布里斯托集團 (VTOL) 2026年第三季財報電話會議:重申3.1億美元EBITDA預估中值
Bristow Group重申2026全年調整後EBITDA中位數約3.1億美元,年增幅估達25%。離岸能源服務表現強勁,營業利益率達27%,帶動該部門財測上調;政府服務則受供應鏈中斷與航空器停飛影響而下修。儘管產業面臨零組件供應瓶頸,管理層預期供應鏈將於2027年第一季末逐步回穩。
重點摘要
- Bristow Group (NYSE: VTOL) 重申其 2026 全年調整後 EBITDA 財測中位數約為 3.1 億美元,這代表管理層預估約有 25% 的年增長。
- 第三季營收季增約 2,600 萬美元,而調整後 EBITDA 則較第二季成長約 1,000 萬美元。
- 離岸能源服務部門繳出 27% 的調整後營業利益率,高於 2023 年底展開合約重新議價時 10% 出頭的水準。Bristow 將該部門 2026 年調整後營業利益財測上調至 2.4 億至 2.5 億美元。
- 供應鏈中斷持續對政府服務部門帶來壓力,主要體現於航空器停飛、合約罰款、額外人力、加班以及外包維修。該部門 2026 年調整後營業利益財測修正為 3,500 萬至 4,500 萬美元。
- Bristow Special Missions 貢獻了 1,690 萬美元的政府服務營收,以及 920 萬美元的其他服務營收(自該收購案於 7 月 13 日完成交割後計入)。管理層預期其成長動能將在 2026 年第四季及 2027 年加速。
- 截至 2026 年 9 月底,Bristow 擁有 2.334 億美元的非受限現金,以及約 2.87 億美元的總可用流動資金。該公司在 第三季斥資 2,500 萬美元買回 550,000 股。
核心財務數據
| 指標 | 2026 年第三季表現或變動 | 評論說明 |
|---|---|---|
| 合併營收 | 約 季增 2,600 萬美元 | 計入 7 月 13 日起 Bristow Special Missions 的業績 |
| 調整後 EBITDA | 約 季增 1,000 萬美元 | 重申全年預估中位數 |
| 離岸能源服務營收 | 季減 560 萬美元 | 歐洲稼動率下降與非洲罰款增加,但美洲地區較高的稼動率與費率抵消了部分影響 |
| 離岸能源服務調整後營業利益 | 季增 200 萬美元 | 營運、管理及燃油成本下降,抵消了營收下滑的影響 |
| 離岸能源服務調整後營業利益率 | 27% | 受惠於合約重新議價與更有利的區域組合 |
| 政府服務營收 | 季增 1,780 萬美元 | Bristow Special Missions 貢獻 1,690 萬美元 |
| 政府服務調整後營業利益 | 季增 250 萬美元 | 收購貢獻被過渡期與營運成本部分抵消 |
| 其他服務營收 | 季增 1,400 萬美元 | 包含 920 萬美元來自 Bristow Special Missions,以及 480 萬美元來自澳洲業務活動增加 |
| 其他服務調整後營業利益 | 季增 740 萬美元 | 營收增長被收購相關費用部分抵消 |
| 營業活動現金流 | 季增 2,000 萬美元 | 營運資金改善 1,770 萬美元 |
| 非受限現金 | 2.334 億美元 | 截至 2026 年 9 月 |
| 總可用流動資金 | 約 2.87 億美元 | 截至 2026 年 9 月 |
業務與營運表現
離岸能源服務
離岸能源服務仍是 Bristow 的主要獲利動能。北海地區稼動率下降雖導致營收減少,但也降低了成本,因該地區是該公司成本較高的市場之一。美洲地區較高的稼動率與費率,加上合約重新議價以及非洲業務的成長,共同支撐了利潤率的擴張。
管理層表示,離岸能源服務合約已實質上完成全數重新議價,近期費率調漲的完整全年效益預計將於 2027 年顯現。該部門約有 85% 的營收用於支援長期的生產活動。
Bristow 計劃將可用的 S-92 直升機從較成熟的北海市場調配至非洲與美洲。截至第三季,7 架新型超中型直升機尚未產生顯著的財務貢獻,這意味著其部署帶來的潛在增量效益將在 2027 年及以後顯現。
管理層指出,離岸專案最終投資決策有望超過 2026 年的 1,100 億美元,相較之下 2025 年為 700 億美元,其中約 1,440 億美元 預計於 2027 年達成。管理層亦提及全球浮動式鑽井平台的預期稼動率將達 96%(2027 年)。
政府服務與特殊任務
政府服務部門持續面臨航空器可用率問題,主要與搜救合約中使用的李奧納多(Leonardo)機型有關。愛爾蘭海岸防衛隊(Irish Coast Guard)機隊由 AW189 直升機組成,而英國 SAR 2G 機隊則主要使用 AW189,並輔以少量的 AW139。
Bristow 已增加庫存、留任更多員工、增加加班時數,並為飛機改裝作業增設第二班次。這些措施有助於合約執行,但同時也推升了營運成本。部分客戶亦對可用率相關的罰款給予寬減措施,其中包括針對 Bristow 最大的政府客戶實施罰款上限,預計該上限將至少維持至 2027 年第一季。
Bristow Special Missions 的表現符合該公司 2026 年的預期。管理層強調了在情報、監視與偵察(ISR)任務、部隊運輸以及即時貨運方面的成長機會。後勤行政整合進行順利,未出現重大問題;而由於被收購的業務主要營運定翼機,因此營運整合的範圍相對有限。
資本配置與機隊
第三季現金支出包括約 1.03 億美元用於收購 Bristow Special Missions,2,900 萬美元用於股東回報,以及 2,080 萬美元的資本支出。本金與利息支付總計 2,400 萬美元,而飛機售後租回交易則創造了 1,900 萬美元的淨收益。
該公司買回 550,000 股,平均價格為 45.64 美元,其授權額度尚有 9,600 萬美元可用。Bristow 亦宣布季度股利為 每股 0.125 美元,將於 2026 年 11 月 27 日發放給截至 11 月 13 日在冊的股東。
確定訂單中仍有 2 架 AW189 直升機。管理層預期其中 1 架將於 2026 年 11 月交付,另 1 架於 2027 年交付。只有在獲得客戶需求與適當商業條款支持的情況下,才會行使額外的選擇權。
管理層財測
| 2026 年財測 | 目前預估區間或中位數 | 狀態 |
|---|---|---|
| 合併調整後 EBITDA | 約 3.1 億美元(中位數) | 維持重申;管理層表示此預估意味著約 25% 的年增長 |
| 離岸能源服務調整後營業利益 | 2.4 億至 2.5 億美元 | 上調並收窄區間 |
| 政府服務營收 | 4.7 億至 4.9 億美元 | 更新 |
| 政府服務調整後營業利益 | 3,500 萬至 4,500 萬美元 | 考量供應鏈與過渡期影響而修正 |
| 其他服務營收 | 1.55 億至 1.75 億美元 | 維持重申 |
| 其他服務調整後營業利益 | 2,500 萬至 3,000 萬美元 | 維持重申 |
管理層預期部分政府合約過渡成本將持續至 2027 年初,隨後利潤率將逐步回升。根據目前與供應商的討論,該公司的最佳估計是供應鏈狀況應會在 2027 年第一季末變得更加穩定。
Bristow 亦正在更換其舊有的企業資源規劃(ERP)系統。新 ERP 系統預計將於 2028 年上線,全面導入後預計每年可創造數百萬美元的經常性撙節。該公司尚未將該專案的建置成本量化。
風險與關鍵觀察點
- 管理層表示,售後零件的供應問題仍比新機交付延誤更為嚴重。
- 供應吃緊正在降低航空器的可用率,並產生超出合約罰款以外的成本,包括營收損失、拆用現有機隊零件、租賃歸還延遲、額外人員配置、加班費以及第三方維修費用。
- 李奧納多(Leonardo)航空器是影響政府搜救合約過渡延誤的主要來源。儘管供應商已進行投資並開拓額外採購來源,供應鏈穩定的確切時間仍存在不確定性。
- 航空器可用率持續受限,可能會限制 Bristow 爭取離岸能源服務新增需求的能力。
- 管理層將地緣政治局勢、大宗商品價格變動及匯率波動列為額外風險。匯率風險對以當地貨幣計價支付的政府合約尤其具有直接影響。
分析師問答重點
- 供應鏈緩解措施:Bristow 正提高庫存水位、聘用額外人員、增加加班,並開設第二個維修班次。管理層亦正針對超出公司控制範圍的可用率問題協商合約保護條款。
- 預期常態化時程:李奧納多正針對供應商、庫存及額外零組件來源進行投資。管理層表示,目前掌握的資訊顯示,供應狀況將在 2027 年第一季末更趨穩定,但改善不會立即見效。
- 離岸能源服務成長產能:可用的 S-92 直升機能自北海重新調配,而新型超中型直升機與未充分利用的飛行時數運能,則可支援額外的長期與短期作業。
- 特殊任務展望:管理層預期,透過增租或自有航空器支援美洲及美國本土以外地區的情報監視偵察(ISR)、部隊調動及其他任務,成長將進一步加速。
- 資本配置:股票買回將維持視市場時機而定,而非依固定計畫進行。Bristow 亦將持續支應股利、機隊投資及策略性擴張。
完整法說會逐字稿
完整財報電話會議逐字稿
管理層陳述
Operator
Good day, everyone, and welcome to Bristow Group's Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. Today's call is being recorded.
[Operator Instructions]
At this time, I would like to turn the call over to Red Tillahan, Senior Manager of Investor Relations and Financial Reporting.
Redeate Tilahun
Thank you, Michael. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to Bristow Group's Third Quarter of 2026 Earnings Call.
I am joined on the call today with our President and Chief Executive Officer, Chris Bradshaw, and Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Jennifer Whalen.
Before we begin, I'd like to take this opportunity to remind everyone that during the course of this call, management may make forward-looking statements that are subject to risks and uncertainties that are described in more detail on Slide 3 of the investor presentation.
You may access the investor presentation on our website. We will also reference certain non-GAAP financial measures such as EBITDA and free cash flow.
A reconciliation of such measures to GAAP is included in the earnings release and the investor presentation. I will now turn the call over to our President and CEO. Chris?
Christopher Bradshaw
Thank you, Red. I'll begin with updates on 5 key topics. First, safety, which remains Bristow's #1 core value and highest operational priority.
The company delivered on our goal of 0 air accidents through the first 10 months of 2026. In occupational safety, we remain on track to achieve our third consecutive year of fewer lost workdays.
I would like to thank everyone on the Bristow team for their continued focus on Target Zero, which is our commitment to 0 accidents and zero harm.
Second, Bristow announced strong financial results for the third quarter, and we are reaffirming the midpoint for the company's full-year 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance, which reflects year-over-year growth of approximately 25%.
The ability to confirm this outlook despite macro uncertainties and continued supply chain challenges is a testament to the complementary nature of Bristow's business segments and the benefits provided by the significant geographic and customer diversity in our business model.
Third, Bristow Special Missions, formerly known as Berry Aviation, has contributed strong financial results since the acquisition closed in July, and we expect this growth to accelerate in the fourth quarter and full year 2027.
This acquisition has strengthened Bristow's business by adding specialized capabilities across a range of mission-critical operations and strong relationships with key military and defense customers, better positioning the company to benefit from increased defense spending trends.
Fourth, persistent industry supply chain challenges have hampered our performance. The fact that this is a familiar theme common across the aviation sector does not make it any less frustrating.
Since 2020, on-time deliveries from key original equipment manufacturers have fallen by approximately 20%. Moreover, when delivery dates are missed, they have been missed by extended intervals.
Slide #9 of this quarter's earnings presentation summarizes extended maintenance downtime periods experienced across the helicopter industry.
We have been compelled to increase inventory levels and implement other mitigations that come at a cost to the company. But unfortunately, key components continue to have increased turn times and arrive late from the suppliers.
While we are experiencing these challenges across Bristow's business, the most acute impacts can be seen in delayed aircraft modification programs for the company's new search and rescue contracts.
These delays and their associated knock-on effects are depressing current margins in our Government Services segment. While the most readily visible effects may be contractual performance penalties, these penalties dramatically underestimate the total impact.
The full knock-on effects of these delayed contract transitions include, but are not limited to, lost revenue opportunities, manpower and time spent chasing parts, cannibalization of the company's internal fleet to keep aircraft flying, and delayed aircraft lease returns, not to mention retaining additional headcount, overtime expense, and costs for outsourced third-party maintenance support.
Looking forward, based on detailed discussions and work with our key vendors, we expect these supply chain issues to stabilize during 2027, facilitating a return to historically strong margins in our Government Services business.
Fifth and finally, Bristow's overall business is continuing to perform well despite the supply chain headwinds.
Our Offshore Energy Services business has continued to demonstrate robust profitability, and we believe positive offshore energy fundamentals and the tight supply of relevant offshore helicopters have combined for more favorable industry conditions than we've seen in more than a dozen years.
I'll take some time to discuss more of the drivers poised to benefit the company later in this call. But for now, I'll hand it over to our CFO for a detailed discussion of Q3 results. Jennifer?
Jennifer Whalen
Thank you, Chris, and good morning, everyone.
Before we begin, I would like to highlight that the financial results for Bristow Special Mission, Inc., or BSM, from July 13 onwards are included in our consolidated financial results following the successful closing of the acquisition in July.
As a reminder, Special Missions, MRO, and UAS business results are included as a part of our Government Services segment, while the results for on-demand cargo and other remaining BSM services are reflected as a part of our Other Services segment.
Looking at the sequential quarter financial results on a consolidated basis, Bristow's total revenues were approximately $26 million higher in Q3 compared to Q2, while adjusted EBITDA was approximately $10 million higher this quarter.
We have tightened our guidance ranges for the remainder of the year and updated certain segments and consolidated ranges as reflected on Slide 13 of our presentation.
We are also affirming our 2026 adjusted EBITDA guidance midpoint of approximately $310 million.
Turning now to our segment financial results and outlook. Revenues in our Offshore Energy Services, or OES, segment were $5.6 million lower in Q3, primarily due to lower utilization in Europe and higher penalties in Africa, partially offset by higher utilization and rates in the Americas.
Adjusted operating income in OES was $2 million higher this quarter, due to lower total operating expenses of $8.3 million and general and administrative expenses of $1.1 million, offsetting the lower revenues.
The decrease in costs was primarily driven by lower utilization levels in the North Sea and lower global fuel prices.
Given that the North Sea is one of our higher-cost markets in which we operate, these decreased costs, coupled with successful contract resets and growth over the past few years in key markets such as the Americas and Africa, have led to margin expansion.
Our OES segment adjusted operating income margin was 27% this quarter compared to margins in the low teens when we first began to reset our contracts towards the end of 2023.
Our OES contracts are now effectively fully reset, with full-year impact of the more recent rate adjustments to be seen in 2027.
Given the continued performance of our OES business, we are tightening our 2026 guidance and increasing the adjusted operating income guidance range to $240 million to $250 million for this segment.
Moving on to Government Services. Revenues for this segment were $17.8 million higher, primarily due to the acquisition of BSM, which contributed $16.9 million of revenues in the quarter.
Revenues on the U.K. search and rescue contract were $1.6 million higher as a result of lower penalties and increased fuel revenues.
Revenues on the Irish Coast Guard contract were $0.7 million lower due to higher penalties related to aircraft availability.
Adjusted operating income was $2.5 million higher, primarily due to the revenues from BSM, partially offset by higher operating expenses of $13 million and general and administrative expenses of $2.4 million, both of which were driven by the inclusion of BSM and ongoing contract transitions.
While government contract transitions have continued to progress and penalties have decreased in the U.K. this quarter, overall penalties related to aircraft availability, which has been adversely impacted by continued supply chain challenges, have remained elevated throughout this year.
As Chris noted, the knock-on effects of these supply chain issues have been more significant than the penalties themselves. The net impact of these factors is included in our revised Government Services segment adjusted operating income range for 2026.
At this time, we are updating our 2026 revenue guidance range to $470 million to $490 million and the adjusted operating income guidance range to $35 million to $45 million for this segment.
As noted on our previous call, some of these transition costs will extend into early 2027, and margins on these government SAR contracts are expected to recover over time.
As a reminder, these are typically 10-year base contract periods plus option years, and we still expect to generate attractive long-term cash flow yields on these important government services mandates.
2027 and beyond will also benefit from the full-year impact of the BSM acquisition and the new opportunities that are expected to arise from Bristow's new multi-mission government services offering.
In our Other Services segment, revenues were $14 million higher this quarter, primarily due to the inclusion of BSM revenues of $9.2 million and higher activity in Australia, resulting in higher revenues of $4.8 million.
Adjusted operating income for this segment was $7.4 million higher in the current quarter, mostly resulting from the increased revenues, partially offset by higher operating expenses of $4.7 million and general and administrative expenses of $1.9 million, both of which were largely related to the inclusion of BSM.
We are affirming our 2026 other services revenues and adjusted operating income guidance ranges of $155 million to $175 million and $25 million to $30 million, respectively.
Lastly, the $4.5 million increase in corporate expenses this quarter is attributable to higher professional service fees related to the acquisition of BSM. But otherwise, our corporate costs remain consistent.
During the quarter, we launched a new initiative aimed at retiring our legacy enterprise resource planning system and implementing a new ERP system over the course of the next year.
Once live, the new ERP system is expected to save the company a meaningful amount of annual costs while offering more robust capabilities than our existing system.
The new ERP is expected to go live in 2028. We are excited to launch this project, and we will provide material updates as we progress.
Turning now to capital allocation, cash flows, and liquidity. Our primary sources and uses of cash during the third quarter included approximately $103 million of net cash used to acquire BSM, which is subject to additional purchase price adjustments; about $29 million on shareholder returns, which include $25 million of share repurchases and nearly $4 million in cash dividends; $20.8 million of capital expenditures primarily related to progress payments on OES-configured AW189 aircraft on order, ongoing contract transitions, and normal course maintenance CapEx.
Principal and interest payments of $24 million and net proceeds on an aircraft sale-leaseback transaction of $19 million.
Net cash provided by operating activities increased by $20 million this quarter, while working capital showed an improvement of $17.7 million during Q3.
Bristow continues to maintain a healthy cash balance and strong liquidity position. As of September 2026, our unrestricted cash balance was $233.4 million, with total available liquidity of approximately $287 million.
As we continue to execute on our capital allocation program, we were pleased to return capital to shareholders this quarter through opportunistic share buybacks and additional dividend payments.
The company repurchased 550,000 shares of common stock for $25 million at an average price per share of $45.64, with $96 million remaining available under the repurchase program.
Additionally, on October 29, 2026, Bristow declared a dividend of $0.125 per share of common stock payable on November 27 to shareholders of record at the close of business on November 13.
At this time, I will turn the call back to Chris for further remarks. Chris?
Christopher Bradshaw
Thank you. As noted earlier, I want to spend some time discussing industry fundamentals and the trends supporting a positive outlook for offshore Energy Services.
Referencing Slide #14 of the earnings presentation materials.
While the spot prices for crude oil and natural gas may swing up or down based upon the day's headlines, our OES customers plan their activities and expenditures based upon long-term views for commodity prices and expected financial returns.
The global demand for oil and gas is expected to increase more than 12% over the next 15 years. But where will the incremental supply come from, and how secure are those barrels?
Like many industry observers, we expect offshore projects will receive an increasing share of future upstream capital investment. Deepwater projects are favorably positioned, offering attractive relative returns within the asset portfolios of oil and gas companies.
Moreover, recent geopolitical events have placed an enduring emphasis on where hydrocarbon supplies are located, and the established offshore energy basins that Bristow services represent some of the most attractive and secure sources of supply.
As seen on Slide #15, offshore project final investment decisions, or FIDs, are on pace to exceed $110 billion this year, following $70 billion in 2025, which would represent a year-over-year increase of more than 60%.
The outlook for next year is another 30% increase to total FIDs of approximately $144 billion in 2027. Slide 16 shows growth in the offshore rig count and utilization levels, with the utilization rate for global floating rigs expected to reach 96% next year.
While the vast majority of Bristow's OES revenues, roughly 85%, support long-term production activities, an increase in the working number of offshore drilling rigs drives additional demand for helicopter services, and successful discoveries represent future production work.
Slide 17 contains additional information from Westwood Global Energy Group, which presents a comprehensive overview of the current global offshore energy infrastructure, including production facilities, drilling rigs, and offshore wind installations, as well as expectations for growth in the number of these offshore platforms over the next 10 years.
As you can see, these trends point to a significant increase in demand for offshore energy logistics services, supporting a positive outlook for Bristow's business.
Finally, Slide 18 is an updated look at offshore helicopter capacity from Steve Robertson at A&C Analytics. As you can see, effective utilization rates for the relevant models of heavy, super medium, and medium helicopters remain at or near full utilization.
This supply dynamic provides further context to the strong financial results that Jennifer reviewed earlier.
In conclusion, the combination of the positive offshore energy fundamentals and the tight supply of relevant offshore helicopters represents more favorable industry conditions than we've seen in more than a dozen years.
With that, let's open the line for questions. Michael?
Operator
[Operator Instructions]
The first question is from Josh Sullivan from JonesTrading.
分析師問答
Joshua Sullivan
Just given the complexities of the aviation industry supply chain, obviously, most of it's out of your hands.
But I mean, what can you do to protect yourself from the issue while you wait for the OEMs to get their solutions in line and begin delivering on time? What can Bristow do in this time period?
Christopher Bradshaw
Yes, we are taking steps to mitigate the situation as best as possible. We have increased inventory levels. We have retained additional headcount. We're spending more on overtime.
We've added a second shift to the hangar that's working through the aircraft modification programs for those new search and rescue contracts.
Unfortunately, all those measures come at an additional cost to the company, and you're seeing the impacts of that in Bristow's Q2 and Q3 Government Services financial results, thankfully being offset by strength in other parts of the business.
In addition to those measures, on the customer side, we have made some progress in getting relief on availability issues that are not under Bristow's control related to those supply chain issues you referenced.
So you see some benefit from that in new OES contract terms.
On the government side, we've had success with our largest customer and also getting some relief on KPI penalties during this transition period, which has provided a cap on those penalties that we expect to endure at least through Q1 of 2027. So that's helped some.
The main thing, though, is really working in concert with our key suppliers to help get through this aircraft modification program and to a more normalized supply chain picture stabilized in 2027.
So we're really focused on working through that picture with them.
Joshua Sullivan
And then if we think about the balance of the dynamic between OEM new deliveries versus aftermarket parts, which is the bigger industry issue today?
Christopher Bradshaw
Yes. By far, it's really the aftermarket and the availability of parts for existing aircraft.
We have had some delays in new aircraft deliveries, as you referenced, and that's not a welcome situation, clearly, but nowhere near as impactful as the overall issues with aftermarket parts availability that we need to keep the existing fleet working and operational for our customers.
So it's really that focus on getting parts on a more timely basis.
Joshua Sullivan
And then I guess it leads into another question. Your Bristow's leadership in the advanced mobility market, upcoming flights with Electra, other partners, Data, Alroy, et cetera.
As we think about the supply chain issues with the legacy aviation industry, your diversification into the AM market and its supply chains- is that an emerging advantage?
Christopher Bradshaw
I think it could be on the margin once those aircraft are certified and operational.
Thankfully, most of those aircraft designs have less complexity and many fewer working parts. It's one of the reasons that their operating costs are expected to be dramatically lower than current-generation aircraft.
So fewer moving parts should translate into more reliable operations. So to your question, there could be a benefit there. I think overall, though, to draw out maybe a bit bigger picture, I mean, one of the main benefits that we have at Bristow is our scale and diversification.
We're having the supply chain issues we've discussed with our current suppliers. However, we are their biggest customer, really across the board. So the benefits of that scale mean that we are at the front of the line.
Unfortunately, right now, it's really just a math situation where there are not enough parts to go around.
But I think we are favorably positioned relative to the rest of the industry.
And then, importantly, on the diversification front, the number of different customers, the number of different geographies, and importantly, the number of different end markets, which is part of your original question, Josh, I think is a benefit for the overall portfolio in Bristow's business.
Operator
Our next question comes from Savanthi Syth from Raymond James.
Savanthi Syth
Could you elaborate a little bit more, maybe, Jennifer, on the ERP implementation? Just what drove the decision, what gives you the confidence around the 1-year time frame, costs that we should consider around implementation, and what you're expecting in savings?
Jennifer Whalen
Sure. The implementation will require a one-time investment, but we expect it to deliver recurring savings of several million dollars a year once it's fully in place.
Beyond the savings, the project will modernize our finance processes and systems with built-in AI and other new capabilities that will make us more efficient and better at making decisions across the organization.
And I guess to address the conference, we do expect it to go live in 2028, so a little more than a year from now, but these more modern technologies have a streamlined way of being able to get that implemented in that time.
So we have some pretty good confidence in that.
Savanthi Syth
And just on the cost drag, any way to quantify that or help us appreciate what that could be to 2027?
Jennifer Whalen
Well, we're early in the project and scoping it all out. So a little too early to give numbers yet. We will call that out as we go, but we're a little early to call out the numbers yet.
Savanthi Syth
And if I might follow up on one of Josh's questions. Can you provide like some specifics around which parts or aircraft models you're seeing the most supply chain delays?
And maybe along with that, just the comfort in meeting the government services, having that trail off here in early 2027 because it seems to be taking longer than maybe you thought last quarter.
Christopher Bradshaw
Yes, and happy to address that. I'll talk mostly about aircraft models. The list of parts really can change month-to-month or sometimes week-to-week.
But in terms of aircraft types, it is primarily in the Leonardo models. By way of a reminder, all of the new aircraft going to work on the Irish Coast Guard contract are AW189, super medium helicopters.
The majority of the aircraft for U.K. SAR 2G are AW189s and, to a lesser extent, 139s. So really, again, the Leonardo products.
In terms of what gives us some comfort on that timeline, we've spent an extensive amount of time in working sessions with them, really in Italy, on the production line as well as in our bases.
They've also come out and had joint meetings supporting us with our end customers, those government customers, which has been helpful for the end customer to hear the message directly from the OEM.
But they are making significant investments into their supply chain. As you'll be familiar, they have a complex network of subcontractors that amalgamate to form a supply chain for a given aircraft model.
They've been putting a lot of investment into those suppliers, those subcontractors, on new parts orders to help build up key inventory levels.
They're also making investments to diversify the sources of supply. To give you maybe just one case study or example there, the wind screens, so these are literally the windshields for the aircraft.
The industry has really been too concentrated in a single-source supplier there that's had issues, both from timing and then quality control.
And so one thing that Leonardo has done is made an investment to put a second source of supply in business and actually now, after that, a third to help provide some better resiliency into that key component.
And then overall, we think the incentives are in place to get this fixed and normalized. As a reminder, the same aircraft that we're ordering from Leonardo, who, by the way, is a key player in the European military-industrial complex, are the same aircraft models that European militaries are reliant upon for their defense posture against geopolitical threats.
So we think all the incentives are aligned to get this fixed and to a more stable situation. It's just unfortunately not going to happen overnight.
Based upon all those discussions and steps that I mentioned, our best information at this time is that we should be at a more stabilized position by the end of Q1 2027.
Savanthi Syth
And just a clarification, just on the OES side, if you get more demand, does that come from higher utilization of the existing fleet? Or is that through further deliveries?
Christopher Bradshaw
So we do have a high effective utilization rate for Bristow's fleet, similar to the broader industry stats that were summarized in the presentation materials.
However, we do have some available aircraft. For example, we have some S-92s that we're moving out of the North Sea, which is a more mature market, into markets like Africa and the Americas to meet customer demand and growth there.
We are also taking delivery of new super medium aircraft. As a reminder, we had 7 of those on order. Really, none of those have contributed meaningfully to reported financials to date. So that's all still to come.
We are one of the few operators with an order book and the ability to meet that incremental customer demand. So that will provide growth as we look at 2027 and beyond.
And then I guess the final note there is, as Jennifer referenced, 2027, we'll see more of the full period benefit of the contract rate resets that have occurred during calendar '26.
Operator
Our next question comes from Alex Rygiel from Texas Capital.
Alexander Rygiel
Regarding your comments about additional OES demand, do the current supply chain challenges place Bristow opportunities in the OES space at risk at all?
Christopher Bradshaw
They certainly could if it impacts our ongoing aircraft availability levels. However, we are managing through that as best as possible.
As noted, we have also achieved some better contractual terms, which have carved out risk and penalties for us on certain of those availability issues that are beyond our control because of the supply chain issues.
But overall, yes, it does present risk. I would note, though, it also presents opportunity to the extent that the supply chain improvements are realized going forward.
It frees up quite a bit of what's been hampering the company's performance to date, and that really opens us up for even better performance moving forward.
Alexander Rygiel
And then can you speak to the special missions business? How is it tracking to initial expectations, and comment on any kind of integration that's occurring right now?
Jennifer Whalen
Sure. As far as where it's tracking, it's on track to perform for 2026. We highlighted some of that in the prepared remarks where it did contribute this quarter, and it's moving as expected. We do expect that to accelerate in 2027.
The business is doing well and has more opportunities now than it had to date. And then as far as the integration piece goes, because BSM is a fixed-wing business, its operations do not overlap too much with the helicopter business.
So we were always expecting limited operational integration, but the back office integration is progressing well with no meaningful issues to date.
Operator
Our next question comes from Steve Silver from Argus.
Steven Silver
First of all, can you talk a little bit about the composition of the current fleet after the recent sale-leasebacks and periodic aircraft sales over time?
And just your current thinking around when you're expecting the remaining aircraft on your order book to be delivered?
Christopher Bradshaw
Sure. I'll take the first part of that, Steve.
In terms of the composition of the current fleet, we think Bristow remains very competitive with the aircraft models that we have and the new additions to the fleet, which include those new-generation super medium aircraft principally.
So a good balance on the heavy and super medium model mix, also on the medium side with the largest operating fleet of AW139s, which is really the category leader in the medium space around the world, recently supplemented by the addition of a new H160 model from Airbus into that medium category.
So overall, we continue to think we have a very competitive fleet, the right mix of aircraft to meet customer demand. And Jennifer, do you want to touch on timing?
Jennifer Whalen
Sure. So we have 2 aircraft left in our order book; they're AW189s, and we do expect one this month and the other one in 2027.
We also hold options for more aircraft, and we would exercise them only if customer demand supports it and the commercial terms were right. And any of those aircraft that were ordered under those options will be delivered at a later date.
Steven Silver
And you just mentioned special missions expected to accelerate growth in Q4 and in 2027.
Just curious as to whether there are any particular catalysts or projects worth calling out there?
Christopher Bradshaw
Yes. Happy to address that. And I guess as a preface, we're really happy with how that business is performing to date.
When you do an acquisition, as much diligence as you do upfront, you never really know exactly what you're buying until you are on the inside. And we've been really pleased to date with what we've seen: the performance of the business to date and the outlook both for Q4 and 2027.
In terms of opportunities, starting first on the other category, their on-demand cargo business, or ODC business, is really performing well, above expectations.
And so long as supply chain issues exist and geopolitical tensions strain trade routes, we think the tailwinds for that ODC on-demand cargo business will continue to be good.
Then, more on the special missions basis, what we're seeing really is an opportunity set, whether it's on intelligence, surveillance and reconnaissance or ISR missions or troop movements that looks ripe for growth if capital is available.
So, over the last few years, they've had limited ability to add aircraft to their fleet to pursue some of those growth opportunities.
I think with our support, looking at bringing in some more leased aircraft, potentially some owned aircraft, there's going to be more of an opportunity to capture growth in that mission profile likely throughout the Americas as well as other areas outside the Continental United States.
Steven Silver
And one more for me. So free cash flow was solid in the quarter. Share repurchases picked up quite a bit in Q3.
So I'm just curious, I mean, the company has stated consistently that the goal was to be opportunistic on share repurchases.
But I was wondering if you could expand a little bit on maybe the timing of the activity this quarter and really your current thinking on capital allocation, trying to balance additional share repurchases and debt reduction.
Jennifer Whalen
Sure. As you noted, our share repurchases are done on an opportunistic basis. We hadn't done as many of those up to date because of a lot of reasons that we've discussed in the past.
We had a big capital investment in aircraft related to the U.K. SAR 2G contract and the Irish Coast Guard contract.
Those have largely completed, and we were able to deploy capital to expand our government services business with the purchase of BSM, investing in the fleet on the OES side with the new purchases of AW189s that will go to work for customers.
Again, share repurchases, the $25 million we did this quarter, again, it is done on an opportunistic basis. We're not doing it programmatically as we move along.
And we are consistently working through our dividend program and continuing to declare dividends on a quarterly basis.
Operator
Our final question today is from Colby Sasso from Daniel Energy Partners.
Colby Sasso
Can you expand on the key drivers behind the updates on the guidance ranges, noting the midpoint was affirmed?
And what risks or opportunities do you see for the remainder of the year?
Christopher Bradshaw
Yes. First, we were pleased to reaffirm the adjusted EBITDA midpoint for full year 2026, which I think is a testament to the significant diversity that we have in the business from an end market, customer and geographic standpoint. So happy to be able to reaffirm that.
In terms of some of the drivers on some of the range changes, first, on the Government Services side, really the supply chain issues that we've talked about during the call would be the primary one.
And then on the OES side, those changes were really supported by the strong industry fundamentals and the tight supply-demand dynamic that exists with relevant offshore helicopter models globally.
In terms of risks, certainly, geopolitical developments, the macro side with the commodity price, anything there is always a risk that we'll be exposed to.
Foreign exchange rates are another one that can impact our business, particularly with the big government contracts where we are paid in the local currency under those particular contracts.
And then on the opportunities front, I think supply chain, which has obviously been a big hindrance to the business recently to the extent that those issues do stabilize, that will be an opportunity to free up aircraft in the business for better performance.
Colby Sasso
And as a follow-up, looking at the utilization levels you highlighted earlier on Slide 18, if these aircrafts are effectively fully utilized and contracted out, how are you thinking about picking up any incremental ad hoc short-term exploration work in 2027?
Christopher Bradshaw
Yes. And thank you for the question. I appreciate the opportunity to clarify that.
The information on Slide 18 is really industry-wide data that comes from a third-party source, which we think does the best job of tracking industry data on this metric.
For Bristow, overall, our fleet is similarly positioned.
However, there are some differences. For example, we do have some available S-92s that we will move out of the North Sea, which is a more mature market, into some other markets where there is additional demand from customers in places like Africa and the Americas.
So we'll be able to meet that growth and their demand there. We do also have the new deliveries that we spoke about, those new super mediums coming into the fleet, which really haven't contributed meaningfully to reported financials to date, but they have now mostly been delivered.
As those go to work, that will drive growth for us and meet demand for our customers. And we're one of the few operators who actually does have an order book and the ability to bring in those aircraft.
Then beyond that, as we think about part of your original question, which relates to short-term drilling exploration opportunities, we do have the ability to share aircraft to support ad hoc and short-term work with aircraft that might be under other contracts, but we can use available flight hour capacity to support additional customers as well.
Operator
This concludes our question-and-answer session. I'll now turn the call back over to Chris Bradshaw for closing remarks.
Christopher Bradshaw
Thank you, Michael, and thanks, everyone, for joining the call on what's, I guess, been a slow couple of news days. We appreciate the interest.
We look forward to speaking again next quarter. In the meantime, stay safe and well.
Operator
This concludes today's call. You may now disconnect at any time.
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