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Canada: Growth tailwind but lingering output gap – TD Securities
TD Securities’ Robert Both argues that higher Oil prices will support Canada’s 2026 GDP, but export bottlenecks limit the upside.
Brent
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
United States 4-Week Bill Auction remains at 3.62%
United States 4-Week Bill Auction remains at 3.62%
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
Fed’s Logan: Payroll gains have been pretty weak
Lorie Logan, President of the Federal Reserve (Fed) Bank of Dallas, said that the Fed should not let balance sheets distract them from the main mission, she also claimed that the balance sheet growth isn’t bad if it meets the publics need at a speech in her bank on Thursday.
US Dollar Index
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
NBP: Policy repricing risks grow – BNY
BNY's EMEA Macro Strategist Geoff Yu argues that the National Bank of Poland’s (NBP) March rate cut underestimated inflation risks linked to the regional conflict.
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
CEE: Energy shock erases PMI optimism – Commerzbank
Commerzbank’s Tatha Ghose notes that improving PMIs in Poland, Czech Republic and Hungary had signalled a potential upswing, helped by Germany’s earlier recovery signs.
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change came in at 36B, below expectations (38B) in March 27
United States EIA Natural Gas Storage Change came in at 36B, below expectations (38B) in March 27
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
CAD: Trade, tariffs and growth backdrop – RBC
Royal Bank of Canada (RBC) analysts point out that recent and prospective tariff changes, higher energy prices and CUSMA renewal talks will shape Canada’s macro backdrop, relevant for the Canadian Dollar (CAD).
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
INR: RBI seen steady on rates – Societe Generale
Societe Generale’s Kunal Kundu expects the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Monetary Policy Committee to keep the repo rate at 5.25% with a neutral stance, focusing on stability after recent Oil and FX shocks.
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
US: Basel III relief to boost wider spreads – TD Securities
TD Securities strategists Gennadiy Goldberg, Molly Brooks and Jan Nevruzi argue that proposed Basel III endgame and related US bank capital changes should ultimately support wider US swap spreads, particularly at the long end.
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
Eurozone: Energy shock risks and softer inflation dynamics – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas analysts assess how the new energy shock from war in Iran and higher Oil and gas prices compares with 2022 for the Eurozone. They argue the current backdrop is less inflationary, with weaker demand and fewer supply constraints, and central banks now more reactive.
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
Singapore Manufacturing PMI: 50.5 (March) vs previous 50.6
Singapore Manufacturing PMI: 50.5 (March) vs previous 50.6
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
INR: RBI Clamps down on NDFs as structural headwinds persist – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analysts note the RBI has barred banks from offering INR NDFs to residents and non-residents to curb speculation, but they argue Rupee headwinds remain structural, tied to FPI outflows, Oil shock dynamics and slowing domestic growth, with 10-year yields seen heading toward 7.20–7.25
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
Russia Central Bank Reserves $ down to $775.4B from previous $776.8B
Russia Central Bank Reserves $ down to $775.4B from previous $776.8B
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
US: Initial Jobless Claims dropped to 202K last week
According to a report from the US Department of Labour (DOL) released on Thursday, the number of US citizens submitting new applications for unemployment insurance decreased to 202K for the week ending March 28.
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
United States Continuing Jobless Claims registered at 1.841M above expectations (1.84M) in March 20
United States Continuing Jobless Claims registered at 1.841M above expectations (1.84M) in March 20
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
United States Goods Trade Balance dipped from previous $-81.8B to $-84.6B in February
United States Goods Trade Balance dipped from previous $-81.8B to $-84.6B in February
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
United States Initial Jobless Claims below expectations (212K) in March 27: Actual (202K)
United States Initial Jobless Claims below expectations (212K) in March 27: Actual (202K)
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
United States Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average declined to 207.75K in March 27 from previous 210.5K
United States Initial Jobless Claims 4-week average declined to 207.75K in March 27 from previous 210.5K
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
Canada Imports increased to $72.05B in February from previous $66.13B
Canada Imports increased to $72.05B in February from previous $66.13B
USD/CAD
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
United States Goods and Services Trade Balance came in at $-57.3B, above expectations ($-59.2B) in February
United States Goods and Services Trade Balance came in at $-57.3B, above expectations ($-59.2B) in February
Fxstreet
Thu, Apr 2
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