tradingkey.logo
搜尋

1stDibs (DIBS) 2026 年第三季法說會:GMV 成長、獲利能力與執行長交接

2026年11月5日 22:03
facebooktwitterlinkedin

1stDibs公布2026年第三季GMV為9,260萬美元,年增4%,營收成長5%至2,310萬美元,訂單量實現年增。調整後EBITDA達100萬美元,利潤率擴張至4.5%。管理層預期第四季GMV將介於8,900萬至9,500萬美元。此外,Bradford Shellhammer將於2027年1月1日接任執行長。

該摘要由AI生成

重點摘要

  • 1stDibs (NASDAQ: DIBS) 公布 2026 年第三季 GMV 為 9,260 萬美元,年增 4%;營收則成長 5% 至 2,310 萬美元。
  • 訂單量成長 1%,為 2024 年第四季以來首次實現年增。轉換率連續第 12 季改善,活躍買家人數則較上季成長 1%。
  • 調整後 EBITDA 達到 100 萬美元,利潤率較去年同期擴張 560 個基點至 4.5%。這是該公司連續第四季實現調整後 EBITDA 獲利。
  • 管理層將市集的成長歸功於搜尋探索、信任機制、物流配送與客戶服務等方面的產品改良。贊助刊登廣告營收成長超過 35%。
  • 針對 2026 年第四季,管理層預期 GMV 將介於 8,900 萬至 9,500 萬美元之間,營收介於 2,220 萬至 2,340 萬美元,調整後 EBITDA 利潤率則為 1% 至 4%。
  • Bradford Shellhammer 將於 2027 年 1 月 1 日起接替 David Rosenblatt 出任執行長。Rosenblatt 將轉任執行董事長,並持續參與策略制定與資本配置。

關鍵財務數據

指標2026 年第三季結果變動 / 背景說明
GMV9,260 萬美元年增 4%
營收2,310 萬美元成長 5%
毛利1,690 萬美元成長 3%
毛利率73.2%下滑約 110 個基點;若排除去年同期的保險理賠收入,則大致持平
調整後 EBITDA100 萬美元相較於 2025 年第三季虧損 24 萬美元
調整後 EBITDA 利潤率4.5%增加約 560 個基點
總營運費用1,920 萬美元減少 9%
自由現金流290 萬美元本季轉正
現金、約當現金與短期投資6,900 萬美元較上季增加 130 萬美元
訂單量—成長 1%
平均訂單金額約 2,700 美元成長 2%
訂單金額中位數約 1,400 美元成長 7%
活躍買家人數超過 58,200 人年減 8%;季增 1%
刊登商品數超過 190 萬件成長 3%

董事會已核准追加 500 萬美元的庫藏股買回計畫。自 2023 年以來,1stDibs 已透過買回庫藏股向股東回饋超過 5,500 萬美元。

業務與營運表現

流量降幅較第二季收斂,且造訪次數較上季增加。約 75% 的流量來自自然造訪管道。一般消費者與同業買家的 GMV 成長幅度相當,其中復古與古董家具引領各垂直品類的成長。

搜尋探索仍是核心投資領域。第三季首頁推薦點閱率成長超過 40%,且來自首頁的收藏次數較去年同期成長超過 3.5 倍。重新設計的瀏覽篩選條件使每次造訪的商品點擊次數增加超過 5%。該公司亦正在測試語意混合搜尋以及價格查詢理解功能。

管理層表示,AI 輔助開發產生的新程式碼佔比超過 85%,高於上一季的 70% 以上。該公司亦已將其商品型錄資料提交給 ChatGPT。

建立信任的相關措施包括在商品頁面與買賣雙方通訊中,恢復顯示賣家名稱、所在地與品牌故事。在 App 測試中,賣家品牌形象使結帳完成率提升了 8%。

在物流方面,1stDibs 推出了「出貨賺獎勵 (Ship-to-Earn)」的初步階段。目前由賣家自行出貨的訂單中,約有 35% 缺乏物流追蹤或妥投狀態。管理層計劃於 2027 年初將提供物流追蹤或遞送證明列為請款支付的必要條件。

AI 客服聊天機器人獨立處理了近 25% 的線上諮詢,高於 7 月時的約 15%。賣家商品刊登流程的改善則使上架時間縮短了將近 20%。

贊助刊登廣告營收成長超過 35%。該公司還在 10 月調降了精選指標性珠寶與鐘錶品牌以及所有手提包的抽成佣金。這些品類約佔 GMV 的 7%。管理層預期,調降佣金、針對特定品類的行銷推廣以及產品功能優化,長期將有助於吸引更多貨源供應。

管理層財務指引

2026 年第四季指引預估區間隱含年增率變動
GMV8,900 萬至 9,500 萬美元年減 1% 至年增 5%
營收2,220 萬至 2,340 萬美元年減 3% 至年增 2%
調整後 EBITDA 利潤率1% 至 4%維持正值

管理層預期第四季訂單成長速度將較第三季加快,但假設平均訂單金額會小幅下滑。本季迄今的平均訂單金額 (AOV) 出現低個位數百分比的降幅。

GMV 與營收成長率之間的預期差距,主要反映了品類加速策略下較低的佣金費率。第四季調整後 EBITDA 指引亦考量到毛利率接近 72% 至 74% 目標區間的下緣,以及行銷支出的季節性增加。

針對 2026 全年,管理層仍預期 GMV 與營收將實現成長、營收抽成率約為 24% 至 25%、毛利率介於 72% 至 74%,且調整後 EBITDA 維持正值。這項預測框架乃基於宏觀經濟情勢維持穩定,特別是房市與消費者非必需品支出的假設。

風險與關注焦點

根據追蹤的信用卡數據,管理層估計第三季高端家具支出出現中個位數百分比的下滑。房市情勢與非必需品支出仍是全年度展望背後的重要假設前提。

在 2025 年底刻意縮減銷售與行銷支出後,活躍買家人數較去年同期減少 8%。獨立賣家數下滑 3% 至約 5,600 家,不過商品刊登總數有所增加。

平均訂單金額可能劇烈波動,因為少數高單價交易即可能對該指標產生實質影響。此外,在帶來貨源供應與 GMV 效益顯現之前,特定品類佣金調降預計也將對短期的抽成率與營收成長造成壓力。

分析師問答重點

管理層表示,正在研究針對其他品類調整佣金的機會,包括居家與藝術品等領域。然而,管理層預期短期內該策略不會迅速擴展至覆蓋雙位數百分比的 GMV。未來的決策將取決於首批品類的實施成效數據。

展望 2027 年,Shellhammer 預期 1stDibs 將持續專注於搜尋探索、信任機制、物流配送與客戶服務。個人化推薦功能可望從首頁拓展至電子郵件、推播通知、商品頁面與搜尋結果。

管理層將訂單成長視為衡量市集體質最關鍵的指標。管理層預期第四季訂單成長將進一步改善,同時強調平均訂單金額 (AOV) 較難直接掌控,且容易受到少數大額交易所影響。

「品味達人 (Tastemakers)」計畫亦正從自然社群媒體拓展至付費行銷以及平台上的精選策展購物體驗。管理層表示,該內容正帶來更高的行銷效率,並觸及以往以刊登為導向的行銷方式所無法涵蓋的受眾。

電話會議完整逐字稿


完整財報電話會議逐字稿

管理層陳述

Operator

Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us, and welcome to the 1stDibs Quarter 3 Earnings Call 2026. [Operator Instructions] I will now hand the conference over to Kevin LaBuz, Head of Investor Relationships and Corporate Development. Please go ahead.

Kevin LaBuz

Good morning, and welcome to 1stDibs earnings call for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. I'm Kevin LaBuz, Head of Investor Relations and Corporate Development. Joining me today are Chief Executive Officer, David Rosenblatt; Chief Financial Officer, Tom Etergino; and Chief Product Officer and Chief Marketing Officer, Bradford Shellhammer, who will become Chief Executive Officer effective January 1, 2027. In addition to our quarterly results, we have some exciting news to review regarding our leadership transition. This call will be available via webcast on our Investor Relations website at investors.1stdibs.com.

Before we begin, please keep in mind that our remarks include forward-looking statements, including, but not limited to, statements regarding guidance and future financial performance, market demand, growth prospects, business plans, strategic initiatives, business and economic trends and competitive position. Our actual results may differ materially from those expressed or implied in these forward-looking statements as a result of risks and uncertainties, including those described in our SEC filings. Any forward-looking statements that we make on this call are based on our beliefs and assumptions as of today, and we disclaim any obligation to update them, except to the extent required by law.

Additionally, during the call, we will present GAAP and non-GAAP financial measures. A reconciliation of GAAP to non-GAAP measures is included in today's earnings press release, which you can find on our Investor Relations website, along with the replay of this call. Lastly, please note that all growth comparisons are made on a year-over-year basis unless otherwise noted.

I will now turn the call over to our CEO, David Rosenblatt. David?

David Rosenblatt

Thanks, Kevin. Good morning, everyone. I would like to begin with some news. Effective January 1, 2027, Bradford Shellhammer will succeed me as CEO, and I will become Executive Chair. I have had the honor of leading 1stDibs since 2011. I'm proud of what our team has accomplished in my tenure. We changed our business model from a listings website to a transactional marketplace, built the leading technology platform in the industry from scratch, navigated the pandemic e-commerce boom and the correction that followed and took the company public. More recently, we reengineered our cost structure, reached adjusted EBITDA profitability and returned GMV to growth.

That progress continued in the third quarter. Orders grew again on a year-over-year basis for the first time since the fourth quarter of 2024. Conversion grew for the 12th consecutive quarter and active buyers grew sequentially. GMV grew 4%, our second consecutive quarter of GMV growth, against continued mid-single-digit declines for the high-end furniture market. Lastly, we delivered our fourth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA with a margin of 4.5% that exceeded the high end of our guidance. The work of the last several years built a strong foundation, and that is exactly why it is time for the next chapter.

Bradford is ready to lead and has a rare combination of attributes that make him the ideal leader of 1stDibs. Professionally, he has spent his career building and scaling online marketplaces, and he knows what makes them work. Personally, he is a collector with a deep understanding of our market and a strong connection to our sellers. Since joining us in August 2025, he has been instrumental in designing and implementing our product road map, which is now driving order growth. Over this time, Bradford's role has expanded to leading most of our day-to-day operations. And as a result, there will be no disruption to the operations of the business.

Bradford has earned my full support, along with the support of our leadership team and our Board. As Executive Chair, I will work with Bradford on strategy and capital allocation and anywhere else I can be helpful.

Thank you to everyone at 1stDibs and to our buyers, sellers and shareholders. Now let me turn it over to Bradford to review our third quarter results.

Bradford Shellhammer

Thank you, David, and good morning, everyone. I am deeply honored by the opportunity to serve as the next CEO of 1stDibs. Joining the team in August 2025 represented an exciting homecoming for me, bringing together the core chapters of my career. My trajectory in e-commerce began 17 years ago as a co-founder of a design marketplace.

Following that, I stepped into senior leadership positions at eBay and Etsy, where I honed the mechanics of building and expanding global platforms for enthusiast buyers. Leading 1stDibs allows me to combine a lifelong passion for design, luxury, furniture, vintage and collecting, with my background scaling the world's leading digital marketplaces.

Over 2 decades, I have repeatedly observed the following simple truth. Enthusiast buyers demand trust through vetted authenticity, frictionless service and personalized discovery. Concurrently, our dealer community relies on a partner to expand their reach against e-commerce giants and manufacturers. As AI reshapes e-commerce, we believe the intrinsic human desire for exceptional design only intensifies. 1stDibs remains uniquely positioned to capture this expanding global opportunity as the market evolves.

I am grateful to our Board for their confidence and to David for his leadership and mentorship over the years. Building the company through its business model transformation and IPO is no small achievement, and I have learned a great deal from him. David and I will continue to work closely together through the transition. And as Executive Chair, he will serve as a sounding board for me and our executive team.

I will now walk through our third quarter progress and the road map ahead. Our results show that the road map is doing what we designed it to do: deliver a better experience for buyers and sellers. GMV grew 4% to $92.6 million, above the midpoint of our guidance against our toughest comps of 2026. Revenue rose 5% to $23.1 million, above the high end of guidance, and adjusted EBITDA margin reached 4.5%, up 560 basis points from a year ago, also above the high end of guidance. Our results compare favorably to those of our end market.

Based on the credit card data we track, high-end furniture spending declined mid-single digits in the third quarter, while our GMV grew 4%. We believe that outperformance reflects market share gains driven by the product improvements we are making. That work starts with the problems buyers and sellers tell us matter most: finding the right item, trusting that every purchase is fair, authentic and backed by us, ensuring seamless and cost-effective shipping and delivering the service expected at our price point. While we are pleased with our progress, we are still very early in the opportunity. We have a great deal of room to improve in each of these areas, and we're excited about what we will build next.

With that context, let me walk you through the drivers of the quarter's performance. Order volume tells the clearest story. After declines of 12% in the first quarter and 4% in the second, orders grew 1% in the third, our first year-over-year growth since the fourth quarter of 2024. The drivers behind that result are encouraging. Traffic declines moderated relative to the second quarter and in absolute terms, traffic grew sequentially. Conversion grew for the 12th consecutive quarter, which is how we are turning a smaller base of traffic into more orders. In addition, average order value and median order value both increased, so buyers are spending more on each transaction as well. All 3 trends reflect the road map taking hold.

The road map is organized around 4 pillars: discovery, trust, shipping and service. Each one solves a problem for buyers and sellers that exist regardless of macro conditions. The first half of 2026 was about building the technical and operational foundation. In the second half, we are integrating those capabilities into more of the buyer and seller experience. AI is helping us move faster here. AI-assisted development now accounts for over 85% of our new code, up from over 70% last quarter, which lets our teams get improvements to buyers and sellers sooner.

Discovery is the first step in every purchase. Buyers cannot purchase what they cannot find, so improving discovery is a direct driver of growth. With over 1.9 million one-of-a-kind items, that work is harder for us than most marketplaces. Personalization is a key lever for unlocking discovery, and we are early in building it. Our long-term goal is one-to-one personalization at every buyer touch point. Historically, our recommendations relied largely on manual curation and older technology that surfaced items similar to what a buyer had already viewed. Today, we are using machine learning to build a deeper understanding of each buyer, our catalog and how the 2 connect.

Our homepage is becoming a destination for our users. During the quarter, we launched a fully redesigned, personalized homepage for logged-in users. Homepage revisits grew nearly 5% in the third quarter, and engagement is rising alongside visits. In addition, homepage recommendation click-through rate has grown steadily all year, up more than 40% in the third quarter. Our personalization models learn from those explicit buyer signals. In the third quarter, favorite rates, an important signal of intent, reached a record high. Additionally, favoriting from the homepage increased more than 3.5x compared with last year. That suggests personalized content resonates with buyers and is drawing them into more active shopping. Looking forward, we look to introduce personalization to more product and marketing experiences.

Search is where many high-intent journeys begin, and buyers who search convert at nearly 4x the rate of those who do not. Our search still relies heavily on exact keyword matching, which asks buyers to know industry terms. A buyer who admires a Scarpa Africa chair should be able to find similar pieces without knowing that designer's name or the chair's name. Throughout the quarter, we continued to build towards semantic and natural language search, which lets buyers describe what they want in their own words.

We are currently testing 2 capabilities: query understanding for price and semantic hybrid search, which combines keyword matching with AI that understands the meaning behind a query, both built on work we started earlier this year, including AI-generated catalog metadata. During the quarter, we also redesigned how buyers filter and browse. This resulted in an increase in item clicks per session over 5%, meaning buyers are engaging with more of the catalog on each visit. We are also putting our inventory where buyers explore design, having submitted our product catalog feed to ChatGPT.

Lastly, our Tastemakers ambassador program continued to scale with more designers and creators taking partner campaigns. Instagram engagement remains strong, and time viewed on our videos increased 30% sequentially following a strong second quarter. Additionally, we have begun using this content in performance marketing, increasing reach and creating efficiency gains via diversified content.

Next is trust. Last quarter, we expanded our pricing work into a broader trust initiative that covers a full range of signals buyers rely on when they decide to transact on 1stDibs. Trust means that buyers can be confident that the price is fair, the item is authentic and that 1stDibs stands behind every purchase. Our goal is to make trust a product priority and to build the systems that protect buyers and sellers as the marketplace grows. This quarter, we put that focus into practice by restoring seller branding across product pages and buyer-seller messaging. Buyers can once again see a seller's name, location and story, which helps them understand who they are buying from.

Early testing showed that seller branding increased checkout activity. For example, in our app, adding seller branding lifted checkout completion by 8%. The trust that drives the purchase has to carry through to delivery, and that is where our shipping work comes in. When a buyer purchases a $5,000 chair, they want to know exactly where it is and when it will arrive. Today, that experience is inconsistent. Our shipping strategy aims to address this by delivering better pricing, better tracking and better tools to our sellers compared to our experience today.

In the third quarter, we launched the initial phase of our Ship-to-Earn program. Today, approximately 35% of seller-fulfilled shipments lack shipping or delivery tracking statuses. This visibility gap frustrates buyers and makes it difficult for us to promise on-time delivery. Ship-to-Earn solves this. Sellers either use carriers that provide tracking or they upload proof of delivery manually. In early 2027, we plan to enforce this requirement for payout, which will reduce this friction and improve buyer confidence.

Service is the final pillar and is where we turn an order into a lasting relationship. We launched an AI-powered customer service chatbot in the second quarter, and third quarter results have been encouraging. The chatbot now handles nearly 25% of chat support inquiries independently, up from roughly 15% in July. Additionally, we have upgraded our offshore partner to a new vendor capable of handling more complex work, which allows us to redeploy our in-house support team to focus on what matters most, delivering exceptional service to our top buyers.

We are beginning to redeploy our in-house team toward high-value buyers. We recently expanded dedicated support for interior designers with post-sale service leads now working directly with our presale teams to create a seamless experience for our leading design firms. Service is a meaningful part of the value we offer these customers, and this is where our team's expertise has the greatest impact.

On the seller side, we started by removing friction from the listing process. We modernized the seller listing experience by making it easier to upload photos and videos, streamlining the upload form and adding smarter defaults, which contributed to an almost 20% reduction in upload time. We also shipped 2 of our most highly requested features. Sellers can now block lowball offers and set time away, giving them more control over their negotiation flow and availability. In addition, we launched a pilot of our first seller inventory management API, allowing select sellers to update inventory availability status directly, marking items sold, unlisting them or changing hold status without manual data entry. Together, these improvements address friction in common seller workflows, listing, managing offers and managing inventory.

Our product investments are also creating new monetization opportunities. Sponsored listings gives us a valuable way to connect our high-intent audience with sellers. In the second quarter, we migrated to a new partner that we believed would deliver better relevance and performance. In the third quarter, sponsored listings revenue grew over 35%. We are still optimizing the partnership, but the trajectory is positive. As we extend monetization to more surfaces and improve relevance, we see meaningful room to grow revenue while keeping the buyer experience strong.

In the third quarter, we formally launched a category acceleration strategy. We think about categories in this context as subsets of our broader verticals. For example, handbags are a subset of our broader fashion vertical. Historically, we have welcomed any inventory that met our high standards. We now recognize that not all inventory is the same. So we have identified a handful of areas where we have a clear right to win, access to supply and see a strong opportunity for growth. In these categories, our playbook pairs lower commissions with business development, category marketing, structured data and merchandising, supported by product experiences designed around each category. Together, these efforts aim to grow listings and ultimately, GMV.

Reevaluating commissions on a category-by-category basis is the first step. Previously, we applied one commission structure across the marketplace. However, each category carries its own competitive dynamic and seller margin structure. The economics of a branded luxury watch seller, for example, differ significantly from those of an antique furniture dealer. In the second quarter, we began testing lower commissions with a select group of iconic jewelry brands, and the test showed that lower commissions spurred incremental supply. Based on those results, in October, we reduced commissions for select iconic jewelry and watch brands and all handbags, which together represent approximately 7% of our GMV. We will complement this new commission structure with targeted marketing and product enhancements.

Over time, we see a substantial opportunity in these verticals. The global luxury secondhand market is worth tens of billions of dollars, and we believe a more competitive commission structure paired with category-specific product and marketing experiences will attract more supply, which will attract more buyers. Overall, the data on our leading indicators of GMV growth show that we are moving in the right direction. Buyer engagement, as measured by favoriting and other buyer experience metrics, is up substantially. Our growth rate of listings, especially in the acceleration categories, accelerated, and seller satisfaction improved.

Those green shoots impacted orders, which returned to growth for the first time since the fourth quarter of 2024. Our category acceleration strategy is a major opportunity. As these efforts compound, we expect that GMV growth will follow.

I'd like to turn it over to Tom, who will summarize our financial performance and Q4 guidance.

Thomas Etergino

Thanks, Bradford. Good morning, everyone. Since joining 1stDibs, I've had the privilege of working closely with David, and I want to thank him for his leadership in building 1stDibs into the company it is today and for setting us up for what comes next. And I can speak on behalf of the full executive team when I say that we are excited for this next chapter with Bradford as CEO.

With that, let me turn to our results. The third quarter was a solid quarter for 1stDibs. GMV grew 4% to $92.6 million, above the midpoint of our guidance range. Revenue grew 5% to $23.1 million, above the high end of our range. And adjusted EBITDA margin was 4.5%, also above the high end. This marks our fourth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA, reflecting our reengineered cost structure and continued cost discipline.

Let me walk you through the numbers. Orders returned to growth, the first year-over-year increase since the fourth quarter of 2024. Orders grew 1%, and all 3 dimensions of our funnel moved in the right direction. Traffic declines once again moderated, and in absolute terms, sessions grew sequentially. Approximately 75% of traffic came from organic sources, reflecting the enduring strength of the 1stDibs brand. Average order value reached approximately $2,700, up 2%. Median order value, which excludes the impact of outlier transactions, grew 7% to approximately $1,400. That growth reflects the trust buyers continue to place in our platform. Conversion grew for the 12th consecutive quarter, which is how we are turning a smaller base of traffic into more orders.

We believe much of that progress reflects our road map, including a more personalized homepage, a redesigned filter experience that is driving higher engagement and faster checkout in our app. Each change removes friction at the point where a buyer decides whether to purchase. Consumer and trade GMV both grew at similar rates. Growth in both channels reinforces that our marketplace meets the needs of buyers across the market even in a challenging environment. On a vertical basis, GMV growth was driven by acceleration in vintage and antique furniture. We ended the quarter with more than 58,200 active buyers, down 8% year-over-year, but up 1% sequentially. Our active buyer count continues to reflect the deliberate reduction in sales and marketing spend enacted in late 2025.

Turning to supply. Unique sellers were approximately 5,600, down 3% and modestly lower than last quarter. Listings grew 3% to over 1.9 million, accelerating from 1% growth last quarter. The catalog continues to expand even as the seller count declines, which means our sellers are listing more inventory on average.

Turning to the income statement. Net revenue reached $23.1 million, up 5%, exceeding the high end of our guidance range. Transaction revenue, which is tied directly to GMV, represented 74% of total revenue. Take rate rose approximately 30 basis points year-over-year, reflecting fewer high-value orders, which carry a lower blended commission rate as well as growth in sponsored listings. Gross profit was $16.9 million, up 3%. Gross margin was 73.2%, within our target range of 72% to 74% and down approximately 110 basis points. The year ago period included a nonrecurring shipping insurance recovery, which contributed about 1 percentage point to that quarter's margin. Excluding that item, gross margin was essentially flat.

Total operating expenses were $19.2 million, down 9%, even as we increased investment in product and engineering. We are spending less overall, but more on work that drives our road map. Sales and marketing expenses were $5.3 million, down 33%. This reflects the strategic realignment implemented in late 2025, which reset our marketing organization and rationalized performance marketing spend as well as lower headcount-related expenses following our recent restructurings. Sales and marketing as a percentage of revenue was 23%, down from 36% a year ago.

Technology development expenses were $6.4 million, up 8%. This increase reflects continued investment in product and engineering in support of our 2026 road map and consistent with our September 2025 strategic realignment. Technology development as a percentage of revenue was 28%, up from 27% a year ago. General and administrative expenses were $6.5 million, up 2%, reflecting the impact of higher headcount-related costs due to our annual merit cycle in March. General and administrative expenses as a percentage of revenue was approximately 28%, down 1% from a year ago. Lastly, provision for transaction losses were approximately $950,000 or 4% of revenue, in line with our historic range of 2% to 4%.

Adjusted EBITDA was $1 million, a margin of 4.5%, above the high end of our guidance range. This is our fourth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA, and it reflects continued expense discipline alongside revenue growth. In the third quarter of 2025, adjusted EBITDA was a loss of $240,000 or negative 1.1%. So margins improved by approximately 560 basis points. The cost structure we reset starting in 2022 is allowing revenue growth to flow through to the bottom line. We are expanding margins while continuing to invest in product and engineering.

Turning to the balance sheet. We ended the quarter with cash, cash equivalents and short-term investments of $69 million, up $1.3 million sequentially, driven by positive operating results. Since 2023, we've returned more than $55 million to shareholders through share repurchases. Our Board has now authorized an additional $5 million share repurchase program, which reflects confidence in our ability to generate cash, supported by 4 consecutive quarters of positive adjusted EBITDA and a strong balance sheet. We will continue to balance returns to shareholders with investment in our road map.

Turning to the outlook. Our guidance reflects quarter-to-date results and our forecast for the remainder of the period. We forecast fourth quarter GMV between $89 million and $95 million or down 1% to up 5%. Net revenue of $22.2 million to $23.4 million or down 3% to up 2% and adjusted EBITDA margin between positive 1% and positive 4%. Our GMV guidance reflects 3 factors: first, product-driven growth. Our road map continues to improve the buyer experience across discovery, trust, shipping and service, and we expect that progress to keep supporting our funnel.

Second, faster order growth than in the third quarter. Order growth is the metric we manage most directly. Third, a modest decline in average order value. AOV grew 2% in the third quarter, but quarter-to-date AOV is down low single digits. That moves AOV from a tailwind to a headwind on GMV growth, and our guidance assumes it persists throughout the rest of the quarter. We do not manage to AOV directly, and it can be impacted by a small number of high-value orders.

Turning to revenue guidance. The gap between our GMV and revenue growth outlook is primarily driven by lower take rates related to our category acceleration strategy where we have reduced commissions to attract more supply. Those commissions are the first step in our broader playbook that includes business development, marketing, structured data and product experiences to accelerate listings and GMV in these categories. This is partially offset by our second sponsored event, which takes place in December. Our adjusted EBITDA margin guidance reflects 3 factors: the aforementioned revenue headwind reducing commissions as part of our category acceleration strategy, gross margins toward the lower end of our 72% to 74% range and a sequential seasonal increase in marketing.

Turning to our 2026 financial framework. We continue to expect full year GMV and revenue growth, revenue take rates of approximately 24% to 25%, gross margins of 72% to 74% and positive adjusted EBITDA. Underpinning this plan is the assumption that macroeconomic conditions, particularly those impacting the housing market and consumer discretionary spending, remain stable.

The third quarter results reflect the discipline we have maintained across the business. Total operating expenses declined 9%, and we delivered on our fourth consecutive quarter of positive adjusted EBITDA. At the same time, we increased our investment in product and engineering, and our road map is making progress for buyers and sellers, including a return to order growth. We generated positive free cash flow of $2.9 million in the quarter, and our Board has authorized an additional $5 million share repurchase authorization. We will maintain our discipline around our cost structure while we execute on the road map.

We appreciate your continued support and look forward to updating you on our progress in the coming quarters. Thank you. I will now turn the call over to the operator to take your questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Bobby Brooks with Northland Capital Markets.

分析師問答

Robert Brooks

I want to say congrats, David, on the successful tenure as CEO, and congrats to Bradford on the move up to CEO. Exciting times. I know that you guys -- Bradford, you gave a lot of color on just the kind of beginnings of commission tweaks, specifically in like jewelry. And it sounds like that's went from pilot stage to expanding it across those categories broadly. But I was curious to hear, obviously, I think you sized it at like 7% of GMV. What about the other 93% of GMV? Is that a focus of starting to kind of revamp commissions across different categories? Just how should we be thinking about that, if that's on the tape going forward?

Bradford Shellhammer

Bobby, thanks for the kind words for both David and I, and I'm super excited to continue our partnership and relationship with you. On this question, we are currently doing a discovery sprint of research to understand what other opportunities we have to potentially adapt a category acceleration strategy in other places. We want to give the categories that we've gone into first the space that they need to get it right. There is a decent amount of sequencing work that's required to stand this up. I've been part of teams who have done this at scale before. It starts with really activating the inventory base and the seller community, then it leads into a lot of product and catalog opportunities to enrich those listings and make them more easily found. And then it leads into kind of the marketing piece and really the GMV growth that we anticipate on top of it.

So right now, I'd say we do have appetite to expand, but we are not thinking this is something that races to double-digit GMV coverage like in the near term, but we will, based on how this playbook in these categories start to perform and the research that we're currently doing, make informed decisions and come back, and make those calls quarter-by-quarter as it makes sense.

Robert Brooks

Okay. That does make sense. Any insight of like kind of what categories you might be researching for next? Just would be kind of curious there, still keeping the cards close to the chest.

Bradford Shellhammer

We've actually done a decent amount of research with our seller base to understand untapped inventory that they currently are sitting on that the commissions just don't work for us. The opportunities are across all of our categories, frankly. Some are bigger than others. But we are looking really at like the L3 level categories, like things like bedroom furniture, for example, and it might be like at that granular level of a focus. But obviously, the home categories and the art categories are ones we're really looking at right now. But again, no decisions have been made. We really want to inform this with data and research.

Robert Brooks

Fair enough. And then turning to 2027, this product road map has really driven great results so far year-to-date in '26. As we look in the year ahead, is there an evolution in those focuses or maybe an exciting evolution on certain pieces or release of something? Or is it just kind of more of the same?

Bradford Shellhammer

I would say it's more of the same, but I think the surfaces expand, the experiences potentially evolve and change. But I do think like at least in the near term, the immediate future, we are committed to the 4 pillars, of discovery, trust, shipping and service. We're piloting some awesome things in some of those places. We are shipping really great products.

I'll give you a great example, like personalization is off to the races. We're seeing really awesome engagement in upper funnel metrics. We're seeing explicit signals given to us by our audience at an all-time high. We've essentially taken that strategy and only put it in one place, our homepage. There are a myriad of places we can paint our experience, from like transactional and marketing e-mails to push notifications to PDP and search results. So these pillars are meant to be somewhat long-lasting, and there's a lot to do under them.

So I think the features we've talked about, the strategies we've talked about may evolve, but those pillars, I think, are probably here to stay for quite a bit of time. I think the one like new exciting opportunity is this accelerated category strategy, which is one that complements, I think, all 4 of those pillars. But that's kind of like the new thing that we're kind of making space for in our current thinking, but I think we're going to be committed to these for a little bit of time.

Robert Brooks

That's great to hear. And then maybe just last one to circle back on the influencer campaigning partnerships. I think you gave some comments in the opening remarks, but is that -- so that seems like something you're going to lean into a little bit more. Just I kind of missed some of it. So I just wanted to hear a little bit more there and catch something if I missed it.

Bradford Shellhammer

Yes. So this is one of my favorite things that we're doing, and it's super exciting how much it has scaled. We are at a really high number of people in this program. As a reminder, this program is low cost for us and high reward. We get tremendous, awesome, diverse video content that is from people who actually use our product, our sellers and our best buyers, interior designers. And what they do is they create video content that essentially shows off the beauty of our supply and unlocks like how to like find the awesome stuff and treasure in our catalog.

This is off to the races. Like our Instagram engagement rate has increased 30% quarter-over-quarter. We're now taking this content -- because we can use this content anywhere. We have the rights to do that. We're taking this content -- that's originally designed for organic social. We're now putting it into our paid marketing. We are seeing awesome efficiency gains from that. We're reaching new audiences that we weren't doing with more of a listings-based performance marketing strategy of the -- time before. And we're now actually starting to -- this holiday season, starting to bring this on to the platform in product. So we have -- these Tastemakers have curated items for sale.

We're building -- we are about to launch, we might have already launched it, but we're about to launch it if we haven't, a landing experience where they're going to drive traffic from the organic socials to it. And this is our first foray into leveraging this content that we've been using in organic social and paid marketing in our own ecosystem, too, and we actually think it's going to be highly converting, and we're really excited about it. So we're definitely still into this. Just this week, one of the videos made in this program was -- became the most engaged and highest engaged with video of the year. So we're definitely bullish on it still.

Robert Brooks

That's exciting developments. Appreciate the color. And again, congrats on the move for David as well as you.

Operator

Your next question comes from the line of Ralph Schackart with William Blair.

Ralph Schackart

Also, David, I just want to say congrats on your next chapter, and Bradford, congrats on your new role. You previously anticipated a return to GMV growth by Q4, and it looks like we're seeing that play out. And the macro has obviously been really tough. And just assuming that remains muted. Maybe just at a high level, can you provide a framework for the durability of the growth that you expect beyond the fourth quarter? Maybe if you could sort of double-click on the largest contributors to growth in terms of traffic, conversion, AOV mix or any other factors there? I'm sure it's a combination of them all, but just would love to sort of understand how this growth continues.

Bradford Shellhammer

Thank you for the kind words again. And on behalf of David, thank you as well. He said thank you when he was on mute. So he did acknowledge it. The thing that we're excited about when thinking about GMV growth is just the move and our trajectory around orders. We returned to order growth in Q3, and we have improved those order growth rates over the last 2 quarters, and Q4 guidance assumes that we will improve them again for a third quarter. So we are really excited about that because that is what the team is optimizing for. This is what a lot of our work is geared to -- focus on is to bring more people into our experience and convert them and bring more people back to buy more and buy again. And we believe this is being driven by this product road map that we've talked about, the 4 pillars.

And we believe that order growth really is the most important barometer of our health as a marketplace. And over the long run, we are convinced that GMV will follow that. And so we're really excited about that. AOV can be noisy. It's affected by a small number of orders. So we don't manage to it directly. And our road map is designed to keep compounding across the 4 pillars. And again, I think where we are really excited about the opportunity for GMV growth in the future is really about this order growth that we're starting to see pop.

Operator

There are no further questions at this time. This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.

本文部分內容由 AI 生成和翻譯,並經人工審核,僅供參考且做為一般資訊用途,不構成投資建議。

免責聲明:本網站提供的資訊僅供教育和參考之用,不應視為財務或投資建議。

推薦文章

tradingkey.logo
風險提示:我們的網站和行動應用程式僅提供關於某些投資產品的一般資訊。Finsights 不提供財務建議或對任何投資產品的推薦,且提供此類資訊不應被解釋為 Finsights 提供財務建議或推薦。
投資產品存在重大投資風險,包括可能損失投資的本金,且可能並不適合所有人。投資產品的過去表現並不代表其未來表現。
Finsights 可能允許第三方廣告商或關聯公司在我們的網站或行動應用程式的任何部分放置或投放廣告,並可能根據您與廣告的互動情況獲得報酬。
© 版權所有: FINSIGHTS MEDIA PTE. LTD. 版權所有