ProFrac (ACDC) 2026 年第三季法說會:自由現金流改善
ProFrac Holding Corp.公布2026年第三季營收5.11億美元,調整後EBITDA降至6,500萬美元,利潤率13%。受9月排程空檔與支撐劑業務拖累,增產服務營收下滑,但現金流改善至正1,400萬美元。管理層看好2027年設備供應吃緊與定價回升,預期第四季稼動率回穩,並對全年正淨利充滿信心。
重點摘要
- ProFrac Holding Corp. 公布 2026 年第三季營收為 5.11 億美元,高於第二季的 4.98 億美元。調整後 EBITDA 從 6,900 萬美元降至 6,500 萬美元,利潤率從 14% 收窄至 13%。
- 儘管現金資本支出增加至約 4,000 萬美元,自由現金流仍從第二季的負 800 萬美元改善至正 1,400 萬美元。
- 由於 9 月份意外出現的排程空檔減少了各車隊的泵送時數,壓裂增產服務(Stimulation Services)營收降至 4.21 億美元。管理層表示 10 月稼動率已見回升,並預期第四季車隊數量將恢復正常水準。
- 支撐劑生產(Proppant Production)營收從 1.21 億美元降至 1.01 億美元,調整後 EBITDA 降至 240 萬美元。西德州出貨量下滑、價格競爭以及營運槓桿減弱對業績造成拖累。
- Flotek 繳出 1.17 億美元營收與 2,200 萬美元調整後 EBITDA,分別高於第二季的 1.02 億美元與 900 萬美元。
- 管理層對 2027 年保持正面看法,主要考量到壓裂設備供應有限、最前端報價走高以及客戶詢價增加。執行長 Matthew Wilks 表示,他對 ProFrac 在 2027 年實現正淨利充滿信心。
核心財務數據
| 指標 | 2026 年第三季 | 2026 年第二季 | 說明與評論 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 營收 | 5.11 億美元 | 4.98 億美元 | 較上季微幅成長 |
| 調整後 EBITDA | 6,500 萬美元 | 6,900 萬美元 | 支撐劑與增產服務表現下滑,部分被 Flotek 的成長所抵消 |
| 調整後 EBITDA 利潤率 | 13% | 14% | 較上季下降 1 個百分點 |
| 自由現金流 | 1,400 萬美元 | -800 萬美元 | 改善 2,200 萬美元 |
| 現金資本支出 | 約 4,000 萬美元 | 3,200 萬美元 | 設備專案支出增加 |
| 營業費用 (SG&A) | 4,500 萬美元 | 4,400 萬美元 | 較上季微幅增加 |
| 現金及約當現金 | 約 4,400 萬美元 | — | 包含約 2,500 萬美元歸屬於 Flotek |
| 未償債務本金 | 約 10.5 億美元 | — | 未來 12 個月內到期金額為 1.13 億美元 |
業務與營運表現
壓裂增產服務
營收從第二季的 4.3 億美元降至 4.21 億美元,調整後 EBITDA 從 3,900 萬美元降至 3,700 萬美元。利潤率維持在約 9%。
由於排程空檔增加,9 月份的作業活躍度弱於預期。車隊數量與第二季大致持平,但各車隊的泵送時數在季初達到年內高點後回落。較低的固定成本分攤效益,加上材料與營運成本上升,抵消了實際收取的價格漲幅。
管理層表示,最前端報價持續攀升,但仍低於上一週期的峰值。合約正在分期陸續重談,因此公司預期價格效益將在第四季及 2027 年逐步顯現。
支撐劑生產
營收從 1.21 億美元降至 1.01 億美元,調整後 EBITDA 從 600 萬美元降至 240 萬美元。EBITDA 利潤率從 5.2% 萎縮至 2.4%。
總出貨量約為 250 萬噸。第三方客戶約佔總出貨量的 45%,高於第二季的 31%。西德州的價格競爭與吞吐量下滑,對銷售額和利潤率造成壓力。
製造業務
製造業務營收從 4,800 萬美元增至 5,300 萬美元。調整後 EBITDA 維持在約 600 萬美元,第三方銷售額佔該部門營收的 17%。
管理層指出,發電整合設備與設備翻修需求為主要支撐動能。公司預期所有電驅混砂車將於年底前交付,多數在年底前投入運作,部分部署則延續至 2027 年初。
Flotek
Flotek 營收從 1.02 億美元增至 1.17 億美元。調整後 EBITDA 從第二季的 900 萬美元增至 2,200 萬美元,佔營收的 19%。第三方銷售額約佔該部門營收的 49%,高於先前的 42%。
管理層展望
ProFrac 將包含 Flotek 在內的 2026 全年資本支出指引區間,從先前的 1.55 億至 1.85 億美元收窄至 1.6 億至 1.8 億美元。若不計 Flotek,預期資本支出為 1.45 億至 1.65 億美元。
針對第四季,管理層預期維護性資本支出將小幅減少,而成長性資本支出將增加,主因是電驅混砂車部署與引擎升級。
公司預期第四季稼動率將維持相對強勁,但仍受慣常的年底季節性因素影響。管理層亦預期,由於設備可用性有限且幾乎沒有客戶預算耗盡的跡象,季節性壓力將小於往年。
展望 2027 年,管理層預期隨著合約重新簽訂,定價將帶來更顯著的貢獻。ProFrac 唯有在取得長期合約且定價符合設備重置或新建成本效益時,才會考慮重啟閒置車隊或建立新型天然氣驅動車隊。公司不打算進行投機性車隊擴建。
風險與關注焦點
- 即使客戶生產力提升,同步壓裂(Simul-frac)完井設計仍可能在作業之間造成更多排程空檔。
- 材料、維護、物流與勞動力成本依然居高不下。管理層預期通膨壓力將持續至 2027 年。
- 來自資料中心與發電專案的競爭,導致技術人員市場日趨吃緊。
- 引擎與其他零件交期冗長,拖慢了 ProFrac 部分引擎升級與電驅混砂車計畫的進度。
- 西德州支撐劑價格競爭依然激烈,限制了銷量、吞吐量與營運槓桿。
- 設備稼動率提高加速了磨損並縮短資產壽命,使得能反映重置成本的定價變得更加重要。
分析師問答亮點
管理層形容水力壓裂泵送市場異常吃緊,備用設備有限,且客戶強烈偏好具燃油效益的車隊。ProFrac 正優先著重於定價與合約穩定性,而非擴增產能以爭攬現貨市場業務。
Wilks 表示,客戶對 2027 年的詢價涵蓋新增需求與專屬車隊需求。然而,由於引擎、變速箱與動力端零件採購依然困難,備用泵可能保留作為營運備援。
管理層估計,每小時費率從上一波峰值至谷底約下跌了 50%,隨後已回升該跌幅的約 50% 至 60%。Wilks 強調,目前車隊每月泵送時數約為 550 至 600 小時,相較於 2022 年約落在 400 多小時的低至中段,這加劇了設備磨損。
據管理層指出,業界約 80% 的活躍車隊具備某種程度的天然氣驅動能力,但僅有極低個位數百分比為全天然氣驅動的直驅車隊。燃油效率的經濟效益可透過具備最低替代要求的溢價馬力費率,或單獨收取雙燃料附加費來體現。
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管理層陳述
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Please note this conference is being recorded. I'll now turn the conference over to Michael Messina, Senior VP of Finance. Thank you, Michael. You may begin.
Michael Messina
Thank you, Operator. Good morning, everyone. We appreciate you joining us for ProFrac Holding Corp.'s conference call and webcast to review our results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026. With me today are Matt Wilks, Chief Executive Officer and Executive Chairman, and Austin Harbour, Chief Financial Officer. Following my remarks, management will provide high-level commentary on the operational and financial highlights of the third quarter 2026 before opening up the call to your questions. A replay of today's call will be made available by webcast on the company's website at pfholdingscorp.com. More information on how to access the replay is included in the company's earnings release. Please note that the information reported on this call speaks only as of today, November 5, 2026.
We would advise that any time-sensitive information may no longer be accurate as of the time of transcript reading. Also, comments on this call may contain forward-looking statements within the meaning of the U.S. federal securities laws, including management's expectations of future financial and business performance. These forward-looking statements reflect the current views of ProFrac management and are not guarantees of future performance. Various risks, uncertainties, and contingencies could cause actual results, performance, or achievements to differ materially from those expressed in management's forward-looking statements. A listener or reader is encouraged to read ProFrac's Form 10-K and other filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, which can be found at sec.gov or on the company's investor relations website section under the SEC Filings tab, to better understand those risks, uncertainties, and contingencies. The comments today also include certain non-GAAP financial measures, as well as other adjusted figures to exclude the contribution of Flotek. Additional details and reconciliations to the most directly comparable consolidated and GAAP financial measures are included in the earnings press release, which can be found on the company's website.
Now over to Mr. Matt Wilks, Chief Executive Officer and Executive Chairman of ProFrac.
Matthew Wilks
Thank you, Michael, and hello, everyone. I'll kick off with some remarks on our overall performance, the broader market environment, and progress on our strategic priorities. I'll then hand it over to Austin, who will take you through the segment results in more detail. The market backdrop heading into 2027 remains one we're genuinely optimistic about. The structural case we've been building around domestic energy security only looks stronger with time. Further, our peer group has remained disciplined, with several dedicating their resources and attention to newer aspects of their business. At the same time, the third quarter was more volatile than we anticipated, with activity in pumping and proppant moving less in a straight line than we would have liked.
Starting with pumping, September brought more calendar white space than we anticipated entering the quarter, which weighed on our activity levels for the month. Part of that reflects more efficient completion designs, including the use of simul-frac completions across multiple wells. Simul-frac can create more open calendar days between jobs, even as productivity improves. We're encouraged that activity improved in October, and we expect to see what we consider a normalized fleet count in the fourth quarter. Our efficiencies, including hours pumped per day, have improved, even with some calendar white space due to customer year-end seasonality built into our fourth quarter plans. Due to market tightness, driven by limited equipment availability and minimal indications of budget exhaustion, we expect less seasonality next quarter than what we have historically experienced. I would note that we also saw some cost pressure earlier in Q3 on the maintenance side, which began to normalize as we exited Q3.
Pricing remains one of the more important levers we have, and the environment for it continues to be favorable. Leading-edge pricing has been rising, but remains well below the highs we saw at the cycle's peak. We're working to carry that through our contracts and RFP structures as deliberately as we can, and we are constructive on the impact we expect to see in 2027. In proppant, lower than anticipated throughput in sales, particularly in West Texas, weighed on the results. We're addressing that directly and are encouraged by the early improvement we're seeing. More broadly, we're taking a disciplined approach across our frac sand footprint. Specifically, we are focused on strategically increasing pricing and throughput.
As we've said before, the operating leverage in this business becomes increasingly evident as we drive higher utilization across our strongest operations, and we continue to believe Proppant is capable of improved free cash flow as those efficiencies show up. Cash flows in the segment are also moving into a more sustainable position, supported by the term loan amendment that Austin will cover. Picking up on the broader market, as I mentioned in my opening remarks, WTI came in [ to the ] plenty of movement in between rather than a steady climb. Since quarter end, prices have pushed even higher, touching $110. The underlying drivers haven't changed. Tensions in the Middle East have continued with renewed attacks on shipping through the Strait of Hormuz in recent weeks and knock-on effects such as elevated tanker and insurance costs. The political outlook on both sides of the conflict makes near-term de-escalation far from certain. The bottom line is that we continue to see a sustained disruption to global supply capacity rather than a short-term shock, with recent market activity reinforcing that view.
As we've said before, periods like this strengthen the case for reliable domestic production. For our business, that remains a meaningful advantage. After several choppy years in our industry, some of our larger, more diversified peers have shifted capital and attention toward power generation and other opportunities where higher returns are expected. We think this is exactly why the pumping market is poised for a period of tightness. Fewer dollars chasing frac equipment, combined with the lead time required to stand up a fleet, makes it harder for opportunistic entrants to replicate the capacity additions that have put pressure on pricing in past cycles. At the same time, older equipment across the industry continues to retire and much of it isn't being replaced, and the equipment that is being replaced is facing some of the longest lead times we have ever experienced, further tightening the market. To that end, higher commodity prices are supporting customer cash flow and their ability to keep programs moving through what's typically a seasonally lower period and has accelerated RFP discussions for 2027 work.
Our approach through that process remains constructive. Our preference is to capture value durably through contracts and RFPs rather than chase the spot market with additional equipment. And that includes focusing on pass-throughs for inflation-sensitive items such as logistics, consumables, materials, and labor so that we're not locked into a status quo margin over current costs. We're also seeing operators begin to look at contracting new-build fleets. And that lead time I just mentioned is part of why those conversations involve meaningful upfront commitments. We're getting close to the point where pricing begins to support new-build economics. So to be clear, we think we have more room to go before we are squarely in that zone.
Consistent with what we said last quarter, we will not build speculatively. We have active dialogue with customers on new builds, and we look to contract on multi-year terms. Our internal manufacturing capability gives us an advantage on timing, but customers are cognizant that they will need to act fast if they want to take an incremental fleet in the next calendar year. On the cost side, we've achieved the targets we set under our cost program introduced late last year, and we're proud of that progress. At the same time, inflation across logistics, consumables, materials, and labor remains a real challenge, and we expect that pressure to continue into the next year. Labor is particularly tight, with data center and power generation build-outs creating meaningful competition for skilled technicians in our markets. We view these pressures as an ongoing cost of doing business, not something we can fully eliminate through efficiency gains.
That makes passing through cost increases as they occur, rather than waiting for periodic resets, all the more important. As I mentioned previously, lead times are and will remain challenging. We're seeing longer lead times on new equipment broadly across our industry, particularly engines, as capacity has shifted to support power generation demand. This has affected the pace of our engine upgrade program somewhat, though it remains underway, as well as the development of our e-blender transition. Thankfully, our internal manufacturing capability continues to give us more control over timing. Speaking of our manufacturing business, it is benefiting from the broader build-out of power infrastructure across the industry.
We're seeing this translate into tangible demand, including power generation packaging work for other operators expanding their own capabilities and rebuild work for another industry participant. These relationships are deepening and creating a source of sustainable demand. It's a genuine strength for our business, and we're proud of the work our manufacturing team continues to deliver. On e-blenders, we expect all units to be delivered by year end and most units to be working by year end, with some deployments carrying into early 2027. The efficiency benefits we outlined when we introduced this program, including lower blender CapEx and operating costs, continue to show up as more of these units come online. Through all of this, our vertically integrated model and asset management platform remains central to how we think about our competitive position, not just this quarter, but across the cycle. With that, over to Austin to walk through the financial impact of the quarter in more detail.
Austin Harbour
Thanks, Matt. In the third quarter, revenues were $511 million, up modestly from $498 million in the second quarter of 2026. We generated $65 million of Adjusted EBITDA with an Adjusted EBITDA margin of 13% compared to $69 million or 14% of revenue in Q2 2026. The change is driven by softer results in Proppant Production and to a lesser extent in Stimulation Services, partially offset by a stronger contribution from Flotek. Free cash flow was positive $14 million in the third quarter, an improvement from negative $8 million in Q2.
Turning to our segments, Stimulation Services revenues were $421 million in the third quarter versus $430 million in the second quarter of 2026. Adjusted EBITDA in Q3 was $37 million versus $39 million in Q2. Margins of 9% were comparable to Q2. Results reflected the September white space Matt described. While our fleet count for the quarter overall remained broadly consistent with Q2, pump hours per fleet softened in September after running near some of our best levels of the year earlier in the quarter. Lower cost absorption due to a less efficient calendar, coupled with increased costs on materials and certain operating expenses, offset price increases realized in the quarter.
Looking ahead, utilization improved in October, and we expect the calendar to remain relatively strong in the fourth quarter with customary year-end seasonality. Pricing, meanwhile, contributed modestly to the quarter, though the benefit from this year's increases is still working its way through on a staggered basis as individual contracts reset. We expect that contribution to build through the fourth quarter, and pricing remains a key driver behind the sequential improvement we're expecting as we go into 2027. On the cost side, we saw elevated materials, maintenance, and labor costs, and are closely monitoring labor, logistics, and equipment as we move forward.
Q3 Proppant Production generated $101 million of revenue versus $121 million in the second quarter of 2026. Approximately 45% of volumes were sold to third-party customers during the third quarter versus 31% in Q2. Adjusted EBITDA for the Proppant Production segment was $2.4 million for the third quarter, compared to Q2's $6 million. On a margin basis, EBITDA margins were 2.4% in the third quarter versus 5.2% in the second quarter. Total volumes were approximately 2.5 million tons. West Texas remains highly competitive on pricing, resulting in lower sales volumes and throughput. Operating leverage and increased costs negatively impacted margins in the quarter.
Our Manufacturing segment generated third quarter revenues of $53 million, up from $48 million in the second quarter. Approximately 17% of segment revenues were generated from third-party sales, consistent with the second quarter. Adjusted EBITDA for the Manufacturing segment was $6 million, roughly in line with Q2's results. The segment is benefiting from the power-related activity Matt described, and we're pleased with the trajectory there.
Flotek generated third quarter revenues of $117 million, up from $102 million reported in Q2. Approximately 49% of segment revenues were generated from third-party sales, compared to approximately 42% in Q2. Adjusted EBITDA for Flotek was $22 million, or 19% of revenue, up from $9 million in the second quarter. Third quarter selling, general, and administrative expenses were $45 million compared to $44 million in Q2.
Cash capital expenditures of approximately $40 million in the third quarter were up from $32 million in the second quarter of 2026. In Q4, maintenance capital could decrease slightly while growth capital moves higher, driven largely by the e-blender and engine upgrades we discussed earlier in the year. With three quarters of spending now behind us in 2026, we are tightening our full-year capital expenditure guidance to a range of $160 million to $180 million, including Flotek, versus our prior range of $155 million to $185 million. Excluding Flotek, we expect CapEx to be in the range of $145 million to $165 million for the year.
Turning to the balance sheet, total cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, 2026 were approximately $44 million, including approximately $25 million attributable to Flotek. Total liquidity at quarter end was approximately $97 million, including $79 million available under the ABL. The availability under the ABL credit facility ended the quarter at $148 million, a decrease from $162 million at second quarter end.
On the balance sheet, we have continued to take a disciplined and proactive approach to managing our liquidity and debt maturities. As we discussed in August, early in Q3, we closed a new $300 million asset-based revolving credit facility with Eclipse Business Capital, increasing our commitments, improving advance rates, and extending the maturity profile of our revolving facility. In September, we amended our Alpine Term Loan Credit Agreement, extending the maturity to February 2030 and eliminating scheduled amortization payments through the first quarter of 2028. Scheduled payments then resume at $10 million per quarter. The amendment also allows us at our election to pay approximately 675 basis points of interest expense in kind at current rates for the next 12 months, adding that amount to principal while requiring quarterly payments of excess free cash flow.
In connection with that transaction, $60 million of term loans held by affiliated lenders was repaid and canceled in exchange for Flotek shares held by a company subsidiary, eliminating $60 million of principal balance on the term loan. Taken together, these actions extend our debt maturity profile, reduce near-term scheduled principal and cash interest payments, and provide additional financial flexibility. At quarter end, we had approximately $1.05 billion of principal debt outstanding. Of this amount, only $113 million comes due over the next 12 months, with the majority of our maturities remaining concentrated in 2029 and beyond. With that, I will now turn the call back over to Matt for closing remarks.
Matthew Wilks
Thanks, Austin. Before we open the call for questions, let me close with a few key takeaways. We experienced some volatility in the third quarter despite an improving market backdrop, but are encouraged by the trends we've seen so far in Q4. The actions we took on the balance sheet this quarter from the Eclipse facility to the Flotek term loan and the Alpine term loan amendment and the $60 million affiliate loan exchange extend our maturity profile and give us added flexibility. We continue to invest in what differentiates us, including our manufacturing business and our equipment. Our vertically integrated model remains central to our competitive position, not just this quarter, but across the cycle. Looking ahead, our focus remains on execution, advancing our upgrade program, strengthening our financial position, and positioning ProFrac to capture the opportunity as the market tightens.
We remain genuinely excited about the setup heading into 2027 with what we see as a tight market and a disciplined peer group set against a structural case for domestic energy security that continues to strengthen. With that, I will now turn the call over to the operator for Q&A.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Our first question is from John Daniel with Daniel Energy. Please proceed with your question.
分析師問答
John Daniel
Matt, just want to focus on next year, if you will, in terms of the tight market. At this point, do you prefer to reactivate fleets or would you rather sort of play the price game? And man, how are you, just the price versus volume, if you could tell us what you're thinking for next year.
Matthew Wilks
It's pretty tight. I think attrition across the industry is pretty aggressive. There's just no equipment left in the market. And then there's a high preference for fuel-efficient fleets. And so everything that's working, that's available is working, but and so we're in a really good spot. We've been able to push pricing, continue to push pricing. And at this point, if there's customers that are willing to sign long-term agreements, then we can look at activating fleets and building gas fleets. With that being said, we're, you know, keeping status quo. You know, there are situations where we may see simul-frac fleets split into zippers.
And so from that standpoint, you might see a fleet count increase per minute, but there's not expected to be additions of additional equipment without replacement pricing or new build pricing.
John Daniel
Okay. And a follow-on, Matt, is a lot of the land drillers the last week or so talked about more inquiries from public operators for incremental rigs next year. I'm curious, are you getting calls from existing public operators looking for incremental fleets for next year?
Matthew Wilks
Without a doubt. And it's not just spot work, it's dedicated work as well. There's just not enough horsepower to go around, and so it's creating a great environment for the service side. And we're already seeing it in Q4, I'm pretty confident that 2027 we'll see positive net income, and we're seeing signs of it in Q4 already.
John Daniel
Okay. That's all I got. Thanks for including me.
Matthew Wilks
Definitely. Thank you.
Operator
[Operator Instructions] Our next question is from Saurabh Pant with Bank of America. Please proceed with your question.
Saurabh Pant
Matt, I was intrigued by your comments on pricing, not getting squarely there, but kind of getting there a little closer to new build economics, which is very interesting. Maybe Matt, if you don't mind, just give us a little context on how much pricing came down from the peak of call it early 2023 to the trough, have we recovered? And then what kind of returns would you be looking at if you were to pull the trigger on a new build fleet? I'm guessing it's on the gas side of things, right? There's a lot of demand on that, but maybe walk us through that dynamic a little bit.
Matthew Wilks
Yes, so from a per hour rate standpoint, you know, from prior peak to the trough was about a 50% reduction in hourly rates to the customer. But you've got to put it in context. In 2022, the average pump time per fleet was running in the low to mid 400 hours per month. Now you're seeing everything in the 550 to 600 range from a pump time standpoint. So the dollar per hour and the costs and the revenue aren't the same. It's accelerated the wear and tear on your equipment. And so, you know, even though it's diluted a lot of your costs to run the fleet, what it's done is it's shortened the life of the equipment as well.
So we can't forget about that piece. We gotta make sure that that's recovered as well. But as far as from the trough to where we are now, it's bounced back from the trough probably about 50 to 60% from there. There's still room to go to reach prior peaks. And, you know, from a timing standpoint, I don't know if it gets back to the peak or what timeframe it would. But what I can say is the prior peak had spare capacity on the market. And what we see going forward is there's no doubt there's no spare capacity.
There's long lead times on equipment. In '22, you could rebuild engines that were on the sidelines. You could rebuild transmissions, rebuild power ends. None of that is available and just the options available to you are pretty limited going forward. So you've got to work with what you've got. And I think that we'll continue to see, even if fleet count stayed where it's at now, it would continue to tighten because of the limited availability in the supply chain. And so we're very encouraged by what this means for the path forward. It also creates a scenario where if you do have spare pumps, you're more likely to reserve those for redundancy on your existing customer relationships rather than trying to deploy another fleet.
And just because you gotta take care of the customers you've got. And so trying to add a fleet and stress and get spread too thin, just because you can and you have a few extra pumps, you would rather make sure that you've got the depth in your replacement cycle with your maintenance teams to make sure that if you've got an engine issue and have to replace an engine, you may not have that engine. Transmissions, power ends, it's a really, really tight market on the component side. So when you look at building into redundancy for your business, your likelihood of adding a fleet isn't as appealing as keeping the redundancy that you need to keep your footprint that you already have. This is a different kind of tightness than what we've seen in prior cycles.
Saurabh Pant
Right, okay, Matt, I got it. That makes sense, that makes sense. And then my next one is just to understand a little bit on the whole fuel cost arbitrage, because if you do the math at current diesel price, I think 100% gas fleet maybe save like $50 million, maybe even more versus 100% diesel fleet. That's massive fuel cost arbitrage, right? But from a pressure pumper's, from your standpoint, how do you capture that? Does it work indirectly through supply demand? Is there a direct way to recover some of that through some kind of a bonus model tied to how much diesel you can displace? How does that flow through? And if you don't mind hazarding a guess, how much of the active fleet out there in the fleet why do you think it's still 100% diesel?
Matthew Wilks
So the majority, I'd say about 80% of the fleets in the market right now have gas capabilities and probably a small single digit percentage of the overall fleet is all gas for direct drive gas engines. Of course, there's electric fleets, gas fleets, dual fuel. The majority of the industry is dual fuel. And then depending on what your substitution rate and whether you get paid for that or not, sometimes operators will just pay you for the horsepower. And so you get a material premium for that type of equipment. If you have a, typically if they just pay you all at once and say, hey, here's your horsepower rate, there will be a minimum requirement for substitution and penalties if you don't hit that. But if it's not fully absorbed in the cost of the horsepower, the alternative to that is that you charge for substitution, for DGEs, so that your incentives are aligned and you get a base horsepower rate plus a dual fuel surcharge.
It changes from customer to customer. But in any event, the substitution is paid for. It's just whether it's built in from day one in the full horsepower rate with a minimum threshold or paid for improved substitution. But one of the things we look at is benchmarking against what a diesel fleet would cost, including the diesel, to establish what a fair rate is for a fuel-efficient fleet. How much is the diesel worth that we're saving? And that's the value proposition. You know, we'd like to get 100% of it, but these are partnerships, love our customers, and there's not too many ways for anybody in the industry to really get a good fuel hedge. You can hedge diesel, but then you've got to figure out, well, how efficient is my fleet going to be? How much diesel am I going to consume? And so you're always going to be exposed even if you do hedge it.
And who wants to hedge it at $5 or $6? Right. And so I don't think it's lost on us or our peers exactly what these fleets are worth. And it's just coming to a fair agreement with your customer that recognizes the overall fuel savings.
Saurabh Pant
Right. No, that makes sense. That's helpful. Thank you. I'll turn it back.
Matthew Wilks
Thank you.
Operator
We have reached the end of the question and answer session. I would like to turn the floor back over to Matthew D. Wilks for closing comments.
Matthew Wilks
We appreciate everybody for joining our call. Very excited about the outlook. We're seeing everything materialize very quickly right now. I cannot wait to get on our next call and tell you exactly why we're excited. So thank you.
Operator
This concludes today's teleconference. You may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.
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