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Twilio 2026财年第三季度业绩电话会:现金流创新高并上调业绩指引

TradingKey2026年10月29日 23:35
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Twilio2026年第三季度营收15.6亿美元,同比增长20%,有机增长16%。Non-GAAP毛利润达7.68亿美元,运营利润326亿美元,自由现金流创纪录达3.70亿美元。短信、语音及软件组件业务均实现稳健增长,基于美元的净扩张率为114%。公司上调全年有机营收增长指引至15%,Non-GAAP运营利润和自由现金流指引至11.9亿至12.0亿美元。初步预计2027年有机营收增长至少10%,利润与现金流均至少达13.5亿美元。

该摘要由AI生成

核心要点

  • 2026年第三季度营收达到创纪录的15.6亿美元,按报告基准同比增长20%,按有机基准增长16%。
  • Non-GAAP毛利润增长18%,达到创纪录的7.68亿美元。Non-GAAP运营利润增长39%,达到创纪录的3.26亿美元,而自由现金流达到创纪录的3.70亿美元。
  • 增长具备广泛性:短信消息业务营收增长24%,语音业务增长超过20%,软件附加组件增长超过25%,自服务业务营收增长超过30%。
  • 基于美元的净扩张率提升至114%,其中包含美国运营商新增转嫁费用约4个百分点的贡献。
  • Twilio将2026全年的有机营收增长预期上调至15%,并将Non-GAAP运营利润和自由现金流指引上调至11.9亿至12.0亿美元。
  • 管理层对2027年的初步展望预计,有机营收增长率至少为10%,Non-GAAP运营利润和自由现金流均至少达到13.5亿美元。

关键财务数据

指标2026年第三季度业绩变化 / 背景
营收15.6亿美元报告营收同比增长20%;有机营收同比增长16%
Non-GAAP毛利润7.68亿美元同比增长18%
Non-GAAP毛利率49.2%同比下降90个基点;环比上升20个基点
Non-GAAP运营利润3.26亿美元同比增长39%
Non-GAAP运营利润率21.0%同比上升290个基点,环比上升190个基点
GAAP运营利润1.49亿美元同比增长263%
自由现金流3.70亿美元创单季历史新高
基于美元的净扩张率114%新增运营商费用贡献约4个百分点
股权激励费用占营收比例9.9%同比下降230个基点
股票回购1.27亿美元仍有约7亿美元授权额度

第三季度美国运营商新增转嫁费用总计5,300万美元。管理层表示,若扣除这些费用,Non-GAAP毛利率将同比上升80个基点,环比上升30个基点。第三季度Non-GAAP运营利润还包含了约1,100万美元的平台点数。

业务与运营表现

在业务量增长、WhatsApp及RCS的推动下,短信消息业务营收增长24%。新增运营商费用为报告的短信消息业务增长贡献了约7个百分点。在有机基准下,短信消息业务增速从第二季度的18%放缓至17%,主因部分独立软件开发商(ISV)面临更高的对比基数。

语音业务营收增长超过20%,使用量增加与软件附加组件的贡献相当。管理层提到,包括品牌呼叫(Branded Calling)和会话智能(Conversation Intelligence)在内的产品实现了三位数的增长。自服务语音业务增长超过50%,但其在总营收中的占比仍相对较小。

软件附加组件总营收增长超过25%,支持与服务业务增长超过30%。自服务业务营收增长超过30%,ISV营收增长超过20%。

Twilio表示,语音AI概念验证项目正步入实际生产阶段。然而,管理层估计语音AI仅占可用语音交互的1%左右,消费者端的AI渗透率更低。前期在零售、电子商务、餐饮服务和客户支持领域的采用率较高,而金融服务、医疗保健和保险行业仍处于较早期的实验阶段。

该公司与一家医疗保险公司签署了首笔达到八位数的Conversations交易。其他披露的新增或扩展客户包括Chapter、Ultra P、ElevenLabs、Gong、雨果博斯(HUGO BOSS)、Mira AI、Rivian和Ushur。Twilio还推出了内测版的身份认证产品,并计划于2027年全面开放。

管理层业绩指引

期间指标指引
2026年第四季度营收15.95亿美元-16.05亿美元
2026年第四季度报告营收增长率17%-17.5%
2026年第四季度有机营收增长率11%-12%
2026年第四季度Non-GAAP运营利润3.00亿美元-3.10亿美元
2026财年有机营收增长率15%(高于此前预期的13%-13.5%)
2026财年报告营收增长率20%(高于此前预期的18%-18.5%)
2026财年Non-GAAP运营利润11.9亿美元-12.0亿美元
2026财年自由现金流11.9亿美元-12.0亿美元
2027财年初步预期有机营收增长率至少10%
2027财年初步预期Non-GAAP运营利润至少13.5亿美元
2027财年初步预期自由现金流至少13.5亿美元

第四季度报告营收指引假设美国运营商新增费用约为7,500万美元。全年指引假设该项费用约为2.45亿美元;在其他条件相同的情况下,管理层预计这将使2026年Non-GAAP毛利率相比2025年下降约200个基点。

管理层预计第四季度和2027全年的Non-GAAP毛利润增长率将与有机营收增长率相近。第四季度托管成本预计将在假日购物季期间上升,而完成电子邮件云迁移所带来的收益目前已计入成本基数中。

风险与关注点

  • Twilio基于使用量的计费模式会导致季度波动,尤其是在假日季节。
  • 短信消息业务占总营收的60%左右,且结构性毛利率较低,限制了高毛利率软件产品提升全公司整体利润率的速度。
  • 随着部分ISV面临更高的同比基数,第三季度有机短信消息业务增长略有放缓。
  • 运营商新增转嫁费用增加了报告营收,但对毛利润、运营利润或自由现金流金额没有任何贡献,从而对报告的利润率构成压力。
  • 语音和消费者AI仍处于早期阶段。受监管行业的采用进展较为缓慢,管理层未对更广泛部署的时间表作出预测。
  • 由于Twilio的身份认证产品仍处于内测阶段,其定价和打包方案尚未最终敲定。

分析师问答亮点

管理层表示,第三季度营收表现反映了在2026年上半年业绩异常大幅超出指引之后的正常季度波动。环比的主要变化是有机短信消息业务增速放缓了1个百分点;而语音、软件附加组件和自服务业务趋势总体保持一致。

在AI方面,Twilio将自己定位为技术中立的基础设施提供商,支持领先的应用层公司。管理层认为,AI模型、智能体平台、政策和协议之间的碎片化,增强了对Twilio连接性、上下文、编排、治理和身份认证能力的需求。

该公司预计其身份认证产品将采用基于使用量的模式,并支持智能体对人、人对智能体以及智能体对智能体的交互。管理层还预计该产品将具备类似软件的高毛利率特征,但将详细的定价和打包方案留待全面开放时公布。

管理层表示,目前语音业务的增长在通话时长和软件附加组件之间保持平衡。AI原生客户通常从可编程语音开始,随着使用量的扩大,逐步添加短信消息、WhatsApp、品牌呼叫或其他Conversations产品。

关于毛利润,管理层强调更高毛利率的软件产品和持续的成本举措仍是积极的推动力量。然而,短信消息业务的规模及其较低的毛利率特性会显著影响合并业绩,因此预计2027财年初步的毛利润增长率将与有机营收增长率大体保持一致。

业绩电话会议完整文字记录


完整财报电话会议逐字稿

管理层陈述

Operator

Good day, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Twilio's Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please be advised that today's conference call is being recorded.

I would now like to hand the conference over to your first speaker today, Rodney Nelson.

Please go ahead.

Rodney Nelson

Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us for Twilio's Third Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. Joining me today are Khozema Shipchandler, Chief Executive Officer; Aidan Viggiano, Chief Financial Officer; and Thomas Wyatt, Chief Operating Officer.

As a reminder, we will disclose non-GAAP financial measures on this call. Definitions and reconciliations between our GAAP and non-GAAP results can be found in our earnings presentation posted on our IR website at investors.twilio.com. We will also make forward-looking statements on this call, including statements about our future outlook and goals. Such statements are subject to known and unknown risks and uncertainties and that could cause actual results to differ materially from those described. Many of those risks and uncertainties are described in our SEC filings, including our most recent Form 10-K and our forthcoming Form 10-Q. Forward-looking statements represent our beliefs and assumptions only as of the date such statements are made. We disclaim any obligation to update any forward-looking statements, except as required by law.

With that, I'll hand it over to Khozema [indiscernible], who will discuss our Q3 results, and then we'll open the call for Q&A.

Khozema Shipchandler

Thanks, Rodney. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining us today. Twilio had a great third quarter. Revenue grew 16% organically while non-GAAP gross profit grew 18% year-over-year. we generated $326 million in non-GAAP income from operations and $370 million in free cash flow, record quarters for both. We are in the very early stages of an AI super cycle. Voice and consumer AI have gained early traction, but penetration is still extremely low. This bodes very well for Twilio. Developers and enterprises alike choose Twilio because of our fast, trusted and reliable infrastructure that works seamlessly with their existing technology stacks. Customers grow with Twilio because we provide global scale and rich context and integrate to virtually any technology as companies continue experimenting with which AI environments are optimally tuned for their purposes.

In short, we provide fast ROI, so our customers can take advantage of the incredible innovation spurred by AI today and the inevitable innovations to come tomorrow. The leading voice and consumer AI companies are using our platform to power the first wave of agentic experiences. While the growth rates of these companies are incredible, and the technology is awesome as consumers, most of us have limited interactions with both voice and consumer AI in daily life. Part of this is just the natural adoption cycle which should create enormous tailwinds for the company. Part of this has to do with trust, knowing who or what an agent represents and always understanding what it's doing, why and for how long.

And finally, ROI has been hard to come by. This is a good setup for Twilio. We are building a company to accelerate AI adoption. We have long provided a context layer that allows every customer to utilize personalized data to enrich every interaction with the consumer, yielding increased revenue and lower cost, plus a better consumer outcome. We have also provided tools such as branded calling and verification capabilities, which lead to higher conversion rates plus reinforced trust. At our Signal Conference, we included all of these capabilities in a massively simplified console that is easier than ever for developers to utilize and a purpose built for agents as tools like frontier models and vibe coating applications take off.

In addition, we wrapped all of these offerings together so customers can utilize what they need, the basic infrastructure, data hydrated channels or a complete solution such as conversation relay, which remains technology agnostic at the application layer. allowing customers to make their own technology decisions while ensuring easy integration to our technology partners. We launched these capabilities as part of a broader conversations layer which is gaining real momentum in the marketplace. More recently, we launched an identity offering into private beta, so businesses are able to safely validate who an agent is representing irrespective of the AI modality they utilize, application, channel or technology protocol.

While it is extremely early, we have been encouraged by customer feedback and intend to launch an offering into general availability next year. The breadth of the AI opportunity was particularly evident at our annual ExecConnect customer event that we hosted a few weeks ago for top executives from Twilio's largest customers. The input from customers was encouraging relative to our recent releases and product road map. Businesses need trusted channels. They need global scale. They need context they need higher conversion rates. And increasingly, they need secure identity, governance and observability. They want Twilio to help them innovate at AI speed.

Our results reflect this demand. In Q3, we saw continued strong growth in self-serve and ISVs as well as ongoing strength in voice and messaging. Our go-to-market team landed notable wins, including our first 8-figure conversations deal with a health insurance provider. This company's voice AI agent is powered by conversation relay and conversation Intelligence's real-time transcription to enhance call tracking and reduce agent wrap-up time. We also signed deals with chapter, Ultra P, 11 Labs, Gong, HUGO BOSS, Mira AI, Rivian and Usher. Our customers continue to expand their usage of the platform across multiple products as their customer needs become more complex and revenue growth from multiproduct customers continues to outpace our corporate average.

For example, MIRA AI and AI reachability platform connecting humans and AI agents with hard-to-reach consumers expanded their messaging use case to include voice and our conversations layer. They're using both to coordinate multichannel outreach preserve conversation context and support consultative sales conversations with proper lead qualification or Usher the AI native platform for a genetic customer experiences in health care, insurance and the public sector signed a 7-figure expansion with Twilio. Usher uses Twilio voice, messaging and WhatsApp for multichannel engagement and is expanding its voice AI capabilities with conversation relay.

Major health plans use Usher to engage millions of members through multilingual 2-way conversations and have achieved 3x higher Medicaid re-enrollment completion rates compared with human led outreach. Beyond Medicaid, Ushers AI agents resolve inquiries and complete complex customer journeys end-to-end with customers automating 20% or more of inbound call volume. Another example is Gong, the leading revenue AI company which signed a 7-figure deal to continue using voice and other software add-ons for [indiscernible] it'sAI-powered sales engagement solution or UltraP anagenic AI platform for credit unions and community banks, which is invested in Twilio's conversations layer and its voice agents now resolve up to 70% of routine member calls on their own.

In Q3, the company signed an expansion deal to use both RCS and branded calling to improve its trusted customer interactions across multiple channels. And finally, chapter, a consumer services company signed a 7-figure deal to migrate its contact center onto Flex, standing up a fully live deployment in a matter of weeks as part of a broader move to make Twilio the backbone of its customer service operations. In addition, they will leverage messaging, voice and software add-ons like branded calling to power a multichannel experience for their customers.

With these customer examples, you can see the power of Twilio. Consumers dictate the terms of how they want businesses to engage with them in their preferred channels and at their preferred time, and they want the ability to seamlessly escalate in interaction to a human agent whenever they want. This richness and flexibility requires significant breadth in technology capabilities and our innovative platform continues earning validation from analysts as we were named a major player in IDC's 2026, conversational intelligence and analytics marketscape during the quarter.

Over the past 3 years, we have accelerated revenue and gross profit growth, increased operating leverage, generated substantial free cash flow and reduced dilution. We operate from a position of strength. We are committed to creating great financial outcomes for investors and also have the capacity to invest organically and move nimbly on capital allocation whether additional share repurchases or M&A. We will continue to innovate with focus, discipline and rigor anticipating our customers' needs so they can focus on building their companies.

We have been building Twilio for this moment. Since inception, we provided essential technology infrastructure that accelerated customers through a variety of technology cycles. And today, our newest generation of technology allows another wave of companies in the AI era to move faster than ever. We continue to see an incredibly meaningful set of problems to solve on behalf of our customers in a landscape that is moving fast. We have the financial strength, trusted infrastructure and innovation wherewithal to win through any cycle.

And with that, I'll turn it over to Aidan.

Aidan Viggiano

Thank you, Khozema, and good afternoon, everyone. Twilio had a great Q3 and delivering record revenue of $1.56 billion, up 20% year-over-year on a reported basis and 16% year-over-year on an organic basis, which excludes incremental U.S. carrier pass-through fees. Non-GAAP gross profit grew 18% year-over-year. We also generated record non-GAAP income from operations of $326 million and record free cash flow of $370 million. Top line performance was driven by broad-based strength across our product portfolio and key go-to-market focus areas. Our self-serve channel delivered 30% plus revenue growth. while ISV revenue grew 20% plus. Messaging revenue growth was 24%, driven primarily by strong volumes and aided by growth in WhatsApp and RCS.

Incremental carrier fees contributed roughly 7 points to messaging's growth. Voice revenue grew 20% plus, once again, driven by a balance of volume growth and software add-ons. We continue to see strong growth from AI native and adoption of software add-ons such as branded calling, conversation intelligence, conversation relay and VERIFI. Finally, total software add-on revenue growth was 25% plus and support and services grew 30% plus. Our Q3 dollar-based net expansion rate was 114% reflecting the improved growth trends we've seen in our business over the last several quarters. Incremental carrier fees contributed roughly 4 points to DBNE. We delivered record non-GAAP gross profit of $768 million, growing 18% year-over-year, our third consecutive quarter of 15% plus non-GAAP gross profit growth. This was driven by continued momentum in our higher-margin products in addition to our proactive efforts to deliver meaningful cost efficiencies across our platform.

Non-GAAP gross margin was 49.2%, down 90 basis points year-over-year and up 20 basis points quarter-over-quarter. We incurred incremental U.S. carrier pass-through fees of $53 million, which drove the year-over-year decline. Without these incremental fees, non-GAAP gross margin would have been up 80 basis points year-over-year and up 30 basis points quarter-over-quarter. Q3 non-GAAP income from operations came in ahead of expectations at $326 million, up 39% year-over-year and our fastest growth rate in over 2 years. driven by strong gross profit growth and continued cost leverage.

Non-GAAP income from operations benefited from roughly $11 million in platform credits, which was higher than we anticipated. Non-GAAP operating margin was 21%, up 290 basis points year-over-year and up 190 basis points quarter-over-quarter. Our Q3 non-GAAP operating margin includes a roughly 70 basis point headwind from incremental U.S. carrier fees. We generated $149 million in GAAP income from operations, up 263% year-over-year. Q3 stock-based compensation as a percentage of revenue was 9.9%, down 230 basis points year-over-year and up 40 basis points quarter-over-quarter. We generated record free cash flow of $370 million in the quarter. Additionally, we completed $127 million in share repurchases in Q3 and have roughly $700 million remaining on our current buyback authorization.

Turning to guidance. For Q4, we're initiating a revenue target of $1.595 billion to $1.605 billion, representing 17% to 17.5% reported growth and 11% to 12% organic growth. Our Q4 reported revenue guidance assumes approximately $75 million in incremental U.S. carrier fees. As a reminder, our organic revenue excludes the contribution from incremental increases to U.S. carrier fees and acquisition-related revenue. In addition, we expect non-GAAP gross profit growth to be similar to organic revenue growth in Q4 due to higher hosting costs for the holiday shopping season and with our e-mail cloud migration now behind us.

Based on our year-to-date performance and our Q4 guidance, we're raising our full year 2026 organic revenue growth outlook to 15%, up from 13% to 13.5% previously. We are raising our reported revenue growth outlook to 20%, up from 18% to 18.5% previously. In addition, we continue to expect full year non-GAAP gross profit growth to be similar to our organic revenue growth rate. Our full year revenue guidance assumes approximately $245 million in incremental pass-through revenue from U.S. carrier fees. As a reminder, while the pass-through fees have no impact on our gross profit, income from operations or free cash flow dollars, they do impact our margin rates.

For modeling purposes, we would expect the incremental fees to reduce our full year 2026 non-GAAP gross margin by roughly 200 basis points when compared with our full year 2025 non-GAAP gross margin, all else equal. Turning to our profit outlook. For Q4, we expect non-GAAP income from operations of $300 million to $310 million. We are raising our full year 2026 non-GAAP income from operations range to $1.19 billion to $1.2 billion, up from $1.135 billion to $1.155 billion previously. Similarly, we are raising our full year free cash flow guidance to $1.19 billion to $1.2 billion.

Before we open the call for questions, we also wanted to provide a preliminary outlook for 2027. We've delivered 9 consecutive quarters of double-digit organic revenue growth alongside consistent operating leverage and are in a strong position heading into the year-end. Based on the trends we see in the business, we expect full year 2027 organic revenue growth of at least 10%, well above our 2025 Investor Day framework of 7% to 8% annual organic revenue growth. We expect 2027 non-GAAP gross profit growth to be similar to organic revenue growth. Turning to profitability. We expect 2027 non-GAAP income from operations of at least $1.35 billion above our most recent guidance of at least $1.23 billion, which we provided on our Q4 2025 earnings call. We also expect free cash flow of at least $1.35 billion.

We will provide more commentary on our fiscal 2027 outlook on our Q4 2016 earnings call. Finally, Twilio will host an Investor Day in conjunction with our upcoming Signal Conference taking place in San Francisco on April 13 and 14, 2027. I'm very pleased with the strong revenue and gross profit growth we delivered in the third quarter as well as our ongoing financial discipline that is driving strong profitability and free cash flow. We remain focused on our key go-to-market initiatives and on delivering the essential infrastructure that will help our customers win in the AI era.

And with that, we'll now open it up for questions.

Operator

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Elizabeth Porter from Morgan Stanley.

分析师问答

Elizabeth Elliott

I just had a first question, just in the first half of the year, you saw organic revenue growth outperform guidance by a bit of a larger-than-normal magnitude in the first 2 quarters. whereas the magnitude of beat now is just a little bit more modest and more normalized -- so could you help us unpack what drove the upside relative to your expectations this quarter? And were there any tailwinds that particularly benefited growth in the first half of the year that began to change in Q3 and how that trends through Q4? .

Unknown Executive

Yes. Thanks, Elizabeth. So yes, I want to make a couple of points on that. So first, as we have said kind of consistently since the last earnings call, we did and still don't expect 5%-plus beats that we saw in both the first and second quarter to kind of be the new normal. We beat the Q3 guidance, high end of our guidance by roughly 4 points. And over the last 3 or so years, if you look at our quarterly beat, they kind of range from 2% to 4%, so kind of just in the mix there. When you look at this quarter, I'd say the smaller revenue beat in the quarter was primarily driven by messaging, which decelerated modestly from 18% growth in Q2 to 17% organic growth in Q3.

The rest of the business, if we look at voice, the software add-ons, the self-serve business, they kind of grew consistently quarter-to-quarter. So a modest deceleration in messaging. And that is our biggest product at about 60% of our revenue, and that's really the primary driver was.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Alex Zukin of Wolfe Research.

Aleksandr Zukin

I guess maybe on the point about messaging decelerating slightly. I mean, we're seeing all of the personal agent kind of stuff going on between multiple vendors. Maybe when -- what is the tailwind there, if any, for Twilio? When would you start to see that show up and then maybe because what is Twilio's right to win in this kind of compliance identity space -- and maybe any reason that given some of the incremental products that you're putting out there and the success of the initiatives with conversation, any reason why gross profit growth shouldn't outpace organic revenue growth next year?

Unknown Executive

Alex, let me start a little bit on messaging. It wasn't your direct question. But as we look at the quarter and the deceleration that we saw -- the primary driver of that was the ISVs. They did moderate a bit as we started to lap tougher comparisons back in the third quarter of '25, that's when we saw that sales segment kind of accelerate above 20%. And -- so the messaging deceleration was really just a tougher comparison relative to the first half of the year. .

All right, I'll hand it over to Jim to talk about consumer agents.

Khozema Shipchandler

Yes. I mean, Alex, I would say on the consumer agent side, I mean, we definitely have a right to win. I think -- I mean it's been a few weeks, obviously, since all of these different agent platforms have launched, we're working with all the leading companies I'm not going to get into specific names, but you can take some signal from that. From our perspective, it's very much on the come, but it's going to take some time. I mean the way that we characterize voice AI in our prepared remarks is that it's about 1% of what the voice interactions are so far. I mean, that's very, very underpenetrated, which means that there's a lot of sort of tailwind on the come. .

As it relates to consumer AI, it's a fraction of that. So again, I think there's a lot of activity that's on the comp, and I think we'll be a beneficiary of that. So we're very excited about what's coming and what's still developing. And I think, honestly, like fragmentation is actually relatively useful for us here as well. That kind of goes to identity. In the identity space, I mean, I think it's just like a natural add-on for many of the things that we're already doing. We're already in the transactional flow as I said a moment ago, there's a lot of fragmentation. I think the idea of having every 1 of these agents, if you're the consumer being validated on the way in and having a neutral party be able to adjudicate that, like that's kind of the idea behind it. And the customers that we've spoken to are very excited about the prospect of that.

Similarly, business adoption has been slow so far, but as it starts to pick up, they're going to require the same technology. And so that kind of works both ways, which is why we're excited about it. And then I think over time, you're right that conversations or some of the other products, like they will help with respect to gross margins and gross profits. But I think as Aidan has said, like very consistently over the last many years, like messaging is really the weight of the business. And the growth characteristics of messaging, just given that it is structurally lower, they tend to drive the overall margin rate of the business. But on balance, when you start to exclude fees and some stuff like that, like we have been doing pretty well from a margin perspective, and I would attribute it to some of our more software-like products, if you will.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Taylor McGinnis.

Taylor McGinnis

Maybe, Adam, 1 for you and then Cosimo for you. Aidan, just on despite the decel in messaging, if I look at the 4Q organic growth guide, it's very similar to how you guided 3Q. So could you just maybe walk through some of the drivers of that I know there's the holiday season, there tends to be a seasonal uptick in the messaging business. So could you just walk us through like the guide there? And then secondly, Khozema for you, you guys mentioned a bunch of big voice wins, and it sounds like momentum of the pipeline is going really well. But you made the comments about it still being early in some of the stuff taking time. So just in comparison to the over 20% growth, like when could we reach that inflection point? And where are we with the customers in that.

Aidan Viggiano

Thanks, Taylor. I'd say on the guide, like we're really encouraged by the revenue trends, the performance that we've seen in the business, both in terms of volumes, but as well as our go-to-market execution. And importantly, it's been really broad-based. -- messaging did decel a point. But when you look at the guidance trends, we're guiding to 11% to 12%, that's consistent with Q3, but that's our strongest quarterly revenue guidance in several years. So we feel pretty good about that.

Now that said, consistent with how we've got it for the last few years, and as you know, we continue to plan prudently. We are a usage-based business. Q4 is a more volatile quarter for us just given holiday seasons and things like that. And as I said earlier, we've historically kind of delivered organic revenue base of 2% to 4%. We view that range is more than norm than kind of what we saw in the first half of the year. Beyond that, I would really call out anything unusual for Q4.

Khozema Shipchandler

Taylor, with respect to the voice wins and kind of the overall momentum, I mean, it's definitely progressing well from our perspective. It's definitely driven some of the elevated growth that you see on the voice channel, like that's been very exciting, obviously, for us, and it's great to see that channel doing so well. I think in terms of like broader, more mainstream adoption I think a lot of that is still on the come. Like the customers that tend to drive the biggest volumes tend to be in regulated industries, traditionally, financial services, health care and insurance, like those 3, in particular, drive a lot of volume I think they're still experimenting a lot, I mean, heavily with AI. But I think for the -- once they adopt some of these voice AI use cases, like then you'll start to see it really pick up.

For now, it's predominantly been retail, e-commerce, foodservice, stuff like that. And obviously, you've seen some pickup in customer service as well. But as I mentioned in my answer to the prior question, it's still 1% penetration in terms of the total available voice minutes out there. And so -- from our perspective, look, this is a great setup, right? I mean we have 99% of it to go in a market that's probably growing. And so there's just a lot of tailwind here and a lot of growth available for Twilio.

Operator

Our next question comes from Samad Samana of Jefferies.

Samad Samana

Great. appreciation. I will also give 1 for -- because I got 1 for Eden. -- for you, just on the identity product, can you help us think about how monetization there looks? And you said it's early in the release. But if you could just give us some examples of what the price uplift looks like when that's attached. And is that the use case there for agent to human, human agent or agent to agent. So maybe just digging deeper into identity and then Aiden for you on the 2027 preliminary outlook, thanks for giving that I think it's very helpful to look ahead. Can you just help us unpack what you're assuming around messaging and the nonmessaging products and whether we should think about messaging is stable versus accelerating what we saw this year, just dig deeper into both those?

Khozema Shipchandler

Yes. Let me start, Samad. So on monetization, look, we haven't quite worked out the model yet. I mean it's -- again, it's a private beta. It's very early. I think what you can probably anticipate is it'll be usage-based kind of in conformance like with the rest of our revenue model. I think that puts us in the right set of customers. You can imagine like having identity resolution happen based on different times that agent human, et cetera, is interacting with a different business. The product is meant to suit all of the use cases that you referenced. So agency human, human to agent, agent-to-agent. So in that way, it will be quite versatile Finally, I would expect that it does provide a gross margin uplift that will have more software margin like characteristics. .

And so that's another reason that we're pretty encouraged by it. But again, quite, quite early days. It's in private beta. We'll talk about it in a more fulsome way, including pricing, packaging and margin characteristics when we get into GA next year.

Aidan Viggiano

And then on your 2027 question, we were intending to give some directional guidance here. I mean we feel really good about the trends in the business. Messaging is performing quite well. voice to software add-ons, some of our largest products -- so all of those kind of factor into the outlook. We're not going to get much more specific than that right now. We will dive deeper into 2027 at our Q4 earnings call. .

Operator

Our next call comes from the line of Samik Chatterjee of JPMorgan.

Samik Chatterjee

Maybe on the voice side, you've had this 20%-plus growth consistently in the recent past. -- you highlighted that it comes both from volume and software add-ons. Is there any way you can sort of break that down a bit more granularly for us in terms of how does the balance of volume versus software add-ons sort of contribute to that 20%-plus growth right now. And particularly, as you think about next year, I know you said that overall for voice is still early days, but how are you thinking as you sort of think about next year or maybe in the next couple of years, where does the greater sort of growth opportunity lies? Is it volumes? Or do you see a bigger opportunity around software...

Aidan Viggiano

Yes, I'll start with just the split of the voice growth. It's actually pretty balanced. I mean we're seeing a lot of strength in the software add-ons. We see triple-digit growth in some of the branded calling, conversation intelligence to name a couple. And so really, we are seeing minutes grow, so volumes grow, and we're seeing the attach rate with the software add-ons grow quite quickly as well. .

Khozema Shipchandler

Yes. Just to add to that a little more on some of the use cases that we're seeing, particularly with voice AI. A couple of quarters ago, it was a lot of proof of concepts. Those concepts have now rolled into production. We're starting to see real realization of our customers, whether it's AI natives or some of the traditional ISVs that are embedding voice into their platforms, really start to reach some significant scale with their voice usage, and we talked about a few of those customers already in terms of the return that they're getting on it. But we're really encouraged with the overall mix that we're seeing, branded calling the conversation suite in general, is really helping us accelerate the software add-on part of our business, which grew well over 25% this quarter. .

Operator

Our next call comes from the line of Ittai Kidron of Oppenheimer & Company.

Ittai Kidron

Maybe a couple for me. First, Cazena, as you think about the business going forward, help us think from your perspective, what is the right KPI to follow here because revenue is going to swing back and forth with messaging. And clearly, that's a very important part of your business. But A lot of the focus and a lot of the value that investors put on your business is really tied into your nonmessaging business longer term, right? And so I guess the question is, if those businesses are small and even though they're ramping, it's going to be hard to move the dial from a revenue standpoint is gross profit, the right way to look at it or any other KPI. And in that context, and I understand Aidan, this is a preliminary '27 guide, why should gross profit grow in line with revenue? Why should it not grow faster? I appreciate that. .

Khozema Shipchandler

Yes. I mean, I can start. Look, I think, Itai, we're, in general, trying to drive a balanced P&L. And I mean if you look at just like what we've accomplished over the last several years, I mean, we've accelerated revenue pretty substantially. I mean we're up very significantly from the preliminary guidance that we gave at our Investor Day 2, 3 years ago. We've driven significant operating leverage. We've driven a ton of cash. We've reduced dilution. So I think when you look at like the totality of the P&L, like that's generally been a pretty good payoff for investors.

As we look forward, I mean, clearly, the goal is to be able to continue driving growth at elevated levels. I think that this quarter and certainly the last couple have provided evidence that we're able to do that both as a result of significant effort and investment on the self-serve side as well as great go-to-market execution in terms of both our enterprise as well as our ISV customers, we're just seeing really good balanced growth across the board. Now more specifically to some of the line items in the P&L. I mean, the thing that we focus on day-to-day is predominantly gross profit growth.

So now we get asked this question like a lot of different ways from you all and from other investors. We don't do it necessarily like at the expense of revenue growth. And we don't work it the other way, and it's a balance, like we're trying to drive what ever the best long-term outcomes are overall for the business. And so given the usage-based nature of it, given that the mix can tilt a little bit from quarter-to-quarter, you do have like a little bit of these up and down dynamics.

Like we certainly understand that is the people that are running the business day to day. I think you guys understand it is folks that have followed the business for a long time, and we just have to kind of roll with that. But over a long period of time, we think that there's a great balanced P&L outcome for investors. In the last 3 years, I think it provided very, very compelling evidence that we're going to continue driving that.

Ittai Kidron

Yes. I mean, demo covered a lot there. Maybe just a couple of other things I'll hit on gross profit. I do want to talk about Q4 a minute because I said Q4 would be gross profit growth would be in line with revenue. Remember, in Q4, we have the big holiday season, we tend to provision more from a hosting perspective in that period. So that does come with additional costs. In addition to that, we have started to lap some of the cost tailwinds that we've seen in the business.

So we moved to e-mail, for example, from on-prem to the cloud -- that provided a gross margin tailwind for the better part of this year. That's fully in our run rate now. So those kind of GM tailwinds go away. Now that said, when you look at what really drives gross profit outpacing revenue, it is the higher-margin products growing quite well. as well as continued cost actions. We're going to continue to do both of those things. But as Cosimo said messaging has lower gross margin, carries low gross profit for every dollar of revenue, and it's 60% of our business. So that can obviously influence outcomes.

Operator

Our next question comes from the line of Kalle Villante of Goldman Sachs.

Unknown Analyst

I wanted to ask on the voice part of the business, realize when we get the numbers quarterly, they're not exactly the growth numbers that you guys see in front of you. But has been roughly kind of 20% plus over the last couple of quarters now after accelerating more in the quarters prior to that. What are some of the pieces that could bring that up further over the next couple of quarters? And have you continued to see this demand step up on a quarterly basis? Or do you think we have reached a more stable environment as companies roll out AI in a more measured way. .

Thomas Wyatt

Kaley, it's Thomas here. So just to think about voice by the particular cohorts of customers that we have, starting with self-service, growth in voice has been over 50%, and that's a good leading indicator of the adoption of the channel itself. And then, of course, adding software voice software add-ons on top of that continues to accelerate that. So we're seeing that is a good leading indicator for momentum. The second is the AI natives, the ones that have been born with voice use cases, they're continuing to expand with us, and they were growing as they're growing. And we're also seeing them adopt second and third channel.

So a number of our voice AI customers are now adding WhatsApp or messaging or other types of brand calling and other services. And so we're seeing that as a nice accelerate as well. And then additionally, there's a lot of consolidation in the enterprise space where traditional contact centers, customers are looking for a more agentic way of doing voice services in enterprise motions and in that case, moving more to a head list type of voice interaction experience combined with the other messaging types that we offer along with orchestration of memory. And so that's been a nice catalyst for us as well. So -- as I mentioned earlier, there's been a lot of proof of concepts that have gone into production recently. We're encouraged by the momentum and the results our customers are getting. And so we think that's a pretty good indicator of future success with voice.

Operator

Our next call comes from the line of Siti Panigrahi of Mizuho.

Sitikantha Panigrahi

Just a follow-up to the prior question, where the value acts if you see -- I know you call it early sales now in AI super cycle. But frontier labs, even as it builders, they're all moving into voice. Voice is exciting. But as you look forward to next maybe over 5 years, where do you see the value acts like Tulio can bring? Is it on the connectivity context identity side or any other layer that you are pretty confident that you can keep -- and also like what has to change for the voice AI to move beyond like these AI native and nonregulated verticals? Like what are the leading indicators you are watching?

Khozema Shipchandler

A lot there, City. So let me just kind of start with like the value proposition and you mentioned like a number of players kind of moving into the space. I mean the -- the 1 thing is that I think what really advantages us relative to other players is like we're the neutral party. And so virtually every player in the space who are predominantly participating at the application layer they are running off of Twilio's rails. Like that is a really, really great spot to be in because ultimately, we're providing underlying infrastructure on top of which we're able to add capabilities like intelligence like memory, like orchestration, as Thomas alluded to a second ago.

We can also add things like branded calling to be able to improve conversion rates and things of that nature. And so the ability to provide this full service offering at the infrastructure level allows us to win with every single 1 of the providers irrespective of what it is that they're trying to build and how they're going to market with their different customers. So I would say it's a starting point, like that's a major advantage in the broader ecosystem.

Customers continue to come to us for that infrastructure for that programmability for these different aspects of the conversation suite that I mentioned a second ago. I think it's just the technology adoption cycle. Like I mean, I don't think there's a number of like KPIs that necessarily have to be unlocked here, it's just going to happen as time goes on. I mean as consumers become more and more comfortable with the utilization of AI, it will pick up more as businesses start pushing the technology out to their consumers additionally, like we'll start to see the pick up more and more. I mean the reality is like when we sell it, the ROI is very compelling. I mean we're able to generate more revenue, reduce costs, create a better consumer experience, but it's going to take time.

And I'm not surprised that the regulated industries have taken more time -- that's how every technology cycle has played out. So I'm very, very optimistic about the way that it's played out so far. It certainly feels great about the way that I would expect it to play out going forward. And as Thomas alluded to a second ago, when you look at the top of the funnel, which is really like vis-a-vis self-serve, like growing at over 50% on voice there, like that's a pretty encouraging signal. So I think we just have to continue executing and there's a lot of demand on the come.

Operator

Our next call comes from the line of Arun Bhatia of William Blair.

Unknown Analyst

Yes. Perfect. Two, if I can. One for -- maybe I want to ask the P&L question directed to a different metric for this quarter. I saw obviously, the op income growth was very strong. I think even after I back out the $11 million in credits, it was very healthy, and it seems like that's sort of being given back next quarter. I'm just curious if there's additional investments and growth investments you're planning to make or if there's something else at play there? And then Simone for you. I'm just curious how you view sort of these emerging agent to agent protocols? I know it's super early, but -- is that a tailwind for Twilio given some opportunity around orchestration and governance and identity as you talked about? Or does it potentially take some volume off of sort of traditional telephony and move it to other rails. I'm curious how you think that might evolve over time.

Khozema Shipchandler

Yes. Maybe I'll start, and then Aidan can talk about Oncoming here in a second. I think it's all tailwind. I mean I think the reality is like it's a very fragmented landscape right now. You've got a number of these different companies. As I said earlier, all of the leading companies are already working with us. I mean it's not just like the messaging and e-mail content like there's the service operations that go with it as well. There'll be voice content. So we see what's been playing out so far as like a lot of tailwind going forward for the overall business.

In terms of the protocols themselves, I would call them probably policies over protocols, like what they've stipulated is kind of a set of things that one should follow as these agent to agent interactions are transpiring. We certainly can form to the different policies that are being written. They're also quite varied. And so here again, I think fragmentation kind of plays to Twilio's strengths, like our ability to work across any policy framework, any protocol framework, any technology, that's a great setup, not just for our core business in channels. It also helps to sell a lot more context -- and then I would say, going forward, it's a great setup for identity. So no matter how you kind of cut it, we look at the whole thing as a lot of tailwind for folio.

Aidan Viggiano

[indiscernible], on your profit question, yes, we delivered very high op profit in Q3. $326 million was up nearly 40% year-over-year, it's up 14% quarter-over-quarter. -- as you called out and as I mentioned in the prepared remarks, we did benefit from roughly $11 million in platform credits, which were higher than we had anticipated. So that creates a slightly larger optical gap in our Q4 guidance. The other thing I'd say is we did make some investments in head count in the quarter, both R&D and go-to-market. Those are incorporated into our guidance as well. And then lastly, of course, as you know, we continue to just plan prudently just given the usage-based nature of the business. .

Operator

Thank you. Our next call comes from the line of Nick Altman of U.S. Bancorp.

Unknown Analyst

Awesome I wanted to ask a question about how some of the AI use cases in software add-ons have this pull-through dynamic, which results in higher volumes. Because Amy, you've talked about how voice AI agent use cases actually result in longer duration calls and then there's products like Brandon Calling, which can actually drive higher answer rates and allow customers to do more outbound calling. And so my question is, how should we think about the overall uplift in terms of the volume of minutes or messages when it comes to customers that begin to embed voice AI agents or when they have products like brand calling or conversation memory or other offerings?

Khozema Shipchandler

Yes. I mean, I think, broadly speaking, you should expect call duration to go up from where it is today. Like I think most calls and service environments today are measured on cycle time. I think going forward, the way that customer service operations will probably measure contact centers is based on the outcomes that are being created for the consumers on the other side. So I'm certainly not suggesting that like what used to be a 60-second call. Is it going to go up to like 10, 20 minutes I'd say that's not a great outcome necessarily. But I do think there will be an uplift as a means to being able to, a, solve the consumer's problem.

But b, there's also like a big opportunity for like real revenue uplift on the part of the business, right? So they can cross-sell, upsell their customers a lot better. And especially if they're using a context layer underneath their ability to source details about the consumer that they're serving in real time and then be able to create like kind of packages and prices of additional items like that's pretty compelling. Beyond all that stuff, the branded calling and other intelligence capabilities as part of the conversation suite, like that's all uplift. And so those, as you know, like provide price adders. But ultimately, like ROI is, I think, what wins the game here. And I think Twilio has an offering when you combine our channels, combine it with contacts and then add in things like branded like makes for a really, really compelling offering leads to better conversion, better revenue lower cost and ultimately better consumer outcomes. And I think that's why you've seen the growth characteristics that you have.

Operator

Our next call comes from the line of Koji Ikeda of Bank of America.

Koji Ikeda

I wanted to follow up on an answer you gave earlier about self-service voice growing 50%. And so how predictive has self-service historically been around broader voice growth? And what sort of lag do we expect from self-service growth self-trust is growing versus the revenue going up from it? .

Khozema Shipchandler

I mean I could talk a little bit about the use cases and then Adam, maybe if you want to get into more of some of the historicals on it. But -- when you think about the use cases we're typically seeing with voice with self-service, a lot of it is the autonomous AI-powered customer engagement use case. And it often starts with an AI native that's beginning to unlock a new vertical application or agent -- from there, they need to complete sort of a holistic customer journey as they get some product market fit, they start to increase their volumes then we typically see that they'll add a second channel because most voice experiences are only just 1 channel is not enough. You need to be able to communicate to customers with -- through omnichannel experiences.

So then we tend to see the messaging get added, the conversation suite get added -- and ultimately, I think, as we said in previous conference calls that 60% plus of our enterprise customers started in self-service, and we see that natural expansion of our self-service customers continue -- and even this quarter, if you look at our $1 million customer cohort growth, it's growing as fast as it has in a long time. So we're really encouraged about the trends starting in self-service, how that translates into enterprise adoption over time and how these companies become $1 million-plus customers for us.

Aidan Viggiano

Yes. And then from a self-serve perspective, I'm not going to give any numbers specifically, right? But this is where we do our customer acquisition, right? This is where the AI native kind of all get started on our platform. When you think about voice in context to our kind of voice self-serve, just for context, right, our total self-service is roughly like 15% of our revenue. Voice is a small, relatively a smaller portion of that, obviously, just given the size of messaging and some of the other businesses. So first of all, it's a relatively small part of our revenue. It's growing very quickly. As Tomas said earlier, it's growing about 5%. And with a lot of these natives, we partnered very closely with them over the last couple of years, they typically come in, started on voice rails from a kind of programmable voice perspective. .

We've added software add-ons on top of that. In many of these cases, we've seen growth really accelerate and they're meaningful customers today. I mean, last quarter, we called out a horizontal conversational AI company that started building with Twilio in the voice channel. In Q1 of '25, they were generating kind of low 6 figures quarterly spend on Twilio, and it was almost all voice connectivity. Since then, their quarterly connectivity spend has tripled their software add-ons has gone from essentially nothing to nearly $0.5 million in the most recent quarter. And so you can see they've gone from a relatively small customer or other leveraging our media streams, our conferencing capabilities, entering machine detection, a lot of our software add-ons, and there are over $6 million annual run rate, growing like 65% with us. So -- that's the kind of thing we're seeing. It's happening.

It's a relatively small part of our business today, but it's growing really quickly. And it's exciting to think about what it could be.

Operator

Our next call comes from the line of Ryan MacWilliams of Wells Fargo.

Ryan MacWilliams

Second question. I'd love to hear about how the AI opportunity is evolving for the messaging business. Are your customers starting to see higher ROI on AI SMS use cases, like maybe they're trying more customer service SMS AI use cases are starting to get more interested in RCS? And then separately, how are trends for e-mail in the quarter? And did you see any positive or negative impacts from AI with an e-mail ?

Aidan Viggiano

Yes. Email was pretty consistent. Business is growing pretty well. It's a little bit lower than our kind of company average, but nothing to call out from a change in trend perspective. And I'd say early days from an AI perspective on e-mail.

Khozema Shipchandler

In terms of the AI opportunity on messaging, I mean, I think you're certainly seeing it start based on like just the take off with some of the consumer stuff, you're definitely seeing some activity there. I think you asked a slightly different question in terms of RCS and the ROI there. The ROI in RCS has been very, very significant. I mean it's been a very fast-growing product for us. It's little bit more challenging adoption cycle, if you will, just based on some things that have to be done as part of the onboarding process. But the technology is fantastic.

Customers who are using it are getting a ton out of it. It obviously comes with a lot of branding built into it as well. And so customers who are on it are really enjoying it and getting superior ROI relative to kind of traditional messaging, I would say.

Operator

Our next call comes from the line of Derrick Wood of TD Cowen.

James Wood

Great Kasamawhen it comes to these new consumer AI agents, I know you're saying it's still early, but you did indicate you're working with leading product companies already. So can you just help us frame kind of where you see the lowest hanging fruit when looking across your various communication channels? And then when it comes to the consumer brand side, -- do you see them starting to feel a need to stand up more genetic support systems to handle all the inbound agent volumes? And how would you frame the opportunity for Twilio there? .

Thomas Wyatt

Derek, it's Thomas here. A couple of points. So -- we are working with all the major players, but this is an interesting area where the consumer agency also has a long tail of smaller, lesser-known consumer agent companies that we're also working with. And it could be everything from outbound voice, helping these companies set up the telephony infrastructure to make calls on the consumers' behalf -- there's the messaging and texting capability. There's the verification and OTP capability resulting in authenticating these agents properly.

So we're participating and helping the consumer side of this with blueprints so that these companies can set up their communication infrastructure powered by Twilio to be able to have these agents transact on behalf of the consumers. On the flip side, I'd say there's even more acceleration of businesses trying to get ready for these consumer agents. And that's accelerating the conversations in the demand for helping our business customers set up virtual agents to be able to field the consumer agents that are coming more inbound.

And so it's really an interesting flywheel effect that's early days. So it's very early, but a lot of proof of concepts, a lot of early experimenting going on, and we're excited about the long-term potential for it.

Operator

Our next call comes from the line of Parker Lane of Stifel.

J. Lane

Eton, earlier, you talked about the impact of messaging you saw from ISVs moderating of the test compares. Is that a comment or something that you saw across all the ISV relationships broadly? Or were some of the long-tenured ISVs versus the natives more impacting that figure? .

Aidan Viggiano

Yes, I'd say it was not every ISV be sell in the quarter, obviously. So overall, they did tended to be focused on a few of them. But nothing specifically to call out there or give more on.

Unknown Executive

Thank you. At this time, this concludes our question-and-answer session. Thank you for your participation in today's conference. This now concludes our program, and you may now disconnect.

Operator

Goodbye.

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