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Asia FX: Energy conflict risks pressure regional currencies – MUFG
MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Lloyd Chan highlights that prolonged US–Iran tensions and potential damage to Middle Eastern energy infrastructure are increasingly weighing on Asian currencies.
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
Fed’s Williams: Job market sending out mixed signals
John Williams, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (Fed), said that monetary policy is well-positioned for any unusual circumstances. He told Reuters that the job market is still sending out mixed signals on Monday.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
Emerging markets: Resilient cycle shift – HSBC
HSBC Asset Management highlights that Emerging Markets have weathered higher Oil prices and a stronger Dollar better than in past cycles, thanks to stronger policy frameworks and diverse country exposures.
Brent
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
Asia bonds: Diverging risks and safe haven flows – DBS
DBS Group Research economists analyses Asia’s bond markets under the current geopolitical shock. The note says India and Indonesia have seen yields rise but less dramatically than Western peers, while South Korea faces greater volatility.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
APAC FX: Growth resilience but downside risks – BNY
BNY’s Head of Markets Macro Strategy Bob Savage highlights that improving regional PMI momentum, South Korea’s WGBI inclusion and solid export data support growth across Asia-Pacific, but geopolitical uncertainty and higher Oil prices weigh on FX.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
CEE FX: Inflation and energy shock pressure currencies – ING
ING’s Frantisek Taborsky expects a risk-off tone in CEE markets as higher Oil prices and geopolitical tensions test already elevated central bank hike pricing.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
Euro area: Inflation jump and hawkish ECB stance – Societe Generale
Societe Generale economists expect Euro area headline inflation to rise sharply in March, driven by higher energy costs, while core inflation eases slightly.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
Powell speech: Policy in good place to wait and see
Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Jerome Powell said that there is tension between the Fed's two objectives, while participating in a moderated discussion at the Harvard University Principles of Economics Class in Cambridge, per Reuters.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
Fed’s Miran: Inflation is heading back to target a year from now
Stephen Miran, a member of the Federal Reserve (Fed), said that inflation expectations have not been affected yet by higher Oil prices. He told CNBC on Monday that he is still concerned about the labor market, even though the Fed can accommodate that.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index declined to -0.2 in March from previous 0.2
United States Dallas Fed Manufacturing Business Index declined to -0.2 in March from previous 0.2
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
USD: Gradual depreciation outlook – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas analysts expect the US economy to grow above potential in 2026, with GDP at 2.7% and inflation at 3.1%, keeping the Federal Reserve on hold with the Fed Funds target range at 3.5%-3.75%.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
BoE: On hold as CPI stays above target – Societe Generale
Societe Generale economists note the United Kingdom (UK) markets still price around 70 bps of Bank of England (BoE) easing in 2026 despite Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) pushback, while the bank’s team expects no cuts this year.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
BoC: Dovish tone and long hold signalled – TD Securities
TD Securities analysts anticipate the Bank of Canada’s (BoC) March Summary of Deliberations will maintain a dovish tone, stressing excess supply and disinflation.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
Germany: War-driven energy shock risks ECB hike – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Senior Economist Dr. Ralph Solveen notes that Germany’s inflation rate rose from 1.9% to 2.7% in March 2026 as energy prices surged due to the war in Iran, while core inflation stayed at 2.5%.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
GBP: Repricing risks into spring – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley notes that the Pound has been the second best performing G10 currency after the Dollar since the Middle East conflict, driven by a sharp repricing of Bank of England (BoE) policy expectations.
GBP/USD
EUR/GBP
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
Eurozone: Inflation fears rise on war shock – ING
ING’s Chief Economist Bert Colijn highlights that Eurozone sentiment weakened in March as the Middle East war hit confidence. The economic sentiment indicator dropped from 98.3 in February to 96.6, with businesses and consumers more worried about inflation.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
NOK: Energy support and Norges Bank hawkish shift – MUFG
MUFG analysts note that NOK has outperformed most European peers during the Middle East conflict, supported by Norway’s energy exporter status and a hawkish repricing of Norges Bank policy.
USD/NOK
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
Germany annual CPI inflation jumps to 2.7% in March
Annual inflation in Germany, as measured by the change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI), climbed to 2.7% in March (preliminary estimate) from 1.9% in February, Germany's Destatis reported on Monday. On a monthly basis, the CPI rose by 1.1% following the 0.2% increase recorded in February.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
INR: RBI clampdown offers only brief respite – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts note the INR rallied over 1% after RBI intervention and new limits on banks’ net open FX positions, but the currency remains down 4% this month amid heavy FPI outflows.
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
Trump says US holding talks with new regime in Iran, warns of strikes if deal fails
US President Donald Trump said on Monday that the United States (US) is engaged in “serious discussions” with what he described as a “new and more reasonable regime” in Iran, while warning that Washington could launch massive strikes on the country’s key energy infrastructure if a deal is not reache
US Dollar Index
Brent
Fxstreet
Mon, Mar 30
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