インタラクティブ・ブローカーズ (IBKR) 2026年第3四半期決算説明会：NIIは19%増、増配を発表

要点

• インタラクティブ・ブローカーズは過去最高の税引前利益と78％の税引前利益率を発表し、8四半期連続で70％超を維持しました。
• 手数料収入は前年同期比12％増の6億200万ドルとなり、GAAP受取利息（純額）は19％増の11億ドル超となりました。
• 顧客の1日平均出来高伴う取引件数（DARTs）は日値で430万件と前年同期比18％増加したものの、1口座あたりの取引活発度の低下は広範に及びました。
• 総資産は21％増の2,430億ドル、自己資本は19％増の233億ドルとなりました。同社は引き続き長期有利子負債を抱えていません。
• 年間配当は0.35ドルから0.60ドルに引き上げられました。創業者兼会長のトーマス・ピターフィ氏は、同社は通常、時価総額の0.5％から1％に相当する配当を目指していると述べました。
• 経営陣は、自律型AI取引、予測市場、RIA向け節税配慮型戦略、および紹介ブローカーを今後の成長可能性を秘めた分野として強調しました。

主要財務データ

同社は、現金担保で獲得・支払った利息を含めた有価証券貸付に関連する純売上高の合計を前年同期比36％増の4億2,600万ドルと推計しました。完全金利感応型の顧客残高は前年同期の250億ドルに対し、当四半期末には278億ドルとなりました。

事業および業績動向

顧客口座数の伸びは30％を超え、個人投資家・機関投資家および全地域で拡大しました。当四半期中に市場環境がリスクオンへと向かうなか、信用取引買残の増加が受取利息（純額）を下支えしました。信用取引残高は前年同期比で47％増、前四半期比で8％増となりました。

取引活動はまちまちでした。先物契約数は前年同期比で13％増加、オプション取引数はわずかに減少、株式出来高は24％減少しました。経営陣は株式出来高の減少について、主に低価格株の取引低迷によるものとしています。夜間取引は拡大を続け、2025年第3四半期の350万件から2026年第3四半期には1,000万件以上に増加しました。

インタラクティブ・ブローカーズは、ブカレスト証券取引所、テキサス証券取引所、および新たなオプション取引市場を通じて市場アクセスを拡大しました。また、ブラジルでのB3先物取引を開始し、暗号資産ステーキングの限定運用を開始しました。日本においては、信用取引、全額払い込み済み有価証券の貸付、および対象となる外貨預金残高で利息を得ることができる「外貨＋（Gaika+）」を追加しました。

AIコネクターにはPerplexityとModel Context Protocolを利用するツールへのサポートが追加されました。また、インタラクティブ・ブローカーズは自律型AI取引を限定的に開始しました。当初は、以前ヒューマン・イン・ザ・ループ型AIコネクターを利用していた約3,000名のクライアントが招待され、経営陣は対象者の拡大を計画しています。同社は、AIの導入が時間の経過とともに投資家の生産性と取引高を向上させると見込んでいます。

予測市場については、インタラクティブ・ブローカーズは現在、ForecastEx、Kalshi、CMEに接続しており、Polymarketの統合を進めています。経営陣は、取引市場の追加により商品の選択肢と流動性が広がり、取引高が増加したと述べました。

登録投資顧問業者（RIA）向けの節税配慮型ロング・ショート戦略の預かり資産は、四半期末時点で約3億ドルに達しました。これらの戦略では信用取引、空売り、有価証券貸付を活用するため、経営陣は成長の可能性があると見ています。同社は3社の戦略プロバイダーを導入しており、さらに追加を計画しています。

経営陣の見通し・ガイダンス

インタラクティブ・ブローカーズは、9月30日時点の残高と3.88％の実効金利に基づき、実効フェデラルファンド（FF）金利が25ベーシスポイント変動した場合、年間受取利息（純額）が約8,300万ドル増加または減少すると試算しました。

関連する米ドル以外の指標金利が25ベーシスポイント変動すると、年間受取利息（純額）は約3,500万ドル変化します。顧客の金利感応型残高の約30％は米ドル以外で保有されています。

経営陣は、9月中旬の米金利引き上げによるメリットの大部分は第4四半期に計上されると述べました。貸借対照表の拡大により、将来の金利変動に対する推定感応度は高まる見込みです。

同社は今後も時価総額の約0.5％〜1％に相当する配当枠組みを維持する方針です。ピターフィ氏は、現時点で減配となるような状況は想定できないと述べました。

リスクと注視点

取引活動は第2四半期から緩やかになり、経営陣は1口座あたりの活動低下は広範囲に及んでいると説明しました。株式出来高は前年同期比で24％減少した一方、オプション取引数はわずかに減少しました。

受取利息（純額）は引き続き中央銀行の政策や通貨構成に左右されやすい状況です。経営陣は世界的に金利動向が分化していることを指摘し、利息の影響を受ける顧客残高の約30％が米ドル以外の通貨建てであることを挙げました。

S&P 500指数の当四半期の上昇は大型テクノロジー企業に集中しており、米国の主要テクノロジー株10銘柄が同指数の時価総額の40％近くを占めました。また、グローバルなテクノロジー株は引き続きIBKRプラットフォーム上で最も活発に取引された銘柄に含まれていました。

日本市場について、経営陣は規制対応、口座移行、オンボーディング要件、文化の違いを継続的な課題として挙げました。同社は楽観的な姿勢を維持しているものの、より広範に競合できるようになるにはさらなる作業が必要であると述べました。

アナリスト質疑応答のハイライト

• 配当方針：経営陣は引き上げについて時価総額の0.5％〜1％というガイドラインに関連付け、同社の収益モデルおよび資本ポジションに対する自信を表明しました。
• デジタル顧客獲得：XのCashtagsプログラムなどを通じた広告費が増加しています。ピターフィ氏は、最近の顧客は全般的に顧客価値が高いものの、獲得数は減少傾向にあると述べました。
• RIAの機会：インタラクティブ・ブローカーズは、RIAのオンボーディングやマルチカストディ・プラットフォームとの統合を改善しています。経営陣は、フィデリティが計画している1億ドルの最低預かり資産要件の影響を受けるアドバイザーの受け皿となり得ると考えています。
• 紹介ブローカー：パイプラインは直近の四半期と同様で、複数の統合が進行中です。経営陣は、直接取引顧客向けに行われた機能拡張は紹介ブローカー・パートナーにも展開できることを強調しました。
• AI取引：経営陣は、対象ユーザーが初期の約3,000名の顧客を超えて拡大することを見込んでおり、AIが時間の経過とともに取引の活発化を支える可能性があると考えています。
• 予測市場：同社はCboeの個別株KPIコントラクトの提供準備を進めており、予測市場用インターフェースと通常のオプション画面の両方を通じて利用可能にする計画です。

決算説明会文字起こし全文

決算説明会の完全なトランスクリプト

経営陣による説明

Operator

Hello, and welcome to the Interactive Brokers Group Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. [Operator Instructions]

I would now like to turn the conference over to Nancy Stuebe, Director of Investor Relations. You may begin.

Nancy Stuebe

Thank you. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us for our third quarter 2026 earnings call. Joining us today are Thomas Peterffy, our Founder and Chairman; Milan Galik, our President and CEO; and Paul Brody, our CFO. I will be presenting Milan's comments on the business, and all 3 will be available at our Q&A.

As a reminder, today's call may include forward-looking statements, which represent the company's belief regarding future events, which, by their nature, are not certain and are outside of the company's control. Our actual results and financial condition may differ, possibly materially, from what is indicated in these forward-looking statements. We ask that you refer to the disclaimers in our press release. You should also review a description of risk factors contained in our financial reports filed with the SEC.

The S&P 500 was up 2% this quarter after rising nearly 15% last quarter, maintaining its resilience even as interest rates moved higher due to enthusiasm for both large technology companies and artificial intelligence. However, this performance masked somewhat narrow market breadth as large technology names represented the majority of the S&P 500's gains this quarter. The 10 largest U.S. technology stocks now represent nearly 40% of the total value of the index, which has become more concentrated over the course of the year. The most actively traded names on our platform this quarter continued to be global technology names. Their growth and business traction appeal to investors around the world, who want the ability to invest directly and gain ownership in them and convert their currency inexpensively into USD to do so.

Investors hold these stocks across accounts in hedge funds, in their personal accounts and in their retirement accounts. The flexibility with which they can do so regardless of account type is a major reason for the success of our platform. As can be seen in our over 30% account growth, strong interest continues in opening and funding accounts. We are seeing growth from both institutional and individual investors and in all regions. Pretax profit was a record, and our 78% pretax margin marked the eighth consecutive quarter with margins above 70%. In recognition of this and as a sign of confidence in the strength of our business model, its growth potential and of our capital base, we revisited how we allocate our capital and decided to increase the amount of dividend we pay to $0.60 a year.

We introduced multiple new products and initiatives this quarter. We added access to multiple new exchanges, the Bucharest Stock Exchange, one of the top-performing markets over the past decade, the Texas Stock Exchange, where we are already seeing average daily volume of about 2.5 million shares, and a new options exchange that aims to improve liquidity for larger, particularly institutional options orders. In Brazil, we launched trading of B3 futures on financial indexes, cryptocurrencies and commodities, expanding our Latin America access. We began a limited rollout of cryptocurrency staking, giving our clients a means to earn a return on their coins. In Japan, we now can offer several new ways for clients to enhance their returns, starting with margin lending.

We can also offer our fully paid securities lending program as well as Gaika+, our proprietary offering that enables Japanese clients to earn interest on the eligible non-Japanese yen cash balances in their brokerage accounts. For prediction markets, we introduced trading in short duration event contracts with hourly and 15-minute expirations in crypto, metals and energy. These give clients a way to gain intraday exposure to price outcomes and have increased platform engagement by our clients. Our AI connector remains one of the fastest adopted features we have ever introduced. This quarter, we added Perplexity as an official partner and expanded connectivity to support any AI tool that uses the Model Context Protocol, or MCP, including the coding and desktop assistants preferred by many of our active clients.

We also enhanced the connector with account level P&L, alert management and watch lists and expanded its trading capabilities to include 2-leg option strategies. We also launched autonomous AI trading, which allows eligible clients to connect the AI agent of their choice to their IBKR account and authorize it to trade autonomously. It works with any compatible MCP client or AI platform. Clients can create and fund a dedicated partition for autonomous AI trading within their existing account in a single session without opening a new account. The rollout is underway with autonomous AI trading now available to eligible clients in several countries with additional countries to follow. Clients can trade global stocks and options using a variety of order types and trading sessions, including day, overnight and overnight plus day.

Turning to some of our customer segments. For registered investment advisers, we now offer tax-aware long/short strategies to their customers. Given that our platform is designed for active, sophisticated clients and that we have a long-standing prime brokerage offering, tax-aware accounts that use margin, short selling and securities lending are a good fit for us. We are seeing increased interest in our offering, particularly as other brokers impose limits on these strategies. We have 3 tax-aware strategy providers onboarded now with additional ones coming by year-end and more early next year, offering RIAs a broad range of options. We have been able to utilize our extensive programming expertise to customize the offering for different clients based on their needs.

Our introducing broker pipeline once again was strong, similar to what we saw last quarter, a growing substantial pool of prospects and the continued onboarding of a number of new introducing brokers as well as the growth of existing ones. This quarter, Daol Investment & Securities, a publicly traded South Korean brokerage firm, launched a global securities trading platform powered by IBKR's technology and trading infrastructure. AI continues to be adopted internally. We are implementing and rolling out AI-assisted tools to our client service team that can retrieve data across multiple internal systems, begin analysis of a simple or multipart request and present findings to the representative, helping our team serve clients faster and more efficiently.

New account onboarding, compliance and surveillance are all incorporating AI and machine learning to help us scale as we ramp up the flow of new clients and global exchanges. Finally, despite somewhat slower overall trading activity versus the second quarter, our overnight trading volumes continue to rise, increasingly showing how important it is for international investors who want to trade during their waking hours in active liquid markets. Overnight trading rose from 3.5 million trades in the third quarter last year to over 10 million trades this year. We have much planned for the quarters ahead and look forward to sharing further updates in the coming quarters.

With that, I will turn the call over to Paul Brody. Paul?

Paul Brody

Thank you, Nancy, and thanks, everyone, for joining the call today. And we'll start with our revenue items on Page 3 of the release. We are pleased once again with our financial results this quarter as we again produced near-record adjusted net revenues and record pretax income. Commissions rose 12% versus last year's third quarter to $602 million, the third consecutive quarter our commission revenue has exceeded $600 million. Net interest income rose 19% year-on-year to over $1.1 billion, driven primarily by higher balances. Robust growth in margin borrowing reflected an investing environment that grew more risk-on as the quarter progressed.

Our segregated cash portfolio grew with new accounts. Though as our clients put more funds to work in the market during the quarter, interest on segregated cash was about even with the prior quarter. The interest we paid on our customers' cash balances, which offsets the interest revenue somewhat, also expanded with account growth. Other fees and services generated $88 million, up 33%, primarily driven by higher risk exposure fees in a more risk-on environment than last year, higher market data fees and strong options volumes, which led to higher payments from options exchange-mandated order flow programs. Other income includes gains and losses on our investments, our currency diversification strategy and principal transactions. Note that many of these noncore items are excluded in our adjusted earnings. Without these excluded items, other income was $28 million for the quarter.

Turning to expenses. Execution, clearing and distribution costs were $134 million in the quarter, up $42 million or 46% over the year-ago quarter, primarily from the reinitiation of SEC regulatory fees. These fees were 0 in last year's third quarter and $30 million this year -- this quarter. Because they're largely passed through, these fees increased both our commission revenue and execution costs and do not impact profits. Execution and clearing costs were 17% of commission revenue in the third quarter for a gross transactional profit margin of 83%. We calculate this by excluding from execution, clearing and distribution, $28 million of non-transaction-based costs, predominantly market data fees, which do not have a direct commission revenue component.

Compensation and benefits expense was $167 million for the quarter for a ratio of compensation expense to adjusted net revenues of 9%, similar to last year. Our headcount at September 30 was 3,286. G&A expenses were $78 million, up from the year-ago quarter, with continued expansion of advertising, the predominant factor. Our pretax margin was 78% for the quarter as reported and as adjusted. Income taxes of $148 million reflects the sum of the public company's $60 million and the operating company's $88 million. This quarter, the public company's effective tax rate was 16%, within its usual range.

Moving to our balance sheet on Page 5 of the release. The consistent strength of our business and our healthy balance sheet support our raising the dividend from $0.35 to $0.60 per year, returning capital to shareholders while still maintaining an ample capital base for the current business and future opportunities. Our total assets were 21% higher than the prior year at $243 billion, with growth driven by higher margin lending and segregated cash and securities balances. New account growth also helped drive our record customer credit balances. We continue to have no long-term debt. Profit growth drove our firm equity up 19% to $23.3 billion. We maintain a balance sheet geared towards supporting growth in our existing business and helping us win new business by demonstrating our strength to prospective clients and partners while also considering overall capital allocation.

Turning to the operating data. Customer activity was strongest in futures contracts, up 13% over the prior year with more muted activity in options and stocks. Options volumes were down slightly. Stock share volumes were down 24% versus last year, primarily driven by low-priced stocks where share volume is high relative to notional value. Generally, clients gravitated to larger, higher-quality names where returns far exceeded the rise in most major market indices. On Page 7, you can see that total customer DARTs were 4.3 million trades per day in the quarter, up 18% from the prior year. Commission per cleared commissionable order of $2.59 was down 4% from last year on smaller order sizes across product types.

Turning to net interest margin. Page 8 shows the NIM numbers. Total GAAP net interest income was just over $1.1 billion for the quarter, up 19% on the year-ago quarter, and our NIM table net interest income was $1.2 billion, also up 19%. We include for NIM purposes certain income that is more appropriately considered interest, but that for GAAP purposes is classified as other fees and services or as other income. Our NII reflects strong annual increases in balances, along with a mixed bag of policy rate changes across central banks worldwide. Several central banks raised rates in September, providing a minor tailwind to net interest income in the third quarter and further benefit going forward. Together, these factors drove a rise in interest income on margin loans and customer segregated cash, partially offset by higher interest expense on customer cash balances.

Year-on-year, the average U.S. Fed funds rate fell 63 basis points or by 15%. Despite this decline, our margin loan interest was up 36%, and our segregated cash interest was up 4%, both bolstered by higher balances. The average duration of our investment portfolio remained at less than 30 days. Because of the timing of the Fed rate hikes in mid-September, most of their impact will be realized in the fourth quarter. The U.S. dollar yield curve is generally positive in the short to medium term, and we have responded by pushing our duration out a bit while still maintaining a relatively tight maturity match between our assets and liabilities.

Reported securities lending net interest trailed last year's unusually strong result, though both quarters had a few very popular hard-to-borrow names. However, an all-encompassing view of securities lending paints a different picture. A portion of what we earned from securities lending is classified as interest earned on segregated cash. We estimate that if the additional interest earned and paid on cash collateral were included under securities borrowed and loaned, then total net revenue related to securities lending would have been $426 million this quarter, up 36% over the prior year quarter. Fully rate-sensitive customer balances ended the current quarter at $27.8 billion versus $25 billion in the year-ago quarter.

Now for our estimates of the impact of changes in rates, given some uncertainty over the direction of U.S. interest rates and the divergent actions of central banks around the world, we look at potential effects of rate moves in either direction. We estimate the effect of a 25 basis point increase or decrease in the benchmark Fed funds rate to be $83 million higher or lower, respectively, in annual net interest income. Note that our starting point for this estimate is September 30, with the Fed funds effective rate at 3.88% and balances as of that date. Any growth in our balance sheet and interest-earning assets would increase these impacts.

About 30% of our customer interest-sensitive balances is not in U.S. dollars. So estimates of the U.S. rate change exclude those currencies. We estimate the effect of a 25 basis point increase or decrease in all the relevant non-USD benchmark rates would increase or decrease annual net interest income, respectively, by $35 million. In conclusion, this was another financially strong quarter, reflecting our continued ability to grow our customer base and deliver on our core value proposition to customers while simultaneously scaling the business. Our business strategy continues to be effective, automating as much of the brokerage business as possible, continuously improving while expanding through new product introductions, what we offer while minimizing what we charge.

And with that, we'd like to open up the line for questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Patrick Moley with Piper Sandler.

質疑応答

Patrick Moley

So I had one on the dividend, pretty big step-up to $0.15. Could you just walk us through the Board's thinking around sizing that and whether this signals any sort of new payout framework, whether it's a target ratio or a certain level of excess capital that you think is appropriate?

Thomas Peterffy

We have generally been following the guideline of paying dividends between half and 1% of the market value, and we have fallen somewhat behind. So we are trying to catch up here. And we are going to continue to follow that guideline of paying between half of 1% and 1% of the market value.

Patrick Moley

Okay. Great. And then just as a follow-up, Paul, you called out advertising as the predominant driver of the G&A increase. And I know in September, it's only been about a month, but you joined the X Cashtags program and you're offering $100 funding credit there. So could you maybe just give us an early read on what that channel is producing? And should we read the ad spend step up and the X partnership as maybe a signal that you guys are leaning more into the digital customer acquisition strategy?

Thomas Peterffy

Yes, we are. That is a correct assumption, and that is exactly what we're trying to spend more money on, but it will take some time to get it correctly lined up.

Patrick Moley

Great. Any sort of early read you can give us on how successful it's been or what the customer accounts that are coming over...

Thomas Peterffy

It's been mixed. So while the customers we have been getting lately are higher-value customers, we're getting a smaller number of them.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of James Yaro with Goldman Sachs.

James Yaro

I wanted to touch on across your key geographies, where you believe Interactive Brokers has the greatest account market share gain opportunity? And as a corollary, where you believe IBKR is still underpenetrated?

Milan Galik

Well, I wouldn't single out the one particular geography. We believe that we have plenty of room to grow in both established and new markets. See, one of our strengths is that we operate a single global platform that is highly automated and can be easily adapted to local regulations and needs without having to build a separate business in each country. So a huge plus. Now the opportunities are not necessarily the same everywhere. In some markets, we see more interest from individual investors, in others from institutions or intermediaries. But that's the advantage of our model. We can serve different types of clients across different markets, and we can expand without significantly increasing our cost.

James Yaro

Great. I hope that you might be able to speak to the scale of your tax-aware long/short product for RIAs thus far, perhaps in terms of assets. But -- and then more broadly, just your aspirations for this product from here?

Milan Galik

Well, in terms of assets by the end of the quarter, it was approximately $300 million. We have only recently started really attracting this client segment. We have very high hopes. We work with 3 or 4 different providers, including AQR, a very well-known name in the space. And we are looking to add more. We are seeing RIAs signing up, although the process is moving more slowly than we would like.

This product, we believe we are particularly well positioned for. These strategies require margin financing, short selling, securities lending, all of which we have been doing a very good job at for many, many years. We have low financing costs, access to a large pool of lendable securities and the automation to handle these strategies efficiently at scale. And on top of that, other brokers are placing restrictions, which creates additional opportunity for us. So we're very focused on this business, and we think that it has considerable room to grow for us.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Daniel Fannon with Jefferies.

Daniel Fannon

You've seen some moderation in client activity in terms of trading. Curious at a high level, if you see anything at a customer or geographic region where you anticipate, maybe some -- a continued slowdown or anything underneath that's a little -- that would be concerning in terms of looking ahead around growth or anything else?

Milan Galik

Nothing really concerning. As you know, the trading activity is not always the same. In the previous quarter, we probably benefited from some activity that was related to the IPO. There were some IPOs that were supposed to come online this quarter. They have been delayed. The -- we expect the volatility to somewhat increase as we approach the midterm elections. As the volatility increases, our traders and clients tend to trade more. So no concerns whatsoever.

Daniel Fannon

Great. That's helpful. And then you did -- you highlighted a few product rollouts within Japan, I think, around margin, and you mentioned another one. Curious just about the uptake and how to think about the potential contribution from those changes.

Milan Galik

Our current aim is to migrate the accounts that we have accumulated on behalf of the Japanese residents in our U.S. affiliate to Japanese affiliate. So that is what we're focusing on. That is what we have been in discussions with the regulators about. But at the same time, we have put a very significant effort into offering margin in Japan in a regulatory compliant way. We have very recently finished the rollout of the so-called passkey, which is another type of second-factor authentication methodology, which is supposed to be resistant to phishing attacks. And right now, we are focusing on making the client account onboarding faster, making the KYC verifications fully digital to the extent that is possible.

So there is still some amount of work left in Japan. But then we believe that we will have everything we need to significantly compete. Now what the headwind that we will be facing is it's difficult to do business in Japan. That is what we have learned over the last couple of years that we have put some significant effort into that country. The -- Japan is culturally very different, very homogeneous. Hopefully, the younger investors will be looking more favorably towards foreign brokers like ours. So we remain optimistic.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Ben Budish with Barclays.

Benjamin Budish

Maybe a follow-up on the earlier question on the tax-aware strategy. And maybe you could talk a bit more about the current state of your RIA business. I'm curious, can you maybe remind us what types of RIAs are on the platform today? What types are you sort of attracting that may have been new to Interactive Brokers? Do you think there are opportunities to sort of consolidate a little bit of market share for RIAs they may be using multiple custodians? And just your kind of broader thoughts on this is a kind of an RIA-specific strategy or strategy with appeal to that channel versus something that has appeal to your more kind of higher net worth and active trader customers?

Milan Galik

So the tax-aware products, they're mainly carried by the financial advisers. These products are suitable for bigger accounts. Those are the types of accounts that the financial advisers carry. As I said, very high hopes for the segment for the various reasons I mentioned. Aside from focusing on the tax-aware portfolios, we are putting some work into making the onboarding of the RIAs easier and smoother, not just those that are interested in these products. So there are some programming projects currently in progress. And we are also looking into significantly enhancing our integrations with the multi-custodial platforms with the hope that the financial advisers that are already custodying with some of our competitors will be more open to bring some of their business to our platform.

Benjamin Budish

Got it. That's very helpful. Maybe just a separate follow-up on some new trading product opportunities. I think there wasn't as much discussion, at least this call on things like binary options and single-stock futures. And I think Cboe just very recently got approval for the single-stock KPIs. So just maybe curious your thoughts on some of these newer products. Any expectations for what uptake may look like, that would be helpful.

Milan Galik

So the Cboe announcement, I think it was either made yesterday or a couple of days ago, very exciting, obviously. I think the prediction markets will welcome the addition of these KPIs on single stocks. We do not yet know when the product will go live. I think Cboe may try to go live by the end of this month. We are working on the project. Our aim is to offer them to our clients a very interesting product. We're very excited about it.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Steven Chubak with Wolfe Research.

Steven Chubak

So to start, I wanted to inquire about some recent developments at a large brokerage competitor in the RIA space. They recently introduced a minimum asset threshold of $100 million for RIAs on their platform. It goes into effect sometime in the middle of next year. But many people believe that this could bring more small RIAs in motion. That certainly plays to your firm's strengths. And I was curious if you're hearing this from other RIAs in the industry. Is this driving any uptick in interest in terms of the pipelines and how you believe you're positioned to potentially consolidate share as some of your larger competitors maybe deemphasize some of the smaller firms?

Milan Galik

So as you said, this is supposed to happen sometime in the middle of next year. The competitor was Fidelity, I believe, and anybody under $100 million is supposed to find a new home. I completely agree with you. We are one of the obvious choices, if not the obvious choice. That is why -- that is part of the reason why some of the work that I mentioned earlier is so relevant and so beneficial. So we have 9 months between now and maybe a little more and when this is supposed to happen. So we're going to be working very hard to show a welcoming home to the financial advisers that need to find one.

Steven Chubak

That's great color. And for my follow-up, I wanted to just ask about the -- since you mentioned a large introducing broker relationship on the platform, whether you could speak to the pipeline, how that compares to what you were seeing in the IB pipeline, whether it was 6 or 12 months ago, just so we can check at least how the momentum there is trending.

Milan Galik

I think I would say that it looks pretty much the same as it did the last couple of quarters. A lot of integrations in the pipeline or in the progress. Some of them have gone online. The business continues to attract firms looking to expand their offering and grow their business. Here, one of our key advantages is that we provide a complete solution from the account opening and front-end trading platforms to execution, corporate actions, clearing, custody, along with, I would say, unmatched global multi-asset offering. So that's a very key advantage.

Another big advantage is that the investments that we make in our direct brokerage business also benefit our IBroker clients. As we expand into new markets or asset classes or add new capabilities, these capabilities become available almost immediately to our IBroker clients as well. So we continue to be extremely well positioned to benefit from anyone who wants to become an IBroker.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Dan Welden with Wells Fargo.

Daniel F. Welden

You mentioned the rollout of autonomous AI trading. And I wonder what percentage of your customer base do you think will be eligible? And then relatedly, do you think that AI tools are going to help people gain more comfort trading new types of instruments and cause a material step-up in trades per account over the long term?

Milan Galik

So we started a very limited rollout of the autonomous trading. We had only invited clients who had previously used our human-in-the-loop AI connector. We are planning to expand the eligibility to more clients over the next few weeks. As to the expected activity, so to give you the rough numbers, approximately 3,000 clients of ours were invited over the last several days. Obviously, this number is going to greatly increase. As far as the expected activity, we expect -- as the clients become more comfortable with AI in general, we expect them to become more comfortable with AI making trading decisions on their behalf. The good investors will become much more productive because they will be able to consume and process significantly higher amount of information. They will be able to follow more companies. They will be able to implement trading strategies more easily. So these are the reasons why we expect higher trading volumes related to AI adoption over time.

Daniel F. Welden

And then for a follow-up, you're now routing to more venues for prediction markets. How do you feel about the progression and adoption through that channel?

Milan Galik

So we have added Kalshi and CME and along with ForecastEx, we now cover 3 different platforms. We are working on integrating with Polymarket. The integrations are delivering the results that we were hoping for. We have increased the overall volume. Our clients benefit from increased range of products, deeper liquidity, better execution prices.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Brennan Hawken with BMO.

Brennan Hawken

I'd like to follow up on the question around dividend. So if you're thinking about a yield basically on market cap, does that mean that if we see a drawdown in market cap where the yield gets pushed above the range that you would consider cutting the dividend? Or is that just something you'd ride out until the market cap recovers? Like how would you think about those parameters?

Thomas Peterffy

I don't think that we will ever cut the dividend, at least not in any situation that I can imagine sitting here right now.

Brennan Hawken

Excellent. Thomas, that's very clear. And then on the more mundane side, so the yield on margin balances ticked up pretty nicely versus last quarter. You referenced a mixed bag of policy rate movements. So could you talk about how much that increase in rates came down to base rate changes versus a mix shift? And how sustainable you think that yield pickup is?

Paul Brody

Well, it's always a combination of those factors, especially what currencies is coming in and what those central banks are doing. We did see more of a contribution from the non-U.S. dollars during this quarter than in prior, but it all feeds in. The primary driver was the size of the increase in the balances themselves, up 47% on the year and another 8% on the quarter.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Brian Bedell with Deutsche Bank.

Brian Bedell

Maybe just one more on the tax-aware strategy. In terms of the economics of that, is it -- should we be thinking of that as simply as you grow margin loans and securities lending is used and obviously, the credits that support that would be the same economics that you are currently getting on those line items? Or would there be a different set of economics for these strategies for RIAs in those areas?

Milan Galik

The economics would be similar to the rates that we offer to large balances and large accounts today.

Brian Bedell

Okay. Great. Great. And then just on -- going back to prediction markets and company KPIs. And as you're connecting to more markets, and obviously, Cboe would be one of them as well, I would think. Is there -- are there any plans to change the user interface for -- to accommodate those different, say, company KPIs? Or would you just be leveraging the same user interface as you are now?

Milan Galik

That's an interesting question. And I'll go a little bit into the weeds. So the prediction market interface that we offer to our clients today is covering the products that ForecastEx offers, Kalshi offers, CME offers. These are swaps regulated by CFTC. The KPI contracts that are going to be offered by Cboe are classified as binary options. The end result is the same in terms of the payout, but they are actually structured as call and put options that you can both buy and sell. And the calls and puts are not tied together. The call price and the put price together may be larger or larger than $1, which is not possible in the CFTC regulated markets. So we are going to tie them together. We are going to present them on the user interface that our prediction market traders are used to, but they will also be available on the regular option screens, just like the currently available Cboe binary options on indexes are.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Chris Allen with KBW.

Christopher Allen

I wanted to circle back a little bit on the more subdued trading activity in the quarter. Trading activity per account dipped to the lowest level in quite some time. Just wondering if you could provide any color on different customer segments, whether it was kind of broad-based that all customer segments pulled back or there was pullback in certain customer segments more so than others?

Milan Galik

Broad-based.

Christopher Allen

Understood. And then maybe just on the announcements around Japan offering margin and the securities paid lending program, are there any other countries where there's a similar opportunity to expand your offerings there in terms of a major marketplace?

Milan Galik

There are, but we would rather not discuss them so as not to show the blueprint to some of our competitors that are probably listening to us. As we do the work and as we have products that we can deliver, we will announce those.

Operator

Thank you. Ladies and gentlemen, I'm showing no further questions in the queue. I would now like to turn the call back over to Nancy for closing remarks.

Nancy Stuebe

Thank you, everyone, for participating today. And as a reminder, this call will be available for replay on our website, and we will be posting a clean version of the transcript on the site tomorrow. Thanks again, and we will talk to you next quarter-end.

Operator

That concludes today's call. You may now disconnect. Thank you for your participation.