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TPVG 2026 年第 3 季法說會:NII 隨第 4 季放款加速而下滑

2026年11月5日 08:20
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TriplePoint Venture Growth第三季總收益與淨投資收益雙雙下滑,每股淨投資收益0.16美元,低於每股0.23美元的例行配息。受已實現與未實現損失影響,每股淨資產價值降至8.32美元。出售Prodigy Finance挹注了流動性,總流動資金達1.68億美元,總槓桿率降至1.18倍。第四季放款活動與提前還款金額顯著回升,管理團隊預期第四季表現將走強,並將持續優化投資組合結構。

該摘要由AI生成

TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. (NYSE: TPVG) 在出售其先前最大的債權投資標的 Prodigy Finance 後,公布第三季總收益與淨投資收益均見下滑。第三季資金投放規模異常偏低,但隨著管理團隊持續將投資組合輪動轉向較新的創投成長型投資,相關業務活動在季底後明顯加速。

重點摘要

  • 總投資及其他收益自第二季的 2,210 萬美元降至 2,020 萬美元。淨投資收益自 830 萬美元(即每股 0.21 美元)下滑至 660 萬美元(即每股 0.16 美元)。
  • 每股淨資產價值 (NAV) 自 8.67 美元降至 8.32 美元,主要反映了 830 萬美元的已實現與未實現投資淨損失,以及配息金額超出淨投資收益。
  • 依據管理團隊說明,受交易時程與合約文件簽署進度影響,第三季債權放款金額僅 70 萬美元。隨後在第四季截至法說會召開當日,TPVG 已投放 5,740 萬美元,超出先前預估的 2,500 萬至 5,000 萬美元區間。
  • 出售 Prodigy Finance 取得 4,380 萬美元,降低了實物支付 (PIK) 曝險並改善流動性。季底總流動資金達 1.68 億美元,總槓桿率則由 1.26 倍降至 1.18 倍。
  • 董事會宣布第四季例行配息為每股 0.23 美元。管理團隊表示此金額仍為目前目標,但董事會將持續根據獲利能力、應稅所得、流動性及股東利益審視股利政策。
  • 投資顧問將全額免收季度收益激勵管理費的期限延長至 2027 年底,為淨投資收益及股利覆蓋率提供支撐。

核心財務數據

指標2026 年第三季2026 年第二季變動或背景說明
總投資及其他收益2,020 萬美元2,210 萬美元7 月 1 日出售 Prodigy 後收益下滑
淨投資收益660 萬美元830 萬美元投資收益與加速提前還款收益下滑
每股淨投資收益 (NII)0.16 美元0.21 美元低於每季例行配息的 0.23 美元
債權投資組合收益率12.4%12.9%包含提前還款相關收益
不含提前還款之核心投資組合收益率12.0%12.3%較上一季下滑
實物支付 (PIK) 收益250 萬美元300 萬美元佔總投資及其他收益的 12%,低於先前的 14%
每股淨資產價值 (NAV)8.32 美元8.67 美元第三季每股下滑 0.35 美元
已實現與未實現投資淨損失830 萬美元—包括債權投資組合的 1,360 萬美元損失及 GrubMarket 股權的 350 萬美元損失,部分被其他部位的收益所抵銷
總流動資金1.68 億美元—1,800 萬美元現金與受限制現金,加上 1.5 億美元循環信貸額度
總槓桿率1.18 倍1.26 倍運用出售 Prodigy 之款項降低槓桿
淨槓桿率1.12 倍1.22 倍較上一季改善
未撥款承諾額度1.716 億美元約 1.41 億美元若未動用,其中 5,400 萬美元預計於年底到期

若計入已實現與未實現投資活動,TPVG 營運所產生的淨資產減少 170 萬美元,相當於每股減少 0.04 美元。

業務與營運表現

TPVG 於第三季完成八家投資組合公司共計 4,300 萬美元的新增債權承諾額度,較第二季增加 45%。發起人 TriplePoint Capital 於該期間簽署了 1.06 億美元的創投成長型投資意向書,潛在投資項目儲備則超過 20 億美元。

第三季實際債權放款僅針對四家公司投放共 70 萬美元,相比之下第二季則對 10 家公司投放 4,780 萬美元。管理團隊將此落差歸因於交易時程與合約文件簽署,而非市場需求或項目開展環境疲軟。

季底後業務活動明顯加速。TPVG 向三家公司配置了 6,000 萬美元的新承諾額度,且截至法說會召開當日已投放 5,740 萬美元。此外,TriplePoint Capital 在第四季截至目前已簽署 1.25 億美元的投資意向書。

該公司在第三季收到 1,100 萬美元的貸款提前還款。第四季截至目前,提前還款金額達到約 7,300 萬美元,產生超過 200 萬美元的加速收益,預期將挹注第四季營運表現。

投資組合輪動仍聚焦於降低 2020 年至 2022 年間建立的投資部位曝險,並增加涵蓋 AI、國防、航太、能源及相關基礎設施領域的新公司。管理團隊表示,2023 年以來建立的投資項目表現持續良好且趨勢正向。

截至季底,TPVG 持有 120 家公司的認股權證及 57 家公司的股權投資,合計公允價值為 1.435 億美元。其中所持有的剩餘 Revolut 認股權證與股權部位價值約為 5,600 萬美元。

該公司亦宣布管理層交接人事異動。Sajal Srivastava 將於年底卸任總裁兼投資長職務,由 Ian Schworer 接任投資長。James Labe 則將繼續擔任執行長。

管理團隊財測展望

管理團隊對第四季之後常態性的季度債權放款規模維持在 2,500 萬至 5,000 萬美元區間。若提前還款金額增加或到期還款釋出額外資金空間,放款金額可能超過 5,000 萬美元。

每股 0.23 美元的例行配息仍為管理團隊目前的目標,但仍須經董事會後續審議。先前宣布之追加配息的第二期(即最後一期)每股 0.06 美元款項預計於 12 月 30 日發放。

投資顧問將在 2027 年全年持續免收季度收益激勵管理費。今年以來,其已賺取並自願免收的收益激勵管理費達 320 萬美元。

風險與關鍵觀察要點

  • 第三季每股淨投資收益 0.16 美元不足以覆蓋每股 0.23 美元的季度例行配息。管理團隊表示,本季表現受到出售 Prodigy 及加速收益減少影響,但股利發放仍將持續受到審視。
  • 每股淨資產價值 (NAV) 面臨債權投資組合損失及 GrubMarket 未實現損失的壓力。觀察名單中的多數曝險仍與 2020 至 2022 年間建立的投資部位相關。
  • TPVG 正優先處理將於 2027 年 2 月到期的 1.25 億美元無擔保票據之再融資事宜。管理團隊正根據資金確定性、資金成本及財務靈活性評估各項替代方案。
  • 未撥款承諾額度增至 1.716 億美元,需要持續嚴密管控流動性、還款進度與槓桿水準。
  • 創投支持企業的流動性退出管道仍相對集中。管理團隊表示,併購仍是主要出場途徑,而科技股 IPO 窗口尚未全面重啟。

分析師問答精選

管理團隊表示,第三季放款量異常偏低是因為交易交割時程跨季以及合約文件簽署耗時超出預期,並非反映市場環境、潛在案源或放款拓展活動出現惡化。

針對股利覆蓋率,管理團隊並未給出經常性每股 NII 恢復至 0.23 美元的具體時間表。董事會將每季評估預期獲利、應稅所得、結轉盈餘、流動性及股東長期利益。

TPVG 尚未在其授權的買回庫藏股計畫下執行回購。管理團隊坦言,庫藏股買回雖有助於提升每股 NAV 與每股 NII,但目前仍以流動性、槓桿率、未撥款承諾額度及即將到期的債務為優先考量。

管理團隊亦表示,在次級市場出售認股權證與股權部位,仍是可運用的潛在流動性來源之一。任何處分交易都將取決於個別公司的具體情況與定價。

完整法說會逐字稿


完整財報電話會議逐字稿

管理層陳述

Operator

Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the TriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] This conference is being recorded, and a replay of the call will be available in an audio webcast on the TriplePoint Venture Growth website.

Company management is pleased to share with you the company's results for the third quarter of 2026. Today, representing the company and on today's call is Jim Labe, Chief Executive Officer and Chairman of the Board; Sajal Srivastava, President and Chief Investment Officer; Mike Wilhelms, Chief Financial Officer; and Ian Schworer, who will be assuming the role of Chief Investment Officer at year's end.

Before I turn the call over to Mr. Labe, I'd like to direct your attention to the customary safe harbor disclosure in the company's press release regarding forward-looking statements and remind you that, during this call, management will make certain statements that relate to future events or the company's future performance or financial condition, which are considered forward-looking statements under federal securities law. You are asked to refer to the company's most recent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission for important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from these statements. The company does not undertake any obligation to update any forward-looking statements or projections unless required by law. Investors are cautioned not to place undue reliance on any forward-looking statements made during the call, which reflect management's opinions only as of today. To obtain copies of our largest -- of our latest SEC filings, please visit the company's website at www.tpvg.com.

Now I'd like to turn the conference over to Mr. Labe. Please go ahead.

James Labe

Thank you, operator. Good afternoon, everyone, and welcome to TPVG's third quarter earnings call. Over the past several quarters, our focus has been on continuing to advance our investment sector rotation and diversification strategy by investing in high-quality venture growth stage companies across AI and other attractive venture investment sectors while steadily reducing our exposure to and monetizing our vintage 2020 through '22 portfolio investments. We will continue along this path as we seek to enhance TPVG's portfolio quality and durability, strengthen our financial position, grow our income-generating assets and increase NAV over the long term for the benefit of our shareholders.

Starting with some key highlights from the quarter. We're continuing to see strong demand for debt financing from leading venture growth stage companies. We signed $106 million of term sheets with venture growth stage companies at our sponsor, TriplePoint Capital, and our venture growth stage pipeline now exceeds more than $2 billion. In the third quarter, TPVG closed $43 million in debt commitments across 8 portfolio companies, a 45% increase over the second quarter. We also lowered our leverage and saw an increase in our average new deal yields on signed term sheets.

We are continuing to execute on our plan of investment sector rotation and portfolio diversification across very attractive sectors, investing in companies such as Eridu, Heron Power, Thoughtspot and Muon Space, and we remain focused on backing category-defining companies that are at the forefront of adopting and deploying AI across their product offerings.

While we funded $0.7 million of debt investments during the quarter, which was driven by timing and discipline, subsequent to quarter's close, TPVG has already funded $57 million through yesterday, and we're only about 1/3 of the way or so into the fourth quarter. While we had a light funding quarter, based on the pace and momentum of the current quarter so far, including the $57 million of fundings, another $60 million of commitments, some $125 million of signed term sheets already, coupled with our large pipeline, we're expecting a strong finish here in the fourth quarter accompanied by the strong liquidity to service it.

Turning to the portfolio. We continue to focus on actively managing and working through our vintage 2020 through '22 credit situations, while building what we believe is a stronger and more diversified portfolio. As noted on last quarter's call, we exited Prodigy in the third quarter, which was our largest outstanding loan position. This represented an important step in our ongoing efforts to rebalance and diversify the portfolio. We expect to use these proceeds to further strengthen our liquidity position and enhance our financial flexibility. Most of our watch list exposures relate to these 2020 through '22 vintage investments, which have been on the watch list for an average of approximately 6.25 years.

Looking at our investments beginning in 2023, while newer, they continue to perform well and are trending positively, which we believe reflect the benefit of our sector rotation and diversification efforts. We're also pleased to see the fundraising activity among our companies increased significantly last quarter. Reflecting the strength of the VC market, 5 of our debt portfolio companies raised $1.7 billion in capital in private financing rounds during the quarter. All of them had increased upticks in their valuation, including Inspiren, Eridu, Etched, Muon Space and Encharge. This brings the year-to-date total to 12 debt portfolio companies raising approximately $2.8 billion.

On the investment side, the venture capital investment environment remains robust. According to PitchBook, an estimated 5,000 deals closed during the quarter, the second highest quarterly count on record. Through the first 3 quarters of the year, U.S. VC deal value reached a record $515 billion, almost 44% of the prior 5-year high. AI remains a dominant theme, accounting for 83% of the year-to-date deal value, the highest annual share on record. Venture growth stage investment in 2026 has nearly surpassed every prior year, both in capital invested but also in deal count. This growing base of large, well-capitalized, later-stage private companies continues to expand our addressable market.

On the exit side, liquidity for VC-backed companies remains concentrated. M&A generally remains a primary path. According to PitchBook, year-to-date exit value has reached a record of $2.3 trillion, but that was driven by a handful of large IPO transactions. The IPO window for tech venture-backed companies has yet to broadly reopen.

Within our own portfolio, while no M&A transactions closed in the third quarter, there are several in the process, and 2 transactions recently closed post quarter, including Synack and FitOn. Given that, a development as of only yesterday, in fact, was the announcement by Salesforce that it has signed a definitive agreement to acquire our TPVG portfolio company, Cresta, while -- where we hold warrant and equity positions associated with our former debt line. We believe we remain well positioned to benefit as liquidity broadens across tech venture-backed IPOs and this M&A over the coming quarters.

As a reminder, we maintain a sizable equity and warrant portfolio that continues to grow. As of September 30, we hold warrant positions in 120 portfolio companies and equity investments in 57. A number of these companies have also been identified in publications lists of top candidates for venture-backed IPOs in the U.S. and Europe.

TPVG continues to benefit from the AI investment megacycle. AI infrastructure remains a primary driver of capital formation with hyperscalers alone issuing approximately $225 billion of investment-grade year-to-date debt. That's more than the last prior 4 years combined. VCs are increasingly focused on infrastructure as access to compute becomes a key competitive advantage. We're also seeing growing investments in other attractive sectors, including defense, aerospace and energy, where data center demand is driving capital towards power and grid infrastructure. Demand for venture debt remains strong as financings continue to shift towards larger, later-stage transactions.

We also continue to benefit from the strong support of our platform sponsor, TriplePoint Capital, which is a leader in the venture lending market with direct origination capabilities. The adviser has waived its full quarterly income incentive fees since Q1 of 2025 and previously committed to maintaining that waiver for each quarter through the end of this year. In a continued demonstration of alignment with TPVG shareholders, the adviser has now amended its income incentive fee waiver and will waive its quarterly income incentive fee for all of 2027 as well.

We recently announced a leadership transition under which Sajal will be leaving his role as President and Chief Investment Officer at year's end. I will continue as the CEO of TPVG, and we're pleased to have appointed Ian Schworer as our Chief Investment Officer, also effective as of year's end. I want to thank Sajal for a significant contribution to TriplePoint over the past 23 years.

Together, we have built TriplePoint into an industry-leading and differentiated venture lending platform. I'm proud of the business we created and excited as TriplePoint continues to work with our venture partners and invest in leading companies to take advantage of strong long-term market trends. I look forward to continuing to work with Sajal over the coming months with a smooth and orderly transition underway. You'll hear more from Sajal shortly. We have great confidence in Ian, a 12-year TriplePoint veteran with an outstanding technology investment background who's grown up within our ranks and has been instrumental in helping manage our ongoing portfolio transition across the high-growth and diversified sectors that I've been describing.

In summary, we continue to make progress in strengthening and repositioning our portfolio for the long term while working diligently to maximize outcomes across credit situations. As a result of the actions we've taken, the post-2023 broader portfolio remains very strong. As we look ahead, we remain focused on disciplined underwriting, strengthening our balance sheet and diversifying our portfolio to capitalize on the attractive market opportunities today that enhance our long-term earnings power.

With that, let me turn the call over to Sajal.

Sajal Srivastava

Thank you, Jim, and good afternoon, everyone. During Q3, we continued to take steps to strengthen TPVG's foundation and position the company for the long term. Beginning with our investment activity, TriplePoint Capital signed $106 million of term sheets with venture growth stage companies during Q3 compared to $307 million of signed term sheets during Q2 2026, and TriplePoint Capital has signed $125 million of term sheets so far in the fourth quarter.

With regards to new investment allocation to TPVG during the third quarter, our adviser allocated $43 million in new commitments with 8 companies to TPVG as compared to $29.8 million of new commitments with 5 companies in Q2. We expect to continue to increase our allocation of new commitments as unfunded commitments continue to expire and as we receive prepayments and repayments over the rest of the year and have allocated $60 million in new commitments to 3 companies so far in the fourth quarter.

During the quarter, we funded $700,000 to 4 companies compared to $47.8 million of fundings to 10 companies in Q2. As Jim mentioned, our fundings during the quarter were impacted by timing, as we have already funded $57.4 million in the fourth quarter, already exceeding our guided range of $25 million to $50 million.

During Q3, we had $11 million in loan prepays, resulting in an overall weighted average portfolio yield of 12.4%. And excluding prepays, our core portfolio yield was 12%. This compares to $28.6 million of loan prepays and overall weighted average portfolio yield of 12.9% with prepays and 12.3% without prepays in Q2.

During the quarter, we sold our debt and equity investments in our European portfolio company, Prodigy Finance, to a third party for $43.8 million, consistent with our Q2 mark. Prodigy was our largest outstanding loan as of Q2, and the sale demonstrates continued progress on rotating our assets into newer vintages, diversifying the portfolio and reducing our overall exposure to PIK income.

With regards to credit activity during the third quarter, we saw movement within our legacy consumer portfolio due to market factors and performance as we upgraded Trendly, an EBITDA positive and cash flow positive consumer company from Yellow (3) to White (2) and downgraded JOKR and Flink from White (2) to Yellow (3) and made fair value adjustments on other loans as well, including Roli and Hydrow. As Jim mentioned, 5 portfolio companies raised an aggregate $1.5 billion during the quarter and 7 of our warrant and equity portfolio companies raised $1.1 billion, bringing the aggregate to $2.6 billion of equity capital raised during the quarter, reflecting positive on our portfolio as well as the warrant and equity investments associated with these investments.

As of Q3, we held warrants in 120 companies and equity investments in 57 companies with a total fair value of $143.5 million. Revolut continues to perform well with the company previously announcing a transaction at $115 billion valuation and media reports mentioning the company is considering an IPO with an even higher valuation target. Our remaining warrant and equity investments in Revolut have a fair value of approximately $56 million as of the end of the quarter.

The team continues to focus on building a strong foundation for TPVG and positioning TPVG for the long term by driving portfolio scale and quality, rotating the assets -- rotating the portfolio into newer vintages and enhancing shareholder value over the long term. As announced in September, after 23 years with TriplePoint, I will be leaving at the end of December. I am proud of what Jim and I have accomplished in building TriplePoint into an industry-leading platform on a global basis. I'm focused on working with the team to ensure a seamless transition, and I wish them all the best as they continue growing the business and capitalizing on attractive opportunities across the venture lending market.

With that, I will now hand the call over to Mike.

Mike Wilhelms

Thank you, Sajal, and good afternoon, everyone. Total investment income and other income for the third quarter was $20.2 million, representing a weighted average annualized portfolio yield on debt investments of 12.4% compared to $22.1 million and 12.9% in the prior quarter. The decline primarily reflects the July 1 disposition of our approximately $44 million investment in Prodigy, which had been our largest outstanding debt investment.

Approximately 2/3 of our debt investments are floating rate loans, substantially all of which are subject to prime rate floors. Based on our portfolio and borrowing structure at quarter end, increases in benchmark interest rates would be expected to have a positive impact on net investment income as the benefit from higher investment income would more than offset the increase in borrowing costs from our revolver. We continue to manage our mix of fixed and floating rate assets and liabilities with an emphasis on maintaining financial flexibility.

Net investment income for the quarter was $6.6 million or $0.16 per share compared to $8.3 million or $0.21 per share in the prior quarter. The sequential decline primarily reflects lower investment income, which includes a $500,000 reduction in accelerated income generated from loan prepayments. This decline was partially offset by lower interest expense as we used proceeds from the Prodigy disposition to reduce outstanding borrowings under our revolving credit facility. Including realized and unrealized investment activity, net decrease in net assets resulting from operations was $1.7 million or $0.04 per share.

PIK interest income declined to $2.5 million during the quarter compared to $3 million last quarter and $4.8 million in the third quarter of 2025. PIK represented approximately 12% of total investment and other income this quarter compared to 14% in the prior quarter and 21% in the third quarter of 2025. Reducing PIK exposure remains an important component of our efforts to improve the quality of recurring earnings.

Net asset value was $8.32 per share at September 30 compared to $8.67 at June 30. During the quarter, we recorded net realized and unrealized investment losses of $8.3 million. The net investment losses were primarily driven by $13.6 million of net realized and unrealized losses across our debt portfolio and a $3.5 million unrealized loss on our GrubMarket equity investment. These losses were partially offset by $7.8 million of unrealized gains in our Revolut investment and $1 million of net unrealized gains across our remaining warrant equity investments.

Importantly, the disposition of Prodigy had no incremental impact on NAV as the investment was sold at its June 30 fair value. NAV declined by $0.35 per share during the third quarter with approximately $0.20 attributable to net realized and unrealized investment losses. The remaining decline primarily reflected distributions exceeding net investment income, including the $0.06 per share supplemental distribution paid during the quarter.

A significant contributor to lower NII was the disposition of our Prodigy investment effective July 1. Given its size and higher yield, Prodigy had historically been a meaningful contributor to investment income. While the reduced near term -- while this reduced near-term earnings, it also represented an important step toward improving the quality of our earnings by reducing PIK income.

Lower accelerated income from prepayments during the quarter also contributed to the decline in NII. There were no income incentive fees earned during the third quarter. Year-to-date, the adviser earned and waived $3.2 million in income incentive fees. As Jim mentioned earlier, the adviser has agreed to extend the income incentive fee waiver through the end of 2027. This continued support from the adviser will benefit net investment income and dividend coverage during 2027.

Total operating expenses, net of incentive fee waivers, were $13.2 million for the quarter compared to $13.6 million in the prior quarter. Interest expense and amortization of financing costs declined approximately $400,000 to $7.9 million, reflecting lower outstanding borrowings under our revolving credit facility.

Turning to investment activity. We funded approximately $700,000 in debt investments during the quarter and received $17.4 million in scheduled principal amortization, prepayments and early repayments. We also received $43.5 million in proceeds from investment dispositions. As Jim and Sajal discussed, investment activity increased meaningfully during October. In addition, we have received approximately $73 million in prepayments quarter-to-date, generating more than $2 million in accelerated income that will benefit our fourth quarter results.

We ended the quarter with total liquidity of $168 million, consisting of $18 million in cash, cash equivalents and restricted cash and $150 million of available capacity under our revolving credit facility. Our liquidity position improved by nearly $50 million during the quarter as we benefited from the Prodigy disposition and lower outstanding borrowings. Gross leverage declined to 1.18x and net leverage to 1.12x compared to 1.26x and 1.22x, respectively, at June 30.

Looking ahead, we remain focused on refinancing our $125 million of unsecured notes maturing in February of 2027. We are actively evaluating financing alternatives with an emphasis on execution certainty, managing our cost of capital and maintaining financial flexibility. Unfunded commitments totaled $171.6 million at September 30 compared to approximately $141 million at June 30. Of these unfunded commitments, $14.8 million were subject to portfolio companies achieving specified milestones and approximately $54 million are scheduled to expire by year-end if not drawn. We continue to manage these commitments in the context of our improved liquidity position, anticipated repayments and leverage objectives.

On October 14, our Board declared a regular fourth quarter distribution of $0.23 per share. In addition, we previously declared a supplemental distribution of $0.12 per share to distribute accumulated taxable income payable in 2 installments. The second and final installment of $0.06 per share will be paid on December 30. Looking ahead, our financial priorities remain improving recurring earnings, maintaining prudent leverage and preserving liquidity as we execute our portfolio strategy.

That concludes my prepared remarks. Operator, please open the line for questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Crispin Love at Piper Sandler.

分析師問答

Crispin Love

First, on the new debt fundings in the third quarter, very low below that $1 million mark. But as you stated, you did have a nice pickup post quarter end. During the prepared remarks, you did call out that timing was a driver for the softness. But can you dig into that a little bit further? I don't think we've seen a level like that in the history, at least the several -- last several years. So were you passing on deals in the quarter and then just differences between the third quarter and October plus? Just any color there would be great.

James Labe

Yes. It's Jim speaking, Piper -- sorry, Crispin. It's a good question, but periodically, on and off over the years, we've talked about how fundings aren't necessarily always within our control or timing. And quite frankly, the bulk of them came towards the end of the quarter and spilled over early part of this quarter. So we're back on track from the lumpiness aspect.

The other thing that's going on when it comes to fundings is documentation. And some of these things take a little bit longer or drag or don't exactly happen quarters in. Having said that, though, as you've heard, just over the month of October alone in a couple of days, we're already at a strong number.

Crispin Love

And then...

James Labe

I'm sorry, it's not related to any kind of market or pipeline or originations or any changes on that front. Those all remain strong.

Crispin Love

Okay. Perfect. Makes sense. And then I think Sajal alluded to this, so I just want to make sure that I have it just for cleanup. But I understand the fourth quarter is going to have higher debt fundings. But is that go-forward guide of $25 million to $50 million as you look beyond the fourth quarter still the right number to be using?

Mike Wilhelms

Yes, this is Mike. Yes, $25 million to $50 million would be a good guidance for going forward. And as always, we have line of sight and we're looking at potential prepayments, scheduled maturities that could drive that range and potentially push us above the $50 million if, in fact, we're seeing more prepayments and scheduled maturities in a respective quarter. But $25 million to $50 million is a fair guidance for future quarter fundings.

Operator

The next question is from Paul Johnson at KBW.

Paul Johnson

So just curious, is the dividend, the $0.23 base dividend, does that still more or less remain, I guess, the earnings bogey for TPVG in terms of where you would like the BDC to be generating, I guess, NII? And then could you maybe talk about the bridge to getting there from the $0.16 and maybe excluding, I guess, you have some accelerated income coming in next quarter, $2 million or so, that's positive but just kind of the normal recurring, I guess, parts of the model, would be curious to hear kind of how you anticipate getting there.

Mike Wilhelms

Yes, Paul, thanks for the question. Dividend sustainability remains an important consideration for the management and Board. We mentioned that the third quarter was artificially low for the reasons we talked about, most notably the Prodigy disposition and the lower accelerated income. We're encouraged by the increased activity that we're seeing here in the fourth quarter as well as we're expecting a very large, accelerated income for the quarter.

But with respect to your specific question as far as bridging us back to the $0.23, ultimately, the Board is, on a quarterly basis, evaluating our dividend policy. We're factoring in not only the earnings power but also including what we're projecting as far as that earnings power, taxable income, i.e., spillover and overall liquidity and long-term interest of shareholders. So we are in the midst of evaluating that. And as far as the $0.23, it's our target for now, but that's subject to change in the future.

Paul Johnson

Got it. Okay. That's very helpful. And then in terms of the liquidity available, there's obviously a few moving pieces here of the focus within the BDC in terms of just rotating out of some of these assets and improving the ROE. But do you think there's maybe a little bit more of an emphasis on just retaining liquidity until you have exited some of those larger investments, particularly like the non-yielding equity going forward? Or I guess, is that not the case?

Mike Wilhelms

Yes. No, it's certainly something we are evaluating constantly, that being our liquidity and our overall leverage with our target leverage of 1.3 or lower. Paul, at this point, as you mentioned, certainly rotating out of certain legacy credits is an aspect, but also refinancing the February 2027 notes remains one of our highest financial priorities. So that's another consideration when factoring in our liquidity and overall leverage targets. So we're focused on achieving an execution that provides certainty of funding while also appropriately balancing our cost of capital and financial flexibility. So we are focused on the rotation, but I would also say it's a focus on the 2027 refinancing.

Paul Johnson

Got it. Okay. And then in terms of just exits, Prodigy was a positive one. Revolut seems to be shaping up positively as well. Are there other processes within the equity portfolio, equity warrant portfolio where you have the ability to potentially sell or exit -- partially exit that investment on funding rounds with the pickup in fundraising activity in the venture capital space? Or is this just more unique to the much larger sort of unicorn venture capital companies?

James Labe

No. I would say, Paul, those remain as options and there is probably a pretty active secondary market. And as I mentioned, we have a pretty strong fair value warrant and equity position across a number of companies that are progressing and doing very, very well and some such as Revolut, we've monetized. It's something we continue to evaluate, think about, have as an option available to us. It will depend on the facts and circumstances and the pricing, but it's not just confined to the unicorns. It's a sign of the current market and something we continue to actively evaluate as an available resource on the liquidity front.

Operator

The next question comes from Chris Muller at Citizens.

Unknown Analyst

This is [ Nate ] on for Chris. Also congrats, Ian, on the management changes. Just for my question, I'm curious about how you guys are thinking about the buyback you guys -- that was authorized in May. From what I can tell, you guys haven't made any repurchases yet, shares trading in the 50%, 60% range. How do you guys think about that? Is it more like a liquidity constraint issue given what you guys kind of just talked about? Or is it something else? Just any color there would be helpful.

Mike Wilhelms

Yes. No, thanks for the question, Nathan. We recognize that our shares are trading at a significant discount to NAV, and those repurchases would be very accretive to our NAV and to our NII. However, we also need to consider our overall liquidity position. So you mentioned that as part of your question, unfunded investment commitments, leverage and upcoming -- most notably upcoming debt maturities. So we see it as an important aspect to our overall capital strategy. But at this time, we're more focused on our liquidity and our targeted leverage. And so at this time, you're correct. We have not made any repurchases as of yet.

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Mr. Jim Labe for any closing remarks. Please go ahead.

James Labe

Thanks, operator. As always, I'd like to thank everyone for listening and participating in today's call. We look forward to updating and talking with you all again next quarter. Thanks again, and have a nice day.

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.

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