Analysis

TradingKey - Kevin Hassett, White House National Economic Council Director, is poised to succeed Jerome Powell as the next Federal Reserve Chair. This development signals a potentially more dovish monetary policy. Beyond Wall Street's focus on this outlook, the Fed's independence is also under

Why would Hassett be the best choice for US stocks and the US dollar if he were to become the Federal Reserve Chairman?

TradingKey - If Kevin Hassett — the front-runner with a nomination probability exceeding 70% — is successfully appointed..., U.S. stocks are expected to continue hitting record highs, supported by a significantly accommodative monetary policy environment of interest rate cuts.

TradingKey - San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly has voiced support for a rate cut at next month's Federal Reserve meeting, arguing that a sudden job market deterioration poses a greater and harder-to-manage risk than an inflation surge.

TradingKey - Currently, the market widely anticipates that the core PCE year-on-year growth rate for September will stand at 2.9%, and we expect the upcoming data to be slightly below this consensus forecast.

TradingKey - The delayed September Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) and the ambiguous October NFP have already deepened divisions within the Fed amid a persistent data fog. Making the situation more acute, the December NFP report—released unexpectedly late, after the final Federal Open Market Committee

TradingKey - This paper conducts an analysis of the U.S. September nonfarm payroll data and the subsequent employment market through two scenario-based assessments, alongside a short-term and medium-to-long-term outlook for U.S. stocks.

This article analyzes the impending release of the Federal Reserve's October meeting minutes, highlighting divisions on monetary policy, recent rate cuts, and the potential impact on upcoming decisions. With 56% chance of maintaining rates, investor focus remains sharp.

TradingKey - Markets initially greeted the end of the longest U.S. government shutdown with relief—but it didn’t last.

TradingKey - The Eurozone real GDP grew by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter and 1.3% year-on-year in Q3. Under the impetus of economic recovery and the coordinated efforts of monetary and fiscal policies, we are optimistic about the performance of European equities over the next 12 months.

TradingKey - The longest US government shutdown on record is nearing its end, potentially providing the data-deprived Federal Reserve with the September nonfarm payrolls report as early as this week once federal operations resume. However, the October nonfarm data may be permanently lost. During the

TradingKey - After comprehensive consideration, our investment strategy is the "dual-drive of stocks and gold" — allocating to U.S. stocks and gold in a rotating manner at a fixed ratio.

TradingKey - Despite a broadly better-than-expected earnings season for U.S. equities, risk sentiment has shifted noticeably. On Tuesday, the market saw a sharp pullback—led by some of the very tech names that had been powering year-to-date gains.

In our view, the underlying softness in the U.S. labour market is unlikely to reverse soon, raising the odds of sustained Fed easing and leaving room for further equity upside.

TradingKey - With the Federal Reserve’s “hawkish cut,” the European Central Bank (ECB) pausing for a third time, the Bank of Canada signaling the end of easing, and other major central banks turning cautious on rate cuts, global monetary policy may be approaching a turning point. 

WASHINGTON, Oct 30 (Reuters) - If U.S. Navy Vice Admiral Richard Correll thought he was going to have an easy confirmation hearing on Thursday to become the commander of America's nuclear forces, those hopes surely vanished at 9:04 p.m. the night before he was to testify.

TradingKey - At its October 2025 FOMC meeting, the Federal Reserve delivered the widely expected 25-basis-point rate cut, but the decision came with two unexpected hawkish signals: a rare two-way split in dissenting votes — the first in six years — and an unusually direct hawkish message from Chair

TradingKey - Overbought technical conditions triggered profit-taking, driving the sharp declines in U.S. stocks on 10 October and gold on 21 and 27 October.

TradingKey - At the Federal Reserve meeting ending Wednesday, October 29, policymakers are widely expected to follow through on the rate-cutting path outlined in the September Summary of Economic Projections — delivering a 25-basis-point rate cut, the second of 2025. Simultaneously, with bank

The successful appointment of Sanae Takaichi as Japan’s first female prime minister has reignited the “Takaichi trade,” fueling a rally in Japanese equities and further weakening the yen. However, the outlook for Japanese government bonds (JGBs) has become more uncertain.