Flux Power (FLUX) 2027 財年第一季法說會：營收下滑，發布第二至第三季財測指引

重點摘要

• Flux Power (NASDAQ: FLUX) 公布 2027 財年第一季營收為 680 萬美元，低於上一季的 820 萬美元及去年同期的 1,320 萬美元。
• 毛利率從上一季的 27.4% 與去年同期的 28.6% 下滑至 24.8%，反映出產品組合變動、營運槓桿下降以及保固費用佔營收比重增加。
• 淨虧損擴大至 320 萬美元，或每股虧損 0.15 美元。調整後 EBITDA 為負 260 萬美元。
• 先前暫停下單的一家重要客戶已透過 OEM 夥伴恢復採購。Flux Power 還獲得來自新客戶的 25 筆訂單，代表約 75 萬美元的新營收。
• 根據機率加權的銷售預測，管理層預計 2027 財年第二季營收為 700 萬至 800 萬美元，2027 財年第三季營收為 900 萬至 1,000 萬美元。
• 季末現金為 40 萬美元。公司正在評估融資方案與戰略合作夥伴關係，而其貸款機構要求其至少籌集 400 萬美元的淨資本。

主要財務結果

業務與營運表現

某重要客戶恢復下單，使營收提早實現，早於管理層先前對 2027 日曆年第一季的預期。然而，管理層表示，現在要確定該客戶未來訂單的規模或穩定性還為時過早。

Flux Power 透過 OEM 合作夥伴接獲來自新客戶的 25 筆訂單，價值約 75 萬美元。公司同時也在爭取三個大型 OEM 計畫。其中一家 OEM 正準備進行正式測試，另一家已將 Flux Power 電池納入加速測試週期，且公司正擴大對 Hyster-Yale 經銷商網路的合作。

五家 OEM 和兩家主要經銷商正在評估基於 S 系列的貼牌計畫。一家現有的 OEM 合作夥伴已將 S8 加入其經銷商 CRM 系統，管理層預計這將在未來兩個季度帶來約 100 萬美元的業務。

已安裝基礎中正浮現更換需求。Flux Power 接獲一家跨國土方工程與礦業設備製造商價值超過 50 萬美元的初期第二輪訂單，管理層預期 2027 年將增加超過 100 萬美元的訂單。SkyEMS 資料正用於識別即將需要更換的電池。

該公司還瞄準北美前 500 大最終用戶客戶。管理層預計此推廣活動將在 2027 財年下半年做出顯著貢獻，同時與 OEM 和經銷商管道形成互補。

在機器人領域，某全球技術平台正在持續對 Flux Power 的 C48 電池進行實地測試。在完成測試和產品優化的前提下，管理層預期明年將獲得量產級訂單。

新產品計畫包括用於機場地面支援設備電池的整合式氣體檢測，以及 SkyVOX 電池定位與充電警報。預計於 2027 日曆年第一季向某航空公司客戶交付首批氣體檢測產品，而 SkyVOX 預計將於本季開始出貨。

Flux Power 正在圍繞整合式組件與全球採購合作夥伴重新設計其供應鏈。管理層表示，該模式旨在以更低的單位成本支援產量從幾百台成長至數千台，同時在內部保留工程、設計與品質控制能力。

管理層財測指引

管理層預計 2027 財年第二季營收為 700 萬至 800 萬美元，2027 財年第三季營收為 900 萬至 1,000 萬美元。

該預測是基於涵蓋新舊客戶、自下而上的機率加權銷售管道。財務長 Kevin Royal 表示，財測納入的機會達成交易的機率極高，但由於利率上升、燃料價格上漲以及更廣泛的經濟狀況，公司仍面臨訂單量較低的問題。

管理層表示，目前的組織規模大致可支援最高 6,000 萬美元的年營收。隨著營收成長，可能需要額外增加約三至五名員工。

公司目標是透過提高出貨量與供應鏈優化，使毛利率回升至 30% 以上。這是管理層的目標而非正式的毛利率指引，且季度業績對產品組合仍相當敏感。

風險與關注焦點

• 季末現金及現金等價物僅有 40 萬美元。Flux Power 的貸款機構要求公司至少籌集 400 萬美元的淨資本。
• 公司預計將使用其承諾的股權融資工具，並正在評估其他融資方案與戰略合作夥伴關係。支撐預期的成長亦需要額外資本。
• 儘管出現最新訂單，但該重返的主要客戶未來的下單模式仍存在不確定性。
• 高利率、高油價、關稅以及客戶資本受限，持續影響採購活動。
• 產量下滑降低了營運槓桿，並增加了未分攤的人工與製造費用。
• OEM 計畫在開始產生實質訂單之前需要經過測試與認證，這對時間點與轉換率帶來了不確定性。

分析師問答亮點

管理層澄清，2027 財年第二季與第三季營收指引反映的是機率加權的銷售管道，而非僅指確定的積壓訂單。預期的營收組合同時包含現有與新客戶。

關於重返的主要客戶，執行長 Krishna Vanka 表示，新訂單提升了對 Flux Power 仍是該客戶首選合作夥伴的信心，但管理層目前尚無法掌握例行下單的節奏。

在順利通過測試與認證的前提下，管理層預期將於 2027 財年接近尾聲時接獲來自開發中 OEM 計畫的初步訂單。

關於毛利率，管理層坦言 OEM 業務的單位毛利率可能較低。其策略是透過提高出貨量、整合採購與生產規模來抵銷該壓力，目標是將毛利率恢復至 30% 以上。

公司指出，隨著營收成長，可能需要進一步投入營運資金。公司計劃部分依賴其承諾的股權額度，同時尋求貸款機構所要求的資本籌集。

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完整財報電話會議逐字稿

管理層陳述

Operator

Good afternoon, and welcome to Flux Power's Fiscal First Quarter 2027 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this conference is being recorded today, November 3, 2026. I would now like to turn the call over to Leanne Sievers of Shelton Group Investor Relations. Leanne, please go ahead.

Leanne Sievers

Good afternoon, and welcome to Flux Power's Fiscal First Quarter 2027 Earnings Conference Call. I'm Leanne Sievers, President of Shelton Group, Flux Power's Investor Relations firm. Joining me today from Flux Power are Krishna Vanka, CEO; and Kevin Royal, Chief Financial Officer.

Before I turn the call over to Krishna, I'd like to remind our listeners that during the course of this conference call, the company will provide financial guidance, projections, comments and other forward-looking statements regarding future market developments, the future financial performance of the company, new products or other matters. These statements are subject to the risks and uncertainties that we discuss in detail in our documents filed with the SEC, specifically our 10-K and our most recent 10-Q, which identify important risk factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those contained in the forward-looking statements.

Also, the company's press release and management statements during this conference call will include discussions of certain adjusted or non-GAAP financial measures. These financial measures and related reconciliations are provided in the company's press release and related current report on Form 8-K, which can be found in the Investor Relations section of Flux Power's website at www.fluxpower.com. For those of you unable to listen to the entire call at this time, a recording will be available via webcast on the company's website.

And now it's my pleasure to turn the call over to Flux Power's CEO. Krishna, please go ahead.

Krishna Vanka

Thank you, Leanne, and thanks, everyone, for joining our call today. This quarter, we continue to make meaningful progress according (sic) [ across ] our key business and sales initiatives while executing with discipline and positioning the company for accelerated growth. Let me start with a significant win that captures the commercial momentum we are building. I'm very excited to announce that the significant customer who had paused orders with us for the last few quarters has placed an order this quarter through our OEM. Although it's too early to predict how future orders will trend with this customer, we are very excited to see their commitment to use Flux Power products as they continue their journey towards clean energy.

Notably, we had not forecasted this business until the first quarter of calendar 2027. Securing it now pulls meaningful revenue forward. It also speaks to the accelerating pace of lithium-ion adoption among large fleet operators and their confidence in our products. In addition to this order, we also received 25 orders through our OEM partners from first-time Flux Power customers, representing approximately $750,000 in new revenue. Each new customer broadens our base and gives us a foundation for future fleet expansion and replacement business.

I also want to share with you additional updates on several strategic fronts. As you know, under the new management team, we have lowered product and operating costs while also optimizing our supply chain by creating a modular design. We also refreshed our sales leadership that have expanded our OEM relationships and launched new marketing programs aimed at diversifying our customer base. Our business today looks very different from a year ago.

Let me talk more about how we are transforming the business through supply chain optimization. Instead of traditional way of working with existing vendors and trying to get more margin with individual components, we are now extending our reach to other global partners, allowing us to move to a more integrated approach. That means combining key components into fewer, more unified assemblies and delivering a combination of components folded into one unit that provides us with the benefit of scale and buying power. This will help us stay competitive among market pricing pressures and allow us to use our S-Series products as an anchor product to win new OEMs with our white-label initiative.

With our existing infrastructure, this model will help us to move from producing hundreds of units to thousands at a better cost per unit, allowing for higher volume at higher gross margin and a faster path to profitability. Our goal always remains the same. Flux Power owns the engineering, the design and the quality standard and the world-class support we are known for. I would also like to highlight early momentum across our sales channels that is translating into commercial traction. 9 months ago, we hired a Director of OEM Business Development to expand into new OEMs and strengthen our long-standing partnerships.

OEM partnerships typically take time, but the progress has been remarkable. 3 large OEM programs are advancing, including 1 OEM preparing to formally test that could lead to certification. Another OEM has our batteries in an accelerated test cycle and has authorized us to begin outreach to its dealership network. Within the Hyster-Yale network, we have held 5 meetings with a major Midwest dealer in just the past 2 weeks and presented to the full sales team of a major Canadian dealership network. This matters because dealer adoption scales. Once leadership commits, Flux Power gets in front of every branch, fleet manager and salesperson in that network. One relationship becomes dozens of points of sale and that multiplies our reach without adding to our cost structure.

We are also seeing this in our installed base. 7 years ago, we replaced the incumbent lead battery solution across the nationwide operations of a multinational earthmoving and mining equipment manufacturer. That fleet is now entering its replacement cycle, and we have received the first second-round order valued at well over $0.5 million with an additional $1 million plus anticipated in 2027. These orders are being driven directly by SkyEMS, which lets us identify, battery by battery, which units are ready for replacement. Rather than competing for replacement cycle, we anticipate it with data.

To complement our OEM and dealer partner efforts, our new VP of Sales has launched a go-to-market campaign targeting the 500 largest end user accounts in North America. This initiative addresses a structural opportunity in our model. Historically, Flux Power has reached end users primarily through OEM and dealer partners. This campaign adds a direct, enterprise-level dialogue with the operators of largest fleets. These are organizations where standardization decisions are made centrally and where a single relationship can translate into deployments across many sites. Importantly, it is designed to complement our dealer and OEM partners, not to compete with them. We expect this campaign to contribute meaningfully in the back half of our fiscal year.

We are also pursuing new avenues for growth. As I mentioned earlier, we are using the S-Series as an anchor product to open doors with new OEMs and dealer networks through white-label solutions tailored to their use cases. Today, 5 OEMs are evaluating Flux Power white-label programs and 2 major dealers are exploring white-label partnerships. We have also extended the platform with 2 new S24 configurations. One of our leading OEM partners added the S8 to its dealer CRM system, which we expect to generate approximately $1 million in new business over the next 2 quarters.

I also discussed last quarter that we are converting early wins in high-growth new verticals, most notably robotics. Our customer, a global technology platform, is continuing field test of their new robots with our C48 batteries. Both engineering teams are working very closely in optimizing the batteries for their use case, and we anticipate seeing production-level orders next year. We are also looking at other potential use case in this new and exciting vertical. Robotics is a compelling growth opportunity that sits squarely at the intersection of Flux Power's core strengths; lithium-ion power systems, battery intelligence and fleet performance. As industrial operations become more increasingly automated, it extends our capabilities into one of the fastest-growing segments of autonomous material handling.

Alongside the S-Series expansion, we are also growing through product innovation. Last week, we announced 2 additions that raise the value of every battery we sell. First, integrated gas detection for our airport GSE batteries developed with a major airline. Safety drives buying decisions on the ramp, so this strengthens our competitive position in GSE. First shipments to an airline customer are expected in the first quarter of calendar 2027. We also plan to offer a retrofit program, which creates a new revenue opportunity across batteries already in the field.

Next, SkyVOX, which adds battery location and charging alerts to our fleet intelligence platform. SkyVOX adds content to each battery sale and connects more customers to SkyEMS, the same data platform that is already helping us anticipate replacement orders. Shipments for SkyVOX begin this quarter. Growing market demand. With all of this progress taken together, these developments reflect a commercial strategy that is beginning to compound. As macroeconomic headwinds ease, we expect to capitalize on pent-up demand and leading indicators suggest that demand is beginning to release.

One of our long-standing OEM partners recently reported second quarter bookings of $680 million, more than double the prior year and its fourth consecutive quarterly increase led by the Americas. Its management has described the first half of 2026 as the bottom of the cycle. Industry analysts at Interact Analysis forecast U.S. forklift orders to grow 3% to 5% this year with global orders up to 6%. Battery decisions follow truck orders. So the trucks being booked today become battery opportunities for Flux Power in 2027.

At the same time, customers are also prioritizing safety, space optimization and sustainability and the labor equation increasingly favors lithium. The industry loses more than 30 million labor hours a year changing lead acid batteries at a time when operators are hard to find. We are seeing proof that lithium-ion will become the dominant battery technology in the coming years, and we are building a scalable framework to capture that opportunity. We are encouraged by our pipeline entering the second quarter and remain focused on disciplined execution.

With that, I'll now turn the call over to our CFO, Kevin Royal, who will review our first quarter financial results in more detail. Kevin, please go ahead.

Kevin Royal

Good afternoon, everyone. Revenue for the first fiscal quarter of 2027 was $6.8 million, down from $8.2 million in the prior quarter and compared to $13.2 million in the same quarter a year ago. The decrease was primarily driven by lower spending by one of our key customers and broader economic conditions, including higher interest rates and higher fuel prices that are impacting the order patterns of our customers. Gross margin for the first fiscal quarter of 2027 was 24.8% compared to 27.4% in the prior quarter and 28.6% in the first quarter of 2026. The decrease in gross profit as a percentage of revenue was largely due to changes in product mix, a loss in operating leverage due to lower volumes resulting in higher unabsorbed labor, and overhead and an increase in warranty expense as a percentage of revenue.

Operating expenses in the first quarter were $4.6 million, an increase from $4.4 million in the prior quarter and $5.9 million in the same quarter a year ago. The 22% year-over-year decrease in operating expenses primarily reflects the benefit of our previous actions to reduce headcount and streamline our operating model. Net loss for the first quarter was $3.2 million or $0.15 per share compared to a net loss of $2.3 million or $0.11 per share in the prior quarter and a net loss of $2.6 million or $0.15 per share in the first fiscal quarter of 2026.

On a non-GAAP basis, excluding stock-based compensation costs, the first quarter net loss was $3 million or $0.14 per share compared to a net loss of $2.1 million or $0.10 per share in the prior quarter and a net loss of $2.4 million or $0.14 per share in the same quarter a year ago. Adjusted EBITDA for the first quarter was negative $2.6 million compared to negative $1.6 million in the prior quarter and a negative $1.7 million in the prior year period.

Turning to the balance sheet. We ended the quarter with cash and cash equivalents of $0.4 million compared to $0.3 million in the prior quarter. We are currently evaluating potential financing alternatives and strategic partnerships to ensure the company has the financial flexibility necessary to continue executing on its operating strategy. We expect to provide additional updates over the coming weeks.

Before turning the call over to Krishna, I want to provide some insight around our near-term revenue expectations. Based on the improved order activity that Krishna highlighted in his comments, we expect fiscal second quarter revenue to be in the range of $7 million to $8 million, and we expect our fiscal third quarter revenues to be in the range of $9 million to $10 million. To reiterate my earlier comments, we continue to experience lower order volumes as a result of broader economic conditions, including higher interest rates and higher fuel prices that are impacting the order patterns of our customers.

Now I'll turn the call back to Krishna for closing comments before we open it to your questions.

Krishna Vanka

Thank you, Kevin. I'm proud that the team was able to achieve $6.8 million as we committed to you on the last call. This was accomplished even in the face of the capital freeze at our most significant customer, tariffs and the war that has resulted in higher fuel prices. This was not an easy considering these 3 factors, but the future is looking stronger and momentum is building. As I detailed today, there is a lot of great progress happening on our OEM partnerships and with our sales acceleration programs. These are the areas where our supply chain optimization is going to be a real game changer for this company and will be an important lever for improving gross margin and scaling efficiently.

As we look to the future, our team is focused on executing our strategy to reposition the company towards profitability, supported by the following 4 factors: number one, transforming the business. We have lowered product and operating costs, improved operating efficiencies, optimizing supply chain to improve margins and manufacturing scalability. We also refreshed sales and OEM leadership team, expanded OEM relationships and launched aggressive new marketing programs aimed at diversifying our customer base. Number two, early momentum. We have achieved certification with a new major OEM, increased our addressable market within electric material handling with the new models. We made a significant platform leap with the launch of AI-driven SkyEMS 3.0, further positioning Flux Power as a differentiated technology provider.

Number three, new avenues for growth. We have also developed and are currently executing a strategy to leverage our S-Series as an anchor product to approach new OEMs and dealership networks. By providing unique white-label solutions for their use cases, we are creating new avenues for accelerated and predictable growth engines. Number four, growing market demand. And lastly, we are seeing the proof that lithium-ion will become the dominant battery technology in the coming years. This is happening while Flux Power continues to build a scalable framework to capture this potentially significant market opportunity.

With that, let's open the call to questions. Operator?

Operator

[Operator Instructions] The first question today comes from Amit Dayal with H.C. Wainwright.

分析師問答

Amit Dayal

Just on the outlook first, the $7 million to $8 million and $9 million to $10 million for 2Q and 3Q, is that based on some concrete backlog? Or is that just the visibility you have based on discussions you're having with customers?

Kevin Royal

Yes. So it's based on our sales forecast, which is developed from a bottoms-up technique using the discussions that our sales force are having with their customers and applying probability to those -- to the pipeline. In order to make its way into that forecast for Q2 and Q3 for the numbers that we provided, it would have a very high level of probability of actually closing.

Amit Dayal

Understood. And is this mostly with some existing customers? Or are there some new customers as a part of this mix?

Kevin Royal

It's really a combination of new and existing customers.

Amit Dayal

Okay. And then maybe just a last question for me. The balance sheet, is the cash you have sufficient to, sort of, meet various operating needs and investment needs, et cetera? Like how are you managing that side of the story? You also said you could be looking for strategic partnerships in the press release. Can you just give us any sense of what options are in front of you to, sort of, address this kind of overhang on the story?

Kevin Royal

Sure. So we recently filed an 8-K where we disclosed that our lending partner is requiring that we raise at least $4 million net capital. And as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we are working through that process, and we have good options ahead of us to fulfill that requirement.

Operator

The next question comes from Rob Brown with Lake Street Capital Markets.

Robert Brown

Just wanted to follow up again on the kind of the resumption of the customer ordering patterns, and I think that helps your kind of outlook. But how much visibility do you have now on the resumption of ordering activity at that customer? And is this sort of a kind of an ongoing resumption? Or do you have visibility kind of beyond this quarter?

Krishna Vanka

So -- hello, as I mentioned, this came as a surprise for us, a pretty good surprise that they came forward and placed an order for this quarter. This, sort of, helps us build the confidence that this customer is willing to work with us once they resume the order patterns next year. As I mentioned, we are not 100% sure on how much and the regular ordering pattern, but we are getting a sense that they are resuming to place the orders and that they would like to move forward with Flux Power when they're ready to go. So it's more of a confidence builder for us and the visibility that we are their chosen partner as they resume placing the orders.

Robert Brown

Okay. Great. And then on your white-label efforts, I think you said you had 3 large programs going. How does that ramp? And when do you expect to see kind of revenue from those efforts?

Krishna Vanka

Yes. Thanks. Great question. So yes, we expanded our OEM reach. And, yes, we are working with 3 major OEMs. One of them, as I mentioned, is testing the battery. The other one put us in their accelerated cycle. The third one is the Hyster-Yale where we are now working with the dealerships. The first 2, I would say, are in halfway through the process, testing being the critical component of an OEM saying, yes, we want to use your batteries. Once we pass the test phase, then we'll be working closely with the OEM.

And we actually got one of those 2 OEMs where we are already socializing with the dealership networks, our products, our solutions. So we're trying to do this as fast as we can, obviously. But generally, I would anticipate towards the later part of the -- towards the end of the fiscal year, we'll start seeing some orders coming from these OEMs.

Operator

The next question comes from Craig Irwin with ROTH Capital Partners.

Craig Irwin

First, I should say congratulations on the resumption of orders from your major customer. It's a very nice development. And I guess we're all rooting for them to take lots of product going forward. Krishna, my question I wanted to ask you is about a year ago, you made the difficult decision to retrench -- to reduce your frictional costs, your cost structure with the falloff in demand that you saw in your end market. Can you maybe talk to us about the recent expense burden, SG&A and R&D, how this could change the [ revenue ]. You are guiding for gentle growth over the next couple of quarters, but do you expect the changes that you made to be more structural, variable as we look at the impact on the financial model?

Kevin Royal

So Craig, this is Kevin. As revenues pick up, there will be some -- a few select additions that we would need be -- to make in order to support that growth, but we're talking about very few. We, in large part, are sized for growth that would go on an annual basis up to $60 million. But again, with the exception that we'd probably have to add 3 to 5 personnel, which would not -- in the operating expense categories, which we wouldn't see as significant.

Craig Irwin

Okay. Fantastic. So I like the conversation about all of the different things you're doing with OEM customers, both directly and with the dealerships. When I step back from that, I look at the OEM channel is often not as lucrative on a gross margin basis versus the direct sales channel. There are elements of variability, and obviously, lithium-ion is quite different to lead acid. But can you talk through around margin expectations over the next few quarters and sort of longer-term potential of these OEM customers? Is it feasible for us to see margins back in the mid-30s the way they were 1.5 years ago?

Krishna Vanka

Yes, definitely. So again, what you are seeing quarter-over-quarter, the margin variation is really because of the mix. Our approach with OEMs is actually twofold. One is obviously to get new OEM business, but as I also informed, we are working on supply chain optimization where we are able to work with global partners in bringing higher-value components together, which will give us further margins on the same products.

So while it is true that an OEM would probably reduce the margin, as you said, the volume increase is there, which can nicely offset if we optimize our supply chain. So that's the strategy we are taking is to get more OEMs, get to a more scalable supply chain. More importantly, we don't add any extra resources to be able to supply in thousands of units compared to the hundreds of units and ultimately bring back those margins to what you said, 30-plus points.

Craig Irwin

Okay. Excellent. And then last question, if I may, I guess, for Kevin. You've done a really good job taking working capital out of the company over the last couple of years. It's a tight ship, right? You've really got this on the right path. Is there much potential of more cash out from working capital? Or do we maybe need a little bit of cash to support the growth that's likely to materialize over the next several quarters?

Kevin Royal

Yes. I would say the latter, that there is a need, and we've recognized that. We've worked with our lender. We've got a plan moving forward to raise some capital. We currently have an equity line of credit, a committed equity facility, and we plan to lean on that. That's fully disclosed, and it's a way for us to raise capital, much-needed capital as we move forward.

Craig Irwin

Understood. Well, we look forward to watching your progress.

Operator

This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Krishna Vanka for any closing remarks.

Krishna Vanka

Thank you all again for joining today's call. We really enjoyed speaking to you, giving you the updates, and we look forward for the fiscal Q2 call in February 2027. Operator, you may now disconnect.

Operator

The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.