Ascent Industries (ACNT) 2026年第三季法說會：營收成長 37.8%，EBITDA 利潤率達 13%

重點摘要

• 第三季淨銷售額年增 37.8% 至 2,710 萬美元，若不計收購 Midwest Graphic Sales 的影響，有機成長率達 26.3%。
• 調整後 EBITDA 從去年同期的 140 萬美元增至 350 萬美元，調整後 EBITDA 利潤率亦從去年同期的 7.0% 擴張至 13.0%。
• 毛利達到 710 萬美元。毛利率季增 460 個基點至 26.2%，但主要受原料成本上升影響，仍低於去年同期水準。
• 截至季末，進行中的銷售專案案量約為 1.35 億美元，較去年同期增加近 60%。公司已將 12 項商機轉化為約 280 萬美元的年化營收。
• Ascent 在第三季創造約 220 萬美元的營業現金流，截至 9 月底現金餘額為 2,870 萬美元，且無任何循環信貸借款。
• 管理層預期 2026 年第四季營收將高於 2025 年第四季，但受產品組合與季節性因素影響，預計獲利將較第三季下滑且利潤率承壓。

關鍵財務數據

業務與營運表現

Ascent 表示其成長基礎廣泛，有機擴張以及 Midwest Graphic Sales 均有所貢獻。第三季期間，公司在八家客戶中贏得 12 項商機，代表約 280 萬美元的年化營收。其中半數斬獲來自新客戶，每項商機的平均年化價值超過 20 萬美元。

平均銷售週期為 7.5 個月，反映出開發、測試及驗證技術複雜之客戶解決方案所需的時間。單季轉化率約為 13%，而進行中的專案案量維持在接近歷史高點的約 1.35 億美元。

管理層表示，以 2026 年第一季為基準，公司仍有望在年底以年化運轉率計算達成 300 萬至 500 萬美元的年化毛利改善目標。若不計 Midwest，第二季與第三季的平均毛利約為 580 萬美元，相比之下第一季為 280 萬美元。

營運舉措包括定價與組合管理、策略採購、製程研發、工程技術、物流最佳化以及生產力提升。在田納西州的一處廠區，某條產品線的生產週期從 4.5 天縮短至 4 小時；維吉尼亞州的一處製程良率則提升了 14.7%。

Midwest 取得了兩份新合約，預計在達到完全運轉率時貢獻超過 50 萬美元的年化營收。收購完成後，Ascent 的銷售專案案量中有超過 5,000 萬美元與 Midwest 相關。

管理層財測指引

管理層預估 2026 年第四季營收將高於 2025 年第四季。然而，管理層提醒，受季節性產品組合、常態性專案更替以及年底客戶去庫存影響，獲利與利潤率將較第三季下滑。公司預期第四季的降幅將小於去年同期。

Ascent 認為，當年度營收達到約 1.2 億至 1.3 億美元時，SG&A 費用占營收比例最終可能降至約 15%。管理層並未提供具體時間表，並表示將繼續針對銷售、技術服務及產品開發人員進行選擇性投資。

季末之後，Ascent 已全額收回 455 萬美元的 Bristol Metals 託管保留款。管理層表示，在進行額外的自由裁量資本配置之前，這將使現金部位推升至 3,000 萬美元出頭至中段區間，總流動性則提升至 5,000 萬美元出頭至中段區間。

風險與關注領域

• 毛利率仍低於去年同期，主要因為原料成本上升。
• 農用產品和傳統噴射燃料添加劑主要集中在第二季與第三季，而第四季則受到合約製造業務正常去庫存的影響。
• 客戶時程表、生產時機、產品組合與資產利用率，皆可能導致營收與獲利在不同季度間出現波動。
• 營運資金仍呈現現金淨流出，原因在於應收帳款隨營收成長而增加，且部分新合約要求給予客戶更優惠的付款條件。
• 專案案量的轉化率可能因專案組合，以及技術複雜產品所需較長的測試與認證流程而有所差異。

分析師問答重點

Midwest 在第三季貢獻的調整後 EBITDA 約為負 20 萬美元。管理層將此主要歸因於總部費用分攤及託管相關成本，並補充說明若排除這些項目，該被收購業務大致處於損益兩平。

Midwest 已與至少三家客戶進行實地測試。其中一個專案已進入商業化階段，另外兩個專案仍處於銷售與認證流程中。

管理層表示，這筆 1.35 億美元的案量代表針對客戶明確需求而設定的個別客戶產品商機，而非尚未確定買家的內部開發產品。該專案案量包含 100 多個規模不一的專案。

資本配置的優先順序維持不變，依序為：流動性、營運資金、內部投資、策略性併購以及機會性股票回購。管理層表示，將在維持資產負債表彈性的同時，考慮符合目標成長市場的收購案。

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管理層陳述

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to the Ascent Industries Co.'s Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference is being recorded. I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Kenny Herring, Vice President of Finance. Please go ahead.

Kenneth Wayne Herring Jr.

Thanks, Therese, and good afternoon, everyone. Before we continue, I would like to remind all participants that the discussion today may contain certain forward-looking statements pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the federal securities laws. These statements are based on information currently available to us and are subject to various risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ materially. Ascent advises all of those listening to this call to review the latest 10-Q and 10-K posted on its website for a summary of these risks and uncertainties.

Ascent does not undertake the responsibility to update any forward-looking statements. Further, the discussion today may include non-GAAP measures. In accordance with Regulation G, the company has reconciled these amounts back to the closest GAAP-based measurement. These reconciliations can be found in the earnings press release issued earlier today and posted on the Investors section of the company's website at www.ascentco.com. Please note that this call is also available for replay via webcast link that is also posted on the Investors section of the company's website. With that, I'd like to turn the call over to Bryan Kitchen, Ascent's CEO, to discuss third quarter results.

Bryan Kitchen

Great. Thanks, Kenny, and good afternoon, everyone. We are encouraged by the progress we saw in the third quarter, not because of any single performance metric, but because the improvement was broad-based. Revenue and adjusted EBITDA improved sequentially year-over-year and on a trailing 12-month basis. For the past 2 years, we focused on strengthening our foundation, optimizing our portfolio, improving efficiency and margins, scaling through commercial execution in our core technologies and allocating capital to the highest return opportunities. Our strategy has not changed. What is changing is that we are seeing these capabilities produce measurable results. Q3 shows both the progress we have made and the work still ahead.

Ryan will discuss the financial results in greater detail, but the headlines are straightforward. In the third quarter, net sales increased 37.8% year-over-year to $27.1 million. Organic sales, excluding the Midwest Graphic Sales acquisition, grew 26.3%. Adjusted EBITDA rose $2.1 million to $3.5 million. Sequentially, revenue increased 5.7%. Gross profit increased approximately 28.3% to $7.1 million and adjusted EBITDA increased approximately $2.1 million to $3.5 million. Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded from 5. 7% to 13.0%. We are improving the business and its ability to generate earnings. Through September, net sales increased 28.5% to $72.2 million. Notably, $11.9 million or 21.2% of the growth was delivered organically, excluding the impact of the Midwest acquisition. Adjusted EBITDA improved by $3.43 million to $4 million.

On a trailing 12-month basis, continuing operations, including Midwest Graphic Sales, generated $91 million of revenue, an increase of $16.7 million or 22.4% year-over-year. Adjusted EBITDA was $2.86 million compared with $0.02 million in the prior comparable trailing 12-month period. These results should be viewed in the context of our business' built-in seasonality. Portions of our legacy custom manufacturing portfolio experienced normal program turnover and seasonal patterns, particularly in the fourth and the first quarters. We're working to grow out that seasonality over time, but it remains a near-term characteristic of the business. Customer schedules, product mix and production timing can shift results between the quarters, making the trailing 12-month view helpful in assessing our broader trajectory.

Even with quarter-to-quarter variability from seasonality and program timing, the broader results show that we are building a better business, not simply a bigger one. We've delivered material year-on-year growth in a muted market with significant contributions coming from new products and processes. Supporting that level of growth takes coordinated work across commercial, technical, quality and operations from qualifying raw materials and establishing processes to preparing our systems and people to service our customers reliably. Our priority is to scale efficiently while executing flawlessly. Our Q3 business wins provide another measure of progress. During the quarter, we converted 12 opportunities across 8 customers into approximately $2.8 million of annualized revenue.

Nearly half of the revenue came from our focused growth markets, 25% from coatings and 25% from oil and gas. Approximately 84% of that revenue came from sales and half of the wins came from new customers. Our average win size is also increasing and is now north of $200,000 of annualized revenue. Our 7.5-month average sales cycle reflects the technical challenges customers bring us and the time it's required to develop and validate solutions in the lab, in the plants and in the field. For the quarter, our conversion rate was approximately 13% within the specialty chemical industry benchmark of 10% to 15%. Our active selling project pipeline ended the quarter at approximately $135 million, near record levels and nearly 60% higher than 1 year ago.

A strong pipeline creates potential. Disciplined conversion into profitable, repeatable earnings creates shareholder value. We are managing SG&A with discipline while preferentially investing in market-facing talent across sales, technical service and product development to accelerate growth in our focused markets. At the same time, we're aligning operational resources around the highest value opportunities to improve gross profit. Earlier this year, we set a goal of $3 million to $5 million of annualized gross profit improvement at run rate by year-end, measured against our first quarter 2026 baseline. We remain on track, supported by actions already realized and initiatives in play. Excluding Midwest, gross profit averaged approximately $5.8 million in the second and the third quarters as compared with $2.8 million in the first quarter.

The improvement reflects disciplined pricing and mix management, strategic sourcing, process R&D, engineering and network and logistics optimization. We are seeing these efforts translate into operating gains. In Tennessee, process engineers reduced cycle time on a product line from 4.5 days to 4 hours, a 96.3% reduction. In Virginia, they improved yield by 14.7% on a specific process. These are examples of a broader pipeline spanning operations, logistics, quality, process R&D and commercial initiatives. Our focus is to sustain these gains and build on them to strengthen gross profit and earnings conversion. We are beginning to apply our commercial capabilities and operating discipline beyond our legacy platform.

In the third quarter, Midwest secured 2 new pieces of business expected to deliver more than $500,000 of annualized revenue at full run rate. We are also seeing early benefits of Ascent's marketing capabilities. SEO is driving a surge in web inquiries and trade show preparation has generated dozens of promising prospects. Customers are committed to advancing several selling projects into lab and production scale trials and the manufacturing transition into Ascent's network remains on schedule. By combining Midwest's application expertise and customer relationships with Ascent's marketing capabilities and broader manufacturing network, we are now pursuing opportunities that neither business could access on its own.

Before I turn it over to Ryan, I want to leave you with one final thought. Our strategy hasn't changed. We remain focused on improving the quality of our business through stronger commercial capabilities, greater operational discipline and disciplined capital allocation. The progress this quarter sequentially, year-to-date and across our trailing 12-month performance shows that the capabilities we have built are translating into measurable results. Our next priority is to convert more of our growth into stronger margins, more consistent cash generation and higher returns on invested capital. We're not waiting on the market to improve our business. We are improving it through disciplined execution, continuous improvement and thoughtful capital allocation. That is how we create lasting value for our shareholders. None of this would be possible without the dedication of our employees, the trust of our customers and the confidence of our shareholders. To each of you, thank you for your continued support. And with that, I'll turn it over to Ryan to review our financial results and capital allocation in greater detail.

Ryan Kavalauskas

Thanks, Bryan. The third quarter gives us reasons to be encouraged while also keeping our focus on the work still in front of us. Revenue and earnings improved meaningfully and importantly, our cash profile improved as well. Our objective now is to make that progress more consistent and durable by converting more of the growth already in the business into margin, cash flow and returns. Third quarter net sales were $27.1 million, up 37.8% from the prior year. As Bryan noted, that growth was broad-based with strong organic growth in sales, excluding the Midwest Graphic Sales acquisition, alongside positive contribution from Midwest. Adjusted EBITDA increased to $3.5 million or 13.0% of sales compared with $1.4 million or 7.0% a year ago.

We also continue to demonstrate SG&A leverage. SG&A declined to $5.3 million or 19.6% of revenue from 31.7% in the prior year quarter. Over time, we continue to believe a run rate SG&A level around 15% of revenue is achievable as we grow the revenue base, standardize processes and create additional operating leverage. Turning to gross profit. We generated $7.1 million in the quarter, an increase of 21.9% year-over-year, while gross margin improved approximately 460 basis points sequentially to 26.2%. We are pleased with that progression, but we are not viewing one quarter as a finish line. Gross margin remained below the prior year period, driven primarily by higher material costs even as gross profit dollars increased and conversion costs improved as a percentage of revenue. Pricing and mix have been important contributors to the improvement we have seen.

The opportunity from here is to complement that commercial execution with greater benefits from sourcing, process consistency, automation, productivity and better utilization of our cost structure. As revenue and volumes continue to grow, we have a larger base over which to improve absorption and standardize execution, which helps reduce the impact that customer schedules, production timing and asset utilization can have on an individual quarter. At the same time, as Bryan noted, normal program turnover and seasonality remain part of the business as we move through year-end and into the first quarter. For that reason, we continue to believe the trailing 12-month view is the clearest way to evaluate the direction of the business through normal quarterly variability.

On that basis, continuing operations, including Midwest, generated approximately $91.0 million of revenue, up more than 22% year-over-year, while gross profit and Adjusted EBITDA improved and SG&A continued to leverage against the larger revenue base. On a trailing 12-month basis, SG&A declined to approximately 25% of revenue from approximately 31% in the prior year period, an improvement of more than 600 basis points. Adjusted EBITDA increased to approximately $2.9 million from essentially breakeven in the prior year period. We believe that progression better reflects the underlying direction of the business and the opportunity to convert a larger revenue base into stronger margins, cash generation and returns over time.

Turning to cash. We ended September with $28.7 million of cash and no borrowings under our revolving credit facility, with $21.1 million of remaining revolver availability. More importantly, operating cash flow turned positive during the quarter. Cash used in operating activities improved from approximately $7.7 million through June to $5.5 million through September, meaning the business generated approximately $2.2 million of operating cash during Q3. That improvement is particularly important when viewed alongside the capital we deliberately deployed earlier in the year. Through September, we used approximately $13.6 million for the Midwest acquisition, $6.9 million for share repurchases and $2.3 million for capital expenditures. Working capital remained a use of cash, led by receivables as revenue grew, but the operating cash inflection in Q3 is encouraging and the cash use rate has moderated materially from the first half.

Subsequent to quarter end, we received the full $4.55 million Bristol Metals escrow holdback, which is additive to the September 30 cash balance. We remain focused on further improving cash conversion, particularly through inventory discipline, vendor terms and collections. At our current scale, we continue to estimate that each 5-day improvement in the cash conversion cycle could release approximately $1 million to $1.5 million of cash, depending on the mix of improvements. Consistent with the outlook we provided last quarter, the escrow release brings cash into the low to mid-$30 million range before any additional discretionary capital deployment. Together with more than $20 million of available borrowing capacity at September 30, that supports total liquidity in the low to mid-$50 million range and preserves meaningful flexibility as we move through year-end.

That brings me to capital allocation. Our priorities remain the same and importantly, remain in order: first, liquidity; second, working capital; third, internal investments; fourth, strategic M&A; and fifth, opportunistic share repurchases. The order does not take M&A or buybacks off the table. It means we intend to protect the balance sheet, improve the cash efficiency of the business and fund the investments in people, process, automation, maintenance and high-return growth that can strengthen the earnings power of the platform before deploying incremental capital elsewhere. We believe that discipline is particularly important at this stage of Ascent's development. Third quarter demonstrated the earnings potential of the revenue base we have built and provided an encouraging improvement in cash generation. The work now is to make those results more repeatable, improve the quality of the conversion and continue building the flexibility to invest when attractive opportunities arise. With that, I'll turn it back to the operator for questions. Thank you.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from David [indiscernible].

分析師問答

Unknown Analyst

Yes, pleased to see the legacy business having a good quarter and growing. I had a question about the Midwest acquisition. Why was there a negative $200,000 adjusted EBITDA contribution in the quarter from that?

Ryan Kavalauskas

David, that's largely due to the corporate allocation that we burden the business with now. So if you remove that along with the escrow that's also carrying on that business, it's roughly breakeven. So that's what's driving.

Unknown Analyst

Okay. And then the Midwest field trial, has that -- how is that -- has that advanced toward commercial production?

Bryan Kitchen

Yes. We've actually had several field trials, David, with 1, 2, 3, at least 3 different customers, and we're progressing each of those projects through the sales cycle. So we're not -- we're commercial on one of them, we are not commercial on the other 2. So the pipeline continues to grow. I mean we're incredibly pleased with how the pipeline is shaping up. There are opportunities over the past 2 weeks that we've gotten our eyes on that we didn't have access to 2 months ago. So very pleased with how Midwest acquisition is beginning to shape up.

Unknown Analyst

Got it. Now you did -- I think if I looked at Q2, the pipeline was, what, $140 million and then the Q3 pipeline, I think, was like $135 million, conversion rate 26% in Q2, 13% in Q3. So will you just expect a variable conversion rate going forward? You never really know how the customer is going to accept the formula or whatever that you've been working on?

Bryan Kitchen

Yes, it's largely a function of the mix of the projects that we have in the pipeline at that point in time. I mean what we're seeing now, if you remember, what, 2 years ago, the selling project cycle time was much lower than what it is today, and it's expanded or extended largely because of the technical challenges that we're being presented with and the time that it takes to innovate a solution, develop that, put it through our lab, get it qualified in our customers' lab and get it qualified in the field and then take it to full commercial scale. So it's really just a function of mix, not discourage...

Unknown Analyst

Yes. Okay. And then you talked about the legacy business having seasonality. So not that I'm asking for guidance, but do you think that you can consistently deliver and generate quarterly profitability going forward?

Bryan Kitchen

Yes, I think from a revenue standpoint, David, I mean, I would look for this Q4 to be better than Q4 of 2025, certainly. From a profitability standpoint, look, I mean, we're still going to have that funky mix that we have built into the existing book of business that we're still trying to grow through. So margins will be compressed without question in the fourth quarter. Ryan, I don't know if you want to add any additional color to that.

Ryan Kavalauskas

No. I mean I think, yes, you're going to see until we're able to kind of build the business a little bit differently. You're always going to have that ramp in Q2 that peaks in Q3 with some of the product mix that flow through. And like Bryan said, I think we'll see a little compression in earnings in Q4 compared to Q3. But I don't believe what we're seeing today is that it will be less pronounced than it was last year. So we do believe ultimately that the profile we're building that we've shown in Q3 can be built upon. It's -- right now, we're just -- we're still seeing that Q3 bump and then we'll always have that kind of Q4 until we can kind of build the business...

Unknown Analyst

Got it. And is that a function of just needing to grow the revenue $30 million a quarter, $40 million -- $35 million a quarter before you could optimize the margins and kind of get rid of the seasonality?

Bryan Kitchen

That's part of it, certainly. And I think one thing that we're encouraged by, I think I referenced earlier in the script that we still have work to do. And I think one of the things that I'm encouraged about is just how much improvement runway we have operationally to unlock additional earnings through optimization, things like cycle time, things like waste elimination, other structural costs. Like we did a lot in the early days of the transformation, but there's still much more to be done. I mean, look at it through the lens of one of the examples I gave earlier, we had a product at a 4.5-day cycle time, we were able to take that down to 4 hours. Now that might be an extreme example. But nonetheless, there are a number of opportunities that we have across the business to optimize.

Unknown Analyst

Good. Yes. And then SG&A, so I think you said 19% this Q3. The goal is 15%. Is that something that can be achieved kind of the 15% level like in 2027 as you grow your top line and optimize, you think you can get there sometime in 2027?

Bryan Kitchen

Yes. I think what we flashed initially was when we're at that kind of $120 million to $130 million mark, we should be in that 15% range. We're a little bit ahead of the curve right now. Like I mentioned earlier, we're -- any time that we can find incredible sales force, we're going to go out and we're going to bring them on because that return on that investment is enormous. But I think we're growing into our SG&A. It's exactly what we said we were going to do a couple of years ago. We're not quite where we want to be yet, and we're going to have to grow into...

Unknown Analyst

Yes. And then just capital allocation. So it looks like share buybacks are essentially -- if you could be opportunistic, obviously, but protect the balance sheet, which is wise, would you be opportunistic on an acquisition if the right one came along? I mean, is there anything you could talk about on that subject?

Bryan Kitchen

Yes. Go ahead, Ryan. Sorry.

Ryan Kavalauskas

Yes, I mean you could hear. We're both aligned there. So yes, absolutely. I think that's kind of what we're focusing on right now. We -- it's working capital, and we -- to win some business, we had to give some terms and that required a little bit more working capital than we've historically needed for the business. So we're comfortable knowing that that's where it's at and they are right now. So it's really all about protecting the balance sheet and leaving us with optionality. So if the right acquisition comes along, we're always looking and it supports the growth of the business in our targeted markets. We've left ourselves the ability to go do that. So we'll continue to look at that. If the share price provides an opportunity, too, we'll be opportunistic there as well. So I think really, it's about focusing on that optionality and looking for internal investments to drive the margin growth through process automation and things like that. It's really -- those are kind of the priorities we're looking at.

Operator

Our next question is from Eric McCarthy with InLight Capital.

Eric McCarthy

And just to echo David, great results. David did address a number of the questions that I had, but maybe just to dig in on them a little bit more. When you quote the sales pipeline number of, I believe it's $112 million, $120 million, is that to be taken as something that's an annual number that could become recurring in the future?

Bryan Kitchen

Yes, it's an absolute value of the overall selling project pipeline that we've built up. So the way in which we look at our pipeline, Eric, nothing makes its way into the selling project pipeline unless it's driven by an expressed customer need. What does that mean? Well we don't have projects in there just as fillers. We're not saying, well, we're going to go develop a product and hope that we sell it to 50 different customers. These are very discrete product customer combinations where a customer has said, I have a need for X, Y and Z can -- you help us. So there's ebbs and flows every month in and out of the pipeline.

But I'd say right now, I think one of the things that I'm most encouraged about is the quality of the pipeline continues to improve month-on-month, quarter-on-quarter. We're starting to see the pipeline really begin to be structured around our focused growth markets versus buckshot. I'm also encouraged to see that our average new win is increasing in size and scale. We're north of $200,000 right now for each new win. So for us, the selling project pipeline, I mean, it's 100-plus projects deep. There's going to be some singles in there. There's going to be some doubles in there, some triples and then few and far between, there'll be that home run. So again, encouraged by how that thing is beginning to be developed and structured by the commercial team.

Eric McCarthy

Great. And then with respect to Midwest and the integration of the acquisition, is there a particular portion of that pipeline that you could allocate to Midwest that shows the benefits of this acquisition and the potential that it still has in front of it?

Bryan Kitchen

Yes. I mean, I guess there's a couple of things. So if you look at the overall pipeline itself, over $50 million of the selling project pipeline is structured around Midwest. So those are relatively new entrants that we put into the pipeline post acquisition. Pipeline size is certainly important, but that conversion is also incredibly important. So we've already -- within this past quarter, we've already won 2 new pieces of business that will generate over $0.5 million a year of annualized top line growth. So these are good piece -- good quality pieces of business. So yes, very exciting.

Eric McCarthy

Great. And then just the last question for -- to unpack some of the seasonality in the business, what's the primary driver of that? Is it the industries in which you serve the end customers? Is it some sort of inventory restock, destock phenomenon? What drives the seasonality across the quarters?

Bryan Kitchen

I mean the primary driver for -- the outsized Q2, Q3 versus Q1, Q4 is built-in seasonality around there's some ag business that we have, a couple of 2, 3 pieces of ag business that squarely sit in Q2, Q3. There's also some legacy jet fuel additive business that's inside of Q2 and Q3 as well. That, coupled with normal Q4 destocking, especially when you're looking at it through the lens of contract manufacturing. Those are really the 2 primary drivers for that built-in seasonality. So our challenge is simple, right? We've got to grow out of it. It's not just grow with size and scale, but it's to find the right pieces of good quality business to put into the mix.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] We are showing no further questions at this time. So I would now like to turn it back to Bryan Kitchen for closing remarks.

Bryan Kitchen

All right. Great. Thank you, Therese. We'd like to thank everyone for listening to today's call, and we look forward to speaking with you all again when we report our fourth quarter 2026 results.

Operator

This does conclude today's conference. You may now disconnect.