DXY: Bearish crossover on the day – OCBC

FXStreetFeb 17, 2025 10:21 AM

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US Dollar (USD) longs continue to unwind as tariff concerns fade. DXY was last at 106.84 levels, OCBC's FX analysts Frances Cheung and Christopher Wong note.

Risk remains skewed to the downside

"Prospects of a Ukraine peace deal as well as a re-rating of Chinese tech stocks also helped to support sentiments while counter-cyclical USD comes under pressure. A potential meeting between President Xi and prominent Chinese tech entrepreneurs, Jack Ma and DeepSeek founder Liang Wenfeng is perceived as a positive signal."

"Markets are hoping that the outcome of the meeting shows Xi’s support for private sector and/or AI developments. Last Fri, US retail sales disappointed, further adding to USD woes."

"Daily momentum is bearish while RSI fell. Bearish crossover observed (21 DMA cuts 50 DMA to the downside). Risk remains skewed to the downside. Support at 106.20/40 levels (100 DMA, 38.2% fibo retracement of Oct low to Jan high). Resistance at 107.80 (23.6% fibo), 108.00/10 (21, 50 DMAs), and 108.50 levels."

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