅผ ๊ธฐ๋กํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ๊ฒฝ์˜์ง„์€ ํ–ฅํ›„ ๋งˆ์ง„ ์‹ค์ ์ด ์ฃผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ ๋น„์šฉ๊ณผ ์‹ ๊ทœ ์ž๊ธˆ ์กฐ๋‹ฌ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ฑ…์ •์— ์ขŒ์šฐ๋  ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ๋งํ–ˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๋‚จ์€ 1,000๋งŒ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ์˜ ์ค‘๊ฐœ ์˜ˆ๊ธˆ์€ 4๋ถ„๊ธฐ์— ๋งŒ๊ธฐ๊ฐ€ ๋„๋ž˜ํ•  ์˜ˆ์ •์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์—์ด๋น„๋“œ๋ฑ…ํฌ๋Š” ์ดํ›„ ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ฑ…์ • ๋ฐ ์ž๊ธˆ ์กฐ๋‹ฌ ์ˆ˜์š”์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์ค‘๊ฐœ ์ž๊ธˆ์„ ๋‹ค์‹œ ํ™œ์šฉํ• ์ง€ ์—ฌ๋ถ€๋ฅผ ๊ฒฐ์ •ํ•  ๊ฒƒ์ž…๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

๊ฒฝ์˜์ง„์€ ๋‚จ์€ ๊ธฐ๊ฐ„ ๋™์•ˆ ์ฑ„์šฉ ๊ทœ๋ชจ๊ฐ€ ํฌ์ง€ ์•Š์„ ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ์ข‹์€ ๊ธฐํšŒ๊ฐ€ ์žˆ๋‹ค๋ฉด ์ถ”๊ฐ€ ์ฑ„์šฉ ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ์„ ์—ด์–ด๋‘๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ดˆ์ ์€ ๊ธฐ์กด ๋ฐ ์ตœ๊ทผ ์ฑ„์šฉ๋œ ๋ฑ…์ปค๋“ค๋กœ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ์ˆ˜์ต์„ ์ฐฝ์ถœํ•˜๊ณ  2027๋…„์„ ์œ„ํ•œ ์ธํ”„๋ผ๋ฅผ ๊ตฌ์ถ•ํ•˜๋Š” ์ชฝ์œผ๋กœ ์ด๋™ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

์‹ค์  ๋ฐœํ‘œ ์ปจํผ๋Ÿฐ์Šค ์ฝœ ์ „๋ฌธ


์ „์ฒด ์‹ค์  ๋ฐœํ‘œ ์ปจํผ๋Ÿฐ์Šค ์ฝœ ๋…น์ทจ๋ก

๊ฒฝ์˜์ง„ ๋ฐœํ‘œ

Operator

Good morning. My name is Ben, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Avidbank Holdings, Inc. Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]

I'd like to introduce the presenters, Chairman and CEO, Mark Mordell; Chief Financial Officer, Pat Oakes; and Chief Operating Officer, Gina Peterson. You may begin your conference.

Gina Thoma-Peterson

Good morning. Thank you for joining us today for the Avidbank Holdings Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. Before we begin, let me remind you that today's call is being recorded and is available in the Investor Relations section of our website at avidbank.com, along with our earnings release and presentation materials.

Today's call contains forward-looking statements, which are subject to certain risks, uncertainties and other factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those discussed. These statements are intended to be covered by the safe harbor provisions of the federal securities laws. For a list of factors that may cause actual results to differ materially from expectations, please refer to our earnings release under the heading Forward-Looking Statements as well as the disclosures contained within our SEC filings.

We will also reference non-GAAP financial measures alongside our discussion of GAAP results. We encourage you to review the GAAP to non-GAAP reconciliations provided in our earnings release.

With that, I'd like to turn the call over to our Chairman and CEO, Mark Mordell.

Mark Mordell

Thank you, Gina, and thank you all for joining us this morning. We appreciate your continued interest and support in our company and our story. Overall, the third quarter was very strong for us. Profitability improved. We continue to grow loans, and our bankers generated meaningful core deposit growth across the franchise.

Net income increased to $10.2 million for the quarter. Return on average assets improved to 1.42%, and our efficiency ratio was below 50%. I think these results demonstrate the improvement in earnings power of our franchise and the benefit of the investments we have made in our people and business lines.

Turning to growth. Loans increased approximately $58 million for the quarter or 10% annualized and were up 17% over the past year. Growth was broad-based with contributions from C&I, multifamily and owner-occupied commercial real estate being the chief drivers. Our loan pipelines continue to be healthy into Q4 and hopefully into next year.

Our construction and land portfolio continues to decline because of the elevated payoffs, so the growth we generated across the rest of the bank was particularly encouraging. As mentioned earlier, our loan pipelines continue to be strong, and we do expect construction payoff to remain elevated here in the fourth quarter. We believe we're getting closer to the point where that headwind begins to moderate and becomes more normalized as it has over the last 15 years.

On deposits, reported increase included approximately a $270 million deposit from an existing client following the sale from a portion of their business. We knew from the beginning that these funds would be temporary, and we expect them to leave over the course of the fourth quarter.

More importantly, excluding that temporary inflated balance and brokered deposits, we generated approximately $76 million of core deposit growth. That growth came from relationships across the franchise and is a good indication of the progress our bankers are making on the funding side of the balance sheet.

Turning to credit. Nonperforming loans increased modestly to 70 basis points of total loans after we placed a $1.5 million land loan on nonaccrual. As I said many times before, we never take credit for granted. We continue to monitor the portfolio closely and actively manage the credits that require additional attention. At the same time, net charge-offs were essentially 0 during the quarter, and we are not seeing any broad-based deterioration -- credit deterioration across the portfolio.

We also strengthened our capital during the quarter by issuing the $30 million of new subordinated debt and redeeming our existing $22 million issuance. That provided additional support for continued organic growth while we're maintaining strong capital ratios.

Overall, I'm pleased with the quarter. We are generating better profitability, maintaining solid growth across diversified commercial banking platform and are continuing to invest in the franchise. There's always more work to do, particularly around the funding and the credits we are actively managing, but I believe we are well positioned to move into the fourth quarter.

With that, I'll end my remarks and turn the call over to Pat to walk through the quarter in more detail.

Patrick Oakes

Thanks, Mark. Good morning, everyone. For the third quarter, we recorded $0.94 per diluted share compared with $0.71 per diluted share in the second quarter. Net interest income increased $2 million to $28.7 million, benefiting from higher cash balance related to the increase in deposits, higher loan balances and a larger investment securities portfolio. The net interest margin was 4.07% in the third quarter, down 19 basis points from the second quarter.

We estimate that 17 basis points of the decline resulted from average interest-earning balance -- cash balances that were $205 million higher during the quarter, including the impact from the temporary deposits Mark mentioned earlier, along with the overall strong growth in deposit average balances. The September increase in the Fed funds rate occurred late in the quarter, so it only had a minimal impact on the third quarter margin.

Looking ahead, we anticipate that our asset-sensitive balance sheet will benefit from the rate increase in the fourth quarter. The cost of our interest-bearing deposits decreased 9 basis points to 2.97% in the quarter, primarily because of the impact of the temporary deposits. Excluding those deposits, the spot rate at September 30 increased to 3.13% from 3.07% at June 30, primarily due to the September increase in the Fed funds rate.

Noninterest income was $1.7 million compared with $3.1 million in the second quarter. The second quarter included approximately $1.3 million of tax-exempt BOLI death benefit proceeds. Noninterest expense was $15.1 million compared with $16.5 million in the second quarter. The prior quarter included a $2.6 million litigation settlement. Without that settlement, expenses increased $1.3 million, driven primarily by higher compensation expense and credit-related legal expenses and professional fees. We ended the quarter with 171 full-time equivalent employees compared with 162 at June 30 and 151 at year-end.

Turning to capital. At quarter end, our Tier 1 leverage ratio was 10.82%, and our total risk-based capital was 13.48%. Book value per share was $27.24, a 4% annualized increase from the second quarter despite the negative impact of higher unrealized losses as long-term interest rates increased. Book value per share has increased 9% since last September.

With that, Mark, I'll turn it back to you.

Mark Mordell

All right. Thank you, Pat. That kind of summarizes the quarter. Now I think we're ready to open up to questions, please.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question from the line of Matthew Clark with Piper Sandler.

์งˆ์˜์‘๋‹ต

Matthew Clark

Just to round out the margin discussion, Pat, I think you gave a spot margin, but do you have the spot rate on deposit at the end of September, maybe even an adjusted spot rate, assuming those balances, the $270 million leaves? And then what kind of beta are you trying to manage towards through the cycle here?

Patrick Oakes

Sure. So excluding all these temporary deposits, we estimate the spot rate at September 30 was around 3.30%, up from 3.07% last quarter. So about 6 basis points increase so far. And that was all driven by the September rate increase. Obviously, we'll see a little more pressure here going forward. But we think that we'll get to keep that beta. We're pretty optimistic below 50. How much below that, we'll have to see. Hopefully, quite a bit, but I don't think it will go above 50%, hopefully, closer to 40% somewhere.

Matthew Clark

Okay. And maybe -- sorry, I missed that earlier. And then just the adjusted margin in September, I know it's 17 basis points impact from the temporary balances. But I guess in the month of September, how does that adjusted margin look?

Patrick Oakes

With all this noise, I don't really want to give a September margin. That's kind of what we guided you to that 17 basis point increase. So if you put that on -- if you kind of normalize cash balances, right, that margin was probably down a little bit, a couple of basis points here from last quarter. So normalized margin probably is closer to the low 4.20s before the rate increase, obviously, from -- or the September rate increase.

Matthew Clark

Yes. Understood. Okay. And then just on expenses, the run rate here you expect going forward on operating expenses?

Patrick Oakes

We'll probably still see salary and benefits increase here, but I think that's going to be pretty much offset by some of these higher legal and professional fees as we saw in the quarter. So my best guess is flattish to maybe up slightly for the fourth quarter.

Operator

Your next question from the line of Gary Tenner with D.A. Davidson.

Gary Tenner

I wanted to just ask question on the loan front. Mark, you gave some color, obviously, on the construction book and this quarter's growth overall was good. I know historically, the fourth quarter has been a good quarter for C&I. As you look at the pipelines now and think about the fourth quarter, any reason to think that, that will not be kind of the typical outcome in the fourth quarter?

Mark Mordell

There's no reason to expect that Q4 shouldn't be a pretty strong quarter for us. It seems -- I don't like patterns all that much, but if you go back 5 or 6 years, it seems Q3, Q4 are always stronger and Q4 is typically the top quarter. So we feel good about what we're seeing in the pipeline and what we close for the remainder of the year.

Gary Tenner

Okay. Appreciate that. And then just a minor question on the brokered deposits, I think, down to about $10 million at the end of September. Pat, will those go to 0 in the fourth quarter? Or will any linger into 2027?

Patrick Oakes

Well, that $10 million will mature in the fourth quarter. And then we'll decide if we want to add some before year-end on how from a funding perspective, we feel like it's a good deal to do that as a funding tool. But existing stuff should all be gone, then we'll just make some decisions going forward, how we use it.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your next question, from the line of Andrew Terrell with Stephens.

Andrew Terrell

Pat or Mark, maybe just to start, can you just talk about some of the new hires you've made? It seemed like a really good quarter from a hiring standpoint. I'd be curious on just the HOA Group, SBA team. And then can you just give us maybe an update or refresh on kind of the hiring pipeline more broadly?

Mark Mordell

The hiring pipeline for the balance of the year is going to be pretty modest if we still always be opportunistic. But I think the focus in SBA right now is we've got a reasonable pipeline, but focus on becoming a preferred lender. So we expect that to happen realistically -- Q1 realistically. So I don't think we're going to sell any loans or anything of that nature. We're just getting our infrastructure underneath us and getting some -- getting these things processed taking a little bit longer because we're not a preferred lender at this point.

So I think the HOA guys -- HOA team is doing what they need to be doing, pretty focused. They'll make an impact on some balances this year, but it will be pretty modest. And next year is the expectation of really getting some traction. The specialty deposits folks that we have, the HOA, they've been pretty active. Again, they have goals for this year, but really getting the legs underneath them and getting some credibility in the marketplace and having '27 being the year that they are much more impactful and much more impactful on our balance sheet.

Other than that, the bankers that we've hired and certainly, we've -- as everyone is aware, we hired a new President. So we're really building on the team and focusing on the infrastructure for '27. I mean we've taken care of capital and taking care of facilities. We've taken care of our sub-debt. We uplisted. We got some currency to trade and it's about stacking up quarter-to-quarter and year-to-year in compounding earnings going forward. So we're pretty focused on the production that -- from our existing bankers as well as the new bankers.

Andrew Terrell

Great. I really appreciate it. And then just to ask on -- maybe more of a question on kind of longer-term expense growth. If I look at the efficiency ratio, I mean, the past -- this is the kind of second quarter in a row, sub-50%. You guys are holding the line and revenue growth obviously helps. But when we think about longer-term efficiency ratio, is mid- to high 40%, is that a reasonable bar just as you look out and you think about the expense growth investments you need to make? Or do you think it can go further below that? Or just any thoughts on longer-term efficiency?

Patrick Oakes

Well, I think we're really hoping we've set a bar below 50% at this point or around 50% to down, right? And it's not going to move down quickly, right? But I think the ultimate goal is to hopefully leverage, obviously, all the hiring that we're doing to grow revenue at a good pace to offset that expense growth. We're still going to add people and all that stuff. So hopefully, it does continue to move down, but I think it will be a slow incremental move down if it is.

Mark Mordell

Right, I would agree with that.

Operator

Your next question from the line of Andrew Liesch with StoneX Financial.

Andrew Liesch

Just a question, Pat, if you have it handy, what's the -- what new loan yields were coming on at during the quarter, maybe a blended average?

Patrick Oakes

Yes. So this is without fees, right? This is just the core loan yield. It's more like 6.82% or so, in the 6.80s.

Andrew Liesch

Got it. So maybe a little bit higher with some fees. So I think just then looking at the margin going forward, certainly, you'll get some benefit from the rate hike. But net-net, just given that you're pretty much in growth mode, do you think the margin maybe will trail off a little bit over time even with some rate hikes and still profitability gets better, but just like net-net, the margin might come lower?

Patrick Oakes

Right. So we'll benefit when the Fed increases rates, right? And then outside of that, you're asking what's going to happen with that? Boy, it's really depending -- loan yield, you can see what it's going to do, right? It will be flattish and move up when they increase rates. It's really dependent on deposit costs and how much you pay up. It's pretty competitive out there.

I'm hoping that, that gets better, but could there be pressure going forward potentially? Boy, it's really just hard because it's all on the funding side that really dictates that and the new deposit growth. I think I'm hoping with some of these new initiatives like the HOA and other things we're working on that we can drive down the deposit cost over time to take some of that pressure away. So I guess my long answer would be, I hope not. I hope we can keep it stable.

Operator

Your next question from the line of Tim Coffey with Brean Capital.

Timothy Coffey

Mark, looking into the pace of the rate hiking cycle here, how resilient do you think your customers and your markets are to higher rates? Is there a point where we see a certain number of rate hikes and at that point, things start to stall?

Mark Mordell

It's certainly possible depending on where they go. But I think most of the companies that we're banking here have been -- are pretty seasoned and aren't highly leveraged. So those rate hikes are painful for our clients for sure. But I don't -- we monitor it pretty closely. We do sensitivity tests and see where the thresholds may happen. But at this point, we're not concerned about that. I think companies have performed pretty well, and they got some margin there. So we feel pretty good about it.

Timothy Coffey

Great. And then Patrick, is the right tax rate somewhere between 27% and 28%?

Patrick Oakes

For this year, it's lower than it typically is because of the BOLI proceeds received in the second quarter, kind of drove that down for the year. And I think it will tick back up next year to the mid-28s.

Operator

With no further questions, I would like to turn the call back over to the presenters.

Mark Mordell

This is Mark. And one of the things that I did fail to maybe clarify a little bit when we talked about the loan growth. We have really solid pipelines across, including construction. But we do have those elevated payoffs in construction, which were significantly delayed from getting started. So I think the wildcard for actual loan growth of how much that's going to be is going to be what kind of payoffs actually materialize in Q4 here.

I think we're coming to the end of it, like I mentioned earlier, but that's probably the wildcard for Q4. They have been booking new commitments, but those of you that understand how construction works that we're trading 100% funded loans for 10% funded loans for the new ones that are coming on because it does take 18, 24 months to be fully drawn on. So just a little bit of caution, that's probably the wildcard because it's been 2 years of consistent payoffs, which is a good thing in construction, but it does impact our overall loan growth.

So with that, I'll close it up and say, again, thank you all for your interest in Avidbank. If you have any further questions that Pat or I can answer, please feel free to reach out, and I appreciate your interest. Have a great rest of your day.

Operator

This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.

์ด ๋ฌธ์„œ์—๋Š” ์‚ฌ๋žŒ์ด ๊ฒ€ํ† ํ•œ AI ์ƒ์„ฑ ์ฝ˜ํ…์ธ  ๋˜๋Š” AI ๋ฒˆ์—ญ ์ฝ˜ํ…์ธ ๊ฐ€ ํฌํ•จ๋  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ์ด๋Š” ์ฐธ๊ณ ์šฉ ๋ฐ ์ „๋ฐ˜์ ์ธ ์ •๋ณด๋ฅผ ์ œ๊ณต์šฉ์œผ๋กœ๋งŒ ์ œ๊ณต๋˜๋ฉฐ ํˆฌ์ž ์กฐ์–ธ์— ํ•ด๋‹นํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.

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ํ•„๋ผ๋ธํ”ผ์•„ ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ์ง€์ˆ˜ 6% ๊ธ‰๋“ฑ, 10,000์„  ํƒˆํ™˜: ๋ชจ๊ฑด์Šคํƒ ๋ฆฌ, ์žฅ๊ธฐ AI ํˆฌ์ž ๋…ผ๋ฆฌ ๊ทผ๋ณธ์ ์œผ๋กœ ๋ณ€ํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์•„, ์—”๋น„๋””์•„์™€ ๋ธŒ๋กœ๋“œ์ปด ์„ ํ˜ธ

๋ฏธ ๋™๋ถ€ ์‹œ๊ฐ„ 11์›” 9์ผ, ์‹œ์žฅ์ด ๋ฐ์ดํ„ฐ์„ผํ„ฐ ๊ฑด์„ค ๋‘”ํ™”๊ฐ€ AI ๊ณต๊ธ‰๋ง์— ๋ฏธ์น˜๋Š” ์˜ํ–ฅ์„ ์žฌํ‰๊ฐ€ํ•˜๋ฉด์„œ ํ•„๋ผ๋ธํ”ผ์•„ ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ์ง€์ˆ˜๋Š” ์žฅ์ค‘ 7% ๋„˜๊ฒŒ ์ƒ์Šนํ•ด 10,000ํฌ์ธํŠธ๋ฅผ ํƒˆํ™˜ํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์•ž์„œ ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ค‘๊ฐ„์„ ๊ฑฐ์— ๋”ฐ๋ฅธ ๊ทœ์ œ ์Šน์ธ ๊ฐ•ํ™” ์šฐ๋ ค๋กœ AI ๊ด€๋ จ์ฃผ๊ฐ€ ๊ธ‰๊ฒฉํ•œ ์กฐ์ •์„ ๋ฐ›์€ ๋ฐ” ์žˆ๋‹ค. ๋ชจ๊ฑด์Šคํƒ ๋ฆฌ๋Š” ์ฃผ๋ง ๋ฆฌ์„œ์น˜ ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ๋ฅผ ํ†ตํ•ด ์ •์ฑ… ๋ณ€ํ™”๊ฐ€ ์ฃผ๋กœ ํ”„๋กœ์ ํŠธ ๊ฑด์„ค ์ผ์ •์— ์˜ํ–ฅ์„ ๋ฏธ์น˜๋ฉฐ AI์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์žฅ๊ธฐ์  ํˆฌ์ž ์ˆ˜์š”๋Š” ๊ทผ๋ณธ์ ์œผ๋กœ ๋ณ€ํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์•˜๋‹ค๊ณ  ์ง€์ ํ•˜๋ฉฐ, ์‹œ์žฅ์ด ๊ณผ๋„ํ•˜๊ฒŒ ๋ฐ˜์‘ํ–ˆ๋‹ค๊ณ  ํ‰๊ฐ€ํ–ˆ๋‹ค.

๋ฏธ๊ตญ 10์›” CPI ํ”„๋ฆฌ๋ทฐ: ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜ ์ƒ์Šน์„ธ ๋‘”ํ™” ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ, ๋ฏธ ์ฆ์‹œยท๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌยท๊ธˆ์€ ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ๋ฐ˜์‘ํ• ๊นŒ?

TradingKey - ๋ฏธ ๋™๋ถ€์‹œ๊ฐ„ ๊ธฐ์ค€ 11์›” 10์ผ ํ™”์š”์ผ, ๋ฏธ๊ตญ์€ ์—ฐ๋ฐฉ์ค€๋น„์ œ๋„(Fed)์˜ 12์›” ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ๊ฒฐ์ •์„ ์•ž๋‘๊ณ  ํ•ต์‹ฌ ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜ ์ง€ํ‘œ์ธ 10์›” ์†Œ๋น„์ž๋ฌผ๊ฐ€์ง€์ˆ˜(CPI)๋ฅผ ๋ฐœํ‘œํ•œ๋‹ค. ๋ฏธ ๋…ธ๋™ํ†ต๊ณ„๊ตญ์€ ํ•ด๋‹น ๋ณด๊ณ ์„œ๊ฐ€ ๋™๋ถ€์‹œ๊ฐ„ ์˜ค์ „ 8์‹œ 30๋ถ„์— ๋ฐœํ‘œ๋  ์˜ˆ์ •์ด๋ผ๊ณ  ํ™•์ธํ–ˆ๋‹ค. ์‹œ์žฅ์—์„œ๋Š” ํœ˜๋ฐœ์œ  ๊ฐ€๊ฒฉ ์ƒ์Šน์„ธ ๋‘”ํ™”์— ํž˜์ž…์–ด 10์›” ํ—ค๋“œ๋ผ์ธ ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜์ด 9์›”์— ๋น„ํ•ด ๋‘”ํ™”ํ•  ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ์˜ˆ์ƒํ•˜์ง€๋งŒ, ๊ทผ์› ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜์€ ์—ฌ์ „ํžˆ ๋‹ค์†Œ ๊ฒฝ์ง์ ์ธ ํ๋ฆ„์„ ์œ ์ง€ํ•˜๊ณ  ์žˆ๋‹ค. ์ด๋ฒˆ ์ง€ํ‘œ๋Š” ์—ฐ์ค€์ด 12์›”์—๋„ ๊ธˆ๋ฆฌ ์ธ์ƒ์„ ์ด์–ด๊ฐˆ์ง€์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์‹œ์žฅ ์ „๋ง์„ ์ขŒ์šฐํ•  ๊ฒƒ์ด๋ฉฐ, ๋ฏธ๊ตญ ์ฆ์‹œ์™€ ๋ฏธ ๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌํ™”, ๊ธˆ(XAUUSD) ์ „๋ฐ˜์— ๊ฑธ์ณ ์ƒˆ๋กœ์šด ์‹œ์žฅ ์›€์ง์ž„์„ ์ด‰๋ฐœํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋‹ค.
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๋ฏธ๊ตญ 10์›” CPI ํ”„๋ฆฌ๋ทฐ: ์ธํ”Œ๋ ˆ์ด์…˜ ์ƒ์Šน์„ธ ๋‘”ํ™” ๊ฐ€๋Šฅ์„ฑ, ๋ฏธ ์ฆ์‹œยท๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌยท๊ธˆ์€ ์–ด๋–ป๊ฒŒ ๋ฐ˜์‘ํ• ๊นŒ?
๋‹›์ผ€์ด 225 2% ๊ธ‰๋“ฑ, ์ฝ”์Šคํ”ผ ํ•˜๋ฝ ์ถœ๋ฐœํ•˜๋ฉฐ ๋ฐ”๋‹ฅ ๋‹ค์ง€๊ธฐ; SKํ•˜์ด๋‹‰์Šค์™€ ์‚ผ์„ฑ์ „์ž ์†Œํญ ์ƒ์Šน, ์†Œํ”„ํŠธ๋ฑ…ํฌ 4% ๊ธ‰๋ฝ
๊ธˆ๊ฐ’, ์˜ˆ์ƒ ์›ƒ๋ˆ ๋น„๋†์—… ๊ณ ์šฉ ๋”›๊ณ  4,100๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ํƒˆํ™˜, 4,300๋‹ฌ๋Ÿฌ ๋„๋‹ฌ ์ „๋ง
๋‚˜์Šค๋‹ฅ 2.7% ์ƒ์Šนํญ ํ™•๋Œ€, ํ•„๋ผ๋ธํ”ผ์•„ ๋ฐ˜๋„์ฒด ์ง€์ˆ˜ 10,000์„  ํƒˆํ™˜; ๊ธฐ์ˆ ์ฃผ ์ฃผ๋„, ์ŠคํŽ˜์ด์ŠคX์™€ ํ…Œ์Šฌ๋ผ 5% ์ด์ƒ ์ƒ์Šน, ์—”๋น„๋””์•„ 4% ํ•˜๋ฝ
์—”๋น„๋””์•„, ํ”„๋ฆฌ๋งˆ์ผ“์„œ 5% ๋„˜๊ฒŒ ํ•˜๋ฝํ•ด ์•ฝ 7๊ฐœ์›” ๋งŒ์˜ ์ตœ์ €์น˜: ์  ์Šจ ํ™ฉ ๋ถˆ๋ฅœ ์ธ์ •, ์ด์‚ฌํšŒ ์กฐ์‚ฌ ์ฐฉ์ˆ˜, CEO ์Šน๊ณ„ ๋ฆฌ์Šคํฌ ๋ถ€๊ฐ
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์œ„ํ—˜ ๊ฒฝ๊ณ : ์ €ํฌ ์›น์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ์™€ ๋ชจ๋ฐ”์ผ ์•ฑ์€ ํŠน์ • ํˆฌ์ž ์ƒํ’ˆ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ผ๋ฐ˜์ ์ธ ์ •๋ณด๋งŒ์„ ์ œ๊ณตํ•ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. Finsights๋Š” ์žฌ์ •์  ์กฐ์–ธ์ด๋‚˜ ํˆฌ์ž ์ƒํ’ˆ์— ๋Œ€ํ•œ ์ถ”์ฒœ์„ ์ œ๊ณตํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์ด๋Ÿฌํ•œ ์ •๋ณด ์ œ๊ณต์ด Finsights๊ฐ€ ๊ธˆ์œต ์กฐ์–ธ์ด๋‚˜ ์ถ”์ฒœ์„ ์ œ๊ณตํ•˜๋Š” ๊ฒƒ์œผ๋กœ ํ•ด์„๋˜์–ด์„œ๋Š” ์•ˆ ๋ฉ๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
ํˆฌ์ž ์ƒํ’ˆ์€ ํˆฌ์ž ์›๊ธˆ ์†์‹ค์„ ํฌํ•จํ•œ ์ƒ๋‹นํ•œ ํˆฌ์ž ์œ„ํ—˜์— ๋…ธ์ถœ๋˜์–ด ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ๋ชจ๋“  ์‚ฌ๋žŒ์—๊ฒŒ ์ ํ•ฉํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์„ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค. ํˆฌ์ž ์ƒํ’ˆ์˜ ๊ณผ๊ฑฐ ์„ฑ๊ณผ๋Š” ๋ฏธ๋ž˜ ์„ฑ๊ณผ๋ฅผ ๋ณด์žฅํ•˜์ง€ ์•Š์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
Finsights๋Š” ์ œ3์ž ๊ด‘๊ณ ์ฃผ๋‚˜ ์ œํœด์‚ฌ๊ฐ€ ์ €ํฌ ์›น์‚ฌ์ดํŠธ๋‚˜ ๋ชจ๋ฐ”์ผ ์•ฑ ๋˜๋Š” ๊ทธ ์ผ๋ถ€์— ๊ด‘๊ณ ๋ฅผ ๊ฒŒ์žฌํ•˜๊ฑฐ๋‚˜ ์ „๋‹ฌํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ๋„๋ก ํ—ˆ์šฉํ•  ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์œผ๋ฉฐ, ์‚ฌ์šฉ์ž๊ฐ€ ๊ด‘๊ณ ์™€ ์ƒํ˜ธ์ž‘์šฉํ•˜๋Š” ๋ฐฉ์‹์— ๋”ฐ๋ผ ์ด๋“ค๋กœ๋ถ€ํ„ฐ ๋ณด์ƒ์„ ๋ฐ›์„ ์ˆ˜ ์žˆ์Šต๋‹ˆ๋‹ค.
ยฉ ์ €์ž‘๊ถŒ: FINSIGHTS MEDIA PTE. LTD. ๋ชจ๋“  ๊ถŒ๋ฆฌ ๋ณด์œ