Voyaã®2026幎第3ååæèª¿æŽåŸEPSãéè·è²»çšã«ãããããã2.60ãã«ã«å¢å
ãã€ã»ãã¡ã€ãã³ã·ã£ã«ã¯ã人å¡åæžè²»çšãèšäžãããã®ã®ããªã¿ã€ã¢ã¡ã³ãéšéãžã®è³éæµå ¥ãåŸæ¥å¡çŠå©åçéšéã®ã¢ã³ããŒã©ã€ãã£ã³ã°æ¹åã«ããã2026幎第3ååæã®èª¿æŽåŸå¶æ¥EPSãå幎åæã®2.45ãã«ãã2.60ãã«ã«å¢çãšãªã£ããéæã§ã¯8åãã«ãè¶ ããäœå°è³æ¬åµåºãèŠèŸŒããå©ççã¯å 調ã ããä»åŸã®æ¥çžŸã¯æ ªåŒåžå Žãéå©ãä¿éºéè«æ±ã®å€åãå°æ¿åŠçãªã¹ã¯ãªã©ã®åœ±é¿ãåãããé åœéã¯2.28ãã«ãžåŒãäžããããã
ãã€ã»ãã¡ã€ãã³ã·ã£ã«ã¯ã人å¡åæžè²»çšã®èšäžã«ããããããã2026幎第3ååæã®èª¿æŽåŸ1æ ªåœããå¶æ¥å©çïŒEPSïŒãå¢çãšãªã£ããšçºè¡šããããªã¿ã€ã¢ã¡ã³ãéšéãžã®å¥œèª¿ãªè³éæµå ¥ãšåŸæ¥å¡çŠå©åçéšéã®ã¢ã³ããŒã©ã€ãã£ã³ã°æ¹åãå¶æ¥ã¢ã¡ã³ã¿ã ãåŸæŒããããå瀟ã¯ãŸãã2026幎ã«8åãã«ãè¶ ããäœå°è³æ¬ãåµåºãããšèŠèŸŒãã§ããã2025幎ã«åµåºããçŽ7å7,500äžãã«ãäžåãèŠéãã ã
調æŽåŸå¶æ¥EPSã¯ã1æ ªåœããçŽ0.20ãã«ã®éè·è²»çšã®åœ±é¿ãå«ããå幎åæã®2.45ãã«ãã2.60ãã«ã«äžæãããçšåŒåŸèª¿æŽåŸå¶æ¥å©çã¯ãå幎åæã®2å3,900äžãã«ã«å¯Ÿã2å4,000äžãã«ãšãªããæ®éæ ªäž»ã«åž°å±ããçŽå©çã¯1å7,600äžãã«ãã1å9,300äžãã«ã«å¢å ãããçŽè¿12ãæã®èª¿æŽåŸå¶æ¥EPSã¯ã8.29ãã«ãã8.32ãã«ã«äžæããã
ãã€ã¯ã幎åããã®è²»çšåæžæœçã2026幎第4ååæããã³2027幎éæã®æ¥çžŸã«ãã©ã¹ã«å¯äžãããšè¿°ã¹ãã第3ååæã®çšåŒåéè·è²»çšã¯çŽ2,500äžãã«ã§ã幎åããã®çޝèšéè·è²»çšã¯çŽ7,000äžãã«ãšãªã£ãã
ãªã¿ã€ã¢ã¡ã³ãéšéãžã®è³éæµå ¥ãææ°æåå ¥ã®äŒžã³ãæ¯æŽ
ãªã¿ã€ã¢ã¡ã³ãéšéã®èª¿æŽåŸå¶æ¥å©çã¯ãå幎åæã®2å6,100äžãã«ãã2å6,600äžãã«ã«å¢å ããããªã«ã¿ããã£ãæè³åçãå12ãææéã«æ¯ã¹3,500äžãã«æžå°ãããã®ã®ãçŽè¿12ãæã®å©çã¯1%å¢ã®9å2,000äžãã«ãšãªã£ãã
å å ¥è å£åº§æ°ã5%å¢å ããããšã§ãææ°æããŒã¹ã®å¶æ¥åçã¯åå¹Žåææ¯6%å¢ãšãªã£ããåéšéã¯ã奜調ãªè²©å£²ãšé«ããã©ã³ç¶ç¶çã«æ¯ããããåœååæäžã«138åãã«ã®çŽè³éæµå ¥ãèšé²ãããäºæ¥ãžã®ç¶ç¶çãªåæè³ãå«ããçŽè¿12ãæã®å¶æ¥å©ççã¯37.8%ã§ãã£ãã
åœååææ«æç¹ã®ç¢ºå®æ åºå¹ŽéïŒDCïŒè³ç£æ®é«ã¯ã2025å¹Žæ«æç¹ã®7,280åãã«ã«å¯Ÿãã8,050åãã«ã«éãããå å ¥è å£åº§æ°ã¯1,030äžå£åº§ã«å¢å ãã幎åããã®ç¢ºå®æ åºå¹ŽéçŽè³éæµå ¥é¡ã¯åèš127åãã«ãšãªã£ãã
ãã€ã¯ãæé·ã«åããæè³ãè¡ããªããã忥çã¢ã¡ã³ã¿ã ã®ç¶æãšçç£æ§ã®åäžãå³ãããŠã§ã«ã¹ãããžã¡ã³ãååã®æ¡å ãç¶ç¶ããèšç»ã§ãããå瀟ã¯ã2026幎äžåæã®ãªã¿ã€ã¢ã¡ã³ãéšéã®äžè¬ç®¡çè²»ãã5å3,000äžãã«ãã5å4,500äžãã«ã®äºæ³ã¬ã³ãžã®äžéè¿ãã«ãªããšèŠèŸŒãã§ããã
ã€ã³ãã¹ãã¡ã³ãã»ãããžã¡ã³ãéšéã¯æ©é¢æè³å®¶éèŠãç¶æ
ã€ã³ãã¹ãã¡ã³ãã»ãããžã¡ã³ãéšéã®èª¿æŽåŸå¶æ¥å©çïŒéæ¯é æ ªäž»åãé€ãïŒã¯ã第3ååæã«å幎åæã®6,200äžãã«ãã5,800äžãã«ã«æžå°ãããããããçŽè¿12ãæããŒã¹ã§ã¯ãå©çã¯6%å¢å ããŠ2å3,300äžãã«ãšãªã£ãã
å瀟ãå®å®ããã€é åçãšèª¬æããå©åãæ°Žæºã§ã®è³éæµå ¥ã«æ¯ããããææ°æããŒã¹ã®å¶æ¥åçã¯åå¹Žåææ¯4%å¢å ãããæ©é¢æè³å®¶éèŠã«ããåœååæã«8å7,000äžãã«ã®çŽè³éæµå ¥ãããããããã»ããã€ã³ã«ã æåååã«å¯Ÿããå人æè³å®¶éèŠãæ¹åãããçŽè¿12ãæã®å¶æ¥å©ççã¯28.6%ã§ãã£ãã
9æ30æ¥æç¹ã®éçšè³ç£æ®é«ïŒAUMïŒã¯ã2025å¹Žæ«æç¹ã®3,600åãã«ã«å¯ŸããŠ3,630åãã«ãšãªã£ãã幎åããã®çŽè³éæµå ¥é¡ã¯åèš27åãã«ã§ããªãŒã¬ããã¯æé·çã¯0.8%ã§ãã£ããéçšè³ç£æ®é«ã«ã¯ã以åå ¬è¡šããããµãã¢ããã€ã¶ãŒã®ç§»è¡ã«äŒŽã50åãã«ã®æžå°åãå«ãŸããŠããã
çµå¶é£ã®åªå äºé ã«ã¯ãä¿éºè³ç£éçšããã³æµ·å€ãªããŒã«ãã£ãã«ã«ãããã¢ã¡ã³ã¿ã ã®ç¶æãç±³åœã«ãããäžéæäŸæ¥è åãååã©ã€ã³ãããã®æ¡å ããªãã³ã«ãªã«ã¿ããã£ãããã³ãã©ã€ããŒãè³ç£æŠç¥ã®æ¡å€§ãå«ãŸããŠããã
åŸæ¥å¡çŠå©åçéšéã®ã¢ã³ããŒã©ã€ãã£ã³ã°ãæ¹å
åŸæ¥å¡çŠå©åçéšéã®èª¿æŽåŸå¶æ¥å©çã¯ãå幎åæã®4,700äžãã«ãã5,100äžãã«ã«å¢å ãããçŽè¿12ãæã®å©çã¯5,900äžãã«ãã1å2,600äžãã«ãžãš2å以äžã«æ¡å€§ããã
çŽè¿12ãæã®æå®³çç·åèšã¯åå¹Žåææ¯ã§4ãã€ã³ãæ¹åãã74%ãšãªã£ãããã€ã¯ãã®æ¹åã®äžå ãšããŠãäŸ¡æ Œèšå®ããã³ã¢ã³ããŒã©ã€ãã£ã³ã°ã®èŠçŽãã«äŒŽãã¹ããããã¹ïŒæå®³ççž®ä¿éºïŒæ¥çžŸã®åäžãæãããå£äœçåœä¿éºã®ãã¬ã³ãã¯åŒãç¶ãè¯å¥œã§ãããä»»æå å ¥ä¿éºã®æ¥çžŸã¯å瀟ã®äºæ³éããšãªã£ãã
第3ååæã®æ¥çžŸã«ã¯ãå£äœçåœä¿éºã«ããã2,800äžãã«ã®ãã©ã¹åœ±é¿ãšä»»æå å ¥ä¿éºã«ããã1,600äžãã«ã®ãã€ãã¹åœ±é¿ãããªããèš1,200äžãã«ã®å¥œé©ãªåææ¡ä»¶ã®æŽæ°ãå«ãŸããŠããããã€ã¯ãåŸæ¥å¡çŠå©åçéšéã®ç¬¬2åæäžè¬ç®¡çè²»ãã2å6,500äžãã«ãã2å7,500äžãã«ã®äºæ³ã¬ã³ãžã®äžéè¿ãã«ãªããšèŠèŸŒãã§ããã
è³æ¬åµåºãšãã©ã³ã¹ã·ãŒã
ãã€ã¯åœååæã«ãçšåŒåŸèª¿æŽåŸå¶æ¥å©çã®çŽ95%ã«çžåœãã2å2,500äžãã«ã®äœå°è³æ¬ãåµåºããã幎åããã®éè·è²»çšãçºçãããã®ã®ãå瀟ã¯éæã§8åãã«ãè¶ ããäœå°è³æ¬ã®åµåºãšãå°ãªããšã90%ã®ããªãŒã»ãã£ãã·ã¥ã»ãããŒã»ã³ã³ããŒãžã§ã³çãèŠèŸŒãã§ããã
å瀟ã¯9æ30æ¥æç¹ã§çŽ2å5,000äžãã«ã®äœå°è³æ¬ãç®æšã®375%ã«å¯Ÿã396%ã®ãªã¹ã¯ããŒã¹è³æ¬æ¯çïŒRBCæ¯çïŒãããã³ç®æšã¬ã³ãžã§ãã25%ã30%ã®ç¯å²å ãšãªã27%ã®è²¡åã¬ãã¬ããžãå ±åããã
ãã€ã¯å¹Žæç®é åœéã1.98ãã«ãã21%åŒãäžããŠ2.28ãã«ãšãããç©æ¥µçãªèªç€Ÿæ ªè²·ãã«ãã2022幎æ«ä»¥éã«çºè¡æžæ ªåŒæ°ã14%åæžããŠããã第3ååæã®å éå¹³ååžèååŸæ ªåŒæ°ã¯çŽ9,200äžæ ªãšãªã£ãã
çµå¶é£ã¯ãäºæ¥èŠæš¡ã®æ¡å€§ãåæ¥çæ©äŒãè²»çšåæžæœçãããã³å¶æ¥ã¬ãã¬ããžãå©çãšãã£ãã·ã¥åµåºæé·ã®åºç€ã«ãªããšè¿°ã¹ãããŸãã忥çã¢ã¡ã³ã¿ã ã¯2027幎ã®å¢åãæ¯ãããšèŠèŸŒãŸããŠããã
ä»åŸã®èŠéãã¯ãæ ªåŒåžå Žãéå©ãæè³åçãããã³ä¿éºéè«æ±ã®åœ±é¿ãäŸç¶ãšããŠåããããç¶æ³ã«ããããã€ã®è©Šç®ã«ãããšãS&P 500ã10%å€åããå Žåã幎æç®çšåŒåå©çã«çŽ6,500äžãã«ãã9,000äžãã«ã®åœ±é¿ãåã³ãåŸæ¥å¡çŠå©åçéšéã®æå®³çç·åèšã1ãã€ã³ãå€åããå Žåã¯2,500äžãã«ãã3,500äžãã«ã®åœ±é¿ãçããããã®ä»ã®æèšããããªã¹ã¯ã«ã¯ãå°æ¿åŠçã»çµæžçæ å¢ãã€ã³ãã¬ãé¢çšãæµåæ§ããã³ä¿¡çšãªã¹ã¯å§è¿«ããµã€ããŒã»ãã¥ãªãã£ãèŠå¶å€æŽããªãã³ã«æŠç¥çååŒã第äžè é¢ä¿ããæåŸ ãããææãéæããå瀟ã®èœåãå«ãŸããã
ãã®èšäºã®äžéšã¯AIã«ãã£ãŠçæã»ç¿»èš³ããã人éã«ããã¬ãã¥ãŒãçµãŠããŸããããã¯äžè¬çãªæ å ±æäŸã®ç®çã§ã®ã¿äœ¿çšãããŠãããæè³ã¢ããã€ã¹ãæ§æãããã®ã§ã¯ãããŸããã
ããããèšäº









ã³ã¡ã³ã (0)
$ãã¿ã³ãã¯ãªãã¯ããã·ã³ãã«ãå ¥åããŠãæ ªåŒãETFããŸãã¯ãã®ä»ã®ãã£ãã«ãŒã·ã³ãã«ããªã³ã¯ããŸãã