牛津廣場資本 (OXSQ) 2026 年第三季財報電話會議：淨值下滑，持續去槓桿

重點摘要

• Oxford Square Capital Corp. (NASDAQ: OXSQ) 公布 2026 年第三季淨投資收益為 490 萬美元，即每股 0.04 美元，低於上一季的 510 萬美元（每股 0.05 美元）。
• 每股淨資產價值降至 1.21 美元（先前為 1.29 美元），而已實現與未實現投資淨損失合計從 110 萬美元擴大至 330 萬美元。
• 總投資收益較上一季增加至 990 萬美元（上一季為 940 萬美元）。投資購買總額為 2,080 萬美元，相比之下償還金額為 1,030 萬美元。
• 季末負債權益比為 1.07，低於 2026 年第一季末的 1.26。管理層表示，隨著進一步償還債務，槓桿率隨後進一步下降。
• 董事會宣布 2027 年 1 月、2 月和 3 月的每月每股配息為 0.015 美元。管理層將較低的配息歸因於近期獲利能力、持續去槓桿化以及為次級市場機會保留資金能力。
• 管理層表示，投資組合轉向更保守的風險配置是有意為之，並預期隨著機會出現將進行進一步輪動。

重要財務數據

業務與營運表現

管理層將投資組合重組描述為對美國聯貸企業貸款及 CLO 股權風險定價的刻意因應。公司已加大對第一受償順位擔保債務的重視，同時減少對第二受償順位擔保債務及 CLO 股權的部位。

Oxford Square 認為次級市場的 CLO 股權存在吸引人的機會，但初級市場具吸引力的機會較少。管理層意圖在選擇性投資活動與適度去槓桿化及風險控制之間取得平衡。

晨星 LSTA 美國槓桿貸款指數從 6 月 30 日的面額 94.96% 上升至 9 月 30 日的 95.32%。BB 級貸款價格上漲 8 個基點，B 級價格上漲 119 個基點，而 CCC 級價格則下跌 286 個基點。

過去 12 個月的按本金金額計算貸款違約率從 0.97% 降至 0.55%。然而，包含負債管理措施在內的違約率仍維持在 2.97% 的高位，相比之下 6 月底為 2.77%。困窘比率從 6.87% 上升至 7.05%。

美國槓桿貸款初級市場發行量（不含條款變更及重新定價交易）在 2026 年第三季總計為 1,074 億美元，較 2025 年第三季下降 20%。貸款基金資金流入約為 12.8 億美元。

管理層展望

管理層預期將繼續進行投資組合輪動，以把握機會型投資，同時支持進一步適度去槓桿化。管理層未提供具體的槓桿目標；減債速度將取決於投資機會與維持適當槓桿比率之間的平衡。

董事會宣布 2027 年 1 月至 3 月每月發放每股 0.015 美元的股利。管理層表示，該水準反映了投資組合目前與預期的近期獲利能力、降低槓桿的目標，以及為次級市場投資保持彈性的需要。

風險與關注領域

• 每股 NAV 較上一季下降 0.08 美元，已實現與未實現淨損失合計增加至 330 萬美元。
• 本季 CCC 級貸款價格下跌 286 個基點，與較高評級類別的上漲形成對比。
• 包含負債管理措施在內的違約率上升至 2.97%，而貸款困窘比率上升至 7.05%。
• 管理層認為初級市場 CLO 股權具吸引力的機會較少，並對風險保持更保守的態度。
• 較低的配息水準反映了管理層對投資組合近期獲利能力的評估及其去槓桿化的優先事項。

分析師問答重點

• 投資組合配置：管理層確認，轉向第一受償順位債務並減少第二受償順位債務和 CLO 股權是有意為之。隨著具吸引力的投資機會出現，預期將進行進一步輪動。
• 槓桿率：負債權益比從 2026 年第一季末的 1.26 降至第三季末的 1.07。管理層表示，額外償還債務進一步降低了槓桿率，未來的槓桿調降將取決於投資機會。
• 已實現損失：損失主要反映了兩個 CLO 股權部位到達終止點。這些部位此前實質上已被認列為幾乎無價值或僅具期權價值，主要導致未實現損失轉為已實現損失。
• 未實現增值：管理層將本季略低於 800 萬美元的未實現增值主因歸咎於槓桿貸款價格的廣泛上漲，其中少數部位帶來了極高的回報。
• 配息決策：董事會制定 2027 年第一季每月每股 0.015 美元的配息，是基於近期獲利能力、適度去槓桿目標以及為次級市場機會保留資金的考量。

法人說明會完整逐字稿

完整財報電話會議逐字稿

管理層陳述

Operator

Thank you for standing by. My name is Carly, and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to the Oxford Square Capital Corp. Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Release Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]

I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Jonathan Cohen, CEO. Please go ahead.

Jonathan Cohen

Good morning, everyone. Welcome to the Oxford Square Capital Corp. Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. I'm joined today by Saul Rosenthal, our President; Bruce Rubin, our CFO; and Kevin Yonon, our Managing Director and Portfolio Manager.

Bruce, could you open the call with the disclosure regarding forward-looking statements?

Bruce Rubin

Sure, Jonathan. Today's conference call is being recorded. An audio replay of the conference call will be available for 30 days. Replay information is included in our press release that was issued earlier this morning. Please note that this call is the property of Oxford Square Capital Corp. Any unauthorized rebroadcast of this call in any form is strictly prohibited. At this point, please direct your attention to the customary disclosure in this morning's press release regarding forward-looking information.

Today's conference call includes forward-looking statements and projections that reflect the company's current views with respect to, among other things, future events and financial performance. We ask that you refer to our most recent filings with the SEC for important factors that could cause actual results to differ materially from those indicated in these projections. We do not undertake to update our forward-looking statements unless required to do so by law. To obtain copies of our latest SEC filings, please visit our website at www.oxfordsquarecapital.com.

With that, I'll turn the presentation back to Jonathan.

Jonathan Cohen

Thank you, Bruce. For the quarter ended September, Oxford Square's net investment income was approximately $4.9 million or $0.04 per share compared with approximately $5.1 million or $0.05 per share in the prior quarter. Our net asset value per share stood at $1.21 compared to a net asset value per share of $1.29 for the prior quarter. During the quarter, we distributed $0.105 per share to our common stock shareholders. For the third quarter, we recorded total investment income of approximately $9.9 million compared to approximately $9.4 million in the prior quarter.

In the third quarter, we recorded combined net unrealized and realized losses on investments of approximately $3.3 million or $0.03 per share compared to combined net unrealized and realized losses on investments of approximately $1.1 million or $0.01 per share for the prior quarter. During the third quarter, our investment activity consisted of purchases of approximately $20.8 million and repayments of approximately $10.3 million.

During the quarter ended September, we issued a total of approximately 14.1 million shares of our common stock pursuant to an at-the-market offering, resulting in net proceeds of approximately $19.4 million. On October 28, our Board of Directors declared monthly distributions of $0.015 per share for each of the months ending January, February and March of 2027. Additional details regarding record and payment date information can be found in our press release that was issued this morning.

And with that, I'll turn the call over to our Portfolio Manager, Kevin Yonon.

Kevin?

Kevin P. Yonon

Thank you, Jonathan. During the quarter ended September 30, U.S. loan market performance improved versus the prior quarter. U.S. loan prices, as defined by the Morningstar LSTA US Leveraged Loan Index, increased from 94.96% of par as of June 30 to 95.32% of par as of September 30. According to LCD, during the quarter, there was some pricing dispersion with BB-rated loan prices increasing 8 basis points, B-rated loan prices increasing 119 basis points and CCC-rated loan prices decreasing 286 basis points on average.

According to PitchBook LCD, the 12-month trailing default rate for the loan index decreased to 0.55% by principal amount at the end of the quarter from 0.97% at the end of June. Additionally, the default rate, including various forms of liability management exercises, which are not captured in the aforementioned default rate, remained at an elevated level of 2.97% versus 2.77% as of June 30. The distress ratio, defined as a percentage of loans with prices below 80% of par, ended the quarter at 7.05% compared to 6.87% at the end of June.

During the quarter ended September 30, 2026, U.S. leveraged loan primary market issuance, excluding amendments and repricing transactions, was $107.4 billion, representing a 20% decrease versus the quarter ended September 30, 2025. This was driven by lower refinancing, dividend and M&A activity, partly offset by higher LBO activity versus the prior year comparable quarter. At the same time, U.S. loan fund inflows, as measured by Lipper, were approximately $1.28 billion for the quarter ended September 30. We continue to focus on portfolio management strategies designed to maximize our long-term total return. And as a permanent capital vehicle, we historically have been able to take a longer-term view towards our investment strategy.

With that, I will turn the call back over to Jonathan.

Jonathan Cohen

Thank you, Kevin. Additional information about Oxford Square's third quarter performance has been posted to our website at www.oxfordsquarecapital.com.

And with that, operator, we're happy to open the call up for any questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Your first question is from Erik Zwick with Lucid Capital Markets.

分析師問答

Erik Zwick

Jonathan, I want to start maybe with just a bigger picture question as I look through the material. I noticed that the portfolio turnover rate relative to a year ago had slowed from 12.7% down to 4.1%. And then if I look at Slide 4 in the slide deck, just looking at the composition of the investment portfolio, there's been increased concentration in the first lien secured debt and the other category and then declines in the second lien secured debt and CLO equity.

So just curious, as the last year has played out, how much of that change in the portfolio composition was conscious and on your part relative to maybe just market opportunity? And curious, would we continue to see that portfolio composition change over the next few quarters? Or do you feel like the current composition is well suited for today?

Jonathan Cohen

Thank you, Erik, very much. So from an overarching perspective, I think the decision-making has been entirely conscious. We have oriented the portfolio in such a way as to take a more -- reflect a more conservative view of the current price for risk in the primary and secondary markets so far as both U.S. syndicated corporate loans are concerned and also CLO equity. We do see strong opportunities right now in the secondary market for CLO equity, but we see many fewer compelling opportunities in the primary market.

So the combination of a desire to delever the portfolio somewhat and an overall reflection of our approach to risk management, those are the things that has led -- have led to the current composition of the portfolio.

Erik Zwick

That's helpful. And I guess, do you feel like the portfolio is in a good position today? Or would you continue some remixing in favor of maybe first liens and maybe secondary CLO equity investments going forward?

Jonathan Cohen

I think you can reasonably expect to see continued portfolio rotation with the idea of both taking advantage of opportunistic investment possibilities as they arise and also reflecting, hopefully, the continued desire to moderately delever the portfolio while maintaining the appropriate levels of risk management.

Erik Zwick

Yes. That makes sense. And I did want to follow up kind of on the leverage topic. I think leverage is down to 1.07 now at this point. It sounds like maybe with your comments, we could see a little bit further deleveraging going forward? And if so, do you have a kind of target range in mind where you'd like it to settle?

Jonathan Cohen

So intra-quarter, Erik, you may have seen that we paid down some additional debt. So it's lower than that still. And our expectation is that we're going to continue to pay down debt depending on the balance that we see between investment opportunity and the necessity to maintain our leverage ratios at the appropriate levels. But you're absolutely right. You can see at the end of the first quarter, we were sitting at a total debt-to-equity ratio of 1.26. We closed out the third quarter at 1.07. And per my earlier comment, we're lower still on the back of the intra-quarter repayment.

Erik Zwick

Yes. And then moving to the net realized losses in the quarter. I know there were no sales during the quarter. So curious what drove those realized losses?

Jonathan Cohen

So essentially, on at least, I believe, 2 deals, on actually the 2 deals, those were CLO equity positions that had simply reached their terminus points. So they were essentially discharged and unwound as ongoing investments. They were being carried at essentially no value or option value only at that point.

Erik Zwick

Got you. So was that a switch from unrealized to realized? Was that considered kind of what happened as they wound down?

Jonathan Cohen

Precisely right, Erik. Yes, exactly.

Erik Zwick

Got it. Got you. Okay. And then on the flip kind of the unrealized appreciation in the quarter, just shy of $8 million. And I know Kevin mentioned increases in leveraged loan prices during the quarter. Is that primarily the driver there? Or were there some other factors at play as well?

Kevin P. Yonon

Primarily increases in leveraged loan prices, more or less across the book, except for a few positions that were sort of outsized returns, but fairly balanced across the loan portfolio.

Erik Zwick

Excellent. And then last one for me, and I'll step aside, just on the dividend payment in January going forward. Lower now, but seems to be more in line with the earnings power of the current portfolio. Just kind of curious if you could run us through the decision and how you came to that number?

Jonathan Cohen

Sure. The Board's decision, Erik, was taken on the back of exactly what you just mentioned, which is the current and likely prospective near-term earnings power of the fund, combined with the things that we had talked about earlier, which were, firstly, a desire to continue to moderately delever the portfolio, which obviously paying out a lower distribution is helpful with. And then secondly, being in an appropriate position to take advantage of principally secondary market opportunities as they arise.

Operator

I show no further questions at this time. With that, I'll turn the call back over to Mr. Jonathan Cohen, CEO, for any closing remarks.

Jonathan Cohen

Thank you very much. Thank you, everyone, for being on this call and for your continued interest in Oxford Square. We look forward to speaking to you again soon. Thanks very much.

Operator

Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes today's call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect.