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China: Growth outlook stays resilient – Standard Chartered
Standard Chartered economists Hunter Chan and Shuang Ding expect China’s Q1 2026 GDP growth to have accelerated to 4.8% year-on-year, supported by robust exports and recovering investment.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
Asia FX: Cautious risk tone with peace doubts – MUFG
MUFG’s Senior Currency Analyst Michael Wan notes that Asian currencies recovered as risk sentiment improved following comments from US President Trump on ending the Iran war, even as Oil prices stayed elevated.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
India: Fuel duty cuts strain budget outlook – DBS
DBS Group Research’s Radhika Rao highlights India’s fiscal response to elevated global energy prices and Rupee weakness.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
Eurozone: Gradual inflation rise seen through mid-year – ABN AMRO
ABN AMRO's Senior Economist Bill Diviney notes Eurozone inflation rose to 2.5% year-on-year in March, driven mainly by higher petrol and energy prices, while core inflation eased to 2.3%.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
Norges Bank: Market repricing and inflation risks – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley notes that Norges Bank has shifted to a more hawkish stance as Norwegian inflation proves sticky. January and February CPI data surprised on the upside, prompting markets to move from expecting rate cuts to pricing in further tightening.
USD/NOK
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
UK: Rising fuel costs threaten consumer confidence – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank analysts Shreyas Gopal and Sanjay Raja note that UK consumer confidence in March 2026 was surprisingly resilient, sitting between levels seen at the onset of Covid and the 2022 energy shock.
Brent
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
USD: NFP normalization and Fed hold expectations – TD Securities
TD Securities analysts expect the March US labor report to show a normalization in Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP), with headline gains of 30k, private NFP at 40k and a -10k drag from government jobs.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
Oil: Price shock impact on US growth – Commerzbank
Commerzbank economists Bernd Weidensteiner and Christoph Balz assess how the recent surge in Brent and WTI prices affects the US economy. They stress that the United States is structurally less vulnerable than in the 1970s thanks to lower oil intensity and higher domestic production.
Brent
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
US: Earnings resilience and AI investment support outlook – HSBC
HSBC’s Willem Sels and Lucia Ku maintain a positive six‑month view on US equities and USD investment grade credit. They highlight the United States’ status as an energy exporter, robust projected earnings growth, and strong technology and AI‑related investment.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
ECB: Pre-emptive hikes flagged on inflation risks – ABN AMRO
ABN AMRO's Senior Economist Bill Diviney argues the ECB is likely to raise rates at its April and June meetings, taking the deposit rate to 2.50% to prevent de-anchoring of inflation expectations.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
United States Business Inventories came in at -0.1%, below expectations (0.1%) in January
United States Business Inventories came in at -0.1%, below expectations (0.1%) in January
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
United States ISM Manufacturing PMI registered at 52.7 above expectations (52.5) in March
United States ISM Manufacturing PMI registered at 52.7 above expectations (52.5) in March
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
United States ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index: 53.5 (March) vs previous 55.8
United States ISM Manufacturing New Orders Index: 53.5 (March) vs previous 55.8
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
United States ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid registered at 78.3 above expectations (73) in March
United States ISM Manufacturing Prices Paid registered at 78.3 above expectations (73) in March
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
United States ISM Manufacturing Employment Index: 48.7 (March) vs previous 48.8
United States ISM Manufacturing Employment Index: 48.7 (March) vs previous 48.8
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
NOK: Energy support and hawkish shift – Rabobank
Rabobank’s Senior FX Strategist Jane Foley argues that higher energy prices and a more hawkish Norges Bank stance are supportive for the Norwegian Krone (NOK). Norway’s strong Oil and gas export position and limited domestic vulnerability to the current energy crisis underpin NOK resilience.
USD/NOK
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
United States S&P Global Manufacturing PMI came in at 52.3 below forecasts (52.4) in March
United States S&P Global Manufacturing PMI came in at 52.3 below forecasts (52.4) in March
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
Canada S&P Global Manufacturing PMI declined to 50 in March from previous 51
Canada S&P Global Manufacturing PMI declined to 50 in March from previous 51
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
UK: Growth risks from energy shock – Deutsche Bank
Deutsche Bank’s Chief UK Economist Sanjay Raja warns that the UK faces rising recession risks as higher energy prices hit growth. Using Hamilton-based energy shock measures and probability models, he expects United Kingdom (UK) GDP growth to slow to 0.7%, with downside risks increasing.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
US President Trump: Going to be out of Iran pretty quickly
United States (US) President Donald Trump told Reuters on Wednesday that they are going to be out of Iran "pretty quickly," but refused to give a timeline.
Fxstreet
Wed, Apr 1
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