Analysis

TradingKey - As Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell signaled rate cuts at the 2025 Jackson Hole symposium, the Fed also unveiled a major update to its five-year monetary policy framework review, reflecting the need to adapt to new economic realities. Compared to the 2020 framework, the 2025 version

By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Florida, Aug 27 (Reuters) - There is legitimate debate about the actual independence of modern-day central banks, but almost everyone agrees that overt politicization of monetary policy – as we appear to be seeing in the United States – is dangerous. Why is that?Central

NEW DELHI, Aug 27 (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump's additional 25% tariff on Indian imports took effect on Wednesday, raising duties on some shipments to as much as 50% - among the highest imposed by Washington and on par with Brazil and China.

New home sales fall 0.6% in July; June sales upgradedNew housing inventory falls to a still-high 499,000 units Median new house prices drops 5.9% to $403,800 from year ago By Lucia Mutikani WASHINGTON, Aug 25 (Reuters) - Sales of new U.S. single-family homes fell in July following a sharp upward

TradingKey - On 28-29 August 2025, the U.S. will release July PCE and Q2 GDP data. Market expectations suggest both headline and core PCE will rise 0.3% month-over-month, consistent with June figures. For growth, in line with the preliminary estimate on 30 July, the revised Q2 annualised real GDP gr

TradingKey - Looking ahead, in the U.S., slowing economic growth combined with ongoing interest rate cuts will exert downward pressure on the dollar. In the Eurozone, weak economic performance and continued ECB rate cuts will likely depreciate the euro, indirectly supporting the U.S. Dollar Index...

TradingKey - On 22 August 2025, Japan released its inflation data for July. The figures showed that the year-on-year increase in the national Consumer Price Index (CPI) eased to 3.1%, down from 3.3% in June.

TradingKey - On 20 August 2025, the eurozone released the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data for July. In line with the general market expectations, the headline HICP remained unchanged month-on-month, while the core HICP fell into negative territory

TradingKey - On 21 August 2025, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) released its latest meeting minutes, which revealed divisions among Fed officials due to a weakening job market and the impact of tariffs on inflation.

TradingKey - The annual Jackson Hole Symposium is currently underway, with Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Friday, August 22, drawing global attention. Amid growing internal divisions within the Fed and external pressure from the Trump administration to reshape its leadership, will

By Jamie McGeever ORLANDO, Florida, Aug 20 (Reuters) - Financial markets are taking in a collective breath ahead of Jerome Powell's eighth and final keynote Jackson Hole speech as Federal Reserve Chair. If the moves following his last seven are any guide, investors buckle up for a bumpy ride....

By Jamie McGeeverORLANDO, Florida, Aug 19 (Reuters) - U.S. President Donald Trump has faced little opposition in his drive to rip up the global economic rule book, whether from his fellow Republicans, political opponents or institutional guard rails. The only exception has been "the market"....

TradingKey - Japan is set to release July inflation data on 22 August 2025. Market consensus predicts that the national Consumer Price Index (CPI) excluding fresh food will see its year-on-year increase slow from 3.3% in June to 3%. While forecasts for headline CPI and CPI excluding food and...

TradingKey - As U.S. inflation and labor market data show signs of rebalancing, Treasury traders and Wall Street banks have largely priced in a rate cut at the September FOMC meeting — the first of 2025. Yet both a more dovish-than-expected tone and a potential surprise hawkish signal from Fed Chair

TradingKey - On 20 August 2025, the Eurozone will release its July Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) data. Market consensus anticipates the headline HICP to rise by 2% year-on-year, with the core HICP increasing by 2.3% year-on-year, both unchanged from the previous month. Since the start..

TradingKey - On 14 August 2025, Eurostat published Q2 GDP figures, revealing a drop in the Eurozone's quarter-on-quarter growth from 0.6% in the first quarter to 0.1%. Consequently, annual growth eased from 1.5% to 1.4%. The slowdown primarily stems from the diminishing boost from European...

The relatively large increase in M2 mainly stems from two factors: first, the impact of a low base formed by the relatively low growth rate of M2 in the same period last year; second, the resolution of debts has promoted the improvement of corporate capital flows.

TradingKey - As the U.S. enters a new rate cycle, the quantitative tightening (QT)—initially launched to reduce the Federal Reserve’s bloated balance sheet following the COVID-19 pandemic—is also nearing its conclusion. A key metric in gauging when to end QT is the scale of the Fed’s ON RRP...

By Jamie McGeeverORLANDO, Florida, Aug 14 (Reuters) - The U.S. economy seems to be chugging along fairly smoothly, if a little too slowly for some observers' liking. Under the bonnet, however, the picture is more worrisome, and the risk of engine malfunction is rising. Technology's role in t...

NEW YORK, Aug 14 (Reuters) - U.S. producer prices increased more than expected in July amid a surge in the costs of services and goods, suggesting a broader pickup in inflation in the months ahead.The producer price index for final demand jumped 0.9% last month after being unchanged in June, the Lab