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India–US Trade Deal: Clarity needed – Societe Generale
Societe Generale analyst Kunal Kundu notes that the US will reduce its tariffs on Indian goods to 18% from 50%, while India is expected to eliminate tariffs on US goods. However, India has not confirmed the zero-tariff access or the cessation of Russian oil purchases.Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 3
Germany: Growth recovery expected in 2026 – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas projects that Germany will experience a return to robust growth in 2026, following a modest recovery in 2025. The report emphasizes that infrastructure spending approved for 2026 will facilitate this growth, despite previous delays.
Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 3
AUD: RBA rate hike signals ongoing tightening – BNY
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has raised its key interest rate by 25 basis points to 3.85%, aligning with market expectations. The RBA's hawkish tone indicates that inflation pressures are likely to persist, suggesting further policy tightening may be on the horizon.
Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 3
Fed’s Barkin: Current US government shutdown will only cause a few days of delay
Federal Reserve (Fed) President of the Bank of Richmond Thomas Barkin said on Tuesday that he is still concerned about risks to employment and inflation data and that he hopes the current United States (US) government shutdown will only cause a few days of delay in data.Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 3
CAD: Trading near fair value – Scotiabank
The CAD is holding in a tight range in the upper 1.36s, trading close to its fair value, as noted by Scotiabank's Analyst Team. The report indicates that recent swings in markets have prompted a rebound in the fair value estimate for the CAD, which now stands at 1.3679.Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 3
GBP: Spreads richen across curve – TD Securities
TD Securities Senior European & UK Rates Strategist Pooja Kumra reports that GBP spreads are continuing to richen across the curve, particularly in the belly, with 5-year spreads increasing by nearly 10bps since the start of the year.
Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 3
Fed’s Barkin: The Fed’s last mile comes with structural risks.
Remarks from Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin underline the economy’s resilience even as inflation remains above target. Barkin notes that, to date, rate cuts are framed as insurance for the labour market while the Fed works through the final phase of disinflation.Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 3
Fed’s Miran: Stronger growth does not mean higher rates
Remarks from Federal Reserve Governor Stephen Miran lean decisively dovish, challenging the idea that current policy settings remain appropriate. The focus is on subdued underlying inflation, limited pressure from market yields, and scope for sizeable rate cuts this year.Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 3
Eurozone: Positive growth outlook for 2026 – BNP Paribas
BNP Paribas highlights a positive outlook for the Eurozone, forecasting robust GDP growth of 1.5% in 2026, bolstered by recovering industry and household purchasing intentions. The report notes that Europe is overcoming challenges such as the war in Ukraine and political uncertainty in France.Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 3
India: US cuts tariffs on India – DBS
DBS Group Research report, authored by Radhika Rao, notes that the US and India have agreed on a trade deal, reducing tariffs on Indian goods from 25% to 18%. This agreement is contingent on India's continued reduction of oil purchases from Russia.Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 3
AUD: RBA hikes cash rate, inflation concerns persist – TD Securities
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) raised the target cash rate by 25bps to 3.85% in a unanimous decision, citing risks to inflation from excess demand and capacity constraints. The RBA's core inflation forecast was increased from 2.7% to 3.2% for 2026, indicating the likelihood of further action.Fxstreet
Tue, Feb 3
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