Titan America (TTAM) 2026年第三季法說會：EBITDA下滑，利潤率展望下修

重點摘要

• 2026 年第三季營收年增 5.7% 至 4.62 億美元，其中包括來自 Keystone Cement 的約 3,000 萬美元。
• 調整後 EBITDA 下滑 18.6% 至 9,500 萬美元，調整後 EBITDA 利潤率從 26.7% 收縮至 20.6%，反映出能源與材料成本上升、佛羅里達州需求疲軟、惡劣天氣以及羅阿諾克 (Roanoke) 廠停工的影響。
• 淨利從 5,700 萬美元降至 4,000 萬美元，每股盈餘 (EPS) 從 0.31 美元降至 0.22 美元。
• 佛羅里達州調整後 EBITDA 從 8,100 萬美元降至 6,100 萬美元，主因房市疲軟、勞動力短缺以及 9 月創紀錄的降雨拖累了建築活動。
• 管理階層更新 2026 全年展望，預期營收將呈現中個位數成長，調整後 EBITDA 利潤率則年減約 250 至 300 個基點。
• 「基石計畫」(Project Cornerstone) 於 2026 年帶來約 2,000 萬美元效益。Titan America 的目標是在 2029 年前實現超過 5,000 萬美元的年度運轉率 (run-rate) 效益，同時實現至少 3,000 萬美元與 Keystone 相關的年度運轉率綜效。

關鍵財務數據

業務與營運表現

計入 Keystone 後，水泥銷量（包含外售與內部自用）年增 9.6%。若不計此項收購，受羅阿諾克廠停工、進口中斷及佛羅里達州需求走弱影響，水泥銷量年減 6.2%。

在基礎設施活動具備韌性的支撐下，骨材銷量成長 1.2%。飛灰銷量成長 2%，混凝土磚銷量成長 0.7%。預拌混凝土銷量下滑 5.2%，主要因為佛羅里達州市況疲軟。

價格表現好壞參半。預拌混凝土價格上漲 5.4%，飛灰價格上漲 6.6%。水泥價格下跌 1.7%，混凝土磚價格下跌 3%，骨材價格則大致持平。

大西洋中部地區

大西洋中部地區外部營收成長 22.5% 至 2.13 億美元，主要受惠於 Keystone 以及預拌混凝土的強勁表現。調整後 EBITDA 維持在 3,700 萬美元，利潤率則從 21.1% 降至 17.2%。

羅阿諾克廠非計畫性停工導致水泥減產約 6 萬噸。進口受阻使得 Titan America 無法透過互補供應來源完全彌補損失的產能。管理階層表示，該停工問題已於當季獲得解決。

佛羅里達州

佛羅里達州外部營收從 2.63 億美元降至 2.49 億美元。調整後 EBITDA 從 8,100 萬美元降至 6,100 萬美元，利潤率從 30.8% 收縮至 24.4%。

水泥與預拌混凝土銷量下滑、水泥與混凝土磚價格走軟、能源與材料成本上升、勞動力短缺以及 9 月創紀錄的降雨皆影響了營運表現。基礎設施活動則持續提供支撐。

Keystone 與成本措施

Keystone 貢獻約 3,000 萬美元的季度營收。管理階層表示，可靠度、產品品質與初步商業綜效正在改善，但利潤率仍低於正常化水準。Titan America 計劃在預定的停工檢修期間進行投資，以支持進一步的營運改善。

「基石計畫」聚焦於營運效率、能源與材料消耗、配送、鐵路運輸生產力以及採購。管理階層表示，支持該計畫所需的大部分配送網絡投資均已完成，剩餘的資本需求極少。

管理階層財測

Titan America 目前預期計入 Keystone 後，2026 全年營收將較 2025 年呈現中個位數成長。管理階層亦預估調整後 EBITDA 利潤率將年減約 250 至 300 個基點。

該展望反映了近期較為疲軟的市場環境、非計畫性檢修停工，以及 Keystone 實現綜效前貢獻較低的狀況。

展望 2027 年，管理階層預期基礎設施與特定非住宅市場將持續提供支撐，但警示除非房貸利率與政策利率調降，否則房市壓力恐將持續。公司預期價格將開始追上成本通膨。

自 2027 年 1 月 1 日起，Titan America 計劃在所有地區全面調漲價格：水泥每噸調漲 12 美元、預拌混凝土每立方碼調漲 15 美元、優質骨材每公噸調漲 3 美元，混凝土磚每個調漲 0.10 美元。

風險與關注事項

• 管理階層表示，隨著房貸利率從 6 月初的約 6.4% 攀升至 7.4%，佛羅里達州的住宅活動轉趨疲軟。
• 工地勞動力短缺減緩了佛羅里達州住宅與非住宅建築活動的進度。
• 9 月創紀錄的降雨打亂了佛羅里達州東南部關鍵市場的運作。
• 當季能源通膨加劇。管理階層指出柴油價格接近每加侖 6.29 至 6.30 美元，比去年同期水準高出 2 美元以上，且佛羅里達州的天然氣成本亦有所上升。
• 管理階層表示，大西洋中部地區的物流中斷情況較第二季有所緩解，但在涉及伊朗的衝突持續之際，仍是一項潛在的制約因素。
• 羅阿諾克廠與 Keystone 預定於 2027 年第一季進行的停工將產生相關費用，而賓州與俄亥俄州的冬季氣候也可能對 Keystone 造成影響。

分析師問答重點

管理階層將佛羅里達州業績惡化歸因於住房需求疲弱、勞動力短缺以及 9 月嚴重的降雨，而能源與原材料成本上揚則對 EBITDA 增添壓力。

羅阿諾克廠停工問題已於第三季完全解決。預計第四季不會有重大計畫性停工，而羅阿諾克廠與 Keystone 則排定於 2027 年第一季進行常規年度停工。

坦帕灣港 (Port Tampa Bay) 的新泊位提供了優先使用權，有望降低滯期費。該泊位亦擴大了碼頭處理多種產品的能力，包括爐石與其他散裝建材。

管理階層表示，Keystone 進入整合階段時的全年 EBITDA 利潤率約為 10%。Titan America 預期透過可靠度投資、產品品質提升以及商業綜效，其利潤率將在未來數年內逐步改善。

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管理層陳述

Operator

Good afternoon, and thank you for joining us. My name is Chloe, and I will be your conference call operator. Welcome to Titan America's Third Quarter 2026 Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]

The conference is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to Michael Bennett, Vice President of Investor Relations.

Michael Bennett

Thank you, and good afternoon to everyone on the line. Thank you for joining us for Titan America's Third Quarter 2026 Conference Call. I am joined by Bill Zarkalis, President and Chief Executive Officer; and Larry Wilt, Chief Financial Officer.

Before we begin, I would like to remind you that earlier this afternoon, we released Titan America's third quarter 2026 results, which are available on our website at ir.titanamerica.com, along with today's accompanying slide presentation. This call is being recorded, and a replay will be made available on our Investor Relations website.

During the call, we will present both IFRS and non-IFRS financial measures. The most directly comparable IFRS measures and reconciliations for non-IFRS measures are available in today's press release and accompanying slides. Certain statements on today's call may be deemed to be forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements made today during today's call speak only as of today and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions that could cause actual results to differ materially.

Additional information concerning these factors is included in today's earnings release our annual report on Form 20-F and our subsequent submissions to the SEC on Form 6-K. Except as required by applicable law, we undertake no obligation to update these statements.

I would now like to turn the call over to Bill. Please go ahead.

Vassilios Zarkalis

Thank you, Michael. Good afternoon, and thank you for joining Titan America's Third Quarter 2026 Financial Results Call.

I'll begin on Slide 4 by highlighting a few key messages. Earlier today, we reported our third quarter 2026 financial results. Revenue increased 5.7% year-over-year, driven by the contribution from Keystone Cement, while adjusted EBITDA declined 18.6%.

During the quarter, margins were impacted by a combination of heightened market headwinds increased energy costs, unfavorable weather and an unplanned maintenance outage at our Roanoke cement plant. While infrastructure demand remained resilient across our markets, deteriorating residential activity continued to weigh on our performance, particularly in Florida.

Our Mid-Atlantic business delivered solid revenue growth despite an unplanned maintenance outage at our Roanoke cement plant, which reduced like-for-like cement volumes and increased operating costs. The impact of the outage was further compounded by lingering effects from recent import supply disruptions, depriving us of the ability to tap on our own usual complementary supply sources.

In Florida, market conditions remain challenging with continued weakening residential demand and softer pricing in cement and concrete block affecting results. These headwinds were further compounded by job site labor shortages that disrupted activity and slowed the pace of nonresidential construction activity across the region.

Finally, demand was affected by record rainfall in key Southeast Florida markets during the month of September. During the quarter, we continue to make progress integrating our recent Keystone Cement acquisition. As mentioned during our second quarter call, this acquisition represents an important milestone in the execution of our long-term growth strategy. We are targeting at least $30 million of annual run rate Keystone-specific synergies by 2029.

Those synergies are focused on top line growth and enhanced operating margins for the acquired assets. While the benefits are expected to build over the next three years, our teams are already delivering early wins in terms of asset reliability, product quality and market synergies. At the end of our call today, we will provide an update on our full year guidance, taking into account recent near-term market dynamics.

Let's turn now to Slide 5. Cost discipline and a drive to set the competitive standard has always been a core part of Titan America's culture. However, in response to current market headwinds and ongoing inflationary pressures, we have intensified our focus on cost reduction, productivity enhancement and continuous improvement.

Earlier this year, we launched Project Cornerstone, a company-wide initiative designed to strengthen the foundation for long-term growth and operational excellence. The project has already delivered approximately $20 million in benefits during 2026, and we are targeting more than $50 million in annual run rate benefits by 2029.

Project Cornerstone is focused on several key value creation areas, including delivering best-in-class operational efficiency with high throughputs while optimizing materials and energy consumption with one of the key levers being our proprietary digital solutions. Also driving low cost to serve advantage as we capitalize on our investments in increasing the capacity and capabilities of our distribution network. At the same time, we are boosting our rail and track fleet efficiency.

Another key lever for us is our campaign to buy less and buy better as we have embedded procurement in our strategic business planning cycle capitalizing on AI-enabled analytical tools and forecasting models in order to increase focus on managing down consumption while negotiating lower unit prices and better terms with suppliers.

Let's turn to Slide 6 to discuss a project that highlights how we are strengthening the foundation for future growth. Titan America and Port Tampa Bay recently marked the opening of a newly constructed second berth serving our marine terminal at the port, a milestone that reflects more than two decades of successful partnership. The new berth expands port capacity, strengthen supply chain resilience and incorporates modern sustainable infrastructure features.

Constructed directly adjacent to Titan America's multiproduct mega marine terminal, the new berth significantly enhances the company's capabilities, reliability and operational efficiency. The strategic investment provides our terminal with increased capacity to serve our West Florida markets and customers with a broad range of upstream construction materials, including cement, cement tissues, aggregates and other bulk materials with greater flexibility, dependability and speed.

As Port Tampa Bay has expanded its capability and cargo volumes, Titan America has invested in terminal operations and infrastructure to support its long-term growth. including the installation of a state-of-the-art ready-mix operation on the side in 2023, the inauguration of a 70,000 metric ton bulk material storage expansion in 2024 and an upgrade of its dry bulk unloading infrastructure, seamlessly integrating existing operations with this new berth.

I will now turn the presentation over to Larry, who will provide a breakdown of our third quarter financial results and business segment performance. Larry?

Lawrence Wilt

Thank you, Bill, and good afternoon, everyone. Slide 7 provides an overview of our third quarter 2026 financial highlights. Those results reflect the heightened market headwinds, higher material and energy costs an unplanned maintenance outage at our Roanoke cement plant and unfavorable September weather in Florida, which together weighed on our margins in the quarter.

Despite the challenges, solid revenue growth in the Mid-Atlantic, including the contribution from Keystone, offset top line softness in Florida. As indicated on the left-hand side of the slide, we delivered revenue of $462 million in the third quarter, an increase of 5.7% compared to $437 million in the third quarter of 2025, of which Keystone contributed approximately $30 million. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $95 million compared to $117 million in the prior year quarter, a decrease of 18.6%.

Our third quarter adjusted EBITDA margin was 20.6% compared to 26.7% in the third quarter of 2025, reflecting higher material and energy costs, job site labor constraints in Florida, the unplanned maintenance outage at our Roanoke Cement plant and a mix impact from the addition of Keystone.

On a year-to-date basis, our adjusted EBITDA margin was 20.9% compared to 23.5% in the first nine months of 2025. Net income for the quarter was $40 million compared to $57 million in the prior year quarter, with earnings per share of $0.22 compared to $0.31 in the third quarter of 2025. The decrease primarily reflects the lower adjusted EBITDA as previously described. As shown on the right-hand side of the slide, operating cash flow for the first nine months was $220 million compared to $215 million in the prior year period as lower net cash tax payments more than offset the effect of lower profitability.

For the same period, free cash flow was $67 million compared to $94 million in the prior year, reflecting increased investments in selective growth projects. I will discuss our CapEx profile later in the call.

And finally, after accounting for the impacts of the Keystone acquisition, our leverage ratio at the end of Q3 was 1.43x trailing 12 months adjusted EBITDA, up from 0.64x at December 31, 2025. Our leverage remains low, providing continued financial flexibility.

Turning to Slide 8. Our sales volume performance in Q3 was mixed with growth in aggregates, Fly Ash, and concrete block contrasted with lower ready-mix concrete volumes and lower cement volumes on a like-for-like basis. Including Keystone, cement volumes, including external sales and internal consumption, increased 9.6% year-over-year. On a like-for-like basis, excluding Keystone, our cement volumes were 6.2% lower, reflecting the unplanned maintenance outage at our Roanoke cement plant, import disruptions and softer demand in Florida.

Total aggregates volumes, which were supported by resilient infrastructure demand, increased 1.2% in the quarter when compared to Q3 2025. Despite healthy growth in the Mid-Atlantic, enterprise-wide ready-mix concrete volumes were 5.2% lower year-over-year, reflecting more challenging conditions in Florida.

Compared to the prior year, total Fly Ash volumes in the quarter increased 2% and concrete block volumes increased 0.7% despite a softer residential construction demand environment.

Turning now to Slide 9. External pricing was mixed, primarily reflecting both geographic and product mix. We continue to manage pricing responsibly in response to market conditions, driving value from our differentiated product portfolio. On a year-over-year basis, cement pricing decreased 1.7%, remaining broadly resilient despite softer demand conditions in Florida and the geographic mix impacts in the Mid-Atlantic segment.

Average aggregates pricing was broadly stable year-over-year and reflected product and geography mix. Ready-mix concrete pricing increased 5.4% when compared to Q3 2025, supported by pricing actions and favorable mix of high-performance product offerings in nonresidential and infrastructure end-use applications. Fly Ash pricing increased 6.6% year-over-year, benefiting from strong demand in a supply-constrained market. Concrete block pricing decreased 3% year-over-year, reflecting softer residential demand.

Turning to Slides 10 and 11, I'll walk you through our third quarter business segment performance. Let's start with Mid-Atlantic on Slide 10. Results in the quarter were impacted by an unplanned maintenance outage at our Roanoke Cement plant, which reduced cement production by approximately 60,000 tons. When combined with import disruptions in the Mid-Atlantic segment, we estimate a similar reduction in cement sales volumes in Q3 in a market territory of higher demand year-over-year.

The acquired Keystone assets contributed approximately $30 million in year-over-year revenue growth with improvements in reliability, quality and initial commercial synergies positively contributing to the segment's adjusted EBITDA performance. Despite the unplanned maintenance outage, Mid-Atlantic external revenue was $213 million in the third quarter, an increase of 22.5% compared to $174 million in the third quarter of 2025. As mentioned, the increase was driven primarily by the addition of Keystone, but also reflects our strong position in ready-mix concrete, where higher volumes and prices more than offset the impact of on revenues from the lower volumes in our legacy cement operations.

Adjusted EBITDA for the segment was $37 million, in line with the prior year quarter, including the impact of the unplanned maintenance outage at our Roanoke Cement plant, which reduced cement production and sales volumes and increased unit costs. Disciplined cost management supported performance in the quarter partially offsetting higher energy and raw material costs.

Segment adjusted EBITDA margin was 17.2% compared to 21.1% in the prior year quarter. And on a year-to-date basis, Mid-Atlantic external revenue was $572 million, an increase of 18.8% compared to $481 million in the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA was $102 million compared to $88 million, an increase of 15.7% when compared to the prior year period. Segment adjusted EBITDA margin was 17.8% compared to 18.3% in the first nine months of 2025.

Turning to Florida on Slide 11. Our quarterly results reflect ongoing housing affordability pressures and job site labor constraints, which negatively affected the pace of construction activity and the start of new projects in the quarter. September's record rainfall in some of our key Southeast Florida markets also weighed on activity. Solid infrastructure activity continued to underpin demand.

Florida's external revenue was $249 million in the third quarter compared to $263 million in the third quarter of 2025 as lower ready-mix concrete and cement volumes and lower cement and concrete block pricing were partially offset by favorable ready-mix concrete pricing and aggregate volumes. Adjusted EBITDA for the Florida segment was $61 million compared to $81 million in the prior year quarter, with adjusted EBITDA margin of 24.4% in the third quarter compared to 30.8% in the third quarter of 2025.

The change in adjusted EBITDA relative to revenue reflected higher material and energy costs, lower volumes and the residual effects from Q2 import disruptions, partially offset by cost control measures.

On a year-to-date basis, Florida's external revenue was $759 million compared to $777 million in the prior year period, and segment adjusted EBITDA was $184 million compared to $214 million in the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDA margin was 24.2% compared to 27.5% in the first nine months of 2025.

Now turning to our balance sheet and cash flows on Slide 12. As of September 30, 2026, we had $48 million of cash and cash equivalents and total debt of $580 million for a total net debt position of approximately $531 million. That represents a leverage ratio of 1.43x trailing 12 months adjusted EBITDA compared to 0.66x at January 1, 2026.

The Keystone acquisition completed in Q2 was funded with a combination of cash on hand and a new term loan maturing in February 2031. Our balance sheet, combined with continued cash generation and disciplined capital allocation, provides strategic flexibility to support growth and invest in operating efficiencies while maintaining our commitment to returning capital to shareholders and navigating evolving market conditions.

Slide 13 shows our capital expenditure profile for the first nine months of 2026. Net capital expenditures were approximately $153 million for the first nine months of 2026 and remain aligned with our long-term growth strategy. We prioritized attractive growth investments, including our Brunner Island Fly Ash expansion, strategic cement and aggregates investments and ready-mix concrete investments, including capital-light portable plants.

We also invested in alternative fuels to enhance fuel flexibility, efficiency and sustainability and in resource development at Keystone to support our integration priorities. Our investments reflect both our confidence in the secular long-term growth trends in our markets and our commitment to manage and maintain an attractive leverage profile. With respect to shareholder returns, at a meeting on October 29, our Board of Directors approved an issue premium distribution of $0.04 per share payable on January 11, 2027, to shareholders of record as of December 18, 2026.

With that, I'll turn the presentation back to Bill for his closing remarks.

Vassilios Zarkalis

Thank you, Larry. Clearly, our team had to work hard to face the challenges of the third quarter of heightened headwinds, deteriorating housing market, increased energy and fuel costs, customer projects affected by job site labor shortages and unfavorable weather conditions. To add to all these challenges, the unplanned maintenance outage at the Roanoke Cement plant, which reduced cement volumes and increased operating costs.

Let's turn now to our 2026 outlook on Slide 14. Based on current visibility of the remainder of the year and in response to recent near-term market dynamics, including interest and mortgage rate levels, inflationary pressures and job site labor challenges, we have updated our full year 2026 outlook. Including the contribution from Keystone, we now expect mid-single-digit revenue growth compared to 2025.

We also anticipate adjusted EBITDA margin will decline by approximately 250 to 300 basis points year-over-year. Our updated outlook reflects evolving market conditions, the impact of the unplanned maintenance outages and the low pre-synergy contribution from the acquired Keystone assets.

Near-term market challenges do not change the big picture of a dynamic construction materials market with attractive long-term growth expectations, fueled by the secular trends of sustained infrastructure investment, digital transformation and the artificial intelligence economy, modernization of power production and distribution grids, manufacturing reshoring in our country, resilient urbanization and most importantly, the ballooning shortfall in housing required to meet the needs of the U.S. population.

We believe Titan America is in a strong position to capitalize on these trends as we continue to strategically invest in growing together with our customers. Supported by our strong market positions, strategic investments and ongoing productivity initiatives, we are confident in our ability to generate attractive medium- and long-term value for our shareholders.

Before we open the call for questions, I'd like to congratulate our Roanoke Cement team as they celebrate their 75th anniversary. We sincerely thank our customers, investors and community partners for the trust and support that have been the foundation of our success over the past 7.5 decades. This achievement stands as a testament to the generations of dedicated employees who have built Roanoke Cement into what it is today.

With that, I'll turn the call over to the operator for the Q&A session. Operator?

Operator

[Operator Instructions]

We'll take our first question from Anthony Pettinari with Citigroup.

分析師問答

Anthony Pettinari

Larry, talk a little bit more about what you're seeing in Florida. And you cited labor shortage, weather and maybe weaker underlying demand in resi. And I'm just wondering, if you take maybe the $20 million year-over-year hit, how you would kind of roughly bucket that between those three categories? And just we heard a lot of homebuilders talk about pulling back pretty hard on activity from September to October. I'm just wondering if you could talk a little bit more about what you're seeing in Florida right now.

Vassilios Zarkalis

Tony, I'm going to start and then perhaps Larry can take it over a bit with more details. But clearly, in the third quarter of this year, we saw deteriorating market conditions in Florida. exacerbated by the increase of the mortgage rates. You know better, it started from 6.4% roughly in early June, and it started climbing up to 7.4%, which had a big impact, obviously, on housing activity.

Then on top of that, labor shortages, which were prevalent in other states across the year became intense in Florida. Perhaps you read the statistics, we had perhaps an impact of monthly arrest of about 25,000 people, which became during the third quarter, 50,000. And this had an impact on labor shortages in our customers' job sites, in the project job sites in Florida, which had an effect overall in the market conditions.

And the third major impact in the third quarter was a record rainfall in September, especially in the Southeast Florida. If I remember correctly, it was the record rate for over 20 years or more. I mean it was a very bad weather. So these were the three conditions that led to accelerated deteriorating conditions, especially in the housing market. Now having said that, infrastructure remains solid and certain parts of the nonresidential private activity were strong and underpinned overall the demand.

Larry, do you want to add anything else?

Lawrence Wilt

Yes. I mean, Tony, I think when we talk about the revenue impact, obviously, it's a strong revenue impact, but it also has a bottom line impact as well the revenue flows through to the bottom line. Obviously, you don't incur some of the variable costs. But we did see energy costs higher. We saw some raw material costs come in higher and then the volume effect closes the gap between that overall performance on the revenue and EBITDA that you see at the bottom. Those are the main contributors for the quarter.

Anthony Pettinari

Okay. That's very helpful. And then just shifting to Mid-Atlantic, the unplanned outage in Roanoke and the import disruptions that you mentioned, do those -- is there any carryover impact into 4Q? And just sort of operationally, are those behind you? Or any color there?

Vassilios Zarkalis

The unplanned shutdown was resolved within the quarter. As Larry mentioned, it had an impact of about 60,000 metric tons in cement production losses. Unfortunately, the lingering -- usually in the past, if we had an unplanned shutdown like that, we will flex up our imports in cement, and we will cover the needs of our customers through imports. But the lingering disruptions in supply chain didn't allow us this time to do that. Now the issues in relation to the unplanned outage, they are totally resolved.

Now lingering effects in relation to logistics disruptions remain. They're not as impactful or severe as they were in the second quarter. But so long as the war with Iran continues and there are disruptions there, one can expect that there may be some impacts in the coming months. But overall, not as severe as we witnessed in the second quarter of the year.

Operator

We'll take our next question from Philip Ng with Jefferies. And we'll circle back. We'll move to Chad Dillard with Bernstein.

Charles Albert Dillard

So given that we only have a couple of months remaining in the year, I was hoping to get your early thoughts on just how to think about '27. Maybe we can begin with some of the puts and takes, how to think about some of the cost savings kind of flowing through, how you're thinking about price cost? And then there have been like a few onetime items during this year and just trying to think through all of that as we're working to build our bridge to the new year.

Vassilios Zarkalis

We think in '27, the positive impact is going to be the continued infrastructure investment, clearly. We see the continued resolution into December 11, as you know. And there seems to be consensus, especially in relation to Build US 250 bipartisan consensus. And we think that the recent elections also send the message about the need for improved affordability in housing.

And also, we expect a continuation in positive trends in nonresidential. For example, the AI economy, overall, the investment in data centers, the investment in manufacturing reshoring in health care, and of course, resilient urbanization, all these trends, the positive trends are going to continue.

In relation to the elements related to the near-term deterioration we saw in the housing market, we think that these elements are not going to change in the near term unless we see a reduction in the mortgage rates and overall the pressures from the policy rates. So this may take a bit longer into the second half of 2027. Now in relation to cost optimization, we continue to focus on productivity improvements.

We mentioned that already we have generated $20 million in savings. And in the next three years, starting from 2027, we expect additional savings. And you see the graph that we have shared with an exit rate of these additional savings over the next three years of about $50 million or more. We also see that in 2027, we expect a catch-up in relation to prices versus cost. The rate of cost increases from raw materials with embedded cost of energy and fuels, but also overall, the direct impact from fuel and energy prices was going faster than the ability to increase our prices.

We expect to see some catch-up in 2027. We have already announced price increases as of January 1. We have announced $12 per ton of cement. $15 per cubic yard for our ready-mix concrete, $3 per metric ton for our prime aggregates and $0.10 price increase per block. So we're kicking this as of January 1 across all our areas, including the Northeast, which obviously, in the past, it used to be later in the year towards the spring time. So we start as of January 1 because it's absolutely necessary to counter the hikes in the cost that we have. So there is a positive, let's say, momentum in relation to that.

Charles Albert Dillard

Great. That's super helpful color. And just second question is just on Keystone. I was hoping you could decompose the growth during the quarter versus legacy Titan and just how to think about margins on a go-forward basis, that trajectory?

Lawrence Wilt

Chad, it's Larry. On Keystone, we give you a sense of where revenues were for the three months and for the nine months ended or five months ended, I guess, in that case for Keystone in the results, you saw that in the release. We don't break out the individual units, whether it's Essex or Roanoke. We don't break that as a policy. But we do try to give you a little sense of where Keystone is heading on the revenue side. We shared before that the opening margins for Keystone a year ago were 10% year-over- last year for the full year at Keystone EBITDA margin. And we shared, I think, in the last call that we have a couple of year plan to raise that to more normal levels.

Obviously, we're just five months into that plan through September 30. And we shared, I think, on the last call as well, we need to get through really a planned regular order outage for Keystone to put in place some of the regular CapEx investments and interventions that you can only do an extended outage, which you can't do in the middle of the summer, obviously. So that's the plan. still struggles a little bit on margins, but coming around on reliability, coming around the quality of the product and some early synergies in some of the market areas that we see there.

Operator

We'll move next to Brian Brophy with Stifel.

Brian Brophy

Just wondering if you could provide some additional color on the new Tampa Bay berth and what it enables for you guys? Is it expected to drive incremental volume? Or is this more of a cost-saving benefit?

Lawrence Wilt

Brian, it's Larry again. A little bit of both. Certainly, on the berth itself, they're right adjacent to our facilities, the dome we put in place, the silos that already existed. It's a priority berthing right for us. So things perhaps that were incurred in the past and things like demurrages when we had to leave the berth is not a priority berthing arrangement for us. These can certainly be reduced on the cost side. When you look at the products itself, we've imported recently some slag into the facility. So this gives us some additional capabilities of the multiproduct terminal that we described. So now we have additional flexibility to introduce other products there as well at the Tampa facility.

Brian Brophy

Got it. That's helpful. And then just on Project Cornerstone, is there any color you can provide on the level of spend that's required to realize some of the benefits you mentioned?

Lawrence Wilt

Nothing terribly significant there. Some of it would come from some CapEx interventions on some of the logistics activities, for example, but they're not heavy and some of them are already in flight.

Vassilios Zarkalis

The investments in the distribution network expansion that gives us additional capabilities, capacities and reduced costs have been executed already. So it's very minimal remaining investments.

Operator

We will take our next question from Philip Ng with Jefferies.

Philip Ng

Can you hear me now? Sorry about all the technical issue. Larry, I guess margins were certainly impacted in 3Q by inflation. Can you size up the inflation impact in 3Q versus rate in the first half of the year? I ask because I thought historically, you guys have done a pretty good job in terms of passing freight through surcharges and whatnot. And then you buy for on the energy side. So you just give us a little more perspective in terms of you offsetting that going forward.

Vassilios Zarkalis

Sorry, you were breaking up a little bit on my side, Phil, but I think I got the nature of the question. So on the energy side, certainly, as things progress during the third quarter, energy costs had gone up year-over-year compared to even the second quarter impact. So we saw an acceleration of that.

Diesel fuel, as you know, is $6.29, $6.30, something like that today was $2 plus less than that a year ago in the third quarter. So a big impact coming through. We also saw some increases more in Florida than in Mid-Atlantic, certainly in natural gas coming into the facility down here. So that has some impact.

Now we mitigated some of that with increased levels of alternative fuels. So that didn't all come through, but it was something that we certainly faced during the year. There's some embedded energy costs, as you know, on some of the raw materials that come into the facility, things that are transported in aggregates, for example, cement, for example, coming into the ready-mix facilities has an impact there as well.

We saw some increases in some aggregate costs as well to the extent that we buy that from third parties more in the Mid-Atlantic than in Florida, obviously, in that case. So those are the main drivers, I think, that you would see had the intervention on some of the costs, certainly as we were describing for some of the repairs at Roanoke. And as we look forward to the next quarter as well, just to get ahead of the question perhaps a little bit. We do have the annual outages that come in Roanoke and now Keystone in the first quarter of next year as well. So just something to be aware of there as well.

Philip Ng

Okay. Is there any way to size up those outages in Q4 and Q1 on a year-over-year basis won't be surprised?

Lawrence Wilt

Q4, we don't have any planned outages of any significant intervention, right? You may have a week or so, but nothing significant that would come. It's comparable year-over-year in that case. So you wouldn't see something in that case. Next year, the outage in Keystone would be generally on the expense side. It would look generally like the Roanoke outages typically. So it's a typical pattern there. What's different perhaps about Keystone is the intensity of winter in Pennsylvania, Ohio is a bit different than it is in Virginia and the Carolinas. So it can have an impact as well come Q1.

Philip Ng

Okay. Helpful. And just a follow-up question. The price increases you guys announced that you just mentioned, Bill, are those all for January 1? Or it's going to be more of an April 1?

Vassilios Zarkalis

January 1... All of them.

Operator

And this does conclude the question-and-answer portion of today's call. I would now like to hand the call back to Michael Bennett for any additional or closing remarks.

Michael Bennett

Thank you for your time today. We appreciate your interest in Titan America and look forward to updating you on our progress on our fourth quarter earnings call. Have a great rest of your day. Thanks.

Operator

Thank you. This brings us to the end of today's meeting. We appreciate your time and participation. You may now disconnect.